烤红薯77
公众号《烤红薯77》：在币圈近十年从业者，三年职业交易员经验。历经两轮牛熊，自有投研团队，顶级一二级资源，擅长各种现货均线理论分析操作，以及短线合约策略入场布局！
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The market value of wojak has actually exceeded 40 million. Now I'm even more reluctant to chase after it. I was still hesitant to buy when it was over 10 million. It's too strong.
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MON went online and has been declining ever since. The current price is in a state of oversold rebound, having rebounded nearly twice in the short term, ranking first in the increase list. In terms of pattern, after breaking below the rectangle, the price began to show signs of stopping the decline, followed by a rapid rebound of nearly twice.
The current price has returned to the rectangular range, with attention on the lower edge around 0.038. If it does not break below, it is likely to continue to rebound upwards. Currently, it seems that the low-level chips have been mostly collected, and it is obvious that the market manipulators have started to take action, with the contract positions continuously increasing. The short-term outlook remains bullish.
The current price has returned to the rectangular range, with attention on the lower edge around 0.038. If it does not break below, it is likely to continue to rebound upwards. Currently, it seems that the low-level chips have been mostly collected, and it is obvious that the market manipulators have started to take action, with the contract positions continuously increasing. The short-term outlook remains bullish.
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Last night, after the U.S. stock market opened, NVIDIA plummeted by 7% at one point, but later it rebounded strongly. I watched the market and found that the BTC candlestick chart almost completely followed NVIDIA's movement, and this morning Bitcoin's performance was particularly strong.
However, I still think this surge is the main force drawing lines and enticing the crowd. The short position I opened yesterday morning had a significant unrealized profit at one point, but unfortunately, it was pulled back later, and I had to exit at the original price, basically breaking even after deducting fees. Today's strategy remains unchanged: continue to monitor high points and short with a light position, betting that it won't break above 90,000. #加密市场反弹
However, I still think this surge is the main force drawing lines and enticing the crowd. The short position I opened yesterday morning had a significant unrealized profit at one point, but unfortunately, it was pulled back later, and I had to exit at the original price, basically breaking even after deducting fees. Today's strategy remains unchanged: continue to monitor high points and short with a light position, betting that it won't break above 90,000. #加密市场反弹
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Dogecoin Price Prediction: DOGE ETF Officially Launched, Could Dogecoin Reach $10?
After years of waiting, the world's first spot Dogecoin ETF has finally launched, igniting market sentiment.
DOGE surged 2.2% following the announcement, reflecting Wall Street's growing interest in cryptocurrencies and further boosting expectations for a price increase in Dogecoin.
Grayscale took the lead, with its Dogecoin fund hitting the market ahead of many competitors. Although REX-Osprey had previously launched a Dogecoin ETP, this is the first pure spot Dogecoin trading tool to be listed in the U.S.
Apart from Grayscale, Bitwise also plans to launch a Dogecoin ETF this week. With the U.S. government shutdown coming to an end, several financial products linked to altcoins are expected to hit the market in quick succession.
DOGE surged 2.2% following the announcement, reflecting Wall Street's growing interest in cryptocurrencies and further boosting expectations for a price increase in Dogecoin.
Grayscale took the lead, with its Dogecoin fund hitting the market ahead of many competitors. Although REX-Osprey had previously launched a Dogecoin ETP, this is the first pure spot Dogecoin trading tool to be listed in the U.S.
Apart from Grayscale, Bitwise also plans to launch a Dogecoin ETF this week. With the U.S. government shutdown coming to an end, several financial products linked to altcoins are expected to hit the market in quick succession.
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BSC's土狗 #memecoin still relies on 二圣 and #ALPHA to drive it!
Today on Binance, ALPHA launched a $BNBHolder and #恶俗企鹅, BSC's土狗 is like celebrating the New Year
Yesterday, I was still complaining about the #meme on BSC being a dead zone, all in tens of thousands, this ALPHA came, and all the charts changed like they received a traffic light signal, instantly turning red to green
I estimate that many players have switched to the SOL chain these days due to the bear market, and some small hot projects on the SOL chain indeed have better liquidity than BSC
Big Brother can’t sit still, the Chinese projects painstakingly built in this round cannot just go to waste, it’s necessary to set the pace
However, speaking of which, ALPHA should be the ultimate favorable method at this stage, I made nearly 6 times on #恶俗企鹅 and sold all 8 million without leaving a single one
If BSC wants to rise again this time, the old projects must not have sustainability, adding a few new projects to raise the launch limit is the right path
When hitting dogs, one must not be greedy, especially in a bear market, once enough is eaten, clear the warehouse and keep the bullets ready for the next golden dog!
Today on Binance, ALPHA launched a $BNBHolder and #恶俗企鹅, BSC's土狗 is like celebrating the New Year
Yesterday, I was still complaining about the #meme on BSC being a dead zone, all in tens of thousands, this ALPHA came, and all the charts changed like they received a traffic light signal, instantly turning red to green
I estimate that many players have switched to the SOL chain these days due to the bear market, and some small hot projects on the SOL chain indeed have better liquidity than BSC
Big Brother can’t sit still, the Chinese projects painstakingly built in this round cannot just go to waste, it’s necessary to set the pace
However, speaking of which, ALPHA should be the ultimate favorable method at this stage, I made nearly 6 times on #恶俗企鹅 and sold all 8 million without leaving a single one
If BSC wants to rise again this time, the old projects must not have sustainability, adding a few new projects to raise the launch limit is the right path
When hitting dogs, one must not be greedy, especially in a bear market, once enough is eaten, clear the warehouse and keep the bullets ready for the next golden dog!
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Finally discovered, all exchanges' altcoins have a decline greater than bes, and their increase is not as much?
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In this round of the bull market, those who see a slow bull will later see a slow bear
Because they believe that the bear market will continue indefinitely, just as they think the bull market will continue indefinitely
Because they believe that the bad things happening now have completely changed the logic of the original situation, and that original logic will never return
Because they buy in the bull market by listening to others, and in the bear market, they also sell by listening to others
Because of weakness, they are afraid to face the losses in their accounts, they just want to escape, and to escape, they need to find reasons for themselves, well, the capital market is just a casino, I should never have entered in the first place, I was deceived, yes, it's not that my ability is lacking, but because it is a casino, those who haven't lost are either the house or will eventually lose everything, so it's better to just settle it all and be at ease
In fact, it's just weakness, we must believe in our human ability to justify ourselves and find reasons for ourselves!
Because they believe that the bear market will continue indefinitely, just as they think the bull market will continue indefinitely
Because they believe that the bad things happening now have completely changed the logic of the original situation, and that original logic will never return
Because they buy in the bull market by listening to others, and in the bear market, they also sell by listening to others
Because of weakness, they are afraid to face the losses in their accounts, they just want to escape, and to escape, they need to find reasons for themselves, well, the capital market is just a casino, I should never have entered in the first place, I was deceived, yes, it's not that my ability is lacking, but because it is a casino, those who haven't lost are either the house or will eventually lose everything, so it's better to just settle it all and be at ease
In fact, it's just weakness, we must believe in our human ability to justify ourselves and find reasons for ourselves!
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Continue to track the market maker Wintermute, who withdrew $33.38 million last week.
They have increased the following positions: ETH, WBTC, ASTER, XAUT, SOL, XAUT, SENA, 4, VIRTUAL, DEGEN, WIF, STRK, (ZEX, GRASS, IMX, FLOKI, ONDO, PNUT, 1INCH, PENDLE, AVAX, and ACT.
Conversely, they have reduced their positions in RSTETH, FARTCOIN, POL, LINK, BONK, PUMP, MET, CRV, FLUID, ARC, TRUMP, SKYAI, SNX, and GRT.
The market-making institution is currently also engaging in a frenzy of altcoin swaps.
They have increased the following positions: ETH, WBTC, ASTER, XAUT, SOL, XAUT, SENA, 4, VIRTUAL, DEGEN, WIF, STRK, (ZEX, GRASS, IMX, FLOKI, ONDO, PNUT, 1INCH, PENDLE, AVAX, and ACT.
Conversely, they have reduced their positions in RSTETH, FARTCOIN, POL, LINK, BONK, PUMP, MET, CRV, FLUID, ARC, TRUMP, SKYAI, SNX, and GRT.
The market-making institution is currently also engaging in a frenzy of altcoin swaps.
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Grayscale's First ETF Sparks Dogecoin Bull Market? Trading Volume Expected to Reach $12 Million, Is the Next Surge Coming!
As the cryptocurrency market experiences a comprehensive recovery, Dogecoin, known as the 'king of meme coins', has once again become the focus of the market. With the official launch of the first spot Dogecoin ETF, how its price will react has become a topic of close attention for investors.
Today, cryptocurrency asset management company Grayscale launched its first spot Dogecoin ETF, trading under the code GDOG. Analysts at Bloomberg predict that the trading volume on the first day of the ETF's listing is expected to exceed $12 million, marking this event as a milestone.
Before the ETF officially goes live, the price of Dogecoin has already increased by more than 2%. The market is generally concerned whether the launch of the ETF will drive a new wave of rising trends.
Today, cryptocurrency asset management company Grayscale launched its first spot Dogecoin ETF, trading under the code GDOG. Analysts at Bloomberg predict that the trading volume on the first day of the ETF's listing is expected to exceed $12 million, marking this event as a milestone.
Before the ETF officially goes live, the price of Dogecoin has already increased by more than 2%. The market is generally concerned whether the launch of the ETF will drive a new wave of rising trends.
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In the last two weeks, both Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs have experienced net outflows, indicating that retail investors are panic selling. Only long-term holders like El Salvador and MicroStrategy are maintaining their positions. If they can survive the next bear market, MicroStrategy's market value should be able to reach the top ten globally.
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Dogecoin Valuation Too High: Key Game in a Bear Market, Will Grayscale ETF Ignite DOGE Trend Change?
Recently, influenced by the overall sluggish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, the price of Dogecoin has continued to come under pressure. Although the current price has retraced from previous highs, driven by strong expectations for Grayscale's upcoming Dogecoin ETF (GDOG), this well-known 'meme coin' is still widely regarded as overvalued.
The heated discussion around GDOF may translate into a significant increase in trading volume this Monday, potentially reversing Dogecoin's short-term trend.
Investor confidence constitutes support
The NVT ratio of Dogecoin (Network Value to Transactions Ratio) has quickly risen recently, reflecting a significant divergence between its market value growth and actual on-chain transaction activity. This indicator measures asset valuation levels by comparing market value with on-chain transaction volume, and a sharp rise in the ratio usually indicates that price increases are not sufficiently supported by actual usage demand.
The heated discussion around GDOF may translate into a significant increase in trading volume this Monday, potentially reversing Dogecoin's short-term trend.
Investor confidence constitutes support
The NVT ratio of Dogecoin (Network Value to Transactions Ratio) has quickly risen recently, reflecting a significant divergence between its market value growth and actual on-chain transaction activity. This indicator measures asset valuation levels by comparing market value with on-chain transaction volume, and a sharp rise in the ratio usually indicates that price increases are not sufficiently supported by actual usage demand.
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Why are so many people worried about whether the strategy will fail?
If it really fails, it might actually be a good thing for retail investors.
It means we might be able to buy Bitcoin at an extremely low price
Then leverage a bit to ride the main upward wave.
This is the biggest dividend in the cryptocurrency circle.
If it really fails, it might actually be a good thing for retail investors.
It means we might be able to buy Bitcoin at an extremely low price
Then leverage a bit to ride the main upward wave.
This is the biggest dividend in the cryptocurrency circle.
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$ZEC
The technical aspect of ZEC presents a double evening star pattern, with a solid top formation. On-chain data consistently shows that since November 8, the main funds have continuously distributed, resulting in a downward fluctuation in market concentration. The technical and capital aspects jointly confirm the downward trend, making short selling the most certain trading opportunity at present.
The technical aspect of ZEC presents a double evening star pattern, with a solid top formation. On-chain data consistently shows that since November 8, the main funds have continuously distributed, resulting in a downward fluctuation in market concentration. The technical and capital aspects jointly confirm the downward trend, making short selling the most certain trading opportunity at present.
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Brothers, Bitcoin has hit the bottom, buy in at 80,000, it will rise to 100,000 next month, and you can still enjoy a 20% bull market on the tail, the last wave of the market must be seized, otherwise, you will have to wait 4 years for the bull market to start
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Bottom Fishing
1. After a sharp decline in BTC yesterday, it formed a large long shadow K-line with a huge volume, exceeding the liquidation day of 1010. The liquidity from yesterday's panic selling was absorbed by large funds, which is a signal of a stage bottom.
2. Similar to January 2022, it also found support at the weekly EMA120 moving average and initiated a rebound.
3. BTC needs to rise above 86300; otherwise, there is a risk of a second downward pin bar if the bearish market structure does not change from a smaller timeframe.
1. After a sharp decline in BTC yesterday, it formed a large long shadow K-line with a huge volume, exceeding the liquidation day of 1010. The liquidity from yesterday's panic selling was absorbed by large funds, which is a signal of a stage bottom.
2. Similar to January 2022, it also found support at the weekly EMA120 moving average and initiated a rebound.
3. BTC needs to rise above 86300; otherwise, there is a risk of a second downward pin bar if the bearish market structure does not change from a smaller timeframe.
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Dogecoin Price Prediction: DOGE Drops Below $0.13, Why Does It Keep Falling? How Low Can It Go?
Dogecoin (DOGE) has just experienced a 'terrifying plummet' — the price has plummeted by 12% within 24 hours, directly breaking below the 0.14 mark. Traders are in a rush to 'emergency escape', and the price predictions for Dogecoin have been completely overturned, with the originally optimistic expectations suddenly replaced by panic.
The signal of 'diminished heat' is at its peak: futures positions have hit a year and a half low.
More concerning than the price collapse is the solid signal of 'diminishing heat': the open interest for Dogecoin futures has dropped to its lowest level since April 2025, and the once-popular 'meme coin' is now visibly 'cooling down'.
The signal of 'diminished heat' is at its peak: futures positions have hit a year and a half low.
More concerning than the price collapse is the solid signal of 'diminishing heat': the open interest for Dogecoin futures has dropped to its lowest level since April 2025, and the once-popular 'meme coin' is now visibly 'cooling down'.
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Last night's surge was essentially a proactive rebound by BTC's main capital after the dump. Don't be naive to think that just relying on retail sentiment can push the price from the low to 84-85k. With such precise strength and pressure points for selling, how can retail have this level of organization and capital? Why does the main force keep trying to rebound again and again?
The answer is obvious: if they don't push up, how will institutions, KOLs, and signal teachers shout 'the historical bottom has appeared' and 'all in at the bottom'? If they don't trick you into taking over, how can they sell their goods and convert their chips into real money? Many people only see the K-line rising and get hot-headed chasing longs, completely failing to understand who is pushing behind this rise and who is running away.
Without understanding the logic of the main force, you will only keep chasing highs, standing guard, and averaging down, ultimately getting harvested to zero. It doesn't matter if you are a retail investor, a wealthy individual, or a big influencer with millions of followers; as long as you can't understand this game, the outcome will be the same. #ETH巨鲸增持
The answer is obvious: if they don't push up, how will institutions, KOLs, and signal teachers shout 'the historical bottom has appeared' and 'all in at the bottom'? If they don't trick you into taking over, how can they sell their goods and convert their chips into real money? Many people only see the K-line rising and get hot-headed chasing longs, completely failing to understand who is pushing behind this rise and who is running away.
Without understanding the logic of the main force, you will only keep chasing highs, standing guard, and averaging down, ultimately getting harvested to zero. It doesn't matter if you are a retail investor, a wealthy individual, or a big influencer with millions of followers; as long as you can't understand this game, the outcome will be the same. #ETH巨鲸增持
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The market will definitely rebound, but before the rebound, the market must be completely wiped out. At this moment, the drop is so severe that 95% of retail investors are just trying to take risks by going long. The liquidity accumulated in long positions is still substantial, while most of the liquidity in short positions should be accumulated by the large operators. Retail investors do have liquidity, but they make up a smaller proportion!
The response strategy is to cut losses on large positions without hesitation and reduce positions as needed. Playing with light positions daily is advisable; do not rush to recover losses. It is not too late to recover after a cycle ends, because the current market conditions are very fragmented in both upward and downward movements. One can only hold light positions to cope!
The response strategy is to cut losses on large positions without hesitation and reduce positions as needed. Playing with light positions daily is advisable; do not rush to recover losses. It is not too late to recover after a cycle ends, because the current market conditions are very fragmented in both upward and downward movements. One can only hold light positions to cope!
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Recently, the logic of trying to catch the bottom doesn't make sense, and the reasons are simply:
1. Feeling like it's the bottom, taking a gamble.
2. Falling too much, trying to catch a rebound,
3. The market is pessimistic, others panic while I am greedy,
4. The bulls don't have much left, and will move up for liquidation.
I previously mentioned that these are subjective judgments, not accurate, many people don't believe it and insist on catching the bottom, 90000 is the bottom, 8.8 is the bottom, do you still see it this way now? Now even the weekly chart hasn't shown increased volume, how could it be the bottom?
Subjective judgment can lead to disaster for you, I hope you realize this sooner or later. What constitutes more effective analysis, more objective analysis? The accumulation of market funds provides more objective data because they represent the energy of bulls and bears. The only direct factor causing the rise and fall of K-line is funds, nothing else.
1. Feeling like it's the bottom, taking a gamble.
2. Falling too much, trying to catch a rebound,
3. The market is pessimistic, others panic while I am greedy,
4. The bulls don't have much left, and will move up for liquidation.
I previously mentioned that these are subjective judgments, not accurate, many people don't believe it and insist on catching the bottom, 90000 is the bottom, 8.8 is the bottom, do you still see it this way now? Now even the weekly chart hasn't shown increased volume, how could it be the bottom?
Subjective judgment can lead to disaster for you, I hope you realize this sooner or later. What constitutes more effective analysis, more objective analysis? The accumulation of market funds provides more objective data because they represent the energy of bulls and bears. The only direct factor causing the rise and fall of K-line is funds, nothing else.
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