Arthur Hayes warns: the crypto market is under threat! ⚠️💥
January 20, 2025, the day of Donald Trump's inauguration, could be a nightmare for cryptocurrencies, according to former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes. He predicts a massive sell-off that could shake the market. 😱📉
Why is that? Arthur is confident that political instability and economic uncertainty could seriously damage investor confidence. In addition, he doubts the idea of a national Bitcoin reserve, calling it a "difficult task." 🏦❌
But what does this mean for us?
1️⃣ Prepare for volatility. 📊 2️⃣ Think through your strategies. 🤔 3️⃣ Remember that panic is not a trader's friend! 💡
Could this be another opportunity for smart investors? 🤷♂️ As always, time will tell.
What do you think of Hayes' predictions? Share your opinion in the comments! 💬👇
Salute to the Cryptians! 🤝 Have you ever tried P2P for cryptocurrency trades? It is a fast and convenient way to exchange bitcoins without intermediaries. But, as in any business, it is important to be careful. Today I will tell you how to use P2P so that you do not worry about your funds and sleep peacefully 😌.
Sberbank has issued bonds worth 500 million rubles, the income of which depends on the Bitcoin exchange rate. Yes, that's right — the yield is directly tied to BTC, but everything is structured strictly according to the rules, in rubles and without cryptocurrency wallets.
• How does it work? If Bitcoin rises, the income from the bonds rises as well. If the dollar also appreciates against the ruble — it's a double bonus.
• For whom? For now, only for qualified investors, but the bank is already aiming for a listing on the Moscow Exchange.
• Why is this needed in the market? This is a way to provide access to the crypto market for those who are not ready to take on the risks of direct ownership of tokens.
🔍 Interesting Fact: This is the first product with BTC-linked income in Russia after the strict restrictions imposed by the Central Bank on direct cryptocurrency ownership in 2025.
❓ Would you invest in Bitcoin-linked bonds?
Most likely, this will not significantly influence the price of BTC — the volume is small, but the mere fact of launching such securities could be an important precedent for the legalization of crypto products in traditional finance. A neutral-positive signal.
The Impact of the GENIUS Act on the Stablecoin Market
U.S. President Donald Trump welcomes the Senate's approval of the GENIUS Act and urges the House of Representatives to pass it "clean" and swiftly — on his desk, without delays or amendments. ⚡️
• What is it? The GENIUS Act is a framework law for the regulatory basis for stablecoins, introducing mandatory reserves and monthly transparent reporting.
• Why is it important? Stablecoins (e.g., USDC and USDT) are the foundational infrastructure for crypto transactions and even traditional payments.
• Market Reaction:
– Circle (USDC) — CRCL shares jumped nearly +34% immediately after the news.
– Bitcoin didn’t lag behind: about –0.4%, but remains around $104,000.
🔍 Historical Fact: Similar regulatory measures were introduced after the Terra and UST scandals in 2022 — at that time, the markets for unstable coins collapsed. It will be interesting to see if the GENIUS Act has a similarly strong effect.
❓ Do you understand the reserve and reporting system for stablecoins?
This move by Trump may instill confidence and legitimacy in the market, especially for USDC and USDT — the approval of the law could give a boost to the stablecoin sector.
🔴 Iran has severely restricted the operation of cryptocurrency exchanges after the high-profile hack of Nobitex — the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the country. Authorities have imposed a restriction: trading can now only occur from 10:00 AM to 8:00 PM. This has directly impacted the cryptocurrency market in Iran.
— What happened? • On June 18, hackers from the group Predatory Sparrow hacked Nobitex. • About $90 million was lost — and all funds were burned on non-recoverable addresses. • Messages on the blockchain included accusations against the Iranian regime and support for the protesters.
— What did the authorities do? • The central bank restricted the operating hours of cryptocurrency exchanges. • The measure is allegedly "to enhance control and security." • But in fact — it reduces trading time and increases pressure on the market.
— Impact on the cryptocurrency market: • 🔻 Trader activity in Iran will sharply decline. • 💰 Possible capital outflow to decentralized platforms. • 📉 Less liquidity — higher spreads, worse conditions.
📌 Similar measures have been implemented before — in 2022, Iran limited mining due to an energy crisis. This time, the reasons were cyberattacks and political pressure.
From May 27, the largest cryptocurrency exchange Binance will stop supporting transactions in Uzbek soms (UZS) on its P2P platform. The reason is regulatory pressure from the National Agency for Prospective Projects of Uzbekistan (NAPP).
Here’s what is known:
— The agency has tightened control over cryptocurrency operations within the country
— Binance officially stated that it operates within local requirements
— The platform will remain accessible, but without the ability to transact in soms
📌 For reference: this is not the first instance of pressure on Binance in the region. Previously, the platform faced restrictions in Kazakhstan and Turkey. It is likely that a phase of strict crypto regulation has begun in Uzbekistan, and this is just the beginning.
The impact on the cryptocurrency market as a whole is minimal — but for local traders from Uzbekistan, this is a significant blow to liquidity.
What is risk management in trading — and how does it really help you earn
Many think that trading is guessing where the market will go. In fact, it is not. Professional traders do not guess. They work with probabilities and manage risks. This is why even with 50–60% losing trades, they remain in profit. How? Let's figure it out. 🧠 What is risk management in simple words?
False breakout of the level: 2 reliable ways to recognize the deception
When the price 'breaks' a level — it’s not always a real movement. Often, it’s a trap set by the market. Below are two scenarios that will help you recognize a false breakout in time and avoid the trap.
🔹 Method 1: Classic false breakout with two candles
📘 Breakout of a level — how to understand that this is not a false signal? A simple explanation
If you look at the chart and see that the price "broke the level" — it can be a powerful moment. But it's important to understand what exactly it broke and why it matters. Let's break it down as simply as possible.
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🧱 What is a level? A level is a place on the chart where: — The price often used to stop or reverse earlier
What are futures — a simple guide for those who want to understand
Did you hear the word 'futures' and think it’s something complicated? In fact, it’s simpler than it seems. Let’s figure out together: what it is, why it’s needed, and how it’s used in crypto.
📌 What are futures (in simple terms)? A future is a contract to buy or sell something in the future at a predetermined price.
🟢 Florida wants to abolish the capital gains tax from $BTC — the state is ready to become the crypto mecca of the USA
— A bill to abolish the capital gains tax on bitcoins has been introduced in the Florida Senate.
— The author is Senator Keith Perry. His goal is to make Florida the most attractive state for hodlers and crypto businesses.
💬 Perry explains:
• Selling and exchanging BTC is currently subject to capital gains tax
• The new law will remove this barrier, simplifying life for investors
• This will attract tech companies and capital, creating jobs
• Florida is already among the top states in crypto-friendliness:
— No income tax
— There is a FinTech Sandbox
— You can pay state fees in crypto
📉 At the same time, the idea of a BTC reserve has been put on hold for now. But abolishing the tax could be a much more powerful step for increasing adoption and attracting capital.
Historical fact: Wyoming was the first to recognize crypto as a "legitimate form of property." Now Florida wants to go further — and eliminate taxes altogether.
Subscribe — we will show where to hold $BTC most profitably 🟢
Guide: how to trade a pin bar — simple, clear, with nuances
If you are just starting to study candlestick analysis, the pin bar is one of the simplest and most reliable patterns. It often shows a trend reversal or pullback, especially at strong levels. We explain everything step by step 👇
🕯 What is a pin bar?
A pin bar is a candle that shows:
the market first went in one direction, but then sharply reversed back.
🔴 Coinbase is back in court — investors accuse the exchange of data concealment and leaks
— A class action lawsuit has been filed against Coinbase (COIN) — shareholders accuse the exchange of causing them financial losses due to user data leaks and a concealed conflict with the UK regulator (FCA) 📉
— It is claimed that the incident involving bribery of support staff led to data leaks and a 7.2% drop in the stock price (to $244)
— Later, the shares bounced back to $266, but over the last week, they fell again to $263 (-3.2%)
📎 Interesting:
— Coinbase has already received 7 lawsuits just this month
— Potential compensations could reach $400 million
— The FCA had previously fined the exchange in the UK $4.5 million for working with 'high-risk clients'
— The initiator of the lawsuit claims: Coinbase has been hiding risks and misleading investors since its IPO in 2021
📉 Market impact — locally negative for centralized exchanges, especially given the growing interest in DEX against the backdrop of the Hyperliquid story.
Historical fact: in 2021, Coinbase became the first publicly traded cryptocurrency exchange in the US. Now — one of the most sought after.
Subscribe — and keep your finger on the pulse not only of the rates but also of the lawsuits 🔴
🟡 Trump: "Enough T-shirts — we are making tanks and chips"
— Donald Trump clarified his tariff policy: the focus is not on clothing, but on high technology and defense.
— The goal is to develop domestic production of chips, computers, AI, and military equipment:
"We don't want to make socks. We want to make tanks, ships, and artificial intelligence"
— Clothing is not a priority. The States want to be a technological and military center, not a textile factory.
📈 Impact on the crypto market: currently neutral, but an increase in investments in technology and AI may strengthen interest in Web3 infrastructure and mining, especially against the backdrop of recent energy subsidies (hello, miners).
Historical fact: in 2018, Trump already tried to bring production back to the USA using tariffs. Now the stakes are much more aggressive — especially in the AI and military segment.
Subscribe — we will figure out where the crypto is and where the tanks are 🟡
🟡 The US Treasury is preparing a wave of trade deals — the EU under pressure, Asia on the rise
— US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated: "A multitude of trade agreements will be announced in the coming weeks."
— This concerns new deals with Asian countries — negotiations with India have progressed particularly well.
— All of this comes against the backdrop of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs, announced by Trump on April 2. The deadline is until July 1.
⚠️ Meanwhile, the EU is not in favor:
• Trump has already threatened to impose 50% tariffs starting June 1
• Bessent criticized the EU's inability to negotiate collectively
• According to him: "Asia is behaving sincerely, the EU is not"
📉 Potential impact on the crypto market: moderate. Reduced tension with Asia = positive for global markets, including crypto. However, escalation with the EU could strengthen the dollar and cause a liquidity outflow from risk assets.
Historical fact: in 2018-2019, similar trade wars exacerbated crypto volatility. During this period, Bitcoin repeatedly became a "safe haven asset" for some investors.
🟢 Pakistan launches state-level mining — 2000 megawatts for $BTC and AI
— The Ministry of Finance of Pakistan announced: the country allocates 2000 MW of excess electricity for bitcoin mining and artificial intelligence-based data centers ⚡🤖
— This is part of the national program for the development of digital infrastructure — a focus on energy, technology, and decentralization
What this means:
— Mining is no longer in basements — but at the state level
— Instead of outages — profitable use of surplus energy
— Potential for attracting investments and creating jobs
📈 Market impact: positive. The development of legal mining strengthens the fundamental security of the $BTC network and reduces regulatory fears.
Historical fact: in 2021 Pakistan banned mining. And now — is building data centers for it. Even states are making a 180° turn in crypto 🔁
Subscribe — and don't miss where the new "mining Mecca" will be tomorrow 🟢
🔴 The dark side of crypto: an investor was arrested in New York for kidnapping in exchange for a $BTC wallet password
— A crypto investor has been arrested in New York, accused of kidnapping and torturing a citizen of Italy. The goal was to extort the password to a bitcoin wallet.
— According to the prosecutor's office:
• the victim was held for several weeks
• beaten, electrocuted, threatened with death
• the victim managed to escape and contact the police
📉 The reputational consequences for the crypto market are toxic: such cases fuel the rhetoric about the "wild west" in digital assets and may increase pressure from regulators.
Historical fact: crypto has been the cause of violent crimes before — in 2017 in Ukraine, an EXMO analyst was kidnapped, and in 2020 in the Netherlands, the owner of a hardware wallet was tortured.
Security ≠ just a seed phrase. Subscribe — we will tell you how to protect yourself both online and in real life 🔴
🟢 James Wynn — winner of DEX casino: $25 million profit and a new long at $75M
— The largest on-chain long in history is complete: whale James Wynn closed his trading cycle on Hyperliquid, earning $25 million net.
— Started with $3–4 million. At the peak, held $1 billion in a long position on BTC. Yes, one billion on DEX.
— And all this — without "Sell in May and go away". On the contrary: he sold at the highs and…
— Went short. Then back to long. Then short again. Then... well, you got it. Result: -$15 million at this stage. But still in profit 🧠
📉 Last cycle:
• before Trump's tariff announcement — +$18M
• after — a loss, but the price of BTC dropped only by ~$1000, despite his unloading
• now — new long at $75 million "for fun"
🔥 What this means:
— Hyperliquid (DEX) handled all this over the weekend — no panic, crashes or FTX-style
— HYPE — the platform's token, already testing $40 and aiming for a spot in the top-10, pushing $SUI aside
— After the insider scandal — the exchange received an image bounce
Historical fact: Wynn is not a pseudonym, but a reference to the legendary casino chain. And yes, he wrote himself: "I leave as a winner. Well, almost".
Subscribe — and keep your stops tighter than the whales keep their longs 🟢
🔴 Arrest of former head of Binance Russia: Vladimir Smerkis detained in fraud case
— Vladimir Smerkis, the former head of Binance in Russia, has been arrested in Moscow. The charge is large-scale fraud 🧑⚖️ — The court granted the investigation's request, and Smerkis was taken into custody — He also left his position as marketing director and co-founder of the Blum project, as announced by the team
💬 Blum — a crypto game in the spirit of Hamster Kombat, where players 'collected snowflakes' for a future coin. A listing was promised, but it never happened.
Context: • Smerkis led Binance Russia until September 2023, before its closure • After that, he launched Blum with Gleb Kostarev (also a former Binance employee) • The project was suspected of delays and lack of transparency
📉 Impact on the market — local, but negative: another reason for pressure on the crypto sphere in the CIS and increased scrutiny of projects with a 'gaming' focus
Historical fact: Binance officially exited the Russian market in autumn 2023, selling the business to an unknown entity. This exit now appears increasingly ambiguous.
Subscribe — we will figure out where the game is and where it has already crossed into criminality 🔴 #bitcoin #crypto #Binance #Blum #$BTC $ETH