A few days ago, Bitcoin plunged sharply, falling from the high of $100,000 to the $80,000 range. At the darkest moment, I still firmly believe that the bull market is still here.
Today, BTC has rebounded above $85,000.
Today, let's delve into the most core reasons why the bull market hasn't ended and the underlying logic behind it.
I. Survival Logic: Wall Street's 'Water Cycle' and Crisis Industrialization
The essence of Wall Street is a 'liquidity perpetual motion machine', and its core survival rule is to create panic-harvest chips-force liquidity release in a death spiral.
1. The 'Scripted Production' of Financial Crises
Since the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, the US has formed a standardized operation assembly line of 'crisis-rescue-asset inflation'. In 2025, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will exceed $12 trillion, a 400% increase from before the pandemic in 2020, proving that any market collapse will trigger a more insane printing press roar. As a new liquidity pool, the crypto market will inevitably be included in this cycle—when traditional asset bubbles reach a critical point, it only takes a 'Lehman-style bomb' (such as an exchange explosion or algorithmic stablecoin de-pegging) to spark panic that will instantly drain liquidity from the global capital market.
2. The Financialization Transformation of Viral Weapons
COVID-19 has proven the leveraging efficiency of public health emergencies on monetary policy: after four circuit breakers in US stocks in March 2020, the Federal Reserve expanded its balance sheet by $2 trillion in one month, directly triggering an epic bull market following the crypto market's 312 crash. If necessary, gene editing technology and 'dark operations' in biological laboratories can produce new variants of the virus, once again forcing central banks to open the floodgates. The concealment of this 'biochemical financial war' far exceeds traditional short-selling tools and can legalize the plundering of middle-class wealth.
3. The 'Parasitic Prosperity' of the Crypto Market
The approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF (2024) marks the official establishment of crypto assets as a liquidity flood channel on Wall Street. However, unlike traditional financial markets, the crypto world lacks circuit breakers and short-selling restrictions, making its high volatility inherently suitable for creating 'controlled collapses'—Wall Street giants only need to establish short positions in the futures market and coordinate with the media to release negative news to achieve targeted destruction of retail investors.
II. $trump: The Conspiracy Experiment of Political Scissors and Financial Perpetual Motion Machine
The issuance of TRUMP tokens by Trump is no coincidence, but rather a milestone event for conspiracy groups testing a 'new harvesting paradigm'.
1. The Capital Reconstruction of Presidential IP
The Trump team transforms political influence into token issuance rights, manipulating 80% of the token supply to create a short-term 412-fold increase, thus monetizing the faith of the people. This operation completely breaks the traditional lobbying chain of 'political donations - policy returns', replacing it with a direct harvesting model of 'consensus speculation - token sell-off'.
2. Power Rent-Seeking in Regulatory Vacuums
The cryptocurrency regulatory framework of the Biden era (such as FDIC restrictions on banks holding crypto assets) was abolished on the first day of Trump's presidency, and the SEC fell into the paradox of 'being both the referee and the athlete': if it cracks down on TRUMP tokens, it is equivalent to admitting that the president is involved in fraud; if it allows their circulation, it sets a precedent for 'the highest authority issuing air coins'. This systemic decay allows the White House to directly deliver benefits to specific interest groups through token issuance, and on-chain transactions cannot be tracked by traditional auditing methods.
3. The Dimensional Reduction of Social Class Cognition
The short-term 75% drop of TRUMP tokens did not trigger large-scale lawsuits, but instead ignited retail investors' 'bottom-fishing faith', confirming the anti-intellectual trap of the post-truth era: when the president personally endorses a scam, rational criticism is distorted into 'political persecution', and the truth becomes a tradable social currency. This collective cognitive disorder paves the way for larger-scale financial fraud.
III. Apocalypse Simulation of the Financial Dark Forest Rules
When TRUMP tokens breach the institutional defense line, global financial markets will accelerate their slide into a 'dark forest state':
In the most extreme case, if the market is unperturbed by all surprises, then directly take your life as a topic.
Pharmaceutical giants, hedge funds, and intelligence agencies may conspire to build a triangular manipulation model of 'pandemic-stock market-crypto market': first customizing a low fatality virus in biological laboratories, shorting traditional assets like aviation and oil, while going long on vaccine stocks and Bitcoin, ultimately completing profit payment through central bank liquidity.
Kill that believer.
The evolution speed of financial power far exceeds the defensive capacity of human ethics. When the president becomes the dealer, the virus turns into K lines, and faith degenerates into chips, the only survival strategy for individuals is complete nihilism—acknowledging that all assets are traps, all consensus are scams, and all market rescue efforts are harvests.
Perhaps future historians will record 2025 like this: 'That year, humanity finally learned how to bury itself with blockchain.'
The survival rule of the financial dark forest is only one—always assume that the opposing side is more shameless than you.
Conspiracy simulations are purely for joking discussions, please do not take them personally.
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