[8.23 hedging strategy sharing, US stocks down, recession approaching, market risk remains high]
This Thursday, the annual meeting of global central banks will open in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, USA. Before the meeting, Federal Reserve officials told the media that they would start to cut interest rates soon.
However, recent negative data seems to have a greater impact on traders. Last night,
The S&P 500 closed down 0.89%, the Dow closed down 0.43%, and the Nasdaq closed down 1.67%. Among them, Nvidia fell 3.7%. Huang Renxun's recent sale of Nvidia shares has aroused dissatisfaction among institutions and investors.
From Buffett to Huang Renxun, capital tycoons seem to have smelled the risk signals in the air and have cashed in their assets. Is this a clear bearish view?
From the perspective of global monetary policy trends, central banks of various countries generally try to raise interest rates and tighten. The current monetary policy of the United States is already at the limit of tightening. When and how much interest rates will be cut is still unknown.
The market's concerns about recession have offset the benefits of interest rate cuts.
The AI market bubble, the real estate bubble, the weak labor market, and the booster for the world economy seem to have not been found or have failed. In the face of the recession cycle, the only way to maintain a soft landing may be to falsify data.
It is not shameful to admit that the economy is growing slowly or in recession. Thirty years in the east, thirty years in the west. Some people get rich and some go bankrupt during the recession.
However, we must make good risk response measures under the judgment of the direction of the general situation.
This week's recommendations:
Continue to maintain the recent double-sell strategy. At the same time, appropriately increase the protection against falling risks.
There will be large fluctuations in the interest rate cut in September, and you can bet on both sides. Ratio spreads are a good choice.
The sharp rise in the Shanzhai rebound is an expectation of interest rate cuts. You can hedge at highs, and the decline of Shanzhai in the future market is a high probability event. You can go long on big cakes and short on Shanzhai at highs.
For more details, please join the Binghuodao community to communicate.
