#美国众议院市场结构讨论草案
🌟The US-China negotiations ignite the market, can we chase Auntie Bitcoin tonight?
🔮 Early morning nuclear-level news!
The US and China have started trade negotiations!
• Background: The Ministry of Commerce officially announced at 6 AM that China agreed to talk with the US in Switzerland, with the Vice Premier leading the negotiations! Once the news broke, BTC surged 3% instantly, ETH followed with a 1.5% increase, and altcoins collectively skyrocketed.
• Impact:
o Bullish: Expectations of easing the tariff war rise, funds flow into risk assets, BTC holds the critical level of 97k;
o Bearish: The negotiation results are uncertain; if the US side wavers, it could trigger a second spike!
• Motto: "Don't get overexcited when good news lands, guard against sneak attacks during negotiations"
💣 Today's trend prediction + trading tips
1. Bitcoin (BTC): 97k becomes new support, just one step away from hitting 100k
• Technical analysis:
o Support: 96,500U (4-hour MA30 + consensus on negotiation good news), if it falls below, look at 94k;
o Resistance: 98,500U (previous high + CME gap), holding above it directly pushes to 100k!
• Scenario:
o Bullish: ETF net inflow of 742 million in one day + BlackRock crazily bought 6,954 BTC, whales firmly defend 96k;
o Bearish: The Federal Reserve may hawkishly crash the market at 2 AM, with stop-loss orders densely packed below 95k;
o Action: Buy on the dip at 96,500U, stop-loss at 94,500U; chase the rise if it breaks 98,500U, target 100k!
2. Ethereum (ETH): The rebound trend starts, but don't overdo it
• Technical analysis:
o Support: 1,800U (psychological barrier + daily EMA50), if it falls below, look at 1,750U;
o Resistance: 1,880U (Fibonacci 61.8% level), breakthrough requires Pectra upgrade assistance.
• Strategy:
o Grid trading between 1,800-1,850U for high selling and low buying, cut losses if it falls below 1,790U;
o Don't go heavy before the upgrade, wait for a volume breakout at 1,880U to re-enter!
Core logic: "The negotiation good news has been realized, the Federal Reserve's hawkishness is the biggest risk. Sell when it rises a lot, dare to buy when it falls sharply."
News of the US-China negotiations stimulated the market, but don't chase the highs! The Federal Reserve's decision is the real nuclear bomb tonight (2 AM);