不慕鱼

#特朗普就职百日
🔮 今日走势拆解
1. 比特币：横盘3天，多空在93k-95k疯狂互砍
• 关键位：
o 支撑：93,500U（日线MA30+链上爆仓密集区，跌破看92k）
o 阻力：95,500U（前高+CME缺口回补位，突破才能冲10w）
• 剧本：
o 美股开盘前：大概率在93,500-95,500U震荡，急跌到93k可抄底；
o 风险点：MACD顶部背离+量能萎缩，若跌破93k可能插针至92k；
o 操作：回踩93,300轻仓接多，跌破92,500割肉；冲高95,500以上分批止盈！
2. 姨太（ETH）：生死线看1,750U
• 技术面：
o 支撑：1,720U（心理关口+日线MA30），跌破直奔1,680U质押爆仓区；
o 阻力：1,850U（斐波那契50%回撤位），突破才能逆袭；
• 策略：
o 姨太已成“跟屁虫”，只适合急跌抄底+反弹空，1,720U附近偷鸡，1,690U止损；
o 想格局？除非放量突破1,850U，否则躺平吧！
3. TRUMP币：庄家边拉边跑，24小时爆仓1.2亿
• 消息面：特朗普晚宴炒作降温，庄家高位出货明显（链上解锁2.7亿U预警）；
• 关键位：
o 支撑：12U（散户抄底盘密集区），跌破看9U；
o 阻力：15U（前高套牢盘），突破靠新利好；
• 操作：
o 12U以下轻仓偷鸡，目标14-15U，赚10%就跑；
4. SOL：生态撑腰但巨鲸砸盘预警！
• 技术面：支撑145U（日线MA30），跌破看140U（链上巨鲸抛售预警）；
• 策略：145U以下分批接，反弹至155U止盈，跌破140U割肉；
$BTC
$ETH
$TRUMP

#特朗普就职百日
🔮 Mainstream Cryptocurrency Today's Market Analysis
1. Bitcoin: If it doesn't break 93k, it remains a bull market
• Key Levels:
o Support: 93,500U (Daily MA30 + On-chain liquidation cluster, if it breaks, watch for 92k)
o Resistance: 95,500U (Previous high + CME gap fill, must break to reach 100k)
• Scenario:
o Daytime oscillation range: 93,300-95,500U, likely to stagnate before US stock market opens;
o Risk Points: MACD top divergence + shrinking volume, if it breaks below 93k, it may spike to 92k;
o Action: Lightly accumulate long positions at 93,300 on a pullback, cut losses if it breaks below 92,500; take partial profits above 95,500
2. Ether: Watch the death line at 1,750U
• Technical Analysis:
o Support: 1,750U (Psychological level + Daily MA30), if it breaks, it heads straight for 1,680U liquidation zone;
o Resistance: 1,850U (Fibonacci 50% retracement level), must break to reverse;
• Strategy:
o Ether has become a “follower”, only suitable for bottom fishing on sharp declines + shorting on rebounds, target around 1,720U for a quick profit, stop loss at 1,690U;
o Want to change the trend? Unless it breaks through 1,850U with volume, just lay flat.
3. TRUMP: The whales have deep tricks, run after earning 5%
• News: The hype around Trump's dinner has cooled down, whales are clearly selling at high positions (On-chain unlocking of 270 million U as a warning);
• Beware: The ranking of held coins will close on May 12, whales may dump in advance;
• Key Levels:
o Support: 12U (Intensive area for retail bottom fishing), if it breaks, watch for 9U;
o Resistance: 15U (Previous high trapped positions), must break with new positive news;
• Action:
o Lightly accumulate below 12U for a quick profit, target 14-15U, run after making 10%;
o Beware of whale “runaway kills” before May 22, decisively cut losses if it breaks below 10U.
$BTC
$ETH
$TRUMP

#亚利桑那比特币储备
🔮 Tonight's Trend Prediction
1. Bitcoin
• Technical Analysis:
o Support Level: 93,500U (4-hour EMA30 + On-chain liquidation zone), breaking below looks to 92,000U;
o Resistance Level: 96,000U (previous high + CME gap fill), must hold to push to 97,500U.
• Scenario:
o If US stocks open down (Nasdaq has already dropped 0.1%), Bitcoin may drop towards 93,500-94,000;
o But with the Arizona bill passing + institutional buying support, funds will definitely enter below 93k, a rapid drop may offer a chance to buy at a bargain!
• Long Position: Buy on the dip at 93,500U, add to position at 92,500U, target 94,500-95,500U, cut loss if below 92k!
• Short Position: Short at 95,800-96,200U, stop loss at 96,500U, target 94k-93.5k (take profit quickly).
2. Ethereum
• Core Conflict: New low in exchange rate + capital drain, only follows down, not up!
o Support: 1,720U (daily MA30), breaking below may spike down to 1,680U (pledge liquidation zone);
o Strategy: Sell in batches on rebound to 1,800-1,820U, lightly buy on rapid drop to 1,720U.
o Only play rebounds: Buy near 1,720U, stop loss at 1,690U, quick in and out!
3. Altcoins:
• SOL: Correlates with Bitcoin but with larger fluctuations, high sell and low buy in the 145-155U grid, cut loss if below 140U;
• SUI: Clear selling by the whale at high positions, buy on the low below 3.5U, take profit in batches above 3.8U, stop loss at 3.3U (high-risk warning!).

🚨 Tonight's Risk Bomb
1. Whale Dumping: BTC has dense orders above 95k, SUI whale suspected to be fleeing;
2. Policy Variables: The new SEC chairman may target altcoins (especially SUI, XRP);
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

#加密市场反弹
1 Big Cake: High-level volatility, beware of a second spike!
• Technical Analysis:
o Support: 93,500U (4-hour EMA30 + on-chain liquidation dense area, drop below to watch 92k)
o Resistance: 95,500U (previous high resistance level, breakthrough may push to 97k)
• Action: 👉 Long position with light load at 93.5k, cut losses if it drops below 93k! Short if above 95k, stop loss at 96k!
2 Auntie: Follower, mainly lying flat!
• Technical Analysis:
o Support: 1,720U (daily MA30 life and death line), drop below to watch 1,680U
o Resistance: 1,850U (need volume to break, probability extremely low)
• Core Logic:
o Weakness root: Funds being drained by Big Cake, significant selling pressure from unlocked pledges, technical MACD death cross
• Strategy: 👉 Only trade within the 1,720-1,820 range, make 5% profit and run!
3 SUI: King of dealer control, warning for unlocking nuclear bomb!
• Technical Analysis:
o Support: 3.3U (on-chain dense trading area), drop below to watch 3U
o Resistance: 4U (previous high resistance level, breakthrough to watch 4.5U!)
• Action: 👉 Steal below 3.3U, sell in batches above 3.8U, cut losses if it drops below 3U!
4 TRUMP Coin: Political melodrama, price fluctuations depend on Trump!
• Technical Analysis:
o Support: 14U (dinner hype bottom line), drop below to watch 10U
o Resistance: 16U (previous high bubble area, low probability to break)
• Action: 👉 Lightly bet on emotions at 14U, clear positions at 16U, don’t get trapped!
5 SOL: Technical flow king, ETF expectations heating up!
• Technical Analysis:
o Support: 145U (daily MA30 life and death line), drop below to watch 138U
o Resistance: 155U
• Action: 👉 Buy low at 145U, target 155U, cut losses if it drops below 140!

💣 Today's Nuclear-level Risks
1. SUI unlocking selling pressure: 265 million USUI unlocks today, dealers may pull and run;
2. SOL whale dumping: On-chain monitoring detected millions of SOL transferred to exchanges, beware of spikes;
$BTC
$SUI
$TRUMP

#特朗普税改
🔥 Bitcoin (BTC): Downtrend rebound, heart-pounding tonight?
- Script Analysis: Current price stuck at the key level of 94.5k, if it holds, it can surge to 96k; breaking below 93k may dip to 92k!
- Operation Focus:
👉 Long Position: Light buy near 94k to sneak a profit, target 95k-96k; if it breaks 93.5k, run away!
👉 Short Position: Attempt shorting at 95.5k-96k, stop loss at 96.5k, grab some pocket money and run!
Mnemonic: "No trades in sideways, sneak attack on spikes"

💎 Ethereum (ETH): Follow the rise, not the fall, expert at playing dead
- Current Situation Rant:
Exchange rate dropped to 0.019 (worst-performing little brother ever!), funds all sucked dry by Bitcoin, massive selling pressure from on-chain pledges unlocking! But Pectra upgrade is coming soon, die-hard fans can buy the dip.
- Strategy:
👉 Bottom Fishers: Buy the dip at 1,780-1,800 dollars, average down to 1,750, target 1,850 dollars!
👉 Stop Loss Line: Cut losses if it drops below 1,750 dollars, don’t stubbornly hold on!

🚀 Meme Coin Twins: SUI & TRUMP, wealth comes with risks!
SUI: Technically overbought, but the ecosystem is truly appealing!
• Good News: Ecosystem TVL rose 45% this week, tech enthusiasts are ecstatic about Move language! Grayscale collaboration + Mastercard making moves, the big players are pushing it hard!
• Risk: RSI at 82 (overbought warning!), don’t chase above 3.8 dollars, big players can dump at any time!
• Operation: 👉 Buy below 3.5 dollars, sell in batches above 3.9 dollars, cut losses if it drops below 3.3 dollars!
TRUMP Coin: Political melodrama, price swings depend on Trump!
• Hype Point: Trump dinner limited to 220 major holders, hunger marketing taken to the extreme! But the team controls 80%, price swings all based on mood!
• Warning: Anything above 15 dollars is a bubble, run at 16 dollars! Direct warning of a halving if it drops below 14 dollars!
• Operation: 👉 Light buy at 15 dollars betting on sentiment, clear out at 16 dollars, be careful of SEC tweets at midnight!
$BTC
$ETH
$SUI

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
🔮 Short-term Trend Forecast & Trading Strategy
1. Bitcoin
• Key Levels:
• Support: 92,000 (On-chain liquidation zone, daily EMA60)
• Resistance: 94,200 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level)
• Trading Suggestions:
• Short Position: Short on rebounds below 93,500, stop loss at 94,500, target 92,500-92,000
• Long Position: Light buy on a sharp drop to 92,000, stop loss at 91,000, rebound target 93,500+
• Mnemonic: “Run away when breaking support, panic selling allows for opportunistic buying”
2. Ethereum
• Technical Analysis:
• Lifeline: 1,720 (Daily MA30, break below targets 1,680)
• Rebound Resistance: 1,850 (200-day moving average pressure)
• Strategy:
• Grid Trading: High sell low buy in the 1,780-1,800 range, stop loss below 1,720
• Bottom Fishing: Buy near 1,720, stop loss at 1,690, target 1,780 (quick in and out)
3. BNB
• Sideways Logic: On-chain whales accumulating but no signals for a price pump, primarily correlated with the market
4. SOL
• Ecosystem Heat: TVL reaches 4.8 billion, but spike risk remains
• Key Levels:
• Support: 142 (4-hour Bollinger lower band), cut losses below 140
• Resistance: 155 (previous high pressure level)
5. SUI
• Risk Warning: Grayscale collaboration benefits fully realized, operators offloading at high levels
• Operations:
• Opportunistic Strategy: Light buy below 3.3, target 3.8 for partial profit-taking
• Stop Loss: Cut losses decisively below 3.2 (to prevent major losses)
6. TRUMP Coin
• Strategy:
• Profit Taking: Reduce position above 14, clear out at 15
• Stop Loss: Exit below 12 to avoid unlocking selling pressure
$BTC
$ETH
$SUI

#Hashdex推出XRP现货ETF
🔮 Tonight's Trend Prediction
1. Bitcoin
• Key Position Adjustment:
o Support: $93,500 (4-hour EMA30 + on-chain dense transaction area, breaking below looks at $92,000)
o Resistance: $95,000 (previous high psychological pressure, break through to push towards $96k)
• Operational Focus:
o Weekend liquidity is low, manipulators can easily launch surprise spikes!
o US stock market is closed, Bitcoin may continue to play 'paint the fence', breaking below $93,500 will attract bottom-buying funds.
• Long Position: Lightly buy on a pullback to $93,500, add to position at $92,500, target $94,500-$95,000, cut losses below $92k!
• Short Position: Test short at $94,800-$95,000, stop loss at $95,500, target $93,500-$93k (take profit quickly)
• Mnemonic: "No trades during sideways, surprise spikes to attack"

2. Ethereum
• Technical Analysis:
o Support: $1,780 (daily MA30), breaking below may spike to $1,720 (pledge liquidation zone)
o To rise, must stabilize above $1,850 with volume, but the probability is low (capital being drained by Bitcoin)
• Strategy: Ethereum is weak, only trade rebounds without a pattern!
• Rebound Short: Gradually short at $1,820-$1,830, stop loss at $1,850, target $1,780!
• Quick Dip Bottom: Buy near $1,720, stop loss at $1,690, quick in and out!

3. Altcoins:
• SOL: Buy low at $145, add position at $142, target $155, cut losses below $140!
• SUI: Manipulators pull up while running, steal below $3.5, stop loss at $3.3 (be careful of halving)
• Meme Coins: TRUMP, FART quick in and out, take profit at 10%, don't get emotionally attached!
🚨 Night Market Risk Bomb
1. Weekend liquidity is low: Manipulators can easily control the market and spike, leverage should not exceed 3x!
2. Meme coins crashing: SUI, TRUMP manipulators pull up while running, be careful of skyrocketing coins without a pattern!
3. Leverage liquidation risk: Bitcoin has a high concentration of contracts near $94k, be careful of reverse spikes!
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

#特朗普暂停新关税
🔮 Today's Market Forecast
1. Bitcoin:
• Technical Analysis:
o Support Level: $93,500 (4-hour EMA30 + on-chain accumulation zone), breaking below may spike down to $92,000-$93,000;
o Resistance Level: $96,000 (previous high + psychological barrier), must hold to push towards $97,500-$98,000.
• News:
o Bullish: Trump calls for interest rate cuts + ARK raises BTC target price to $2.4 million, sentiment remains positive;
o Bearish: The new SEC chairman may target regulation on altcoins, potentially dragging Bitcoin down as well.
• Forecast: During the day, likely range-bound between $93,500-$96,000, potential direction may emerge after the Fed's speech in the early morning; if it breaks below $93k, buying funds will enter the market.
• Long Position: Buy on dips near $93,500, add to position at $92,500, target $94,500-$95,500, stop loss if it falls below $92,000!
• Short Position: Try shorting on a rebound to $95,800-$96,200, stop loss at $96,500, target $94,000-$93,500;
• Rule: "Don't trade in a sideways market, dare to catch spikes, ensure stop losses are in place and don't be overly optimistic."

2. Ethereum:
Long Position Strategy:
• Aggressive: Current price $1810, light position to try long, add to position at $1780, target $1850-$1860, stop loss at $1770;
• Conservative: Wait for a dip near $1780 to go long, stop loss at $1750, target $1820-$1850.
Short Position Strategy:
• Current price try shorting: $1850-$1860 in batches, stop loss at $1880, target $1800-$1780;
• Breakout short: If it breaks below $1770, chase the short, target $1740-$1720, stop loss at $1800.

3. SOL:
• SOL: Ecosystem TVL rises to $4.8 billion, trading the range of $145-$155 with high sell and low buy, volatility is greater than BTC;
• Buy close to $145, add at $142, target $155, cut losses if it falls below $140;
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

#以太坊的未来
1. Big Pie: High volatility, beware of 'spike' risk
Key Signals:
1. Technical Analysis:
• 4-hour MACD divergence, RSI overbought (74), multiple attempts to breach 94,500 failed, significant selling pressure from whales at 94,000 USD.
• Key support at 92,500 (4-hour MA60), breaking this level may lead to a spike to 90,500.
2. On-chain Data:
• Long-term holders (LTH) increased holdings by 2.1%, but short-term holders (STH) took profits, increasing pullback pressure.
• Open contracts reached 281,000 BTC, high leverage positions need to be cautious of liquidation.
Action Strategy:
• Long Position: Lightly buy at 92,500-93,000, stop loss at 91,500, target 94,000;
• Short Position: Attempt short at 94,300-94,500, stop loss at 95,200, target 93,000.
• Mnemonic: 'No trading in sideways, spike for surprise'.

2. Auntie: Weakness evident, staking liquidation becomes a hidden danger
Technical Analysis:
• Support at 1,750 (daily MA30), resistance at 1,820 (4-hour upper Bollinger band).
• MACD death cross formed, volume shrinks, rebound lacks strength.
Action Suggestions:
• Rebound Short: Attempt short near 1,820, stop loss at 1,850, target 1,760;
• Sudden Drop Bargain: Buy at 1,750, stop loss at 1,700, quick in and out.
• Common saying: 'Auntie is weak, only trades rebounds, no romance'.

3. Solana: Ecosystem driven, beware of Gas fee backlash
Positive Factors:
• Ecosystem TVL rebounded to 4.8 billion USD, projects like DARK rose 30% in 24 hours.
• Institutional accumulation: Sol Strategies, Upexi hold over 800,000 SOL.
Risk Points:
• Surge in on-chain Gas fees may suppress short-term speculation, selling pressure exists at 150-155 USD.
Strategy:
• Long Position: Buy low near 150, replenish at 145, target 160, stop loss at 142;
• Short Position: Attempt short at 155-158, stop loss at 160, target 148.
• Mnemonic: 'SOL volatility is high, stop loss must be firm, take profit quickly'.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

#TRUMP晚宴

1. Pancake rises and falls:
• Affected by the U.S. dollar index falling to a three-year low, BTC once surged to $94,000, but the technical indicators showed a MACD divergence + RSI overbought (78), and then retreated to fluctuate around $93,000.
• The key resistance levels of $94,500-$95,000 were not broken, and the short-term bullish momentum weakened, with a total liquidation of $624 million across the network (62% short positions).
• Long position: Buy lightly on the pullback to $92,000-$92,500, add to the position at $91,000, target $93,500-$94,000, stop loss below $90,800.
• Short position: Try shorting at $94,300-$94,500, stop loss at $95,000, target $93,000-$92,500.
• Motto: Don’t chase highs! Hold if stable above $93,000, run if it drops below $92,000!
2. Aunt's late rally lacks strength:
• ETH briefly broke above $1,800 before retreating. Although the DeFi locked value rose to $46.7 billion, the staking liquidation risk ($1,380) still suppresses the upward space.
• Long position: Bottom fishing at $1,720-$1,750, add to the position at $1,700, target $1,780-$1,800, stop loss at $1,690;
• Short position: Try shorting on the rebound to $1,840-$1,850, stop loss at $1,880, target $1,750;
• Reminder: ETH rises slowly and falls quickly, take profit at 5%!
3. Altcoin differentiation:
• Trump Coin surged 60% in a single day due to the “dinner incident”, but 80% of the tokens are controlled by the team, leading to significant unlocking pressure;
• Public chain coins like SUI have shrunk in volume after rising, beware of corrections.
• SOL: Buy near $145, target $155, stop loss below $142;
• BNB: Buy at $610, target $625, run if it drops below $605;
• TRUMP, SUI: Don’t chase! Wait for a pullback to sneak in, sell at 10% profit!
$BTC
$ETH
$TRUMP

#TRUMP晚宴
1. Pre-Dinner Trends (April 24 - May 22)
• Short-term speculation: The news that the top 220 holders can participate in the private dinner on May 22 triggered a 50%-70% surge in the coin price within 24 hours, reaching a high of $14.7. The competition for holding rankings (ending May 12) may drive the coin price to continue fluctuating upwards to $15-18.
• Risk factors:
o Unlocking selling pressure: $300 million worth of tokens were unlocked on April 18, with 0.05% unlocking daily afterward; the market makers may take advantage of the good news to sell off.
o Whale arbitrage: A large holder bought 400,000 TRUMP and quickly sold them off, making $730,000 in half an hour, which may easily lead retail investors to get 'cut'.
2. Post-Dinner Trend Predictions
• If favorable conditions materialize: If Trump announces new policies such as accepting TRUMP for campaign funding, the coin price may rebound to $15-18, but due to concentrated holdings (80% controlled by the team), the increase may be hard to sustain.
• If favorable conditions are exhausted: 5% of tokens will be unlocked on July 18, combined with narrative fatigue, the coin price may plummet to $6-8 (a halving from the current price).
• Extreme scenario: If Trump is absent from the dinner (official website notes 'may be canceled'), the price may drop over 50% in a single day.
3. Operational Suggestions
• Short-term: Participate lightly at $12-13, target $15, stop loss if it falls below $11.5.
• Long-term: Avoid! The token has no real value, is highly controlled, and the risk of it going to zero after Trump leaves office is extremely high.
$TRUMP

#比特币市值排名
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Trend Prediction:
1. Technical Analysis:
• The Bitcoin is fluctuating in the range of 92,000-93,500 during the day. The 4-hour MACD shows a bearish divergence + RSI (74) is overbought. If it breaks below 92,000 in the short term, it may find support at 90,500 (daily MA7).
• Key Levels:
o Support: 92,000 (4-hour EMA30) → if it breaks, look for 90,500.
o Resistance: 93,500 (intraday high) → if it stabilizes, it may push towards the previous high of 94,500.
2. Trading Suggestions:
• Long Position: Lightly buy on a dip to 92,000-92,500, add to position at 91,000, target 93,500, stop loss below 90,800.
• Short Position: Short on a rebound to 93,300-93,500, stop loss at 94,000, target 92,000.
Reminder: Don’t chase the rise! If it breaks below 92,000, exit first, wait for stabilization to buy the dip!
________________________________________
2. Ethereum (ETH)
Key Levels:
o Support: 1,720 (previous daily low) → if it breaks, look for 1,690.
o Resistance: 1,800 (psychological level) → needs to stabilize to go up.
Trading Suggestions:
• Long Position: Buy on dip at 1,720-1,750, add to position at 1,700, target 1,780-1,800, stop loss below 1,690.
• Short Position: Short on rebound to 1,790-1,800, stop loss at 1,820, target 1,750.
Reminder: Ethereum is being drained by Bitcoin, take profits at 5% and don’t get too greedy!
________________________________________
3. Opportunities in Other Major Coins
1. BNB (Binance Coin):
• Current price is $596, there is a clear divergence between price and volume (price is rising but volume is decreasing). It may retest the 580-590 range at night; if it breaks below 590, look for support at 570.
• Strategy: Short on a rebound to 600-610, stop loss at 620, target 580.
2. Solana (SOL):
• Support level is $145 (daily MA30), resistance is $155-160. If Bitcoin stabilizes, SOL may rally.
• Strategy: Lightly buy around 145, target 155, stop loss below 142.
3. Sui (SUI):
• After surging to $3, the volume has shrunk. It may pull back to the 2.80-2.90 range at night, chasing highs is risky.
• Strategy: Buy near 2.80, target 3.0, stop loss below 2.70.
________________________________________
4. Nighttime Risk Reminder
Policy Bomb:
• SEC Regulatory Dynamics: Chairman’s speech may target altcoins (like SUI, SOL) with negative news.
• U.S. Stock Market Correlation: If the Nasdaq continues to fall, cryptocurrency positions with high leverage should be cautious of liquidation!
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Trend Analysis:
1. Technical Aspect:
• Last night, Bitcoin surged to 94,000 but lacked momentum. The 4-hour chart shows MACD divergence + RSI (74) is overbought. During the day, it is likely to oscillate in the range of 92,000-94,500. If it falls below 92,000, it may seek support at 90,500.
• Key Levels:
o Support: 92,000 (4-hour EMA30 + Fibonacci retracement level)
o Resistance: 94,500 (previous high + psychological level)
2. Trading Suggestions:
• Long Position: Buy lightly on a pullback to 92,000-92,500, add position at 91,000, target 93,500-94,000, stop-loss at 90,800.
• Short Position: Short on a rebound to 94,300-94,500, stop-loss at 95,000, target 93,000-92,500.
Motto: Don't chase highs! If it falls below 92,000, exit first, wait for stabilization to buy the dip!
________________________________________
2. Ethereum (ETH)
Trend Analysis:
o Support: 1,720 (4-hour MA30)
o Resistance: 1,850 (daily previous high)
• If Bitcoin is stable, Ethereum will rise, but it is weaker than BTC and its pattern is hard to change. It rises slowly and falls quickly, don’t get overconfident!
Trading Suggestions:
• Long Position: Lightly buy on the dip at 1,720-1,750, add position at 1,700, target 1,780-1,800, stop-loss at 1,690.
• Short Position: Short on a rebound to 1,820-1,840, stop-loss at 1,850, target 1,760-1,740.
Reminder: Ethereum has been drained by Bitcoin recently, take partial profits when up 5%-8%!
________________________________________
3. Opportunities in Other Major Coins
1. Solana (SOL):
• Moves with Bitcoin but is more volatile, support at $145, resistance at $155-160. Strategy: Buy near 145, target 155, stop-loss below 142.
2. BNB (Binance Coin):
• Consolidating in the range of 610-620, break above 625 can chase long, otherwise pullback to 600. Strategy: Buy near 615, target 630, exit below 605.
3. SUI, Meme Coins:
• SUI surged but has price divergence, may pull back to $1.60-1.65 during the day, don’t chase highs! Meme coins (like FARTCOIN) should only use 5% of your position, sell at a 10% gain.
4. Summary:
• Bitcoin is expected to oscillate between 92,000-94,500 during the day, Ethereum follows but don’t be overly confident!
• Altcoins (SUI, Meme) are prone to pullbacks after surges, take profits and don’t be greedy!
• Remember the motto: “No trading during consolidation, exit when support breaks, short decisively at resistance”!
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Bring some good luck from Europe 😁😁😁

#加密市场反弹
1. Solana (SOL):
• Linked to BTC but more volatile, support at $145, resistance at $155-160, if BTC stabilizes, it may challenge previous highs.
• Strategy: Buy near $145, target $155, stop loss if it breaks below $142.
2. BNB (Binance Coin):
• After breaking $615, there is a divergence in volume and price, may fluctuate between $610-625 during the night, break above $625 can pursue long positions, otherwise retrace to $600.
• Strategy: Buy near $610, target $625, stop loss if it breaks below $605.
3. SUI, Meme Coins:
• SUI surged 18% during the day, but the volume is insufficient, may retrace to $1.55-1.60 at night, do not chase highs.
• Meme coins (like FARTCOIN) are highly volatile, only play with 5% position, sell in batches when up 10%!

Night-time Risks and Reminders

• 2:00 AM Federal Reserve speech: If it releases a signal of "delayed interest rate cuts," it may crash the crypto market.
• U.S. stock market opening: If Nasdaq continues to fall, be cautious of high leverage positions being liquidated.
$BNB
$SOL

78528631671
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Trend Prediction:
1. Technical Analysis:
• During the day, BTC hit 94,800 and then retraced. The 4-hour chart shows a MACD divergence + RSI (76) indicating overbought conditions, suggesting significant short-term pullback pressure, with a potential retest of the 92,000-93,000 range at night.
• Key Levels:
o Support: 92,000 (4-hour EMA30) → A break could lead to 90,500 (Daily MA7).
o Resistance: 94,500-95,000 (previous highs + psychological level) → A breakout could push towards 96,000.
• Volume Signal: Although prices rose during the day, trading volume shrank, cautioning against the risk of a sell-off following a “volume-less rally.”
2. News Analysis:
• Trump’s policy easing (tariffs, Federal Reserve stance) stimulates the market, but if U.S. stocks pull back in the early morning, BTC may also decline.
• If the Federal Reserve speaks in the early morning and signals a “delay in rate cuts,” it could trigger panic selling.
Trading Recommendations:
• Long Position: Enter lightly on a pullback to 92,000-92,500, add to positions at 91,000, targeting 93,500-94,000, with a stop loss below 90,800.
• Short Position: Short on a rebound to 94,300-94,500, with a stop loss at 95,000, targeting 93,000-92,500.
Tip: Don’t chase the rise! Wait for a pullback to buy; if it breaks below 90,800, exit immediately!
________________________________________
2. Ethereum (ETH)
Trend Prediction:
1. Technical Analysis:
• ETH retraced after rallying to 1,810, with the 4-hour Bollinger Bands upper band under pressure, possibly pulling back to the 1,750-1,780 range at night.
• Key Levels:
o Support: 1,750 (4-hour MA30) → A break could lead to 1,720 (intraday low).
o Resistance: 1,850-1,880 (previous daily highs + Fibonacci extension levels).
2. Correlation:
• If BTC holds above 93,000, ETH might follow to 1,850, but the weaker pattern compared to BTC is unlikely to change, so be cautious of “slow to rise but fast to fall.”
Trading Recommendations:
• Long Position: Lightly accumulate at 1,750-1,780, add to positions at 1,720, targeting 1,820-1,850, with a stop loss below 1,700.
• Short Position: Short on a rebound to 1,840-1,850, with a stop loss at 1,880, targeting 1,780-1,750.
Reminder: Recently, the market has been rising with ETH but not falling, if you make a profit, don’t be greedy!

#加密市场反弹
ETH
• Key Levels：
o Support：$1,720-$1,740 (4-hour Bollinger Band middle line)
o Resistance：$1,800-$1,830 (daily MA60 + previous high)
• Forecast：During the day, it may follow up to around $1,800, but if BTC pulls back, ETH may fall harder, focus on whether $1,720 can hold.
• Long Position：Lightly accumulate at $1,720-$1,740, add to position at $1,700, target $1,780-$1,800, stop loss below $1,690.
• Short Position：Try shorting on the rebound to $1,800-$1,820, stop loss at $1,850, target $1,750-$1,730.
Reminder：ETH has been too weak recently, take profits quickly and don’t get attached.
Other Major Coins
• SOL：Moves with BTC but with greater volatility, support at $138, resistance at $145-$150, if it holds above $145, it may challenge the previous high. Buy near $138, target $145, stop loss if it falls below $135;
• BNB：Stuck in the $600-$615 range, only breaking above $615 will open up space, otherwise, it will continue to grind. Buy near $600, target $615, stop loss if it falls below $595;
• Meme Coins：FARTCOIN, TRUMP and other speculative coins may still swing, but be cautious of the main force raising prices to sell off, enter and exit quickly without getting too positioned. Only play with 10% of your capital, take partial profits at 10% gains, don’t be greedy!
$ETH
$BNB
$SOL

#特朗普施压鲍威尔
Analysis of Last Night's Surge
1. Policy Panic + Institutional Buying
Last night, Bitcoin suddenly surged to $94,000. The direct cause was the Trump administration's frantic output regarding the Federal Reserve, stating that Powell "can't manage inflation and is dragging down the economy," even hinting at intervention in monetary policy. This political maneuvering undermined the dollar's credibility, leading to gold and Bitcoin being used as safe-haven assets, with gold reaching a new high of $3,500, and Bitcoin jumping 8%. Additionally, the Japanese listed company Metaplanet bought 330 BTC (worth $28 million), and the U.S. Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $380 million in a single day, igniting the market with institutional buying.
2. Technical Breakthrough + Short Squeeze
During the day, Bitcoin broke through the key resistance of $89,000, triggering a massive short liquidation (with $618 million liquidated across the network in 24 hours), especially a large order of $4.32 million in the ETH/USDT trading pair was liquidated, accelerating the rise. On the technical front, the weekly chart broke out of the "cup and handle" pattern, and trading volume reached the levels seen during the 2021 bull market, indicating that the main players are clearly active.
3. Altcoin Recovery Expectations
Although Bitcoin's market dominance is severe (64.5%, a historical high), funds are starting to flow into mainstream coins like SOL and ETH, with SOL rising 9%, ETH rising 11%, and even Dogecoin rising 12%, indicating that market sentiment has shifted from panic to greed.
• Key Levels:
o Support: $92,500 - $93,000 (4-hour EMA30 + previous high breakout level)
o Resistance: $94,000 - $95,000 (historical high + psychological level)
• Prediction:
After a spike and pullback in the early morning, it is very likely that during the day, prices will fluctuate between $92,500 - $94,500. If it holds above $93,000, it may challenge $95,000, but be wary of potential pullbacks after the U.S. stock market opens.
• Long Position: Lightly buy on a pullback to $92,500 - $93,000, add to positions at $91,800, target $94,000 - $94,500, and set a stop-loss below $91,500.
• Short Position: Try shorting on a rebound to $94,300 - $94,500, with a stop-loss at $95,000, targeting $93,000 - $92,500.
Motto: Don't chase the price! Wait for a pullback to buy, if it drops below $91,500, exit immediately!
$BTC

#特朗普施压鲍威尔
#美股下挫
I. Other Mainstream Coin Opportunities
1. BNB：
• Stuck in the range of $590-$610, with no breakthrough momentum in the short term. It is recommended to operate within this range:
o Long Position: Enter around 595, target 610, stop loss below 590.
o Short Position: Try shorting near 610, stop loss at 615, target 600-595.
2. Solana：
• Moves in tandem with BTC but with greater volatility, support at $138, and resistance at $145.
• Strategy: Light long positions around 138, target 145, stop loss if it falls below 135; try shorting on a bounce to 145.
3. XRP：
• Sideways in the range of $2.08-$2.10, break above $2.15 to chase long, stop loss if it falls below $2.06, suitable for conservative players.
________________________________________
II. Nighttime Risks and Reminders
1. Macroeconomic Events:
• 21:00 Federal Reserve official speaks: If hawkish signals are released (such as delaying rate cuts), it may suppress coin prices.
• Early morning U.S. stock market opens: If Nasdaq plummets, it may trigger a wave of liquidations in the crypto market.
Final Notes:
• Bitcoin is moving sideways, altcoins are weak; don’t expect violent upward movements, high sell and low buy is the way to go!
• Altcoins are flying around, but don’t be envious; playing with small positions is fine, just be careful of sudden drops in the early morning!
• Remember the mantra: "Sideways during the day, shake three times at night, make sure to have enough stop loss and don’t let go!"
$BNB
$SOL
$XRP