#BTC突破99K
🌞 Daytime Market Analysis
1. Bitcoin (BTC):
• Crazy Surge: During the day, it crazily fluctuated between 97k-99.8k, institutions frantically bought ETFs (BlackRock purchased 6,954 coins in one day), and on-chain whales firmly defended the 96k support!
• Technical Analysis:
o Resistance: 100k psychological level (previous high + CME gap), breaking through will lead to a direct surge 🚀
o Support: 97.5k (4-hour EMA50) + 96.5k (institution consensus support level)
• Mystical Warning: There is selling pressure from long-term holders near 99.5k, beware of false breakouts!
2. Ethereum (ETH):
• Recovery Initiated: Surged to 1945 after breaking 1900
• Technical Analysis:
o Resistance: 1,950 (Fibonacci 61.8%) + 2,000 (psychological level)
o Support: 1,900 (daily EMA50) + 1,850 (liquidation concentration zone)
• On-chain Signals: Unsettled contracts have broken through 21 billion, long positions are twice that of short positions!
🌙 Tonight's Trend Prediction
Bitcoin (BTC) aiming for 100k:
• Bullish: If it stabilizes at 99.5k, it will directly surge to 100k → After breakthrough, look for 102k (institution target 120k)
• Bearish: If it drops below 97.5k, it may spike down to 96.5k (on-chain whale selling pressure warning)
• Core Logic: 100k is double pressure from psychological + technical levels, a breakout requires significant volume!
• Aggressive: Light long positions at 97.5k, stop loss at 96k, target 99.8k → 100k!
• Conservative: Chase the price after breaking 100k, stop loss at 98.5k, target 102k!
• Short Position: Gradually short from 99.5k-100k, stop loss at 100.5k, target 97k!
Ethereum (ETH) linked recovery:
• Following Up: If Bitcoin surges to 100k, ETH may recover to 1,950-2,000 (needs to break through strong resistance at 1950)
• Correction: If it drops below 1,900, look for support at 1,850 (EMA120 at 1,770 providing support)
• Spot Traders: Place orders between 1,900-1,920, sell if it drops below 1,850!
• Contract Traders: Short from 1,950-1,980, stop loss at 2,000, target 1,900!
Mnemonic: “Don’t get too excited at the peak, watch out for spikes, chase only after a breakout”