Arthur Hayes warns: the crypto market is under threat! ⚠️💥
January 20, 2025, the day of Donald Trump's inauguration, could be a nightmare for cryptocurrencies, according to former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes. He predicts a massive sell-off that could shake the market. 😱📉
Why is that? Arthur is confident that political instability and economic uncertainty could seriously damage investor confidence. In addition, he doubts the idea of a national Bitcoin reserve, calling it a "difficult task." 🏦❌
But what does this mean for us?
1️⃣ Prepare for volatility. 📊 2️⃣ Think through your strategies. 🤔 3️⃣ Remember that panic is not a trader's friend! 💡
Could this be another opportunity for smart investors? 🤷♂️ As always, time will tell.
What do you think of Hayes' predictions? Share your opinion in the comments! 💬👇
Salute to the Cryptians! 🤝 Have you ever tried P2P for cryptocurrency trades? It is a fast and convenient way to exchange bitcoins without intermediaries. But, as in any business, it is important to be careful. Today I will tell you how to use P2P so that you do not worry about your funds and sleep peacefully 😌.
🔴 Global recession in 2025? Economists raise the alarm 📉
— 60% of economists from 50 countries around the world consider the risk of a global recession in 2025 to be high, according to a recent Reuters survey.
📉 What is happening: — The forecast for global economic growth has been revised down from 3% to 2.7% — The IMF has downgraded its estimate to 2.8% — 28 out of 48 countries have revised their expectations downwards — The impact of the US-China trade wars is viewed particularly negatively
💬 Experts warn:
"Even if tariffs are lifted today — the damage to trust and trade has already been done," says Timothy Graf from State Street.
⚡ Main risk factors: — Trade war → stagflation (simultaneous rise in inflation and decline in the economy) — Central banks acknowledge: the inflation targets for 2025 will not be achieved — Investors are advised: "buckle up" — turbulence lies ahead
🟢 MetaMask launches payment crypto card — a revolution without fiat 🚀
— MetaMask, together with CompoSecure and Baanx, supported by Mastercard, is launching the MetaMask payment card! The global debut is expected in the 2nd quarter of 2025.
💳 What makes this card special: — Payments directly from the MetaMask wallet — no conversion to fiat
— Smart contract authorization — transactions in less than 5 seconds
— Support for Linea, Bitcoin, and Solana networks
— Metal card — stylish and reliable
📈 Why this matters: — Crypto is moving from "investments" to real everyday transactions
— Intermediaries and delays are eliminated — just tap and pay
— This is a significant step towards true neobanking
💬 MetaMask Team:
"This is not just a crypto card. It’s a paradigm shift."
🟢 Subscribe — let’s watch how crypto changes the payment habit
🔴 In Russia, they want to imprison dropouts for 6 years — amendments are on the way
— The Government of the Russian Federation has prepared a bill introducing criminal liability for dropouts — those who transfer their bank cards or digital wallets to fraudsters.
📋 What is being proposed: — Up to 6 years of imprisonment — A fine of up to 1 million rubles
The amendments affect Article 187 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation — "Illegal Circulation of Payment Instruments". The government commission is already considering the initiative for submission to the State Duma.
💬 Why is this necessary: — The activities of dropouts disguise stolen funds, hindering investigations — Criminal punishment should reduce the number of people willing to participate in money schemes
📍 Background: — In March, the head of the Central Bank, Nabiullina, spoke about potential restrictions on the number of bank cards per person — to further complicate the lives of fraudsters.
🟢 Tether printed $23 billion in two months: record growth of USDT
From the beginning of March to the end of April 2025, Tether issued approximately $23 billion in new USDT, increasing the total supply from about $123 billion to $146 billion. This is the fastest issuance rate in the history of the stablecoin. (10 Months With Tether: USDT Supply Swells to $123 Billion ...)
📈 Key facts:
In March, Tether printed $1 billion USDT on the Tron network.
By April 25, the total supply reached $146 billion.
Since the beginning of 2025, $10 billion USDT has been issued on Tron. (Tether And Circle Increase Stablecoin Supply In 2025 - Binance, Tether Mints $10 Billion USDT on TRON in 2025 - The Crypto Times)
💡 What this means for the market:
The increase in USDT supply may indicate a heightened demand for liquidity in the cryptocurrency sector.
The increase in issuance may affect trading volumes and the volatility of cryptocurrencies.
📊 Current USDT metrics:
Market capitalization: $147.3 billion.
24-hour trading volume: $48.8 billion.
Circulating supply: 147.2 billion USDT. (Tether USDt Price | USDT to USD Converter, Chart and News)
Subscribe to us to stay updated on the latest news in the crypto world! 🟢
🔴 Saudi Aramco, "Gazprom" and other giants have caused $28 trillion in climate damage
— The largest global companies, including Saudi Aramco, "Gazprom", ExxonMobil, and other oil and gas producers, have inflicted $28 trillion in climate damage to the planet, according to new estimates from researchers.
📉 What’s the gist: — The primary damage is associated with carbon emissions and their contribution to climate change — Consequences: extreme weather events, destruction of ecosystems, damage to agriculture and the economy — These amounts account for long-term costs to global GDP, human health, and natural resources
📊 Who tops the damage list: • Saudi Aramco • Gazprom • ExxonMobil • Chevron • Shell
🌎 Why this matters: — The $28 trillion damage = more than the combined GDP of the USA and China in 2024 — Recovery costs are rising, while emissions regulation is still lagging significantly
🟢 ARK Invest predicts: Bitcoin could be worth between $500K and $2.4M by 2030 💥
— ARK Invest analysts have updated their Bitcoin forecast for 2030, and... the numbers are impressive:
📊 Scenarios: • Bearish: $500,000 • Base: $1.2 million • Bullish: $2.4 million
And this is not a joke — the current price is $93,371, which means that even in the most pessimistic scenario — a 5-fold increase over 5 years.
💬 Why the forecasts have become even more optimistic: — More institutional investors, — Fewer Bitcoins in circulation (due to lost keys), — Increase in money supply, — And a growing interest in BTC as a scarce asset
🔍 ARK used an experimental method that only considers available Bitcoins (excluding lost ones), which makes the outlook even more bullish.
🟢 Ljubljana — the capital of crypto: the most crypto-friendly city in the world in 2025 🌍💸
Surprise? Maybe. But it is Ljubljana (Slovenia) that took 1st place in the ranking of the most crypto-friendly cities in the world, surpassing even Hong Kong and Zurich, according to the Multipolitan Crypto-Friendly Cities Index 2025.
🏆 Why Ljubljana is on top: — Transparent and clear regulation — Tax incentives for crypto companies — Developed digital infrastructure — Widespread retail acceptance: cafes, shops, and even crypto ATMs on every corner
📍 In Europe — this is a unique case where the city is practically implementing Web3, not just talking about it at forums.
📈 For crypto companies and digital nomads — a signal: blockchain gravity is shifting to Eastern Europe.
🟡 Trade wars undermine the influence of American banks on the global stage 🌍💸
— The global dominance of US banks is at risk. According to WSJ, prolonged trade conflicts initiated by the Trump administration may lead to a loss of clients and a shift towards banks outside the US.
📉 Despite a $130 billion surplus in global trade in financial services,
— The largest US banks — JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citi — may lose their positions.
💬 Jamie Dimon (JPMorgan):
"Clients and countries are starting to look at us differently because of politics. This is a risk we will have to reckon with."
📊 Context:
— In 2024, 5 out of 5 leaders in investment banking are American banks
— But now — threats of diversification:
• JPMorgan has daily transactions in 160 countries
• Bank of America has a +14% growth in foreign loans
• Citigroup — so far without losses, but with high caution
📌 Essence: politics affects even those who control trillions.
And this opens a window of opportunity for non-American banks and crypto-finance.
🟡 Subscribe — we will tell you who is challenging the old financial guard
🔴 19 American families became richer by $1 trillion — more than the GDP of Switzerland 💰
— In 2024, the wealth of the 19 richest families in the USA increased by $1 trillion, surpassing the entire GDP of Switzerland. This is a record annual increase in wealth for all time, reports WSJ, citing a study by economist Gabriel Zuckman.
📊 The numbers speak for themselves: • Total wealth — $2.6 trillion (1.8% of all wealth in the USA) • In 1982, there were 11 such families, and they owned only 0.1% • In 2024, there are already 2000 billionaires in the USA — +45% over 3 years
🚀 Reason for growth: — The stock market has had the two best years in the last 25 years — The assets of the super-rich are over 90% tied to stocks — But: high volatility = billions can disappear in a day
💬 Among the names: Musk, Bezos, Zuckerberg, Gates, Buffett, and Schwarzman — symbols of a new era of capital concentration.
⚖️ Questions to the system: — The top 1% owns 34.8% of the wealth in the USA — The bottom half of the population owns only 3% — Zuckman's research has already formed the basis for the ideas of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren about taxes on the super-rich
🔴 Lazarus is back in action — fake companies, fake interviews, real thefts
— The North Korean hacker group Lazarus has created 3 fake companies, two of which are registered in the USA. The goal is to attack the crypto market from within.
📉 How the scheme works: • Fake startups are created, • AI-generated "employees" are used, • Crypto developers are invited to "interviews," • During the communication — malware is injected • Next — theft of private keys and access to wallets
💰 Since 2017, Lazarus has stolen over $3 billion in cryptocurrencies. These schemes are their signature style.
👾 Developers, be cautious: — Do not download files from unknown companies — Check websites and names — especially if an "HR" with an .ai avatar contacts you — Use isolated devices to store seed phrases
🟢 The amount of Bitcoin on exchanges is decreasing — reserves have fallen to the lowest level since 2018
— According to Fidelity Digital Assets, the number of Bitcoins on exchanges has dropped to 2.6 million BTC — the lowest level since November 2018.
💼 Why this matters: — Since November 2024, 425,000 BTC have left exchanges — This is a signal: traders → investors, coins are going into cold storage — Public companies are massively buying BTC — almost 350,000 BTC during the same period
📌 Who are the leaders? — Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) bought 81% of the total volume — 285,980 BTC — Japanese Metaplanet currently holds 5,000 BTC and wants to double it
🔍 Such a decrease in reserves often precedes a supply shortage and potential price increase — is the market preparing for movement?
🟢 The US Federal Reserve has lifted restrictions for banks on working with crypto — doors are open 🚪
— The Federal Reserve has officially canceled the requirements from 2022–2023, which stated that banks had to notify the regulator or obtain approval before starting to work with cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.
What has changed?
— Banks are no longer required to get the 'green light' from the Federal Reserve to enter the crypto market
— Supervisory letters and joint restrictions with other regulators have been canceled
— This opens the way for flexible and legal interaction between banks and crypto companies
📊 Why this is important: — The regulatory emergency brake that held back banks is being removed
— The influx of new institutional players is possible
— This is a strong signal: crypto is no longer an outcast, but part of the US financial system
🟢 Subscribe — we are watching how banks stop being afraid of blockchain
🟢 A competitor has emerged: Strategy: Twenty One Capital enters the game with 42,000 BTC
— The new company Twenty One Capital aims to become a bitcoin giant and has already received 42,000 BTC (worth ~$3.9 billion) from: • Tether, • SoftBank, • and Bitfinex.
📈 How the scheme works: — Partners are issued shares at $10, — They will issue 389 million papers, — Plus additional funding — another $585 million through bonds and stocks
If they invest everything — they will have 48,313 BTC, but they are still far from Strategy with its 538,200 BTC.
💡 But! The head of the company, Jack Mallers (founder of Strike) is betting not on volume, but on: — More bitcoins per share, — Faster growth dynamics (unlike Strategy's diluted model, where bond issuance reduces BTC/share)
🟢 The first Islamic bank with Bitcoin: ruya launches an investment platform for Sharia-compliant crypto
— The ruya bank from the UAE has become the first Islamic bank in the world to offer direct investments in Bitcoin and other virtual assets — directly through a mobile application.
— All of this is within the framework of Islamic law (Sharia), thanks to a partnership with Fuze, a licensed provider of crypto infrastructure.
📲 What this means: — Crypto investments are becoming part of everyday banking in the UAE
— The product is focused not on speculation, but on ethical and long-term investments
— Client support through consultation centers and call centers is already available
📈 Context: — The UAE accepted more than $30 billion in crypto assets in 2024, which is 42% more than the previous year — the region is actively emerging as a leader in digital finance in MENA
💬 CEO of ruya, Christoph Koster:
"We want to give people access to the digital economy without violating the principles of Islamic banking"
🟢 Subscribe — we are monitoring how crypto becomes halal
🟡 The USA denied Japan tariff concessions — negotiations continue
— Against the backdrop of escalating trade policy, the Trump administration stated:
Japan will not receive special treatment regarding tariffs on cars and steel.
🇯🇵 Japan's Minister of Economy, Ryosei Akazawa, tried to obtain the cancellation of the 25% tariff on cars and 24% on steel products but was denied. The USA insists: — "There will be no exceptions — conditions must be the same for everyone".
📆 The second round of negotiations is scheduled for May 1 in Washington, Akazawa's trip will take place from April 30 to May 2.
What does this mean for the global market? — Pressure on Japanese exports is increasing — Possible rise in trade tensions — This adds uncertainty to the stock and crypto markets
🟢 Where is cryptocurrency used the most? Top 10 countries for daily usage in 2024 🌍
According to Triple-A, in 2024, over 562 million people worldwide use cryptocurrency — that’s 6.8% of the global population. Here are the top 10 countries where crypto is already a part of everyday life:
India — 93.5 million users (6.55%)
Vietnam — 20.9 million (21.19%) — 🔝 by population share
USA — 52.9 million (15.56%) — leader in transaction volume
Brazil — 26 million (11.99%)
Philippines — 15.8 million (13.43%) — popular in cross-border remittances
Nigeria — 13.3 million (5.93%) — top in Africa
Pakistan — 15.9 million (6.6%) — especially among the youth
Indonesia — 12.2 million (4.40%)
Iran — 12 million (13.46%)
China — 59.1 million (4.15%) — despite the bans, activity remains
📊 Trends: — Growth center — Central and South Asia, Oceania — Crypto is replacing banks where traditional finance is inaccessible — Main reasons: inflation, instability, convenience
Ukraine launches tax reform for cryptocurrency — what changes from 2026
🟡 — A bill on the taxation of crypto assets is being prepared for consideration in the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. The document has already passed the tax committee, and if adopted, a full crypto-tax system will come into effect in the country starting January 1, 2026.