#### 📌 Immediate Facts
1. Current Performance:
- +2.09% at $109,772 → Partial recovery from the recent correction.
- Trading volume $46.13B (2.12% of market cap) → Moderate institutional liquidity.
2. Whale Flows:
- 14,428 BTC purchased in large orders against a sale of 2,854 BTC → Net purchase of 11,573 BTC (strong signal).
- Small volume sell: -1,926 BTC in 24 hours (does not affect the overall trend).
3. Technical Indicators:
- RSI 62 (moderate buying area, not yet overbought).
- MACD about to cross upwards → Potential positive momentum.
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#### 🔍 3 Key Signals from Data
1. Critical Levels:
- Strong resistance: $111,970 (all-time high).
- New support: $108,000 (turning from resistance to support).
2. Market Context:
- Bitcoin dominance 62.23% → Ongoing confidence despite altcoin volatility.
- Volume/market cap ratio 2.12% → Healthy liquidity for continued rise.
3. Increasing Scarcity:
- 19.87M BTC only traded (94.6% of supply) → Long-term buying pressure.
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#### 🎯 Smart Trading Strategies
| Scenario | Entry Point | Stop Loss | Target | Duration |
|----------------------|---------------------|------------------|--------------------|------------------|
| Break Resistance | Above $110,500 | $108,000 | $115,000 → $120,000 | Days |
| Buy at Support | $108,000-$107,000 | $105,000 | $112,000 | Week |
| Partial Sell | At $111,500-$112,000 | - | Take 30-50% profits | Quick |
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#### ⚡ Realistic Forecasts (with risk management)
1. Bullish Scenario (65%):
- Break at $111,970 → Acceleration towards $115,000 (new record target).
- Driver: ETF flows or additional institutional adoption.
2. Sideways Accumulation (25%):
- Fluctuation between $108,000-$111,000 → Accumulation before a critical break.
3. The only threat (10%):
- Break below $107,000 with volume >$60B → Correction to $103,000.
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#### 💡 Professional Tools (Ignored by beginners)
- "Coin Days Destroyed" indicator: indicates no strong selling from old whales.
- "Stock-to-Flow" model: predicts $120,000 by the end of 2025 (consistent with current performance).
- Smart entry strategy:
```
50% at $109,000
30% at $107,000
20% at $105,000
```
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#### 📌 Executive Summary
✅ For traders: Take advantage of the current rebound with a stop loss below $108,000.
✅ For investors: Buying at $107,000 or lower is considered a historic deal.
⚠️ Warning:
> "Don't wait for perfection! Bitcoin above $100,000 is considered a strategic buying area regardless of daily volatility."
> "Bitcoin is like mountains: its peak may shake, but its foundation is rocky."
Final outcome:
Bitcoin is in the "establishing beyond $120,000" phase – hesitating now means losing the contract opportunity!