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11.6 Evening Pancake Analysis

Based on the current trend of the pancake, the summary is: short-term bullish, but keep an eye on support.

First, let's look at the price: currently at 102901, it has risen in the last 24 hours, previously spiking to 104497 before retreating, but it hasn't dropped below the 24h low of 102026, which acts as a 'safety cushion'.

Next, the moving averages: the current price is still above the short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10), like 'standing on a small step'; the upper MA30 (103324) is the current 'small threshold', there is some pressure temporarily, but it hasn't been completely suppressed.

Also, the sentiment: the funding rate is positive, indicating that the bulls are still holding on; the trading volume hasn't collapsed, and the retreat feels more like 'taking a break after a rise'.

As long as it doesn't break below the support of 102000, the short-term is still leaning towards a rise—of course, if it truly breaks this bottom, caution is needed to avoid turning bearish.

Operation suggestion: short positions should be set up during a rebound to the 104500-105000 range, with the initial target set at 102000, aiming for a drop to 99000$BTC
$ETH
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#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #美国ADP数据超预期 #隐私币生态普涨

AIA afternoon chase has been raised

From 2.2 to around 3, it has directly increased by more than 30%

It is no longer suitable to chase now, but instead, we can look for opportunities to do 🈳, around 3 is the previous high resistance, daily line resistance is around 3.5-3.8, you can pay attention to it!$BTC
$ETH
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#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #美国ADP数据超预期 #美国ADP数据超预期

98000，是铁底还是陷阱？

130000，是灯塔还是幻影？

比特此刻站在三岔口，三条路，三种命：

1. 爆拉流：一阳穿云，放量直插苍穹——可惜量能枯得像熊市水井，暂时没戏。

2. 时间流：横盘磨人，慢涨洗心，用“无聊”把抛压熬成渣——最安静，也最可能。

3. 深渊流：98000只是第一层地板，下面还有96000、84000甚至黑暗地下室——一脚踩空，牛市直接改追悼会。

结论：

市场大概率走“时间流”剧本，用震荡把散户磨到没脾气，再悄悄摸高。

短线撸网格，长线躺平等，风来了直接起飞。$BTC
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#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #美国ADP数据超预期 #隐私币生态普涨

葛兰威尔八大法则（均线趋势交易核心指南）

核心逻辑：依托移动平均线判断趋势，遵循“顺势而为”原则，信号直观、实用性强，适用于股票、期货等趋势性市场。

一、买入信号（4大场景：抓趋势启动/延续）

1. 趋势反转买入：均线由下降转为平缓或向上拐头，价格从均线下方突破均线。（金叉+突破共振，最强买入信号）
2. 趋势延续加仓：价格在均线上方运行，回调时未跌破均线便再度上涨。（均线支撑有效，多头趋势未改）
3. 假跌破抄底：价格在均线上方，回调短暂跌破均线后迅速拉回上方。（洗盘结束，趋势延续，逢低买入）
4. 超跌修复买入：价格大幅偏离均线（严重超跌），且均线开始走平或上翘。（超卖后反弹概率高，捕捉修复行情）

二、卖出信号（4大场景：避趋势反转/回调）

1. 趋势反转卖出：均线由上升转为平缓或向下拐头，价格从均线上方跌破均线。（死叉+跌破共振，最强卖出信号）
2. 趋势延续减仓：价格在均线下方运行，反弹时未突破均线便再度回落。（均线阻力有效，空头趋势未改）
3. 假突破止盈：价格在均线下方，反弹短暂突破均线后迅速跌回下方。（诱多结束，趋势反转，果断卖出）
4. 超买止盈：价格大幅偏离均线（严重超买），且均线开始走平或下弯。（回落风险加剧，落袋为安）$BTC
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#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT

Can't live with laughter! Trump's younger son has become a new rich in the cryptocurrency world, and this operation hides a big family strategy

Who understands, family! That 2-meter tall Barron Trump, once called the 'White House Little Prince', quietly did something big—his namesake Meme coin BARRON suddenly launched, directly following his parents' TRUMP coin and MELANIA coin to complete the 'family cryptocurrency package'. The directional signal is too obvious!

Originally, Barron was entering the political arena just after turning 18, serving as a representative for the Republican Party to 'crown' his father and strategizing to attract Gen Z votes for the campaign. Everyone thought he would take the route of a 'political rising star'. As a result, he was suddenly targeted by capital; once the namesake token launched, its market value skyrocketed to 400 million US dollars within 24 hours. Although it has now dropped to 78 million, it still surged 1988% compared to the issuance price, with 750,000 transactions and 964 million in transaction volume directly breaking records in the crypto world!

The most amazing thing is his personal attitude: no promotion, no rumors refuted, solely focusing on 'silence is golden', yet it caused whales and retail investors to scramble like crazy. You have to know his dad Trump is busy with politics, and mom Melania is following the trend to issue coins, while the little son is directly reaping traffic effortlessly. This is not simply playing with coins; it is clearly the Trump family working on a 'cryptocurrency matrix'! On one side, they rely on political heat for traffic, and on the other, they use the family IP to gather resources. Barron's dual operation of 'politics + cryptocurrency' is definitely paving the way for the future.

Do you think Barron really wants to enter the cryptocurrency world, or is he just the 'tool' of family capital? Bet in the comments section and see who guesses the next big move of the Trump family~ $BTC
$ETH
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#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #币安HODLer空投MMT #隐私币生态普涨

币圈修行录

币圈总有人执迷于“心态论”，幻想通过禅修般的内心修炼征服市场。

但现实是：能够持续盈利的人，本就无需刻意调整心态——试图用平静心态弥补认知缺陷，如同给纸船安装黄金舵，终究难抵风浪。

想在币圈立足，首要任务不是修心，而是构建完整的市场认知体系。

常听人质疑：市场充满随机波动，每次开仓都像抛硬币，如何保证长期盈利？

困在“单次盈亏”迷局中的交易者，永远在盈亏边缘挣扎。破局的关键，在于建立“千次交易”的时空观。

假设执行1000次交易，胜率仅40%，但盈利时平均收获5个单位，亏损时仅失去1个单位。最终净收益=200×5 - 600×1=400单位。

这就是职业交易者的生存密码：不追求每战必胜，专注盈亏比的艺术。这里的“千次”是隐喻，代表用战略纵深化解战术波动。

实现路径需要三重转化：

认知层面把握四大法则：

趋势如潮汐，逆流者溺亡

动能似浪涌，强者愈强

回归像引力，极端必回调

周期若四季，牛熊总轮回

执行层面恪守简单哲学：

认准关键位扣动扳机，触及防守线立即撤退。最有效的战法往往朴实无华。

当认知与行动形成闭环，你将拥有：

不再因波动失眠的从容

不再为单笔亏损懊恼的格局

真正把交易变成概率游戏的清醒

不必羡慕那些云淡风轻的操盘手，他们只是先你一步完成了认知升级。现在开始，用系统替代猜测，用规则驾驭情绪，让每笔交易都成为概率优势的注脚。$BTC
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

ADA Today's Trading Strategy

It is recommended to gradually place long positions in the range of 0.5340-0.5260, with the first target at 0.5418, and continue to look towards 0.5520 after a breakthrough.
Stop loss reference below 0.5240, strictly control the position, and seize the opportunity for wave profits! $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Watching K-lines is the same. The more you watch, the more you develop a sense of the market. If the market is simple and the logic is clear, sometimes you can roughly guess the market's direction.

However, what I want to say is that being 'accurate' is not everything in trading.

In fact, it may not even be the most important part.

Many people think that as long as they are accurate, they have achieved great success, but that's not the case.

Being 'accurate' is certainly important; finance is a game of judgment. But it is just the first step; equally important is execution.

Correct judgment, combined with strong execution, is what ultimately leads to profit.

Execution includes strictly adhering to discipline, taking trading seriously, controlling one's gambling tendencies, and continuously refining one's mindset... there is too much to list, including whether the family is harmonious and whether one’s mindset is calm.

'Accuracy' only accounts for 30% of successful trading; the rest depends on the win-loss ratio, capital allocation, and the implementation of profit-taking and stop-loss strategies, all of which rely on you.

Gann wrote in 'Forty-Five Years on Wall Street': 'The greatest help that one man can give another is to show him how to help himself.' $BTC
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

11.5 Evening BTC Analysis

From the 4-hour candlestick perspective, the trend of Bitcoin remains clear: the MACD fast and slow lines continue to cross below the zero axis, and the green bars are expanding, indicating that bearish momentum is continuing; although the RSI indicator is around 30, showing slight signs of being oversold, it has not formed a significant bottom divergence pattern, and the current downward momentum remains sufficient.

Operational Suggestions: You can position around 102100 and 102600, with the following orders: $BTC
$ETH
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Tonight, the golden "life and death game" is set! At 21:15, the ADP non-farm payroll report will ignite global markets with a super signal.

"When the ADP non-farm report rings, gold trembles thrice" is not just an empty phrase! Tonight at 21:15, the U.S. October ADP employment data will make a heavy debut with the "market baton"—current official employment data has frequently distorted, and ADP has become the only core gauge for assessing the true heat of the U.S. job market, with its influence on the market directly doubling compared to the past!

If the data exceeds expectations and shows strength, it means the "resilient iron wall" of the U.S. job market remains unbroken, and the Federal Reserve will have even more confidence in maintaining high interest rates, with the expectation of rate cuts in December likely being directly "frozen"! At that time, the dollar is highly likely to surge strongly, U.S. stocks will face downward pressure, and gold is more likely to experience a sharp drop and correction, with single-wave market fluctuations potentially exceeding 50 points, making the long-short competition enter a heated phase!

Want to accurately catch the market rhythm and avoid the fluctuation traps? Just keep an eye on Sister Yang! In the 30 minutes before the data release, I will break down the long-short logic in advance and predict the market direction; at the moment the data is released, I will also provide real-time point-level operational guidance to help you firmly seize wave opportunities and steadily hold onto profits amid intense fluctuations! $BTC
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

The bearish trend of SOL is clearly visible, the downward momentum is continuously strengthening, and the current market is completely under the control of bears.
Operating suggestion: Short around 160-163, looking down to about 150-145.
$BTC
$ETH
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安合约实盘 #币安HODLer空投MMT

November 5th Pancake Aunty's Thoughts

BTC and ETH have been declining for several days. We have been bearish throughout the process, realizing profits in short, medium, and long-term positions. Many traders in FC have also seized this opportunity.

Currently, my subjective inclination remains bullish, but objective data shows that this wave of decline should stop—support at 98000 is too strong, bouncing back after two dips. Chasing shorts from here could easily lead to pitfalls. In the afternoon, let's focus on short-term trades and act accordingly.

Pancake trading suggestion, short near the rebound at 102000-102800, looking down at 100800-99000; if it breaks, continue to look down.

Aunty's trading suggestion, short near the rebound at 3350-3420, looking down at 3250-3100; if it breaks, continue to look down $BTC $ETH $BNB #隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Opportunities to break out of multiple positions have arrived! Eleven years of insights on breaking free: both new and experienced traders can use it!

If you're stuck, there's no need to panic; choosing the right strategy can help you "break free". Here are three tips suitable for different scenarios, helping you reduce losses and clear your thoughts:

1. Respond to changes with stability: The no-sell, no-loss method
Core logic: When you haven't sold, the unrealized loss on paper does not count as actual loss; patiently hold on and wait for recovery.
Applicable scenario: Long-term investors with sufficient capital and psychological resilience to endure short-term fluctuations.
Pros and cons: No need for urgent decision-making, reducing mental strain, but it tests both capital and patience, as the capital tied up may miss other opportunities.
2. Flexible strategies: The tiered operation method
Core logic: First, cut losses by selling a portion; buy back when the price drops to a low point, reducing costs through "selling high and buying low".
Applicable scenario: The market shows signs of rebound, but the subsequent trend is uncertain, and you want to actively reduce losses.
Pros and cons: Can respond flexibly to short-term fluctuations, with opportunities for quick recovery or small profits, but requires high technical analysis skills; misjudgment can lead to greater losses.
3. Decisive stop-loss: The swift cut method
Core logic: In the event of a unilateral decline in the market, directly liquidate to stop losses and avoid further losses.
Applicable scenario: Short-term investors who judge that the market will continue to fall and do not want to be deeply trapped.
Pros and cons: Can quickly "cut losses" to preserve remaining capital, but if the market rebounds after selling, the opportunity to break free will be missed.

There is no universal formula for breaking free; it needs to be combined with your own capital, mindset, and market judgment. New traders, don't panic; experienced traders, don't be greedy. Being trapped can be a learning opportunity to gradually cultivate the ability to "break the game". $BTC
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

SOL Afternoon Thoughts. From the overall market perspective, the sentiment around SOL still leans bearish, entering a phase of 'oversold rebound' or 'oscillating decline' in the short term.
It is recommended to short in the range of 157.80-159.50.
Targeting the range of 153.80-148.80 nearby $ETH
$BTC
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Afternoon SOL operation strategy
Rebound adjustment for short selling
Entry range: around 157.80-159.20 for short
​Looking down at the first target 155.40, if broken, then look at around 252.90
​Set good defense, operate flexibly $BTC
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

SUI Today's Operation Strategy

I. Core Conclusion

Today's SUI operation is centered on "buying in a range", with 1.9900-2.0100 being the optimal entry window, utilizing a stepwise target approach to capture short-term gains.

II. Key Operation Points

1. Entry Range: 1.9900-2.0100, look for opportunities to build positions for a long position within this range;

2. Target Points: First target at 2.0350, look towards the second target at 2.0800 after breaking through;

3. Risk Control: It is recommended to set a stop loss below 1.9700, and exit decisively if the support level is breached. $BTC
$ETH
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Is Bitcoin really going to 90,000? Why is it still falling?

A deep analysis for everyone

Recently, the market has been nervous, with Bitcoin continuously retracing from its highs. The question in the minds of many investors is just one—wasn't a bull market supposed to come? Why is it still falling? In fact, from a macro perspective, this adjustment is not surprising.

1. Global risk assets under collective pressure

On November 4, global capital markets generally declined. The Japanese and South Korean stock markets, which previously reached new highs, have both retraced, and the U.S. stock market also weakened before trading. This is not just a decline in crypto, but a short-term risk-off cycle for overall risk assets.

2. Interest rate cut expectations cool, liquidity expectations tighten

Last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve signaled in its interest rate meeting that the certainty of a rate cut in December has decreased again. Powell's speech clearly stated that there is currently no urgent need for a rate cut. The market's previously anticipated liquidity easing has been doused with cold water, and funds naturally tend to be conservative.

3. ETF funds shift, market confidence drops in the short term

Last week, Bitcoin U.S. stock ETFs recorded a net outflow of $802 million, and on November 3 (Monday), another $180 million was withdrawn. ETF funds serve as a barometer for institutions, and this net outflow indicates that short-term institutional positions are reducing leverage, putting pressure on the market.

4. U.S. tariff case triggers policy uncertainty

On November 5, the U.S. Supreme Court will hold oral arguments on the "legality of Trump's global tariffs." If the final ruling overturns Trump's tariff policy, the U.S. trade structure may undergo a readjustment. The market pricing in policy uncertainty will inevitably lead to short-term volatility.

5. Government shutdown becomes a new concern

The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its 35th day, tying a historical record. The shutdown has led to limitations on fiscal spending and administrative operations, prompting institutional funds to shift towards defense, and high-risk assets are once again being reduced.

Viewpoint:
This is not a collapse of Bitcoin's own logic, but rather the result of global funds seeking short-term safe havens. The instability of macro liquidity, the outflow of ETF funds, and compounded policy uncertainty have temporarily caused the market to lose its "reason to increase positions." However, the underlying logic of a bull market still exists—as long as macro liquidity stabilizes and ETFs see net inflows again, the market still has the potential to restart its upward trend. $BTC
$ETH
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#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘