KIREN69
Open Trade
Occasional Trader
4.1 Years
15 Following
58 Followers
49 Liked
4 Shared
All
Quotes
how?
give me
See original
Get a lot of vouchers, what vouchers can you get?
My 30 Days' PNL
2025-05-29~2025-06-27
+$26.92
+39.13%
See original
$BTC Will it drop to 60K? Who knows, but be prepared after the drop to 95K it will continue downward, remember we are at the beginning of a crisis and the journey is still long$BTC
Today's PNL
2025-06-22
-$2.43
-2.44%
will hit 60k
CryptoBirb
--
$BTC TRIANGLE BREAKING DOWN
we will up?
$BTC
$99k before $105k/$104k ✅ - Said 18h ago
And here we are. Where else will you get this precise Wins over and over again?
$99k before $105k/$104k ✅ - Said 18h ago
And here we are. Where else will you get this precise Wins over and over again?
See original
60k king let's go even if stuck at 110k will not cut close
Going down another 9-10%, what price will BTC be at?! 88,000 - 84,000? 😍🟥
See original
ANALYZE $BTC AND TRADING STRATEGY
Movement Scenario (1–5 Days)
📊 Scenario A: Technical Rebound (More Likely)
1. Price holds above EMA50 (~103K)
2. Combination of ETF inflow & positive regulations → triggers bounce
3. Short-term target: 105.7K (EMA20) → 107–108K if broken
4. Confirmation: 1H/4H candle closes above EMA20 + increased volume
❌ Scenario B: Continued Breakdown (If Miner Sell-off Continues)
If EMA50 support fails to hold, targets down:
100K (psychological)
Continuing to 96.8K (major historical support)
---
🎯 4. Recommended Strategy
Scenario Recommended Action
Bounce from EMA50 + increased volume Short-term long — entry ~104K, TP ~105.7K / 107K, SL ~102.5K
Breakdown of EMA50 Short or wait to accumulate at 100K, SL ~104K
Break above EMA20 with large volume Strong bullish confirmation — long to target 107–108K
$BTC
Movement Scenario (1–5 Days)
📊 Scenario A: Technical Rebound (More Likely)
1. Price holds above EMA50 (~103K)
2. Combination of ETF inflow & positive regulations → triggers bounce
3. Short-term target: 105.7K (EMA20) → 107–108K if broken
4. Confirmation: 1H/4H candle closes above EMA20 + increased volume
❌ Scenario B: Continued Breakdown (If Miner Sell-off Continues)
If EMA50 support fails to hold, targets down:
100K (psychological)
Continuing to 96.8K (major historical support)
---
🎯 4. Recommended Strategy
Scenario Recommended Action
Bounce from EMA50 + increased volume Short-term long — entry ~104K, TP ~105.7K / 107K, SL ~102.5K
Breakdown of EMA50 Short or wait to accumulate at 100K, SL ~104K
Break above EMA20 with large volume Strong bullish confirmation — long to target 107–108K
$BTC
My 30 Days' PNL
2025-05-21~2025-06-19
+$44.45
+84.28%
See original
WHY $BTC BEARISH? HERE'S WHAT HAPPENED
News & Events that Influenced
🪙 Miner Sell-Off $3.2B)
Miners continue to liquidate assets, creating strong selling pressure in the range of $105K–105.8K.
💸 Large Inflow to BTC ETFs
Institutional demand continues to rise: US Spot ETFs recorded a total inflow of ± $1.8 billion in a week, providing strong support for prices.
🧭 Geopolitics & Fed
Middle East tensions support defensive assets → push BTC to remain stable.
The Fed's policy is expected to remain dovish → could support a medium-term rally.
⚖️ US & Global Regulations
US legislative omnibus: CLARITY & GENIUS Bills, CFTC/SEC regulators directed, draft stablecoin licensing open.
Regulatory stability supports global institutional optimism.
News & Events that Influenced
🪙 Miner Sell-Off $3.2B)
Miners continue to liquidate assets, creating strong selling pressure in the range of $105K–105.8K.
💸 Large Inflow to BTC ETFs
Institutional demand continues to rise: US Spot ETFs recorded a total inflow of ± $1.8 billion in a week, providing strong support for prices.
🧭 Geopolitics & Fed
Middle East tensions support defensive assets → push BTC to remain stable.
The Fed's policy is expected to remain dovish → could support a medium-term rally.
⚖️ US & Global Regulations
US legislative omnibus: CLARITY & GENIUS Bills, CFTC/SEC regulators directed, draft stablecoin licensing open.
Regulatory stability supports global institutional optimism.
Today's PNL
2025-06-19
-$0.59
-0.61%
See original
$BTC So, can 106,000 be achieved in 1–2 days?
Factor Assessment
Target Distance ✅ Only needs to rise by 1.6%
Current Market Pressure 🔻 Sellers are still dominant
RSI & MACD ⚠️ Neutral – slight bearish
Volatility ✅ BTC has the ability to move 2–5% daily
Market Catalysts ❓ No major fundamental news approaching yet
---
📌 Conclusion:
106,000 is NOT an impossible target in 1–2 days, but the probability is low (±30–40%) if there is no new volume push or positive news.
Factor Assessment
Target Distance ✅ Only needs to rise by 1.6%
Current Market Pressure 🔻 Sellers are still dominant
RSI & MACD ⚠️ Neutral – slight bearish
Volatility ✅ BTC has the ability to move 2–5% daily
Market Catalysts ❓ No major fundamental news approaching yet
---
📌 Conclusion:
106,000 is NOT an impossible target in 1–2 days, but the probability is low (±30–40%) if there is no new volume push or positive news.
See original
$BTC Current position: BTC is currently in wave B of the ABC correction pattern.
Meaning: The price is making a temporary technical bounce, but the main trend is still down (bearish corrective).
Maximum upward target (bounce/B wave):
🟡 Weak: 106,405 (very close now)
🟡 Medium: 107,240
🟡 Strong: 108,073
🔴 Maximum: 109,260
> So, if the price fails to break 109K and shows weakness in the range of 106–108K, it is very likely that BTC will drop again to form wave C, with a target potentially below 100K, possibly down to the area of 92K–86K or 74K if a full correction occurs.
---
📌 Strategies You Can Take (Short Term 1–2 Days):
Scenario Action Level
Price approaches 106–108K and starts to weaken (red candlestick, RSI overbought) Short (sell) Entry: 106,000–108,000<br>SL: 109,500<br>TP: 102,000 → 98,000
Price breaks 109,300 with high volume Cancel short / wait for new signal
Price drops to 92–95K Long (buy medium term) if there is a reversal signal
Meaning: The price is making a temporary technical bounce, but the main trend is still down (bearish corrective).
Maximum upward target (bounce/B wave):
🟡 Weak: 106,405 (very close now)
🟡 Medium: 107,240
🟡 Strong: 108,073
🔴 Maximum: 109,260
> So, if the price fails to break 109K and shows weakness in the range of 106–108K, it is very likely that BTC will drop again to form wave C, with a target potentially below 100K, possibly down to the area of 92K–86K or 74K if a full correction occurs.
---
📌 Strategies You Can Take (Short Term 1–2 Days):
Scenario Action Level
Price approaches 106–108K and starts to weaken (red candlestick, RSI overbought) Short (sell) Entry: 106,000–108,000<br>SL: 109,500<br>TP: 102,000 → 98,000
Price breaks 109,300 with high volume Cancel short / wait for new signal
Price drops to 92–95K Long (buy medium term) if there is a reversal signal
BTC
Holding
Cumulative PNL
+2.31 USDT
See original
you are the best
Is this the end of BTC?
Okay, let's clear everything because there is a lot of FUD that the BTC market will fall to 10k and others.
This will be an additional validation for the previous analysis regarding new impulses, future movements, and the potential movement of BTC currently. At the time BTC was at 93k I said we would enter an upward bullish impulse, and I confirmed the arrival of the upward impulse when BTC was at 97k.
I then invited people to onboard when BTC was at 97k and wait to drop to 95k because I thought it would rise to 100k+
This will be an additional validation for the previous analysis regarding new impulses, future movements, and the potential movement of BTC currently. At the time BTC was at 93k I said we would enter an upward bullish impulse, and I confirmed the arrival of the upward impulse when BTC was at 97k.
I then invited people to onboard when BTC was at 97k and wait to drop to 95k because I thought it would rise to 100k+
See original
$BTC Monitor breakout volume: if it rises accompanied by large volume = valid
Also use the 4H timeframe to confirm major support-resistance
You can set alerts in TradingView at 104.5K (bearish) and 106K (bullish) to not miss the moment
Also use the 4H timeframe to confirm major support-resistance
You can set alerts in TradingView at 104.5K (bearish) and 106K (bullish) to not miss the moment
My Assets Distribution
BTC
USDT
Others
98.38%
0.72%
0.90%
See original
Predictions for the Next 1–2 Days
📈 Bullish Scenario (Probability: 60%)
Reasons:
Price is holding above EMA50 (100,826) and EMA200 (91,249) = medium-term trend structure is still upward
Strong support at 102k–103k has been tested and not broken → strong buyer defense
MACD is starting to rise = recovery momentum is forming
RSI is moving up from below 50 → buyers are gradually gaining strength
📊 Upside Targets:
Minor resistance: 107,400
Main breakout resistance: 111,980
✅ Bullish Confirmation:
If the price closes 1H or 4H above 106,000, then a rally to 107.4K–111K is open.
---
📉 Bearish Scenario (Probability: 40%)
Risks:
If the price rejects again from EMA20 and breaks down below 104,500, it means the reversal structure has failed
MACD fails to crossover = downward momentum resumes
Weak volume = buyers are not yet willing to take over
📊 Downside Targets:
103,000 (minor support)
101,900–102,200 (strong support)
100,800 (EMA50 daily)
📈 Bullish Scenario (Probability: 60%)
Reasons:
Price is holding above EMA50 (100,826) and EMA200 (91,249) = medium-term trend structure is still upward
Strong support at 102k–103k has been tested and not broken → strong buyer defense
MACD is starting to rise = recovery momentum is forming
RSI is moving up from below 50 → buyers are gradually gaining strength
📊 Upside Targets:
Minor resistance: 107,400
Main breakout resistance: 111,980
✅ Bullish Confirmation:
If the price closes 1H or 4H above 106,000, then a rally to 107.4K–111K is open.
---
📉 Bearish Scenario (Probability: 40%)
Risks:
If the price rejects again from EMA20 and breaks down below 104,500, it means the reversal structure has failed
MACD fails to crossover = downward momentum resumes
Weak volume = buyers are not yet willing to take over
📊 Downside Targets:
103,000 (minor support)
101,900–102,200 (strong support)
100,800 (EMA50 daily)
My 30 Days' PNL
2025-05-06~2025-06-04
+$67.92
+512.63%
See original
$BTC how do they have so many coins, I want them too
BTC
Holding
Cumulative PNL
+2.19 USDT
See original
$BTC The dominant direction is still down in the short term
There is no strong reversal signal yet → beware of breakdown below 102K
Tomorrow is likely to be sideways-bearish
Safe entry if there is a valid bounce at support or breakout of EMA20
There is no strong reversal signal yet → beware of breakdown below 102K
Tomorrow is likely to be sideways-bearish
Safe entry if there is a valid bounce at support or breakout of EMA20
B
BTC/USDT
Price
105,619.05
See original
$BTC Recommended Strategy
🔁 For Those Holding USDT (Want to Enter)
Gradual Entry:
Entry 1: $104,000 (already at the current price)
Entry 2: $101,000 (strong buy zone)
Entry 3 (extreme averaging): $97,000
Short-term TP:
TP1: $105,800
TP2: $107,000
SL (if aggressive): $100,000
📉 For Those Holding BTC
Can hold if still confident in the mid-term upward trend.
If the price approaches $107,000, take partial profits.
🔁 For Those Holding USDT (Want to Enter)
Gradual Entry:
Entry 1: $104,000 (already at the current price)
Entry 2: $101,000 (strong buy zone)
Entry 3 (extreme averaging): $97,000
Short-term TP:
TP1: $105,800
TP2: $107,000
SL (if aggressive): $100,000
📉 For Those Holding BTC
Can hold if still confident in the mid-term upward trend.
If the price approaches $107,000, take partial profits.
Today's PNL
2025-06-01
-$0.18
-0.22%
See original
$BTC Prediction of Movement for the Next 1–2 Days
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Mild Rebound) – 60% Chance
If the price remains above $103,000 and RSI rises:
Potential towards $105,200–$107,000
Validation if breakout EMA20 with high volume
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Further Decline) – 40% Chance
If fails to breakout EMA20:
Potential correction to $101,000
If breakdown $101,000 → continue to $97,000
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Mild Rebound) – 60% Chance
If the price remains above $103,000 and RSI rises:
Potential towards $105,200–$107,000
Validation if breakout EMA20 with high volume
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Further Decline) – 40% Chance
If fails to breakout EMA20:
Potential correction to $101,000
If breakdown $101,000 → continue to $97,000
See original
$BTC Strategy Plan:
If you are holding USDT:
Gradual Entry (DCA):
Entry 1: 104,000–104,300
Entry 2 (if it drops): 101,000–101,500
Entry 3 (if it drops significantly): 97,000
Target take profit: 107,000–108,000
If you are holding BTC:
You can sell a portion (e.g. 30–50%) in the area of 105,500–107,000
The rest should be held, as the midterm structure is still upward
If you are holding USDT:
Gradual Entry (DCA):
Entry 1: 104,000–104,300
Entry 2 (if it drops): 101,000–101,500
Entry 3 (if it drops significantly): 97,000
Target take profit: 107,000–108,000
If you are holding BTC:
You can sell a portion (e.g. 30–50%) in the area of 105,500–107,000
The rest should be held, as the midterm structure is still upward
See original
$BTC Short-Term Interpretation and Prediction (1–2 Days):
🔽 Bearish Scenario (30–40% chance):
If BTC fails to break back above 105,300 and buyer volume is weak:
Correction to 101,000 or even 100,000 (retest strong support)
🔼 Bullish Rebound Scenario (60–70% chance):
If RSI rises above 55 and the 1-hour candle can close above the yellow EMA (105,300):
Potential rise to 107,200
Reversal may occur, as there has already been a strong rejection around 103,000.
🔽 Bearish Scenario (30–40% chance):
If BTC fails to break back above 105,300 and buyer volume is weak:
Correction to 101,000 or even 100,000 (retest strong support)
🔼 Bullish Rebound Scenario (60–70% chance):
If RSI rises above 55 and the 1-hour candle can close above the yellow EMA (105,300):
Potential rise to 107,200
Reversal may occur, as there has already been a strong rejection around 103,000.
B
BTC/USDT
Price
103,540.04
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