In terms of interest rate cuts, the most crucial point is that the Federal Reserve's internal attitude is no longer to 'fight inflation at all costs.' The CME interest rate futures returning to 71% is not surprising, as recent core CPI and PCE are on the decline. Bessenet has also clearly stated that some states are showing signs of recession, which gives the Federal Reserve a reason to take action.
Young people, you must invest in cryptocurrency. The crypto space is the largest "knowledge payment platform"; as long as you dare to think and stay up late, you can learn things that others won't touch in their lifetime. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and hikes, CPI, PPI, non-farm unemployment rate, US dollar index, capital flow, options expiration settlement volume... which one haven't I studied? On-chain data, trading depth, funding rates, whale addresses, gas fees, BTC halving models, ETH burn rates... which one am I not monitoring? Cycle theory, Kondratiev waves, Juglar cycles, bull-bear alternation, crypto four-year halving... which cycle haven't I calculated? Technical indicators, waves, Fibonacci, KDJ, MACD, Bollinger Bands, support and resistance, double bottoms and tops, false breaks, chip distribution... which technical analysis haven't I touched? Emotional cycles, FOMO, FUD, hitting the board, all-in, buying low and selling high... which strategy haven't I tried? Global policies, SEC hearings, ETF approvals, CBDC pilots, Asian trading sessions... which regulation haven't I closely followed? Various tracks, BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX, OP, L2, DePIN, AI coins, GameFi, meme coins... which one don't I understand? Mining machines, electricity costs, computing power, chips, mining field profits... which industrial chain haven't I studied? Public chains, side chains, DEX, CEX, bridges, stablecoins, lending, clearing mechanisms... which protocol am I not familiar with? AI, RWA, Restaking, bot trading, quantitative arbitrage, market making... which strategy haven't I touched? I read white papers, listen to KOLs, browse Twitter spaces, mingle in Discord, check on-chain addresses, copy contract codes... which information don't I understand? Musk tweets, Grayscale's sell-off, BlackRock's increase in holdings, new listings on exchanges, whale sell-offs... which one am I not watching every second? Millionaire big shots tweet and I click, billion-dollar funds bottom fish and I follow; even if I lose badly, I have to study the rhythm of institutions accumulating positions. The pain of losing money, the thrill of liquidation, the heartbeat of chasing highs, the illusion of taking profits—all of this helps you understand the essence of human nature and finance. Ten thousand dollars is enough to make you lose at a PhD level. In the crypto space, nothing like yellow, gambling, or drugs can attract you; with daily fluctuations of over a thousand dollars, your nerves are always online. So, young people, I sincerely say—definitely invest in cryptocurrency! There is no greater opportunity in life than this; quietly work at it and you'll get rich soon!
【U.S. Labor Department Delays November Employment Data Release, Fed Enters One-Month 'Blackout' Again】 The U.S. Labor Department announced that it will release the 'November Employment Situation' data on December 16. This date happens to be 6 days after the December Federal Reserve meeting. The Federal Reserve effectively enters another one-month 'blackout' period for labor market data.
#Alpha The order number earns up to 3000u! How long have you been playing, and how are the earnings?
Binance Alpha has been around for almost a year, and to summarize, it can be said to be a carnival for small retail investors and studios in the crypto circle.
Today, I saw an internal data point that was too outrageous🔥 So far, Binance Alpha has airdropped a total of 204 projects, with 57 exclusive TGEs. The total airdrop amount has reached 360 million USD. The highest profit for a single order is 22,000 U. I originally thought it was just Binance playing casually, but it has now directly evolved into the strongest "airdrop engine" in the crypto circle.
Many people have become rich here, from point brushing to automated scripts. Binance is also competing with studios, and everyone is showing their skills.
Of course, it is impossible for any single account to take all the airdrops, let alone sell at high points. We assume that each time we can sell at half of the highest price, and if we take 8 times in a month, based on an average of 30 airdrops per month, then the normal profit for a single order should be 8/30 * 22000 * 0.5 = 2933u. Calculating over 7 months, the average monthly profit is 419u. Considering the crazy September and the high returns in early bird April, let's take the median, and the normal single order earns 209.5u per month, which is still a very worthwhile project.
Therefore, the number of participants has remained high, and sometimes TGE can reach an investment of 7 BNB, and both phases have become rare, all on a first-come, first-served basis. The most important reason is that there are more monks than porridge, and there are few projects that can offer 100,000 airdrops, each worth over 30u. The project side wants users, but they really can't afford to offer that much bait.
In short, Binance Alpha is no longer just an activity but a large industry. The exchange is certainly the ultimate beneficiary; successful projects make a lot of money, while the most foolish traders who only play with cats and the smartest traders make money together, and only occasionally do the foolish who try to be smart lose money.
Thank you, Binance, for allowing someone like me to make money.
If it's true, it would scare away quite a few scripts.
crypto朴大叔
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#alpha追缴欠款 Is this true? Someone posted a screenshot of themselves being pursued for debt by an alpha activity. Has anyone encountered a similar situation? This is too funny; I wonder if this has deducted wear and tear. If it hasn't been deducted, that would truly be a tragedy!
"The Federal Reserve is Injecting Stimulus into the Bubble" Ray Dalio's latest long article expresses concerns about the "gamble on growth (especially betting on AI)" (the importance relates to our judgment on the direction of the cryptocurrency market and the future of the US stock market) Ray Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates and one of the world's most influential macro investors, known for his "economic machine theory" and "big debt cycle" framework, hailed as one of Wall Street's most important thinkers. A summary that is easy to understand: 1. Why is it called "stimulus bubble"? Dalio points out: If there is an expansion of the balance sheet, while lowering interest rates, with a large fiscal deficit, low credit spreads, and the stock market hitting new highs, the "interaction" between the central bank and fiscal policy is very similar to monetizing government debt—this is common in the later stages of the "big debt cycle". In other words, the money is not for emergency rescue, but to accelerate an already hot market. 2. The sequential effects of balance sheet expansion on assets In the short term, more liquidity compresses real interest rates, reduces risk premiums, and boosts valuation multiples; growth stocks with long durations (technology/AI) and anti-inflation assets (gold, TIPS, etc.) often benefit first. Subsequently, if inflation rises again, nominal interest rates will increase, and the real returns on bonds and overvalued assets will be eroded. 3. The fundamental difference between this and previous QE In the past: assets were cheap, the economy weakened, inflation was low, and credit spreads were large—QE was a "stimulus for recession"; now: valuations are high, the economy is decent, inflation > target, and credit spreads are near low levels—QE is more like "stimulus for bubbles". In one sentence: this is a policy combination of "accelerating during high temperatures": it boosts asset prices in the short term but raises volatility and tail risks in the medium term.
The root cause is still insufficient liquidity, so when the U.S. government starts operating and continues to cut interest rates, BTC will take off.
crypto朴大叔
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#降息了还跌跌不休 Why is it still falling despite the interest rate cut? Many people have been asking recently: With the agreement reached between China and the US, tariffs lowered, the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, and even announcing a halt to balance sheet reduction in December, everything seems to be moving in a positive direction. Why is Bitcoin still falling? 😭
On the surface, it seems like there is 'liquidity injection', but in reality, it's 'liquidity withdrawal'. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is not wrong, but the US government is in a shutdown, and the Treasury is crazily absorbing market liquidity. So what we see is an interest rate cut, but the actual effect is equivalent to 'interest rate hike'.
The SOFR and IORB interest rate spread stands above zero by 30 basis points, TGA balance has surpassed 1 trillion, and reverse repo balances are nearly exhausted, making the funding situation as tight as a drawn bowstring. Additionally, with Balancer being hacked, institutional buying slowing down, and a lack of confidence in the later stage of the four-year cycle, the entire market is contracting. The 'benefit' brought by the interest rate cut is completely offset by the Treasury's 'liquidity withdrawal'.
Looking forward to the US government reopening and recovering! Looking forward to the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in December!
#alpha $MMT One coin, two meals, is there any for you! How many bites can you take?
Tomorrow $MMT will be listed on Binance spot, built for over half a year, and we are finally going to see results.
To be honest, there are currently not many projects in the SUI ecosystem listed on Binance spot, MMT is really going to make things happen.
Binance's HODLer airdrop phase 56, with a total airdrop amount of 750 $MMT, accounting for 0.75% of the total supply, BNB holders are lying down to win.
Last week there was also MMT's pre-tge new offering, if you still hold BNB finance, then receive the alpha airdrop, one coin, two meals, simply delightful. For the projects listed on the spot, our operation is still to run early is better, but also be careful not to sell at the lowest point when everyone rushes in, the project party will still market make, generally first on-chain trading, then on spot, refer to today's $KITE trend. Follow me, let's study crypto cat mining and crypto trading together.
#alpha夹人应对办法 What to do if you lose money buying alpha instantly? Recently, there are not many stable alpha coins, and the probability of incurring large losses due to being squeezed while trying to gain alpha points is increasing. A single transaction of 1000u may lose 100u within a minute, and if you are stuck, it's hard to cut losses immediately, leading to deeper losses. How can this situation be avoided to the greatest extent? First, open the website alpha123.point.uk to check stability, only trade coins with stable double green points. Second, open the one-minute K-line to observe price fluctuations. Remember the mantra: if the enemy moves, I don't move; if the enemy doesn't move, I move. Stop operating when there are significant K-line changes, and trade when there are small K-line fluctuations. Third, set the reverse order, try to buy close to the transaction price, slightly higher, the fourth non-zero digit should be 1-2 higher. Fourth, the most important thing is the selling price of the reverse order. Some say to set the fourth and fifth digits the same and slightly lower. This is very unreliable and can easily lead to being stuck. Unless you are trading Koge, because this coin is stable enough. Most people mainly trade four times the points coin, so you can't set it this way, as it will likely be unsellable, leading to being stuck and unable to handle it in time, which can easily result in the situation shown in the image. One coin may suffer several airdrop losses. So how should it be set? I suggest at least 1-3% lower than the transaction price. At this speed, you generally won't be stuck, significantly reducing the probability of being stuck and hung. Moreover, alpha's limit price is the optimal transaction price, which will also minimize wear and tear. Friends, hurry up and use it, follow me for regular sharing of practical techniques.
It's almost five o'clock, the bnb price is suitable
crypto朴大叔
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Binance Wallet Prime Sale Pre-TGE Phase 2: @MMTFinance $MMT rules are out!
The biggest change this time is that BNB has increased from 3 to 7. As soon as the news broke, BNB surged directly from around 1110 to about 1130, incredible... This is a very direct benefit for BNB. Just ask if you already have about 3, should you buy more~ Bro, the person who came up with this idea deserves a raise, it's empowering BNB again, but retail investors can't afford it~
☻Core rules overview: 🔺Total sales amount: 1.5 million USD 🔺Sales unit price: 0.1 USD (several times lower than the Buildpad platform) 🔺New token issuance time: Tomorrow afternoon 5:00-7:00 (suggested to hedge) 🔺TGE time: November 4, 2025, 18:00
Participation threshold: Requires sufficient Alpha points, which hasn't been announced yet, but it should be released tomorrow. However, this time 15 points will be deducted, and there are no benefits like the first phase that didn't deduct points.
From the price of $MMT, it looks quite cheap, several times lower than the price on Buildpad, but the total sales amount is not much. Additionally, Binance's user base is not comparable to Buildpad, so the multiple oversubscription will definitely be very high, and the tokens that individuals can receive will be less.
After the new token issuance ends, you will receive the key for the MMT token allocation, while the actual tokens will be on the SUI chain and will be directly airdropped to the Binance Alpha account on TGE day, and trading can start at 18:00 on November 4.
It's just that the 7 BNB have blocked quite a few people, regardless of how they leverage loans, small accounts with assets below 10000u can't fill it, unless they have at least one BNB.
Binance Wallet Prime Sale Pre-TGE Phase 2: @MMTFinance $MMT rules are out!
The biggest change this time is that BNB has increased from 3 to 7. As soon as the news broke, BNB surged directly from around 1110 to about 1130, incredible... This is a very direct benefit for BNB. Just ask if you already have about 3, should you buy more~ Bro, the person who came up with this idea deserves a raise, it's empowering BNB again, but retail investors can't afford it~
☻Core rules overview: 🔺Total sales amount: 1.5 million USD 🔺Sales unit price: 0.1 USD (several times lower than the Buildpad platform) 🔺New token issuance time: Tomorrow afternoon 5:00-7:00 (suggested to hedge) 🔺TGE time: November 4, 2025, 18:00
Participation threshold: Requires sufficient Alpha points, which hasn't been announced yet, but it should be released tomorrow. However, this time 15 points will be deducted, and there are no benefits like the first phase that didn't deduct points.
From the price of $MMT, it looks quite cheap, several times lower than the price on Buildpad, but the total sales amount is not much. Additionally, Binance's user base is not comparable to Buildpad, so the multiple oversubscription will definitely be very high, and the tokens that individuals can receive will be less.
After the new token issuance ends, you will receive the key for the MMT token allocation, while the actual tokens will be on the SUI chain and will be directly airdropped to the Binance Alpha account on TGE day, and trading can start at 18:00 on November 4.
It's just that the 7 BNB have blocked quite a few people, regardless of how they leverage loans, small accounts with assets below 10000u can't fill it, unless they have at least one BNB.