Arthur Hayes warns: the crypto market is under threat! ⚠️💥
January 20, 2025, the day of Donald Trump's inauguration, could be a nightmare for cryptocurrencies, according to former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes. He predicts a massive sell-off that could shake the market. 😱📉
Why is that? Arthur is confident that political instability and economic uncertainty could seriously damage investor confidence. In addition, he doubts the idea of a national Bitcoin reserve, calling it a "difficult task." 🏦❌
But what does this mean for us?
1️⃣ Prepare for volatility. 📊 2️⃣ Think through your strategies. 🤔 3️⃣ Remember that panic is not a trader's friend! 💡
Could this be another opportunity for smart investors? 🤷♂️ As always, time will tell.
What do you think of Hayes' predictions? Share your opinion in the comments! 💬👇
Salute to the Cryptians! 🤝 Have you ever tried P2P for cryptocurrency trades? It is a fast and convenient way to exchange bitcoins without intermediaries. But, as in any business, it is important to be careful. Today I will tell you how to use P2P so that you do not worry about your funds and sleep peacefully 😌.
From May 27, the largest cryptocurrency exchange Binance will stop supporting transactions in Uzbek soms (UZS) on its P2P platform. The reason is regulatory pressure from the National Agency for Prospective Projects of Uzbekistan (NAPP).
Here’s what is known:
— The agency has tightened control over cryptocurrency operations within the country
— Binance officially stated that it operates within local requirements
— The platform will remain accessible, but without the ability to transact in soms
📌 For reference: this is not the first instance of pressure on Binance in the region. Previously, the platform faced restrictions in Kazakhstan and Turkey. It is likely that a phase of strict crypto regulation has begun in Uzbekistan, and this is just the beginning.
The impact on the cryptocurrency market as a whole is minimal — but for local traders from Uzbekistan, this is a significant blow to liquidity.
What is risk management in trading — and how does it really help you earn
Many think that trading is guessing where the market will go. In fact, it is not. Professional traders do not guess. They work with probabilities and manage risks. This is why even with 50–60% losing trades, they remain in profit. How? Let's figure it out. 🧠 What is risk management in simple words?
False breakout of the level: 2 reliable ways to recognize the deception
When the price 'breaks' a level — it’s not always a real movement. Often, it’s a trap set by the market. Below are two scenarios that will help you recognize a false breakout in time and avoid the trap.
🔹 Method 1: Classic false breakout with two candles
📘 Breakout of a level — how to understand that this is not a false signal? A simple explanation
If you look at the chart and see that the price "broke the level" — it can be a powerful moment. But it's important to understand what exactly it broke and why it matters. Let's break it down as simply as possible.
---
🧱 What is a level? A level is a place on the chart where: — The price often used to stop or reverse earlier
What are futures — a simple guide for those who want to understand
Did you hear the word 'futures' and think it’s something complicated? In fact, it’s simpler than it seems. Let’s figure out together: what it is, why it’s needed, and how it’s used in crypto.
📌 What are futures (in simple terms)? A future is a contract to buy or sell something in the future at a predetermined price.
🟢 Florida wants to abolish the capital gains tax from $BTC — the state is ready to become the crypto mecca of the USA
— A bill to abolish the capital gains tax on bitcoins has been introduced in the Florida Senate.
— The author is Senator Keith Perry. His goal is to make Florida the most attractive state for hodlers and crypto businesses.
💬 Perry explains:
• Selling and exchanging BTC is currently subject to capital gains tax
• The new law will remove this barrier, simplifying life for investors
• This will attract tech companies and capital, creating jobs
• Florida is already among the top states in crypto-friendliness:
— No income tax
— There is a FinTech Sandbox
— You can pay state fees in crypto
📉 At the same time, the idea of a BTC reserve has been put on hold for now. But abolishing the tax could be a much more powerful step for increasing adoption and attracting capital.
Historical fact: Wyoming was the first to recognize crypto as a "legitimate form of property." Now Florida wants to go further — and eliminate taxes altogether.
Subscribe — we will show where to hold $BTC most profitably 🟢
Guide: how to trade a pin bar — simple, clear, with nuances
If you are just starting to study candlestick analysis, the pin bar is one of the simplest and most reliable patterns. It often shows a trend reversal or pullback, especially at strong levels. We explain everything step by step 👇
🕯 What is a pin bar?
A pin bar is a candle that shows:
the market first went in one direction, but then sharply reversed back.
🔴 Coinbase is back in court — investors accuse the exchange of data concealment and leaks
— A class action lawsuit has been filed against Coinbase (COIN) — shareholders accuse the exchange of causing them financial losses due to user data leaks and a concealed conflict with the UK regulator (FCA) 📉
— It is claimed that the incident involving bribery of support staff led to data leaks and a 7.2% drop in the stock price (to $244)
— Later, the shares bounced back to $266, but over the last week, they fell again to $263 (-3.2%)
📎 Interesting:
— Coinbase has already received 7 lawsuits just this month
— Potential compensations could reach $400 million
— The FCA had previously fined the exchange in the UK $4.5 million for working with 'high-risk clients'
— The initiator of the lawsuit claims: Coinbase has been hiding risks and misleading investors since its IPO in 2021
📉 Market impact — locally negative for centralized exchanges, especially given the growing interest in DEX against the backdrop of the Hyperliquid story.
Historical fact: in 2021, Coinbase became the first publicly traded cryptocurrency exchange in the US. Now — one of the most sought after.
Subscribe — and keep your finger on the pulse not only of the rates but also of the lawsuits 🔴
🟡 Trump: "Enough T-shirts — we are making tanks and chips"
— Donald Trump clarified his tariff policy: the focus is not on clothing, but on high technology and defense.
— The goal is to develop domestic production of chips, computers, AI, and military equipment:
"We don't want to make socks. We want to make tanks, ships, and artificial intelligence"
— Clothing is not a priority. The States want to be a technological and military center, not a textile factory.
📈 Impact on the crypto market: currently neutral, but an increase in investments in technology and AI may strengthen interest in Web3 infrastructure and mining, especially against the backdrop of recent energy subsidies (hello, miners).
Historical fact: in 2018, Trump already tried to bring production back to the USA using tariffs. Now the stakes are much more aggressive — especially in the AI and military segment.
Subscribe — we will figure out where the crypto is and where the tanks are 🟡
🟡 The US Treasury is preparing a wave of trade deals — the EU under pressure, Asia on the rise
— US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated: "A multitude of trade agreements will be announced in the coming weeks."
— This concerns new deals with Asian countries — negotiations with India have progressed particularly well.
— All of this comes against the backdrop of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs, announced by Trump on April 2. The deadline is until July 1.
⚠️ Meanwhile, the EU is not in favor:
• Trump has already threatened to impose 50% tariffs starting June 1
• Bessent criticized the EU's inability to negotiate collectively
• According to him: "Asia is behaving sincerely, the EU is not"
📉 Potential impact on the crypto market: moderate. Reduced tension with Asia = positive for global markets, including crypto. However, escalation with the EU could strengthen the dollar and cause a liquidity outflow from risk assets.
Historical fact: in 2018-2019, similar trade wars exacerbated crypto volatility. During this period, Bitcoin repeatedly became a "safe haven asset" for some investors.
🟢 Pakistan launches state-level mining — 2000 megawatts for $BTC and AI
— The Ministry of Finance of Pakistan announced: the country allocates 2000 MW of excess electricity for bitcoin mining and artificial intelligence-based data centers ⚡🤖
— This is part of the national program for the development of digital infrastructure — a focus on energy, technology, and decentralization
What this means:
— Mining is no longer in basements — but at the state level
— Instead of outages — profitable use of surplus energy
— Potential for attracting investments and creating jobs
📈 Market impact: positive. The development of legal mining strengthens the fundamental security of the $BTC network and reduces regulatory fears.
Historical fact: in 2021 Pakistan banned mining. And now — is building data centers for it. Even states are making a 180° turn in crypto 🔁
Subscribe — and don't miss where the new "mining Mecca" will be tomorrow 🟢
🔴 The dark side of crypto: an investor was arrested in New York for kidnapping in exchange for a $BTC wallet password
— A crypto investor has been arrested in New York, accused of kidnapping and torturing a citizen of Italy. The goal was to extort the password to a bitcoin wallet.
— According to the prosecutor's office:
• the victim was held for several weeks
• beaten, electrocuted, threatened with death
• the victim managed to escape and contact the police
📉 The reputational consequences for the crypto market are toxic: such cases fuel the rhetoric about the "wild west" in digital assets and may increase pressure from regulators.
Historical fact: crypto has been the cause of violent crimes before — in 2017 in Ukraine, an EXMO analyst was kidnapped, and in 2020 in the Netherlands, the owner of a hardware wallet was tortured.
Security ≠ just a seed phrase. Subscribe — we will tell you how to protect yourself both online and in real life 🔴
🟢 James Wynn — winner of DEX casino: $25 million profit and a new long at $75M
— The largest on-chain long in history is complete: whale James Wynn closed his trading cycle on Hyperliquid, earning $25 million net.
— Started with $3–4 million. At the peak, held $1 billion in a long position on BTC. Yes, one billion on DEX.
— And all this — without "Sell in May and go away". On the contrary: he sold at the highs and…
— Went short. Then back to long. Then short again. Then... well, you got it. Result: -$15 million at this stage. But still in profit 🧠
📉 Last cycle:
• before Trump's tariff announcement — +$18M
• after — a loss, but the price of BTC dropped only by ~$1000, despite his unloading
• now — new long at $75 million "for fun"
🔥 What this means:
— Hyperliquid (DEX) handled all this over the weekend — no panic, crashes or FTX-style
— HYPE — the platform's token, already testing $40 and aiming for a spot in the top-10, pushing $SUI aside
— After the insider scandal — the exchange received an image bounce
Historical fact: Wynn is not a pseudonym, but a reference to the legendary casino chain. And yes, he wrote himself: "I leave as a winner. Well, almost".
Subscribe — and keep your stops tighter than the whales keep their longs 🟢
🔴 Global recession in 2025? Economists raise the alarm 📉
— 60% of economists from 50 countries around the world consider the risk of a global recession in 2025 to be high, according to a recent Reuters survey.
📉 What is happening: — The forecast for global economic growth has been revised down from 3% to 2.7% — The IMF has downgraded its estimate to 2.8% — 28 out of 48 countries have revised their expectations downwards — The impact of the US-China trade wars is viewed particularly negatively
💬 Experts warn:
"Even if tariffs are lifted today — the damage to trust and trade has already been done," says Timothy Graf from State Street.
⚡ Main risk factors: — Trade war → stagflation (simultaneous rise in inflation and decline in the economy) — Central banks acknowledge: the inflation targets for 2025 will not be achieved — Investors are advised: "buckle up" — turbulence lies ahead
🟢 MetaMask launches payment crypto card — a revolution without fiat 🚀
— MetaMask, together with CompoSecure and Baanx, supported by Mastercard, is launching the MetaMask payment card! The global debut is expected in the 2nd quarter of 2025.
💳 What makes this card special: — Payments directly from the MetaMask wallet — no conversion to fiat
— Smart contract authorization — transactions in less than 5 seconds
— Support for Linea, Bitcoin, and Solana networks
— Metal card — stylish and reliable
📈 Why this matters: — Crypto is moving from "investments" to real everyday transactions
— Intermediaries and delays are eliminated — just tap and pay
— This is a significant step towards true neobanking
💬 MetaMask Team:
"This is not just a crypto card. It’s a paradigm shift."
🟢 Subscribe — let’s watch how crypto changes the payment habit
🔴 In Russia, they want to imprison dropouts for 6 years — amendments are on the way
— The Government of the Russian Federation has prepared a bill introducing criminal liability for dropouts — those who transfer their bank cards or digital wallets to fraudsters.
📋 What is being proposed: — Up to 6 years of imprisonment — A fine of up to 1 million rubles
The amendments affect Article 187 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation — "Illegal Circulation of Payment Instruments". The government commission is already considering the initiative for submission to the State Duma.
💬 Why is this necessary: — The activities of dropouts disguise stolen funds, hindering investigations — Criminal punishment should reduce the number of people willing to participate in money schemes
📍 Background: — In March, the head of the Central Bank, Nabiullina, spoke about potential restrictions on the number of bank cards per person — to further complicate the lives of fraudsters.