Today's market thoughts: Many bloggers say that BTC is currently trying to lure buyers? Is the real lure happening during the sideways movement at 83,000? The real lure happens when it breaks the downward trend and rises to entice people. During a strong upward movement, it generates optimistic emotions filled with imagination about the future. When the bulls are ready to act with their limited resources, it strikes hard, leading to despair once again! This is called luring buyers, and this is what professionalism looks like. 👍

Whether it's the macro situation or the data aspect, a large number of professional bloggers don't know how to choose a direction, and we feel confused too. So let's look at it from the most original perspective of the main force.

Currently, we are still in the period of digesting tariff sentiments. Due to the tightening liquidity in the crypto market, the main force is accumulating liquidity, waiting to harvest up and down, rather than pulling you out of a bear market or reversing into a bull market in the short term.

From a liquidity perspective, we can see the liquidity dense areas in the chart below, which are the bearish liquidation at 85,000 and bullish liquidation at 81,000. This is the liquidity that will definitely be targeted in the short term.

Now, let's broaden our thinking. Does the current macro fundamental support a slight downward movement or a slight upward movement? The impact of tariff policies is still continuing to ferment, the U.S. stock market has not stopped falling and stabilized, and the main sentiment is still bearish. However, if it goes up directly from here to 85,000 or even 86,000, would you go long? I don't think you would; instead, it would increase the short sellers' counterattack and profit-taking. So, the correct targeting of liquidity by the main force must be a downward break below 81,000 to hunt the bullish liquidity, shaking the confidence of the bulls so that you dare not bottom fish, and finally, it will surge directly to 85,000 to complete all short-term liquidity plundering.

Therefore, based on the above thoughts, we are more inclined to gradually build short positions in the short term, with a stop loss below 88,000 and taking profits in batches below 81,000.

In the long term, will you care about the volatility of liquidity plundering whether it goes up or down? Reject all noise! $BTC