Is the Fed on the brink of emergency measures? All eyes on the MOVE index! 🔥📉
On April 8, the MOVE Index, a volatility index for the bond market, surged to 137.3 — this is almost a crisis intervention level! 😳
If it breaks the 140 mark, the Fed may urgently start easing policy, despite high inflation.
📌 What is MOVE?
It's like the VIX, but for U.S. Treasury bonds. It shows how nervous the debt market is. Right now — it’s almost in panic mode.
📈 In 2 weeks, MOVE has risen from ~91 to 137
🟢 13 out of 14 sessions — uptrend without pullbacks
📊 RSI is not overbought — growth potential remains
⚠️ If it stays above 140 for two days — a cascade of events may occur:
— ETF rupture
— Spread widening
— Flight from treasuries
— Fed intervention via QE, repo, and liquidity
💬 While Jerome Powell holds back the pressure, the market is already whispering: 'time is almost up...'
We are watching the 140 mark — this could be the start of a new phase for the markets.