林睿讲趋势

The initial jobless claims at 21:30 tonight and the EIA crude oil inventory at 23:30 are actually the "invisible barometers" of the crypto market. Previously, I helped everyone earn 12,000 U by analyzing this type of data on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Tonight, I have also clarified how the data will affect the market and what strategies should be applied.

Many friends are still worried that the data will disrupt the market or that they will miss the opportunities hidden within the data. In fact, as long as you sort out the logic of the data and the market, regardless of whether the outcome is hawkish or dovish, you can still catch the right rhythm.

If you also want to understand how this data will actually affect your positions, or if you want to know in advance how to respond to potential market changes, feel free to reach out to me. I will provide you with the organized logic and response strategies directly, so you can trade more confidently tonight. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

The big pie is taking off with all the space singles! Brothers, long lines! Big pie 22200, Ethereum 1100 points! Hundred times the margin!
#加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析 #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH

Gold Fluctuations Awaiting ADP: Precision in High Short Layout

Last night, gold initially fell then rose and fluctuated. The US market peaked at 4230, encountering strong resistance. The short position at 4223 was expected to decline, and although there was a rebound in the latter half of the night, the bearish trend remained unchanged. This week's non-farm payroll data is delayed, and tonight's ADP data will have an amplified influence, serving as a key directional guide in the short term.

From a technical perspective, the 1-hour moving average is flattening, and a downward turn will intensify weakness. 4230 has become a key resistance level. In this fluctuating pattern, the competition between bulls and bears is fierce; a short-term rebound presents a good opportunity to short, and acting according to the trend is essential to seize core opportunities.

Morning Strategy

Entry: Short at 4226
Stop Loss: 4240
Target: Around 4170-4160

The market changes rapidly, and real-time levels and dynamic adjustments must closely follow market rhythms. Lock in daily strategies and interact in real-time with professional teams to accurately grasp the pulse of gold. #加密市场回调 #黄金 $BTC

US Dollar Index and Commodity Intraday Trading Strategies

1. US Dollar Index

The daily line rebounded from the bottom and formed a doji star, intensifying short-term bullish and bearish speculation; focus on the core range of 99.0-99.5 during the day, and follow the trend after a breakthrough.

2. Gold (XAU/USD)

Yesterday's volatility led to a doji star, with 4264 forming strong resistance; the target for the triangle breakout has not been achieved, and it may rise after a short-term adjustment. Strong resistance: 4308 (weekly key level), 4264, 4245, 4236 (intraday dividing line); support zone: 4219 (near support), 4200 (yesterday's low), 4193-4174 (strong support at the top and bottom conversion).

In terms of operation, when 4219-4239 is not broken in the morning, go short at high and long at low; if it stabilizes above 4236, look for bullish trends up to 4245-4264, if it breaks below 4219, look down to 4205, and accumulate long positions in batches upon reaching 4193-4174. Strategies such as going long at 4211 and short at 4240 yesterday were in line with the volatility rhythm.

3. Crude Oil (WTI)

The daily line formed a long upper shadow bullish candle, with pressure appearing above; during the day, lay out long positions near 59.0, and short lightly at 60.6.

Risk Warning: Strictly control positions, combine real-time volume with actual trading, set stop-losses properly, as the market has uncertainties, and make decisions based on actual trading. #黄金跳水 $BTC

This week, international gold rose from $4040/ounce to $4226/ounce (closing at $4219), primarily driven by increasing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, coupled with Shanghai Gold Exchange inventories hitting a ten-year low and a surge in Chinese demand. Slowing U.S. job growth, weak economic activity, and low inflation further bolster rate cut bets.

Next week will see a concentration of key data: Monday's November ISM Manufacturing PMI, Wednesday's ISM Services PMI + October ADP employment (with heightened attention following no NFP context), and Thursday's initial jobless claims + core PCE + Michigan University Consumer Sentiment preliminary.

The 4-hour chart shows that gold prices have broken through the descending trend line, targeting resistance near 4245. A breakout would look towards 4370-4380, while resistance would see fluctuations within the 4045-4245 range, allowing for both long and short positions before breaking out of the range.

Short position: Enter at 4274-4276, with a stop at 4280
Long position: Enter at 4178-4180, with a stop at 4174
#黄金 #BTC走势分析

Veteran of the cryptocurrency world transforms into gold! My old clients are quietly switching fields, you should wake up.

From watching Bitcoin candlesticks to calculating gold daily charts, I've accompanied everyone in the cryptocurrency world for 9 years, avoiding 3 major crashes and capturing 4 waves of doubling markets, relying only on trends and not luck. But now, I must remind old friends: the stable days of the cryptocurrency world are really becoming fewer.

Just last week, the central bank clearly stated that stablecoins are also virtual currencies, which belong to illegal financial activities. The risks of money laundering and frozen accounts are more severe than before. We have all experienced it — in November, Bitcoin dropped from $126,000 to $82,000, causing widespread liquidation; there were also issues with platforms suddenly restricting withdrawals and accounts being frozen, making it hard-earned money always paying for uncertain risks.

Meanwhile, the gold market has quietly exited a bull market: London gold has broken through $4,250/ounce, rising over 40% this year, and domestic gold ETF holdings have directly surged by 164%. More reliably, the People's Bank of China has been increasing its gold holdings for 11 consecutive months, and central banks worldwide are frantically 'sweeping up' — this is not speculation, it is treating gold as the most stable 'ballast'.

My old clients have already taken action: some have liquidated half of their ETH and exchanged it for bank investment gold bars, locking in previous doubling profits; some used USDT to allocate gold ETFs, avoiding the volatility of the cryptocurrency world while earning 20% alongside gold prices; others followed my short-term strategies and earned two months' worth of living expenses at the end of the month — gold doesn’t have the explosive ups and downs of the cryptocurrency world, but with policy support and physical backing, every penny earned is solid.

If you are also afraid of cryptocurrency risks and want to secure your crypto earnings; if you want your assets to be a bit more stable in a tightening regulatory market; if you trust my analysis and vision over the years — look at me now, helping you seamlessly transition. #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH

No beating around the bush, just get it done! Firmly shorting, Bitcoin rakes in 2000 points, Ethereum gains 70 points, execution power maxed out = profits doubled! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

Everyone is drunk while I am sober, and while the whole network is bullish, I am bearish!

Three days ago, I anchored my independent judgment and set up long-term short positions in Bitcoin, securing a space of 3500 points + 34148U smoothly in my pocket——Awakening is never lonely, but the confidence supported by foresight! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

The moment of establishing a long-term layout in Ethereum!

On 11.28, when the whole network was rushing to hit more than 3500 orders, only I anchored short positions against the trend, not following the crowd is the true professional confidence! 190 points of profit space + 19130U in hand, long-term vision is never about following trends, but about being clear-headed amidst the frenzy of the crowd—let's raise a glass to celebrate together with the comrades who kept up! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

The morning Bitcoin has sharply dropped below the predicted levels! Has everyone had their first bite of meat in December?

Today, Bitcoin is fluctuating around 87000, stopping its decline. The daily bullish momentum is exhausted and turning bearish, while the 4-hour bearish volume breaks down, showing weakness in the rebound! Be decisive to short around Bitcoin 88000 and 88800, targeting 85000; for Ethereum, short around 2880 and 2920, aiming for 2800 and 2700, going with the trend, and take profits without lingering! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

4500 points of big pie + 220 points of Ethereum secured! Don't just talk about ideas, let execution do the talking, follow along, and you will be the next to reap the rewards! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $BNB

90931 Halt and observe, precise strike on the short position near 91500—only those who dare to short against the trend at high positions have true strength!

Bitcoin profit of 5000 points secured, Ethereum steadily captured at 210 points, anticipating is not guessing the peak, but the absolute confidence in market game theory! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

The snowball rolls heavier, and the trend becomes clearer; positions are increased according to regulations, and profits naturally accumulate. The rebound of Ethereum at 13976U has been secured, and the layout following the trend will ultimately realize professional value. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

35751U A Safe Bet, The Predicted Short Selling Has Long Been Supported by Evidence. Every Turn in the Market Hides Key Guidance, and Those Misunderstood 'Risks' Are Exactly the Opportunities for Those Who Understand the Trend. Whether One Can Grasp It Depends on One's Own Choices. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

The market never lacks opportunities; what it lacks is the confidence to seize them. The essence of flipping positions is a profound understanding of the market, strict execution of operations, and an indomitable spirit of review. Persistence will eventually resonate. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

Steady and unhurried, one can walk steadily. Profit from the short position at 2400 points, gains of 90 points from Ethereum, with a total of 12000U secured from both positions, each step conceals a respect and insight into the market. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

The profit from the short position at 1100 points has been secured, and the trade concludes smoothly at 11872U. Trading is never a smooth path; being able to remain calm and steadfast in adversity, as well as accurately grasping entry opportunities in rhythm, allows one to advance steadily with the trend, and the results will naturally arrive as expected. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $BNB

Market Rescue, Not QE! Can the Fed's "Limited Intervention" Catch the Crypto Market's Decline?

The Federal Reserve's "market rescue" is by no means the unlimited liquidity that the market expects, but rather a technical buffer aimed at addressing liquidity tightness—currently, bank reserves have fallen below the $3 trillion warning line, the SRF tool has been frequently activated, and short-term financing rates continue to rise. Consequently, the Fed announced it will stop shrinking its balance sheet starting in December, and Powell indicated he might increase asset holdings to stabilize reserves, fundamentally aimed at preventing the spread of a liquidity crisis.

However, it must be clear that the core of this intervention is to "stabilize liquidity" rather than "boost valuations": there are no urgent plans for significant interest rate cuts, and bond purchases are likely to resemble the short-term Treasury bill operations of 2019, with a manageable scale, distinctly different from the floodgates of QE, especially since inflation remains above the 2% target, making aggressive liquidity risks untenable.

For the crypto market, this can only provide short-term relief from the selling pressure caused by liquidity exhaustion; it cannot change the medium-term trend. Future movements still need to be tied to inflation data and the real interest rate cut cycle, and it is unrealistic to expect technical interventions to reverse the situation. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

Choose to surpass blind efforts, using professional judgment as a beacon, so that one can firmly establish a foothold amidst the fluctuations of candlesticks and navigate through all the mist of volatility. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

Time flies, and the monthly conclusion is just around the corner! The countdown to the Spring Festival has entered the final sprint stage. How many people are still struggling to recover in the turbulent market, worried about their positions? But my fans never need this kind of internal friction—those who follow Lao Lin and keep pace have already made a fortune through a series of precise layouts, and the profits in their pockets have long been enough to support a whole year's confidence and dignity!

The market does not sympathize with onlookers; wealth only favors those who dare to take decisive action. In the last window period before the new year, follow my real trading strategy and use solid profits to conclude this year perfectly, returning home for the New Year with confidence, letting others be envious! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH