1.31
Current key data and indicator analysis
1. Price and volatility:
- Current price 237.34 (+1.02%), 24h minimum 233.35, mark price 237.33, short-term rebound but still suppressed by BOLL middle track 240.15.
- The price is close to BOLL lower track 237.34. If it stands firm, it may trigger a technical rebound; if it falls below, it is necessary to pay attention to the support of 233.35 (24h low).
2. BOLL indicator correction:
- Upper track 242.97, middle track 240.15, lower track 237.34. The current price is on the edge of the lower track. The short-term direction needs to observe whether it can break through the middle track.
3. Trading and liquidity:
- 24h trading volume is 3.215 billion (lower than the previous day). Insufficient volume may limit the sustainability of the rebound, and we need to be alert to the risk of false breakthroughs.
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Recent trend forecast (1-7 days)
- Key support and resistance:
- Support: 237.34 → 233.35→ 225.36
- Resistance: 240.15→ 242.97→ 244.59
- Direction judgment:
- Optimistic scenario: If the volume stabilizes at 237.34, it is expected to rebound and test the 240-242 area; if it breaks through the middle track, it may challenge the previous high of 244.59.
- Pessimistic scenario: If the volume continues to shrink and falls below 237.34, it may fall to the 233-225 range in the short term, and we need to pay attention to whether a downward channel is formed.
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Medium- and long-term trend forecast (1-3 months)
1. Technical drivers:
- The long-term upward trend has not been broken (1 year +133.75%). If the correction stabilizes in the 225-230 area, it is expected to restart the upward trend, with the target of the previous high of 256.47.
- The BOLL middle track is dynamically moving up (currently 240.15). If the price stabilizes in the middle track, the center may gradually rise to 245-250.
2. Target price:
- Conservative expectation: After breaking through 242.97, look to 250-260;
- Risk warning: If 225 is lost, it may fall back deeply to the psychological support zone of 200-210.
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Operational suggestions
- Short-term strategy:
- Long order: Try to buy with a light position in the 237-233 range, stop loss 230, target 240-242.
- Short order: If the volume falls below 237, short to 233-225, stop loss 240.
- Long-term strategy:
- After stabilizing at 240, increase positions in batches, target 250-260;
- If it falls below 225, stop bottom-fishing and wait for signals in the 210-200 area.
Risk warning:
- Be wary of the risk of Bitcoin volatility transmission;
- Pay attention to changes in project fundamentals (such as ecological progress, on-chain data);
- The continued shrinkage of trading volume may exacerbate price fluctuations, so we need to be cautious when buying high and selling low.
