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Chainlink (LINKUSD) has been steadily rising within a Channel Up during this Bull Cycle but on the recent August 18 2025 High, it failed to make a Higher High and got rejected instead.
The Channel Up seems to have transitioned into a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, while the 1W RSI has been on a Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs trend-line against the price's Higher Highs).
We saw a similar H&S forming at the end of the previous Bull Cycle (2021), which essentially paved the way to the 2022 Bear Cycle. Symmetrically it appears to also work quite well as right now we are on a similar spot (1W MA50, blue trend-line) as November 2021.
The two Bear Cycles of LINK declined by -88.90% and -90.00% respectively. As a result, if history repeats, we are looking at a potential bottom at at least $3.500 (-88.90%).
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#LINK #Chainlink #LINKUSD #LINKUSDT #signals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to be under heavy pressure in the past 4 weeks since the October 06 All Time High (ATH) and finds itself battling to hold the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. That trend-line has been basically the Support of this Bull Cycle since March 2023, and acted as the most optimal long-term buy level.
Has the Bull Cycle ended?
However this Bull Cycle may have very well come to an end already as the 1W RSI has been long exhibiting the same kind of bearish pattern (Lower Highs trend-line), while also having completed the 4-year Cycle, that all previous Bull Cycles formed on their respective tops. This is a huge Bearish Divergence formation as it goes against the price's Higher Highs, indicating trend exhaustion.
As you can see that 1 RSI Lower Highs trend-line formed the November 2021, December 2017 and December 2013 Cycle Tops. Even worse, the current Lower Highs trend-line has been going on since the March 11 2024 High. If BTC closes a 1W candle below its 1W MA50, it has greater probabilities to confirm the start of the new Bear Cycle as all previous ones did on such break-out.
If yes, how much can it drop?
Now, it might not be too relevant at this time yet, but as far as how low the Bear Cycle can go to before it bottoms, there are three potential levels of interest where long-term investors can Dollar Cost Average (DCA).
The January 2015 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Then the December 2018 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bottom. The last Bear Cycle has its bottom below the 1W MA200 and on the next Fib in line, the 0.5 level. The decline on each Bear Cycle that followed decelerated and was less than the previous (-86.70% to -84.19% to -77.22%).
If the new Bear Cycle has already started then the first level for a potential bottom is again the 0.382 Fib around $58000 where contact may potentially be made with the 1W MA200 as well. If it follows the previous Bear Cycle and bottoms on the 0.5 Fib, it will also be below the 1W MA200 around $45000. If on the other hand it goes a Fib level further, as the last two Cycles did, we are looking at the 0.618 Fib as a potential strong bottom candidate around $35000. That will also be a -70.76% decline from the Top, which will be -7% less than the previous Bear Cycle, which is also the difference that the 2022 Bear Cycle had from the 2018 one.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

Cardano (ADAUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up every since its December 26 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. That was also the time the 1W RSI has been at its lowest (hitting 30.00). The most recent bullish signal has been the 1W Golden Cross, its first ever.
Following this however, the price failed to break above the Lower Highs trend-line of the pattern's previous Higher High and got rejected back to its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line), which momentarily got broken on the October 10 flash crash. Still, the market instantly recovered and more importantly the 1W RSI found Support on its own 3-year Higher Lows Zone, which has been the most effective buy entry of the Bull Cycle.
As long as the price stays inside the Channel Up, the Bull Cycle remains alive. The confirmation of further upside, thus a new Bullish Leg, only comes technically if the price breaks above the Lower Highs trend-line again. If it does, we expect a Higher High on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (every Higher High seems to decline, 1.786 to 1.5 Fib) at $1.900. A 1W candle closing below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), most likely confirms the new Bear Cycle.
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#Cardano #ADA #ADAUSD #ADAUSDT #signals

Zcash (ZECUSD) marginally broke its May 10 2021 Cycle Top (orange trend-line) this week, rising by more than +800% in just 2 months.
Throughout its trading history, it has been tightly correlated with Litecoin (LTCUSD). It's not uncommon to see ZEC lead the way and then LTC (purple) follow. As this chart shows, whenever the two diverged, the one always caught up with the other and converged again.
Does this mean that LTC will eventually catch up to this enormous rally? If it does indeed, the Top of the previous Cycle that it 'has to' fill is at $415.
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#LTC #Litecoin #ZECUSD #signals #LTCUSDT

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 weeks and only days after it got rejected there. A 1D candle closing above it will be a strong bullish signal.
As BTC has been trading within a Megaphone pattern similar to the December 2024 - April 2025 one, a closing above the 1D MA50 might put the structure in a similar situation as April 17. As you can see that Megaphone also had a 1D MA50 rejection preceding the break-out and before that also, two Lower Lows near the 1W MA0 (red trend-line).
What it hasn't had (so far?) is a clear touch of the 1W MA50 (as on April 07) and a 1D MACD Higher Lows Bullish Divergence.
As a result, both scenarios are open for now. Until it closes above the 1D MA50, a 1W MA50 test remains possible around $104000. A closing above the 1D MA50 though strengthens the probability of a 1.1 Fibonacci extension rally at $128000.
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Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FETUSD) has been trading within a 6.5-year Channel Up ever since its first trading day. The pattern's Bullish and Bearish Legs are very distinct and since its March 25 2024 All Time High (ATH), the market has been on the latest Bearish Leg (red Channel).
The 1W RSI just touched its 30.00 oversold barrier and last time it did so on a Bearish Leg (June 13 2022), the bottoming process (Higher Low) started towards the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the multi-year Channel Up.
As a result, FET may start its new Bullish Leg, as long as the overall market remains on a Bull Cycle. The short-term Target is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), with which contact can be made around $0.62000. Long-term (again if the Bull Cycle extends) we could see another +6430% Bullish Leg to $8.000.
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#FET #FetchAI #FETUSD #FETUSDT #signals

A lot of talk is being thrown around lately regarding the M2 Global Supply (black trend-line) and how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will follow it upwards as it explodes. Those claims have intensified especially in the past 2 weeks as an argument to support BTC's recovery following the decline from its $126k Top.
However, history shows that the two don't have to be correlated. In fact, during the past two Cycles, BTC topped at least 105 days (15 weeks) before the Global M2 did. Especially during the previous Cycle (2021), BTC has broken well below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and stayed under up until the M2 peaked also. Note that the 1W MA50 is what has (so far) supported BTC's current correction.
As a result, no hopes of recovery can be rest upon a currently rising Global Liquidity. And if BTC's Cycle Top was 2 weeks ago, the Global Liquidity might peak 15 weeks from that, around January 19 2026 (possibly around the time the stock market peaks too).
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since March 02 that only broke momentarily to the downside during the October 10 2025 flash crash. Immediately the price recovered and has since been consolidating on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line).
The 1W MA100 has price both previous Higher Lows bottoms of the pattern, with both Bearish Legs incredibly declining by the same extent -45.90%. This amazing degree of symmetry is also seen on the pattern's Bullish Legs, with both also registering identical rises of +101.96%, pricing their Higher Highs on their respective 1.136 Fibonacci extensions.
As a result, as long as DOGE keeps closing its 1W candles above the 1W MA100, we have strong reasons to expect another +101.96% Bullish Leg targeting 0.33000 (also the 1.136 Fibonacci extension).
It is also worth noting that the 1D RSI has been on a Higher Lows Bullish Divergence (against the price's Lower Lows), similar to the first bottom of the Channel Up in early April.
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#DOGE #Dogecoin‬⁩ #DOGEUSD #DOGEUSDT #signals

Tron (TRXUSD) is on its 3rd straight week trading on the 1W MA20 (red trend-line). In fact that level has held and closed both previous 1W candles above it, despite getting breached marginally.
The current Bull Cycle since the November 2022 bottom, has been dominated entirely by a Channel Up, that only broke once on the December 2024 massive spike. Besides that, it has been using the 1W MA20 as its pull-back and buy signal. The zone it has created along with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the ultimate Buy Zone of this pattern.
As a result, this is technically a strong Buy Signal for TRX, most likely targeting 0.47000, representing a +60.48% rise, which has been the minimum Bullish Leg rise within this Channel Up.
If however it breaks below its 1W MA50, we will have the strongest confirmation that the new Bear Cycle has technically begun, and the first Target would be 0.16000, potentially going for a contact with its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
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#Tron #TRX #TRXUSD #Trxusdt #signals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the verge of establishing an LMACD Bearish Cross on the 1M time-frame, which for better reliability needs to close the current 1M candle (October) to confirm it.
The nightmare LMACD Bearish Cross
As the title says, this is a 'nightmare' development for the market, certainly not something that the majority of investors want to see right now, as this Bearish Cross has had disastrous effects every time it took place at the end of the 4-year Cycle.
First of all, let's not allow being overlooked the fact that the 1M LMACD is also reversing right before a test of its multi-year Lower Highs trend-line. That line priced all previous Cycle Tops.
Is this a Cycle Top? Best-worst case scenarios
Back to he Bearish Cross, it has always been formed around Cycle Tops as well. More specifically, the one that was formed after January 2014, was already on the 3rd month after the Cycle Top. The one that was formed after February 2018, was on the 4th month of the Bear Cycle. More recently, the one that was formed on August 2021 was 3 months before the Cycle Top. Interestingly enough, that was a peculiar Cycle with an (almost) Double Top, which was no surprise that the LMACD got rejected on its Lower Highs trend-line much earlier on the April 2021 Top.
As a result, the best case scenario based on this model for BTC is to have another 3 months of Bull, especially if it gets aided by favorable news (Trade deal, rate cuts, adoption). The more likely however historically, especially if October closes in red in 10 days, is that Bitcoin has entered a new Bear Cycle and this MACD Bearish Cross comes to confirm it.
How low can it go??
What's even worse is that, if we've already seen the Top, the market tends to decline on average by more than -80% historically, with the last Bear Cycle suffering losses of almost -78% (the softest Cycle of all). It was also the only one that closed a month (numerous 1M candles actually) below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) unlike the first two, which used that as a Support/ Cycle Bottom. As a result, the best case scenario if a new Bear Cycle has already started is to place a bottom on its 1M MA50 around $60000 - 65000 and the worst to decline by -78% around $30000 (or a little worse).
Again, not the kind of technical analysis most want to be seeing right now..
The positive look
For conclusion, we should always keep in mind that the fundamental scenery/ environment changes with every Cycle in a more favorable way, e.g this Cycle we had much stronger institutional adoption, even national treasuries and more importantly we saw the introduction of the Bitcoin ETF by Blackrock which was a game changer in capital inflows. You don't see often such investment bank giants 'allowing' one of their products to tank by -80%.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a very structured Channel Up pattern since the April 07 bottom, which was priced exactly on its 1W MA200 (red trend-line). The recent pull-back though (Bearish Leg) has got the market testing another key Support level, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
So far this has held on 4 successive tests, technically pricing a new Higher Low on the bottom of the Channel Up. This is what separates the start of the new Bullish Leg towards at least $278.00 (representing a +63.00% rise, the minimum rally so far inside this pattern) from a complete collapse to $105.00 and the 1W MA200. SOL needs to keep closing its 1D candles above the 1D MA200 to maintain the bullish trend.
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#solana #SOLUSD #sol #SOLUSDT #signals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has now completed two straight weeks since the Friday 10 flash-crash of almost touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but managing to hold it and rebound. This is not the first time we see this pattern during this Cycle. In fact it is a frequent one that systemically fuels the 3-year Channel Up of this Bull Cycle.
As you can see, ever since the November 21 2022 bottom of the previous Bear Cycle, the current Bull Cycle has been trading within this Channel Up pattern, which after it broke above the 1W MA50 and in March 2023, turned it into its long-term Support.
More specifically, since that day, every time BTC broke and closed a weekly candle below its 1W MA20 (red trend-line), it dropped further to its 1W MA50 to find Support, priced the Channel Up Higher Low and rebounded.
This has happened so far 3 times (excluding now), in September 2023 it almost touched the 1W MA50 and rebounded but in August 05 2024 and April 07 2025, it marginally breached it and then rebounded. Based on this, BTC is currently at or very close to the new Higher Low (Support), hence a buy opportunity.
The only condition that hasn't been fulfilled, is the 1W RSI entering its 2-year Support Zone. If the 1W MA50 indeed holds and manages to keep closing the 1W candles above it, that would be an indication that the Bull Cycle is still in effect. The minimum rally a pull-back has given throughout the Cycle has been +92.44%, so as long as it holds, there are strong probabilities that BTC may reach a least $143000.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

XRP (XRPUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up for almost 1 year (since November 26 2024) and just before last Friday's flash crash, it formed a 1D MA50/100 Bearish Cross. This came after the pattern has already started its 2nd Bearish Leg (red Channel).
The last 1D MA50/100 Bearish Cross was formed post half-way through the previous Bearish Leg and resulted into a bottom just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Since there are no news in the market that can drastically alter the bearish sentiment following the renewed U.S. - China trade tensions, we have no reason to expect that the current Bearish Leg won't reach again the bottom of the Channel Up at least.
Our Target is therefore 1.9350 (marginally below the 0.786 Fib). If the Bearish Leg repeats the % drop of the previous one (-52.42%), it can even break to 1.7500 (still within the Channel Up on a logarithmic scale). A break above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) would invalidate this bearish structure.
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#xrp #XRPUSD #XRPUSDT #Ripple #signals

This is as simple as it can get. And obviously, it is not the first time we give you this chart. This is a cross-asset comparison between Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) illustrated by the black trend-line. It represents the Cycles of the two assets, typically negatively correlated across the span of 15 years.
As you can see, when the USD bottoms and starts a new Bull Cycle, BTC tops and starts a new Bear Cycle. Similarly vice versa with USD's Bull Cycle tops against BTC's Bear Cycle bottoms.
So the million dollar question is whether the USD has bottomed again. Based on the 4-year Cycle Model and as the Sine Waves illustrate on this chart, it may have. It is no surprise that while the DXY has formed Higher Lows since July 07, BTC has topped and turned sideways on ranged trading with a new Low made on last Friday's crash.
It is not necessary for the USD to break upwards aggressively in order for BTC to start dropping aggressively into its new Bear Cycle. As Jan - March 2018, Jan - March 2013 and May - August 2011 have shown, the USD may range sideways, as long as it is a clear sign of bottom formation, while Bitcoin is already into its Bear Cycle.
So the conclusion is that as long as the USD keeps trading sideways without making a new Low, it is quite like for Bitcoin to be entering its new Bear Cycle. Sound planning, calculated profit taking and gradual (to say the least) de-risking may be required.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

Ethereum (ETHUSD) marginally broke its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) on last Friday's flash crash and rebounded. The bullish continuation wasn't enough however to break above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and so far it's been rejected.
This is the exact same reaction it had the last time it hit its 1W MA20 (June 22), technically the previous Higher Low of the Fibonacci Channel Up. Both crashes have been around -27%. It took the market some days of consolidation below the 1D MA50 but when it finally broke it, the new Bullish Leg was confirmed.
With a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence already under ETH's belt (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows), the market looks like it has bottomed but this can only be validated by a 1D MA50 break-out. The next Bullish Leg can lead ETH to a least $7150 (+108.31% rise similar to the first Bullish Leg).
A break and candle closing below the 1W MA20 however, opens the way to further decline towards the 1W MA100 (green trend-line, the natural long-term Support of the Bull Cycle) around $3050.
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#Ethereum #ETH #ETHUSD #ETHUSDT #signals

Polkadot (DOTUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down since the December 26 2022 Low and it only broke momentarily during last Friday's flash crash. Having recovered instantly above it and closing the 1W candle inside the pattern, it technically counts as a Lower Low.
The last two Lower Lows (both inside 2025), delivered rebound that hit tested the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As a result, the obvious technical Target on the medium-term is the 1W MA50 and our (a but more conservative) estimation is $4.600, which is right on the 0.382 Fibonacci Channel level. Of course that's assuming the market doesn't close any 1W candles below the Channel Down. The current price levels offer an excellent Risk/ Reward ratio on this.
If the 1W MA50 breaks, we can see an even more aggressive extension towards the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. The best indicator for a Sell Signal in that scenario is the 1W RSI Resistance Zone. It has priced the last three major Highs since 2023. Naturally the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is the obvious long-term Resistance and potential Target in that scenario but can go even as high as 9.5000 if we repeat the previous +225.10% Bullish Leg.
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#Polkadot #dot #DOTUSD #Dotusdt #signals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a strong flash crash last Friday following President Trump's tariff threats to China. That brought back memories of the March 2020 COVID crash. But are those that similar??
Quick answer: strength/ aggression wise no. Last Friday's crash marked 'just' a -18.34% decline from its top on a week basis. COVID's crash, which was longer admittedly, pulled the price down by -62.95% from February's 2020 High. Massive difference in market psychology and dynamics (even though we may have not seen the last of the current Tariff Crash). And that is the reason one chart is on the 1D time-frame and the other on the 1W time-frame.
However this is the exact reason that they look so similar in technical structure. As you can see both started on a Lower Highs downtrend, which broke to the upside that led to the eventual crash that broke below both the MA50 and MA200 (blue and orange trend-lines respectively). Even their RSI structures are similar.
The COVID crash taught us that as long as the MA200 closed the candles above it, a massive rally was sustained to new Highs. If the same structure is followed on the current fractal, we may see BTC rising by as high as $150k.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

Monero (XMRUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the February 06 2024 Low and last Friday's flash crash almost tested its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line).
The last time this got hit was on the August 16 2025 Low, which also touched the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), the market's natural Support since November 27 2024. As long as this level holds, the Channel Up will remain intact and should technically push for a new Higher High.
Ahead of a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross formation (possibly even today), we can assume that XMR will go for at least a +79.64% rally from the recent Low, which has been the 'weakest' Bullish Leg within this pattern.
That gives us a $420 Target that would match the May 26 2025 High. Technically the Bullish Leg can also complete a +128.49% rise (strongest Bullish Leg of the pattern), even go as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, again as long as the 1W MA50 holds.
If it fails to support though, be ready for a potential 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) test around $190.00.
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#Monero #XMR #XMRUSD #XMRUSDT #signals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding rather as aggressively as it flash crashed on Friday following President Trump's threats on new China tariffs. We've seen the outcome of such Trade War threats back in February - April. In fact that was the last time (April 09 2025) that BTC hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line). Following that, an enormous long-term rally followed that made new All Time Highs (ATH).
Friday was the first time since then that the price almost touched the 1W MA50, while breaking through the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 22. Friday's Low is so far technically a Higher Low on the 1-year Rising Wedge pattern.
The more U.S. and China seem to agree on a new truce and not move forward to escalate threats into actions, the stronger the current short squeeze will be in the market and the current rally will most likely target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Rising Wedge on the key psychological level of $130000.
If however it appears that agreements fall through and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Rising Wedge breaks, we expect a deeper and potentially more aggressive fall to he 1W MA100 (green trend-line) around $85000. It also has to be mentioned that Friday's Low hit the 1D RSI 4-month Support Zone and rebounded.
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is pulling back aggressively today following Trump's China-tariffs related news and this weekly rejection is far from ideal technically as well.
In recent years it's been unusual to look at the market on anything but a logarithmic scale, which is natural as it offers a fair representation of BTC's remarkable gains and parabolic Cycles.
On today's analysis however we present the long-term price action on the 1W time-frame without being on the log scale. And as you can see what stands out is a Higher Highs trend-line that dates back to the December 11 2017 Cycle Top, almost 8 years ago.
This trend-line is anything but comforting at the moment as it has caused numerous rejections with the strongest being the April 12 2021 High. More recently it has formed the July 14 2025 High, the August 11 2025 High, last week's (September 29 2025) High and so far the current one (October 06 2025).
This is far from ideal and it gets worse seeing that since the March 04 2024 High, the 1W RSI has been under Lower Highs, which is of course a Bearish Divergence against the markets Higher Highs, similar to the Lower Highs of the previous Cycle that formed the November 08 2021 Top.
This time is indeed a little different though as the RSI's current 3rd Lower High is still a Higher High for BTC while on the previous Cycle it was (March 21 2022) already a Lower High for the price as well inside a Bear Cycle that has already started.
Still, do you believe this 8-year Higher Highs trend-line rejection is alarming or not?
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#BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #signals