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阿根战记
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Continue the wave, let's see who can't hold on!
The cryptocurrency market continues to drop, let's see who dares to catch the bottom.
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阿根战记
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回调在路上,回调若能在9.8万美元稳住可能延续涨势;若跌破9.8万,短期或下探8.9-9万美元。 行情谨慎乐观,短期避免追高,长期逢低布局。
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三大数据看:减半大牛市真的来了吗,获利了结OR继续持有?
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一文看懂影响涨跌的那些数据指标(一):美联储利率、CPI/PCE、非农数据
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5月“多空对决”指南:继续反弹OR转头下跌?
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5月8日(本周四)2:00美联储利率决议公布,可能会有10,000美元的跌幅! 此前说过反弹之后,BTC如果长时间高位震荡,可能会是短线建仓的主力温和出货的情况,目前比特币高位连续震荡14天,而且已经去摸了此前说的96,000-98,000美元区间,但并没有突破站稳,那么这次突破骗炮的可能性就更大。 从技术看,日K线形态有头肩顶结构,周线形态黄昏之星形态初露;但从整体市场看,当前链上数据显示活跃地址减少,交易所净流出BTC,反映投资者偏向持币观望,等待政策明朗化。 虽然此次会议保持利率不变是大概率事件,但以现在的情况与市场情绪,但凡鲍威尔没有在后续发布会上明确放鸽,市场都可能是大跌相迎,而如此长时间的高位震荡,下跌的幅度可能会是10,000美元起步,并在85,000美元形成第一道防线,在80,000美元形成第二道防线。 当然如果放鸽,那么先涨再跌可能性更大,因为现在的轿子已经比较沉,散户交出筹码的程度不够,三轮减半行情后BTC的共识度太强,没有折磨人的行情,就没有带血筹码。 其他币种即使想表现,目前也需要看BTC脸色,明天ETH就要升级,现在价格却表现平平,有不止一个大户明确表态放弃ETH,虽然这种时候有人看到的是机会,但是即使后续ETH继续公链之王的路,后续也需要时间来修复社区要崩掉的信心。
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