#### 📌 Shocking Facts
1. Current Reality:
- +6% today at $0.00001396 → still 50.6% below the all-time high ($0.000028).
- Trading volume $1.43B (24.38% of market cap) → Excessive speculation (unhealthy ratio).
2. Catastrophic supply equation:
- 420 trillion tokens traded → if distributed to every person: 52,586 PEPE per individual!
- To reach a price of $0.01:
```
Required market cap = $4.2 trillion
(Twice the value of all gold above ground!)
```
3. Strange whale flows:
- 12.87T PEPE bought in large orders against only 495B sold → Clear speculative game.
- 5 days of significant flow: 1.09T PEPE bought → but there is no real basis for this rise.
---
#### 🎯 Trading Strategies (Based on Mathematical Probability)
| Strategy | Entry Point | Stop Loss | Target | Probability |
|-------------------------|-----------------------|---------------------|--------------------|--------------|
| Short Selling (most rational) | Above $0.000014 | $0.000015 | $0.000008 | 75% |
| Opportunistic Speculation | $0.000012 | $0.000011 | $0.000016 | 20% |
| Stay Away (Optimal Solution) | - | - | - | 95% |
---
#### ⚡ 3 Realistic Scenarios (Without Emotions)
1. Inevitable collapse (80%):
- When the market realizes that 420T tokens are not worth $5.85B → return to $0.000005.
- Driver: Change in exchange policies or whale withdrawal.
2. Temporary pump (15%):
- Rise to $0.000018 then a faster collapse (trap for buyers).
3. Unexpected Miracle (5%):
- If it becomes a "regulated currency" on a major platform → $0.0001 (then a 90% correction).
---
#### 💡 Tips Professionals Don't Say
- Risk Calculator:
```
If you buy 10M PEPE for $139.6:
- To reach $0.01 ← the market cap needs to be $4.2T (impossible).
- Probability of 100% loss: 95%.
```
- Gold Standard:
> "Do not invest in an asset whose price depends on the number of zeros after the decimal!"
---
#### 📌 Summary: A gamble, not an investment