Is the Fed on the brink of emergency measures? All eyes on the MOVE index! ๐ฅ๐
On April 8, the MOVE Index, a volatility index for the bond market, surged to 137.3 โ this is almost a crisis intervention level! ๐ณ
If it breaks the 140 mark, the Fed may urgently start easing policy, despite high inflation.
๐ What is MOVE?
It's like the VIX, but for U.S. Treasury bonds. It shows how nervous the debt market is. Right now โ itโs almost in panic mode.
๐ In 2 weeks, MOVE has risen from ~91 to 137
๐ข 13 out of 14 sessions โ uptrend without pullbacks
๐ RSI is not overbought โ growth potential remains
โ ๏ธ If it stays above 140 for two days โ a cascade of events may occur:
โ ETF rupture
โ Spread widening
โ Flight from treasuries
โ Fed intervention via QE, repo, and liquidity
๐ฌ While Jerome Powell holds back the pressure, the market is already whispering: 'time is almost up...'
We are watching the 140 mark โ this could be the start of a new phase for the markets.
#FOMC #MOVEindex #FedWatch #BondMarket #LiquidityCrisis ๐๐๐งจ