加密门徒

I have been deeply involved in Binance Square for 245 days, breaking the world-class prediction record in the cryptocurrency circle! At the same time, I saved the assets and hopes of 13,000 families.
Four days before the crash, I had already predicted and publicly warned!
This crash was not without warning, but was completely predictable. I am the only person on the internet who issued a warning 4 days in advance of the crash and notified everyone for free.
The timing, keyword matching, and every detail corroborated my analysis.
The greedy traders used a historical level of contract accumulation, creating a historic level of liquidation wave.
If I hadn’t listened to the advice at that time, the losses this time could truly be unbearable for a lifetime.
This historic level of crash prediction is just part of my regular analysis. Over the past 245 days, I have conducted a total of 108 short, medium, and long-term market and project predictions, all of which have come true. A multi-dimensional and comprehensive analysis of the cryptocurrency circle, with few flaws in such high-frequency and dense market predictions.
I dismantled Wall Street's trading and market-making techniques in advance and proved through action: we Chinese can also create our own legend on the global cryptocurrency stage with rationality, insight, and belief.
I do not intend to show off, nor do I need thanks.
On the contrary, I want to thank the brothers and sisters who have always supported and trusted me.
A few years ago, when I was at a low point in my life, Mr. Li Lin reached out to help and gave me an important position.
Because of this, I have the opportunity today—to stand in Binance Square, shine, and help more people.
Remembering the source of drinking water, I am grateful and will not forget!
#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期升温 $BTC $ETH $BNB @币安广场 @币安Binance华语 @Yi He @CZ

My Crypto Circle Answer Sheet - Half-Year Summary
ETH has been hovering near historical highs, and I have fulfilled my promise to everyone - this year ETH conservatively predicts breaking the previous high. In the past six months, we have collectively completed the largest dividend cycle in Ethereum.
Although ETH is not at an absolute high point right now, from today onwards, I will no longer advise anyone to continue buying; I recommend taking some profits. In chaotic times, it is essential to keep some cash on hand.
My original intention and background:
I am someone who has come out of Shandong and seen the world; this opportunity was given to me by the crypto circle. My growth and understanding of the industry have benefited from my former boss, teacher, and elder brother - Mr. Li Lin.
Crypto disciples are Li Lin's disciples, and after many years of following, I admire your generosity and vision, and I am grateful for your guidance and cultivation. Even though Wall Street is dominant this year, I still respond calmly with my early work experience and your philosophy.
Remember the teachings: Practitioners must never do evil!
This year's industry answer sheet:
1. The only person in the crypto circle who dares to make market predictions:
Main Line: Prediction of three major upward waves for ETH in the big cycle.
Best buying points: April 9, June 22, August 2.
Two escape opportunities for altcoins: May 22, July 23.
Sub Line: Whether on a weekly or daily basis, medium to short-term predictions are equally accurate, and all content has never been deleted.
2. High-frequency deep output:
In half a year, I published 281 pieces of content in simple language on Binance Square, totaling 170,000 words, covering all practical underlying logic.
3. Leading the market by a quarter, clearly distinguishing between BTC, ETH bulls, and altcoin bears, and explaining multiple times.
4. All liquidation points I have announced have been accurately triggered within the specified time.
5. Against the market and against the cycle, I have never deleted posts and never followed the crowd.
6. Some say that the crypto market is all about luck; price fluctuations cannot be predicted.
But I have spent half a year telling you - trends can be understood, and opportunities can be seized.
What I have proven is not just myself, but: the crypto circle is not finished yet!
I have done everything a true industry practitioner should do.
I have not said a single falsehood; I am just objectively stating the facts I have accomplished.
Now, it is time to reveal everything.
#以太坊创历史新高倒计时 #BTC再创新高 #加密市场回调
$BTC $ETH

Many!
$BTC $ETH $SOL

Just now, the unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls for November have been released! BTC ETH market analysis
This week there will be a golden opportunity, the viewpoint remains unchanged.
In the past two days, Powell's dovish remarks far exceeded expectations for hawkish comments, the market is still falling, value will return, and a rebound will occur.
#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场下跌
$BTC $ETH $SOL

BTC86 ETH29 Why did it crash again just now? Where are the opportunities this week?
Answer: (1) It has already been said that the first round of the rebound trend starting from November 22 has ended with Powell's speech!
(2) The best money-making opportunity is to short the top of the air coins, which I mentioned before on the 9th.
These operational thoughts were shared in the square a few days ago, the community reduced positions at ETH3400 to escape the peak, while shorting the zombie coins every day.
On the 13th Beat2.8 short, 1.8 take profit
On the 12th folks luna2
On the 10th pieverse 1000lunc
On the 9th power beat
The strategy for shorting zombie coins is still effective; you need to study the project itself carefully while judging the highs of the zombie coins based on spot data.
(3) The year 2025 has already entered its final stage, and the market is in a sensitive window period of year-end settlement, central bank super week, and the intensive release of key macro data. The core of this week's market lies in the policy trends of the US and major global central banks, as well as the consecutive releases of non-farm, CPI, and PCE data—dates to pay attention to are the 16th, 18th, and 19th.
On the policy front, the Federal Reserve has initiated the purchase of about 40 billion dollars in short-term government bonds. The faucet has been turned on, and it is currently irrigating quality assets in the US stock market; it will still take some time to flow into the crypto space.
However, this week's decline is actually laying the groundwork for the subsequent Christmas market and January rebound.
You can short the shitcoins, but the shorts on mainstream coins should also take profits and exit this week, otherwise, profits may turn into losses.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场下跌 #美联储降息 $ETH
$BTC $BEAT

The biggest melon, complete version.
Blue's kidnapping case, the kidnapper surrendered directly within two days, revealing all details.
#美联储FOMC会议 #美联储降息 #加密市场下跌
$BTC $ETH $SOL

BTC ETH market analysis, in-depth interpretation of Powell's latest speech
1. Policy outcome realization
The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the shoe has dropped.
2. Dot plot signals: huge divergence in the long term
The 2026 dot plot shows significant divergence, with the median only expecting 1-2 rate cuts.
However, it should be noted that with the change of the Federal Reserve Chairman next year, there are significant uncertainties in the policy path, making the current dot plot of limited reference value.
3. Key clarification on "easing" (key point)
This month, the Federal Reserve actually released about $40 billion in liquidity to the market.
Powell clearly explained at the press conference: "Purchasing government bonds is solely for reserve management."
This is not equivalent to traditional QE-style easing, but essentially belongs to: a relatively loose bottom-supporting liquidity operation.
4. Core meaning of Powell's speech (two sentences summary)
(1) Everything will be determined by subsequent economic data.
(2) Leave a “well-functioning” economic environment for the next Federal Reserve Chairman to avoid policy loss of control.
5. Market judgment (personal opinion)
In the short term, the market may pull back for a few days, which is a normal digestion process of emotions and expectations; however, after the 16th, the market is expected to gradually return to a normal rhythm.
Last month's major crash was the result of multiple negative events concentrated together, and under the current policy and liquidity background, the probability of reoccurrence in the short term is extremely low.
#美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

I'm not joking, the zombie scams are your best shorting opportunity!
Today, the two coins shorted are $PIEVERSE $1000LUNC
pieverse 0.86 shorted to 0.73
1000 lunc 0.0678 shorted to 0.06 have all been closed.
Value investing requires persistence, don't miss out on this money-making opportunity. From my long-term observation, worthless coins can't last more than three days!
#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场下跌

The cryptocurrency market can be predicted, all details are being verified one by one! — Please take another careful look at me.
BTC94500 ETH3400
1. Why did it inexplicably surge last night? Why did Ethereum explode directly?
The answer is not surprising at all; I have shown everyone the direct and indirect factors in advance:
Direct reason: The positive empowerment of the U.S. policy for BTC and ETH
Yesterday morning, the U.S. policy released direct benefits for BTC and ETH.
I was the first to publish this information across the internet, making this point clear — this is the 'clear catalyst' for last night's market.
2. Indirect reason: Already written in several articles on December 8
These are deeper logical foundations, the reasons why the market can rally:
1. Liquidity is already completely sufficient
On December 8, when almost everyone was pessimistic and still shouting 'no volume',
I was the only one in the entire network who dared to publicly state: market liquidity has returned.
2. The rebound market will continue for another day
In the article on December 8, I clearly stated: this round of rebound will continue for another day.
Last night's explosion was a fulfillment of that statement.
3. A large amount of USDT has been rapidly issued, approaching a critical trigger point
I reminded everyone on December 8: USDT was being rapidly issued, and the market could face a critical trigger point at any moment.
As you can see: liquidity + good news + issuance, igniting in an instant.
3. So why has it dropped again now?
'Wasn't it said on December 8 that the rebound market would continue for another day?'
Yes — 'continue for another day' has already been fulfilled.
#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析
$ETH $BTC

Please return to the cryptocurrency world immediately, this period is your best opportunity to make money!
The biggest money-making opportunity recently: directly short the top gainers of Binance's daily contracts!
Spend more time understanding these zombie coins. Recently, the ones that have skyrocketed are all zombie coins that no one buys; once they are pumped, they will also return to their value (zero).
Manage your risks well; a week can yield the returns of a year!
I have to stay up late every day to short two; time will automatically give you the answer!
#加密市场观察 #加密市场回调 #加密市场反弹
$BEAT $POWER

Breaking News: BTC and ETH Receive the Most Important Policy Boost from the US!

After the US stock market closed, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced the launch of a pilot program for tokenized collateralized digital assets in the derivatives market. The following is the original announcement:

CFTC Acting Chair Carolyn D. Van announced the launch of a digital asset pilot program allowing certain digital assets, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDC, to be used as collateral in the derivatives market. The CFTC also issued guidance on tokenized collateral and revoked outdated regulatory requirements imposed due to the Genius Act.

This move marks a significant milestone in expanding the use of digital assets in regulated markets and follows the tokenized collateral program launched in September 2025—part of the CFTC's "Crypto Sprint," designed to implement the recommendations of the President's Working Group on Digital Asset Markets report.

“Under my leadership, the CFTC has ushered in a golden age of innovation and cryptocurrency for the United States this year. This mission is especially important given the recent customer losses experienced by non-US cryptocurrency exchanges. Americans deserve a safe US domestic market as an alternative to offshore platforms, which is why I announced last week that spot cryptocurrencies can now be traded on CFTC-registered exchanges,” said Acting Chairman Fan.

“Today, I launch the US Digital Asset Pilot Program, allowing tokenized collateral such as Bitcoin and Ethereum to enter the derivatives market. This program will establish clear regulatory safeguards to protect customer assets and strengthen the CFTC’s monitoring and reporting mechanisms. The CFTC will also provide regulatory certainty through guidance on tokenized collateral for real-world assets such as US Treasury bonds and will repeal outdated CFTC requirements that came into effect after the Genius Act. Embracing responsible innovation ensures that the US market remains globally leading and drives US economic growth—market participants can use their funds more safely and efficiently to achieve greater value.”

Summary: Currently, the market is still focused on Powell's speech in the short term. Once speculation begins on the collateralization capabilities of BTC, ETH, and USDC, and subsequent policy benefits, it is very likely to strongly reverse the bearish trend!
#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #CFTC #加密市场反弹
$BTC $ETH $USDC

Just now, 1 billion USDT was rapidly issued! The market may welcome a key trigger point.
1. Tether issued 1 billion USDT on the Tron chain half an hour ago, but that doesn't mean it will immediately drive the market up.
The issuance of USDT and the market's initiation have never been a simple 'causal relationship'; it fundamentally depends on whether market sentiment is ignited.
If the US stock market opens strong tonight and risk appetite increases, this liquidity is very likely to enter the market immediately to drive the market upwards;
If the US stock market performs flat, this 1 billion USDT will remain on the sidelines, most likely waiting until the day after tomorrow when Powell speaks to enter the market.
2. The most watched strategy institutions have just updated their Bitcoin buying details, and they actually bought quite a bit (see attached image).
Latest data:
Last week, 10,624 BTC were newly purchased, with a total cost of about 962.7 million dollars, and an average purchase price of about 90,615 dollars;
Current strategy companies hold a total of 660,624 BTC;
The total cost is about 49.35 billion dollars, with an average cost of total holdings of about 74,696 dollars.
#strategy #加密市场观察 #加密市场反弹
$BTC $USDT

BTC has strongly re-established itself above 92,000! It turns out that many people can't even wait two days.
1. Friday's PCE was favorable, but the market didn't rush to rally, which is normal. Can't it just rally on Monday? The emotional trading of bullish on rises and bearish on declines will only repeatedly trap retail investors. Last night at 10 PM was the most typical baiting, with countless people ruthlessly liquidated.
2. Starting from November 22, I am the only one on the entire network who clearly called for bottom hunting and has continued to firmly look for a rebound. If this rebound lasts another day, this half-month small cycle will be considered complete.
3. The direction for the next half month will depend entirely on Powell's latest speech, which will directly determine market sentiment and liquidity paths.
4. The most crucial point: liquidity has clearly returned. There is a large amount of U sitting on-chain, and it is increasing every day; they are all waiting for clearer signals to enter the second phase of this month's market.
#加密市场观察 #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析
$BTC $ETH

$1000LUNC $ZEC Returning to zero is the only way out for garbage coins.
1. LUNC just opened last night and has already crashed.
2. ZEC has made three swings within a month, with points at 700, 681, and 670. This position has been rolled over for half a month now, and it's definitely worth it.

PCE decrease, positive news! At the same time, 500 million USDC enters the market to buy the dip.
#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹
$BTC $ETH

Tonight's PCE will be an important external aid for both bulls and bears!
Currently, the market is basically hovering around the points of BTC 92500 and ETH 3150, with the rebound stagnating while it also doesn't drop. Institutional funds are all waiting for tonight's PCE data.
1. As the price index most valued by the Federal Reserve, it is the first official inflation reading since the government shutdown, and is seen as a key variable in determining whether the U.S. stock market can break out of the oscillation zone.
Due to the delay in data release, the market has long been in an "information vacuum". Investors and Federal Reserve officials are in urgent need of this report to assess the U.S. inflation trend and policy direction.
2. Multiple institutions expect inflation to remain stubborn: the overall PCE annual rate is expected to be 2.8% (previous value 2.7%), monthly rate 0.3%; core PCE annual rate 2.9%, monthly rate 0.2%. If the predictions come true, the core PCE will be above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for 55 consecutive months.
Bank of America is more pessimistic, believing that the core PCE will likely not drop below 2% before 2027. This means that U.S. inflation may remain high for a long time.
3. This data is the last piece of the puzzle before next week's interest rate meeting. The Federal Reserve currently faces a contradictory situation of high inflation and weakening employment: the number of initial unemployment claims has decreased, indicating that employment still has resilience, but the ADP employment unexpectedly dropped by 32,000, indicating that corporate hiring is slowing down.
The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25bp for the third consecutive time, with a CME probability of 87%. If the PCE meets or is weaker than expected, it will provide a reason for rate cuts; once the data "explodes", it may force the Federal Reserve to pause rate cuts.
Although this data is three months delayed, the Federal Reserve will "keep its distance" from it, but if there is a significant deviation, it will still affect decision-making.
4. A critical moment for U.S. stocks
On Thursday, U.S. stocks are waiting for data release amidst low volatility. The S&P 500 index is nearing historical highs, but market sentiment is being pulled by two forces:
Concerns about overheating in AI and data center capital expenditures;
Expectations that rate cuts will support the economy.
Since 2020, the performance of U.S. stocks has been highly correlated with rate cut expectations. If PCE cools down, U.S. stocks may rise broadly; if inflation exceeds expectations, selling pressure will be concentrated.
5. Small-cap stocks and the cryptocurrency sector are most sensitive to interest rates, and tonight's inflation data will directly determine whether institutions will reallocate to risk assets.
Let's wait and see🫡
#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $BTC $ETH $SOL

In the past two days, the "interest rate cut expectations + liquidity recovery" continue to support the market, with ETH main force building positions of over 4 billion!
1. The US November ADP employment report released last night was extremely poor, with employment numbers decreasing by 32,000, while the market originally expected an increase of 40,000, a significant gap. Due to the absence of November non-farm data, the Federal Reserve can only refer to this ADP data before next week's meeting. The labor market cooled more than expected, strengthening the dovish forces within the FOMC, making a rate cut in December almost a certainty.
2. The subsequently released November ISM services index unexpectedly rebounded to 52.6, above the expected 52, while service sector price pressures also eased, alleviating market concerns about inflation and recession, further expanding gains in US stocks, with "rate cut trades" continuing to dominate.
3. The Nasdaq daily K has recorded 8 consecutive bullish lines, with bulls still in control. However, in terms of trading volume, sector momentum, and capital participation, the current market is not in a frenzied buying mode, but rather resembles a "gradual push up + cautious wait-and-see".
4. It is worth noting that the Federal Reserve officially announced the end of QT this Monday, and injected 13.5 billion dollars into the banking system through overnight repurchase agreements. As systemic liquidity shifts from tightening to easing, stocks and risk assets such as cryptocurrencies will continue to receive support. Since liquidity is no longer being withdrawn, the pace of capital flowing back into the risk market is likely to gradually accelerate.
Finally, I want to emphasize: the more everyone is afraid to go long on ETH, the more it usually indicates that the market trend is not over yet (attached picture).
3000 has unknowingly become a small support level for ETH.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH

The ETH upgrade was completed half an hour ago, and it is currently leading the market! This year officially marks the start of a biannual upgrade model! The 17th major upgrade of Ethereum, "Fusaka," was officially activated on the mainnet at epoch 411392, approximately half an hour ago. This upgrade comes just about 7 months after the Pectra upgrade in May, marking a shift in Ethereum's development pace towards acceleration.
Main features of the Fusaka upgrade:
1. Accelerated development pace:
The activation of Fusaka indicates that Ethereum has officially entered an accelerated development model of "twice a year hard forks," with plans for two major upgrades each year going forward. Since the Merge in 2022, Ethereum has typically undergone one major upgrade per year, which are:
Shapella (2023)
Dencun (2024)
Pectra (2025)
2. Core technical changes:
The Fusaka upgrade introduces several key technical changes, particularly in data availability and pricing, with the launch of a new sampling technique called PeerDAS. This technology aims to optimize data availability and enhance the scalability of the network.
3. Upgrade scale:
The Fusaka upgrade includes 9 core EIPs (Ethereum Improvement Proposals) and 4 supporting EIPs, and according to some statistical standards, it is one of the largest upgrades Ethereum has seen to date.
4. Currently, Ethereum and its ecosystem tokens are leading the market, and on-chain TVL is steadily returning.
The combination of this upgrade and interest rate cuts is driving the price of Ether, largely influenced by short-term sentiment. For the mid to long term, the price will still require support from Wall Street and liquidity from the US to maintain.
#ETH走势分析 #以太坊升级 #加密市场反弹 $ETH

I'll say it again: predicting the market in the cryptocurrency space is not impossible!\nJust this morning, I mentioned that the major players had accumulated over 1 billion long positions, and by evening, we experienced a violent rally.\nMany people do not realize that I have accurately predicted market trends for a long time, starting from the recent bottom of 80600.\nI was the first person on the internet to identify the recent market bottom range, with the prediction made at 1 AM on November 22, when BlackRock poured in a large number of buy orders to support the market.\nSince then, until today, looking back at each article; whether it was the drama event or the baiting of longs and shorts, my predictions have been validated by the market.\nDon't give up, I'm here 🫡\n#加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 \n$BTC $ETH $SOL

The most concerning thing for everyone is that Powell just finished speaking!
1. Powell adhered to the silence period regulations and did not mention monetary policy.
He made it clear from the beginning to avoid discussing the monetary policy and economic outlook that everyone is most concerned about, as it is currently in the official silence period before next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.
2. USDC issued an additional 850 million last night, and institutions continue to enter the market.
3. As analyzed yesterday: the impact of the yen interest rate hike was digested by the market in just one day. Currently, BTC's main force has built a position of over 1 billion long positions.
The market is currently in a phase of panic selling pressure and intense buying competition, primarily oscillating. Once liquidity returns, the situation will be different.
#鲍威尔讲话 #加密市场观察 #加密市场回调 $BTC $BTC