Recently, there are always people shouting 'the bull market is over', but those who have experienced several rounds of bull and bear markets understand: the fiercest action is always hidden in the last surge.
Have you seen the madness of the bull tail?
Altcoins surged 500% in a day, Twitter was full of 'let's all jump in tomorrow' calls, only to be halved the next day; if you were a second late, you'd get buried — that's a typical symptom of the end of a bull market.
Now let's take a look:
Coinbase didn't make it to the top of the App Store, retail investors haven't rushed in yet;
The search volume for 'Bitcoin' in Google Trends is flat, even the aunties haven't asked you 'how to buy this thing';
Among the 30 key on-chain indicators, there are no signs of a top — there's no chain congestion, no retail frenzy, no leverage liquidation wave; instead, big funds are quietly accumulating, and the main players are controlling the pace of accumulation.
You need to know that a bull market peaks when there are 'buyers' to take over. Right now, even the retail investors haven't fully entered the market, who will take on the main players' positions?
Some are panicking over short-term fluctuations: 'Is 155,000 the peak?'
Come on, what if BTC consolidates for 3 months or even half a year? What we're aiming for is the last segment of a super long bull run, not to be a 5-minute short-term trader.
More importantly, today's BTC is no longer the 'marginal asset' of 2018 or 2021 — it has been accepted by ETFs, heavily invested by institutions, and even became a macro asset at the national level. This cycle may very well break the old script of 'four-year cycles'.
The bull market hasn't ended, you just doubted too early.
The real danger is never at the top, but in you backing down too soon, getting off the ride before the madness arrives.
Remember: the madness of the bull tail will make you regret 'not buying more', but the hesitation now will leave you with no qualification to regret.
Intra-day focus: LNIK BTC
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