Elon Musk really threw a stone into Trump's garden! 😎 On his X platform, he stated directly: "Trump's tariffs will cause a recession in the second half of 2025." And this is not just nonsense — Tesla shares plummeted by 14% after this, losing $150 billion in market value in a day! 😱 Import tariffs (10-50% depending on the country) have already driven inflation up by 0.4% according to CBO forecasts, and this hits everyone: from automakers to your wallet. #TariffThriller

What's happening? 🔍
Musk has been against tariffs from the very beginning. Back in April, he tried to persuade Trump to cancel them, but to no avail. Why? Because Tesla relies on global supply chains: 25% of Model Y parts are imported, and China is their second market. Tariffs raise raw material prices, and in response, China has already imposed a 125% duty on Tesla Model S and X. Plus, people in China might boycott Tesla out of patriotism, just like with 'Buy Canadian'. #TeslaUnderFire

Why a recession? ⚠️
Tariffs = more expensive goods = inflation. According to JPMorgan, the chance of a recession due to tariffs was 60%, but after a pause on some duties, it decreased to <50%. US GDP has already contracted by 0.2% in Q1 2025. If there is another negative quarter in the second half of the year — officially a recession. And that means: unemployment (currently 4.1%, may jump to 5%), falling sales, and panic in the markets. #EconomicStorm

Printing press? 🖨️
Musk hints that the Fed will turn on the printing press to flood the economy with money. The Fed's balance is already $7.4 trillion, and another $1-2 trillion in QE in 2026 is realistic. This will drive inflation to 7-10%, but will save from default on debt ($36 trillion, 130% of GDP). Crypto usually surges under such conditions: $BTC could spike to $120k, $ETH to $4500, $SOL to $300. But after euphoria — a correction, because whales love to exit at highs. 😈 #CryptoBoom

My opinion 😎
Musk is right: tariffs are like shooting oneself in the foot while hoping to win a marathon. 😅 They drive inflation, hurt business, and cast a shadow on the dollar. The printing press will be turned on, as there is no other way out. But it's like heroin: a short high, and then withdrawal. Prepare for a bull cycle in crypto, but keep an exit in real assets (real estate, gold, uranium) at the peak. #FinancialSurfing

Forecast 🔮

• Short-term (H2 2025): Recession with a 60% probability (two negative quarters of GDP). $BTC to $110k, $ETH to $4500, $SOL to $250 amid QE. Entry point: $BTC ~$95k, $ETH ~$3500, profit taking at $120k and $5000.

• Long-term (2026-2030): QE of $2-3 trillion in 2026 will drive inflation to 10%. $BTC could reach $200k in 2027, but a correction to $50k is inevitable. $ETH to $6000, $SOL to $400. Invest in real assets after the peak.

• Risks: Trade war with China and declining trust in the dollar. If $BTC.D (62.15%) falls to 55%, alt season will yield profit, but panic amid recession could drop the market by 20-30%.

Conclusion 💡
Musk revealed the plan: tariffs = recession = printing press. Crypto ($BTC, $ETH, $SOL) will surge, but don’t fall for the euphoria — whales are waiting for your liquidity. 😜 Filter FOMO, maintain risk management, and prepare for turbulence. Catch profit, but remember: after bulls, there is always a correction! #Recession2025 #CryptoStrategy #TrumpTariffs