风清扬Victories

#ETH走势分析 I don't know how many people cursed me at the time, saying that Ethereum is simply a hopeless case. The facts have proven that those who criticized me have been slapped in the face. Strong individuals never need to prove themselves. In this round, no one knows how high ETH will go, but if you had increased your position as I suggested back then, no matter how much it retraces, it won't reach your cost level. I still remain optimistic about $ETH

#币安Alpha新机遇
I've seen many people saying they want to leave Binance Alpha. As someone with a bit of common sense, you can think about it: at this stage, is there any investment with more certainty than this? So don’t just listen to what others say; look at what they do. I still strongly recommend that especially new players seize this opportunity. Additionally, don’t overlook Binance Coin; it is undoubtedly a golden shovel and one of the few mainstream coins that has its own moat. I firmly believe it can reach $1000
$BNB

Finally, I hope to communicate more with everyone in the future and share a red envelope.

The leading force is $ARB , and the price action is steadier than the other two lines. $MUBARAK is climbing harder, but the volume is somewhat thin. $EGLD is squeezed in the middle. These three lines are rising and compressing together, with a noticeable difference in volume. First, see whether the volume can support it; if it can’t, then it’ll still likely surge up and then pull back. In the night session, confirm whether this volume can continue; if it can’t, treat it as an event-driven move.

$ARB $MUBARAK $EGLD

#The probability of a Fed rate hike rises to 68%

Someone is still writing 68% on the Square post, but FedWatch has already returned to roughly 60%–64%. The trending topic is still staying at a high level, and the order book has already loosened. $BTC looks bearish in the short term, with 78,000 acting as resistance. If it can’t get back up, then it’s still a range-bound market. On Friday at 20:30 (Nonfarm Payrolls), $ETH $SOL is to be waited on together with this candle. Before Nonfarm, treat it as a pressure level first—don’t treat the trending-topic number as the order book.

US Stock Daily Review September 3

Overnight: The S&P closed at 7666.60, up 0.46%. High 7681.19, low 7633.62. The Nasdaq closed at 26217.83, up 0.45%. High 26245.04, low 26062.68. The Dow closed at 53061.95, up 0.56%. High 53227.50, low 52829.58. After opening lower, it rebounded, breaking the three-day losing streak; $NVDA , $DELL weighted (TradingKey).

In terms of structure: The S&P’s intraday high was 7681; the 7700 level still hasn’t been tested. The low at 7633 moved away from the previous-day area around 7611 (Yahoo).

On events: ADP August private employment increased by only 38,000. New York Fed President Williams said that long-term yields reflect a strong economy, not inflation concerns. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to about 4.78% (TradingKey/AP). Tonight’s U.S. session at 20:30 initial jobless claims and at 22:00 ISM Services (Beijing time). Earnings to watch: Ciena, Zscaler, and DocuSign.

Intraday outlook: Handle it as a rebound-based observation. If it recovers and holds above 7700, the bearish setup is invalidated; if it breaks below 7630, it will open up the downside.

My view: Short term remains bearish. 7700 is temporarily resistance, not support.

$NVDA $DELL #美股 #S&P

$BTC Daily Review (Sept 3)

Spot 24h: High 77792, Low 76264, current price around 77172. Opened at 77397. Yesterday at 11:00 it surged to 77792 but failed to hold. In the afternoon, it chopped between 77400 and 77700. Starting at 16:00 it broke down in one leg, smashing through 77k. At 18:00 it printed 76264. During the night it bounced back toward 77400. In the Asian early session it traded just below the opening, and the current price is still below the open.

Structurally, the 77.8k peak candle is supply, while demand is around the True Market Mean of 76350 given by Bitfinex on Sep 2. Bitfinex wrote the recent rangebox at 76500–79500, with the base case at 76657–81300. This 24h dip to 76264 hit 76350; 77792 did not reach the upper edge of 79500. Earlier, Bitfinex treated 77100 as support—price broke below it intraday, and only returned to it during the night.

On events: Tomorrow at 20:30 (Beijing time) the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the August Non-Farm Payrolls. The market expects roughly +55k, and July was -23k. CME FedWatch puts the probability of a rate hike at the Sep 15–16 meeting at about 66%. There is no rate decision tonight.

Intraday outlook: Treat as range-bound oscillation. Reclaim and hold above 77800 would invalidate the bearish view; breaking below 76300 opens up the downside. Trading volume may expand around Non-Farm.

My take: Bearish in the short term. 78k is temporary resistance, not support.

$BTC #比特币 #Nonfarm

Momentum is leading with $ACE , and moving up the steps is relatively steady.$FF Next, after charging through this line, it’s still digesting.$T It’s somewhat thin; in the late session, that one vertical line is treated first as an event-style move. These three lines rose about the same, but the volume difference is a notch lower. First, see whether the volume can hold it up—if it can’t, it’ll still surge and then fade. Confirm again in the night session whether this volume can continue.

$ACE $FF $T

#ARB up 30% driven by Robinhood chain revenue

Robinhood chain revenue has pushed $ARB up. In the short term as an event-driven move, 0.116 is the resistance. If it can’t hold, then it’s still likely to spike and then pull back. $UNI and $HOOD are tied to this chain narrative. The trending-search traffic is here, and the price is still below the resistance area. This move is driven by news—first, see whether this resistance level can hold.

US stock daily review Sep 2

Overnight: The S&P closed at 7631.47, down 0.71%, with a high of 7663.63 and a low of 7611.20. The Nasdaq closed at 26099.77, down 1.03%, with a high of 26260.68 and a low of 25995.53. The Dow closed at 52766.88, down 0.79%, with a high of 53176.60 and a low of 52691.31. After the open, prices surged and then pulled back; the Nasdaq was the weakest. $NVDA and $AMZN dragged on the market (AP).

Structurally: The S&P tested around a four-week low (Barchart); the intraday low at 7611 was touched. It failed to reclaim and close back above 7700.

On events: A new round of military strikes between the US and Iran pushed up oil prices. WTI closed above 90, and the yield on the 10-year US Treasuries rose to about 4.79% (AP). Tonight in the US session, watch the 20:15 ADP private-sector employment report, and the Beige Book at 2:00 AM the next day (Beijing time). On Friday is non-farm payrolls; 9/15–16 FOMC. CME FedWatch indicates a September rate hike probability of about 66%–68%.

Intraday performance: Treat it as a failed push higher and pullback. Reclaiming and holding above 7700 would invalidate the bearish setup; breaking below 7610 would open up the downside.

My view: Bearish in the short term. 7700 is currently resistance, not support.

$NVDA $AMZN #美股 #S&P

$BTC Daily Review 9/2

Spot 24h: High 79,221, Low 76,420, current price around 77,442. It opened at 78,838. After hitting the intraday high earlier in the afternoon, it pulled back; during the Asia session it dropped to the low at around midnight, then rebounded to the 77.4 万 area in the morning.

In terms of structure, supply around 79,000 remains overhead. Binance spot 24h high: 79,221; low: 76,420. After touching the low there was a rebound, but it did not reclaim the opening price, nor did it revisit the intraday high.

On the event side: Friday, 20:30 Beijing time — U.S. August Non-Farm Payrolls.

Intraday performance: Treat it as a rally-then-fade move. If it reclaims and holds above 79,221, the bearish view is invalidated; if it breaks below 76,420, the downside channel opens.

My view: Short-term bearish. 80,000 is temporarily resistance, not support.

$BTC #Bitcoin

In today’s biggest gainers list, the one with the most solid volume is ARB—up 29.5% in the last 24 hours. With trading volume of over $55 million, it’s the standout leader of the whole session. As Arbitrum—the leading Ethereum Layer 2 scaling solution—this rebound has attracted real capital; it’s not just a pump—it’s the most worth watching today.

UNI continues to strengthen, gaining another 11.7% today, with the price touching 5.7. Fueled by a return of DeFi capital, it’s been climbing for several straight days. Trading volume is close to $60 million, making it the best in terms of staying power among this group.

NEAR is up 4.2%. By setting privacy for on-chain finance as the default, the narrative has heated up again. Trading volume is over $32 million, and it’s following a steady approach.

Out of the three, I like ARB the most: it has strong volume and good upside volatility. For UNI, if you got in early, just hold. For NEAR, it’s more suited to slowly grinding—don’t expect to get rich overnight.

#涨幅榜 #ARB #Arbitrum #UNI

In today’s square discussions, the biggest disagreement is over ETF fund flows. Bitcoin’s ETF net inflows were cut off after 9 straight days, with a single day seeing an outflow of $200 million; but Ethereum’s ETF, going against the trend, has had net inflows for 12 straight days, with another $100 million added in a day. It’s the same ETF—one side withdraws while the other buys. Big capital is shifting between Bitcoin and Ethereum, suggesting that in the short term people aren’t too optimistic about “the big pie” and are turning to bet on Ethereum.

Another topic that’s been everywhere is the Taliban in Afghanistan imposing a blanket ban on crypto trading. Crypto inflows dropped from a peak of $150 million to less than $80,000. Traders were arrested and storefronts shut down. In places without legitimate banking channels, this is effectively cutting off value-storing channels. Don’t underestimate this regulatory “blade.”

Also consider that the Fear and Greed Index is still at 74 in the greed zone—so people are still calling to go long, and they’re saying to buy. With this kind of enthusiasm and the divergence of funds, I just don’t feel at ease.

My take: keep an eye on this round for Ethereum; for Bitcoin, wait for funds to return before deciding—don’t rush to grab the rebound.

#加密货币 #币安广场 #ETF #Market sentiment

Bitcoin has been grinding back and forth between 77,000 and 80,000 over the past few days. After the big red candle on the 28th smashed down, it didn’t collapse again by the end of August—instead, it held steady and closed at 78.5k, with the overall trend gradually lifting upward.

But today’s opening was basically a straight line, and there was no meaningful trading volume, which indicates that neither the bulls nor the bears have made up their minds at this level yet. 80,000 is capping the upside, while 77,000 is holding up the downside.

My view is very straightforward: don’t try to guess the big direction here—just watch both ends. If it breaks above 80,000 on strong volume, you can ride a move. If it falls below 77,000, reduce positions and leave first. In the middle, just hold steady and wait for it to choose its own direction.

#比特币 #BTC #行情分析

Today’s top gainers list—UNI is the one most worth watching.

Uniswap is up 18.6% today. The main driver is its listing on Robinhood—protocol revenue has followed suit, and capital is flowing back into DeFi. As the DEX blue-chip leads the way, the rally looks more solid than meme coins. It’s the most logical move of the day.

PROM is up 36.2%. The cross-chain restaking narrative is heating up again; capital is active. It has volume and momentum, but its upside comes with higher elasticity—drawdowns can happen quickly too.

ZKC is leading the pack, hitting 68.1% over the past 24 hours. But it’s a newcomer—fast rise also means fast pullbacks. It’s better for monitoring than for making a heavy bet.

Of the three, I think UNI is the smoothest. For the other two, treat one as a play for volatility and the other as a barometer—don’t rush to chase the highs.

#涨幅榜 #UNI #Uniswap #PROM

The tightest debate in today’s square was about the Fed’s hawkish speech. The probability of a rate hike in September was immediately pushed up to 45%. The record streak of Bitcoin ETFs rising for nine straight days was broken—net outflows of $200 million in a day. Bitcoin fell to 787,000. Even more importantly, next week’s jobs (NFP) data is key—if it comes in negative, that’s a major variable. In this kind of situation, the data calls the shots; don’t rush to guess.

The second focus is the Solana governance vote: it aims to double the rate at which the inflation drops, which effectively means reducing supply. The market is trying to figure out whether this wave can hold up SOL’s valuation, but the vote hasn’t been finalized yet—don’t treat it as good news just yet.

There’s also plenty of disagreement around ETH in the square. The more bullish people there are, the more you need to be careful—crowded places are where it’s easy to step on something.

Today, everyone in the square is waiting—waiting for the data. I’m the same: stay still and wait for the signals.

#比特币 #币安广场 #美联储 #Solana

There are signs that Bitcoin has stabilized today. After the big red candle on the 28th smashed down to 77,000, it didn’t continue lower—instead, it slowly rebounded. Today it closed at 78.4k. After two consecutive days of small green candles, the volume has also held steady.

But don’t get too excited yet—the level of 80k above is still not broken. As long as it can’t stay above 80k, it’s still a range-bound market; you can’t really call it a reversal. These past few days are just a breather after the heavy sell-off.

My take is straightforward: for the short term, you can try to bet on a rebound’s momentum. Set your defense at 77k; if it breaks, exit and don’t linger. If you really want to feel confident going long, wait for a high-volume reclaim back above 80k. At this level, it’s better to make less profit than to chase higher prices.

#比特币 #BTC #Market Analysis

Today’s top gainers list—three coins have real weight. I’ll go through them one by one.

HNT has surged today straight up: in the past 24 hours it’s up 67.8%, with a current price of $0.38. It’s a representative of a decentralized wireless network. This time it’s moving in step with the AI and compute-power narrative. Trading volume is over $50 million—this looks like a genuine push rather than empty hype.

BCH has also come to the forefront, up 22.5%, currently at $265. Market cap is $5.3 billion, and 24-hour trading volume is $470 million. Among mainstream coins, such a large volume clearly indicates real capital flowing in. Combined with the pre-halving expectations being stirred up, this is the most solid one on the board today.

BTW is up 31.8%, with a market cap of $1.3 billion. It’s a newcomer in the Bitcoin ecosystem—there’s plenty of attention, but its staying power still needs to be verified.

Of the three, I’m relatively more bullish on BCH: the volume is there, the market cap is strong, and the logic is coherent. HNT has more upside potential, but its volatility is also higher—don’t chase and don’t hesitate when buying high.

#涨幅榜 #BCH #BitcoinCash #比特币

The hottest topic in today’s plaza discussion is Bitcoin. Over the past 24 hours it has fallen 3.4%, dropping to $77,400, and the comments section is full of back-and-forth arguments between bulls and bears.

Some people are calling for a dip-buying opportunity, while others think it will break below $70,000. The disagreement is significant.

Another hot topic is that Charles Schwab plans to add SOL, AVAX, and LINK. Traditional brokerage firms are starting to reach into crypto, and that’s generally positive for the related tokens—but don’t expect an independent rally anytime soon.

There’s also what a Fed official, Waller, said. The market has pushed rate-hike expectations higher; the U.S. dollar has strengthened, and gold and silver have fallen accordingly. This kind of environment is not friendly to risk assets, and crypto can’t escape it either.

Overall, the plaza’s sentiment today is more cautious, moving in step with the decline in the big BTC.

My view is very direct: at this kind of position, don’t go looking for excitement. Wait for direction to become clear, and don’t sprint ahead amid disagreement.

#比特币 #币安广场 #行情分析 #Market Sentiment

Today Bitcoin spiked higher and then pulled back. The big bearish candle on the 28th dropped from 81,000 all the way to 77,000, a decline of about 3 percentage points, almost wiping out the gains from the past few days. After that, the rebound settled around 78,000. Today it just traded sideways again, with no meaningful increase in volume.

The key is the 80,000 level. If price can reclaim 80,000 on strong volume, then the previous candle can only be considered a washout, and the trend can still continue. If it can’t hold, then 78,000 becomes the trading midpoint in the range, and the next support to watch is 75,000. The judgment is straightforward: for the short term, observe first and don’t rush to buy the dip. If you already have a position, reduce some and lock in profits if it can’t get back above 80,000; place your defensive level at 77,000. Don’t catch the falling knife if it breaks below 77,000—wait for a move with strong volume before making a decision.

#比特币 #BTC #Market Analysis

Tonight, #$DEXE leads the board, up about +21% over the last 24 hours. The quoted成交 amount is about 46.60 million USDT. Both price and volume are in the lead positions. This rally is still holding up. $NIL and $ONG are right behind, each up more than 10%, but with a smaller volume scale. Record this for now.

#热门代币 #Binance Square

#Bitcoin fell 3.4% in 24 hours to $77.4k

The $80k level hasn’t been regained yet—treat this as resistance, not support.

The Asia session is still bleeding; short-term outlook is bearish. Until it’s back above that level, handle any rebound as resistance first.

$BTC #Bitcoin