MD, I opened the position #coai yesterday afternoon and forgot to set the take profit. Now looking at it, it has dropped to over 5 bucks... Is this a loss? Is there a possibility it will only have two waves like #myx , or if it drops, will it not have a third wave? #加密市场反弹 #比特币ETF恢复净流入
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MYXUSDT perpetual contract data shows several key pieces of information:
1. Large trader long-short ratio (based on positions) Current long-short position ratio = 2.06 This indicates that among the large traders, the long position is more than twice the short position. From September to October, this ratio has fluctuated, but is currently in a bullish state.
2. Long-short participant ratio Current long-short participant ratio = 2.29 This means that 69.57% of people are long, while only 30.43% are short. The chart shows this ratio is at a high level in the 4-hour cycle (close to a peak of 2.87).
🧠 Dealer's perspective
The dealer sees data like this:
Both retail and large traders are inclined to be long (both the participant ratio and position ratio are bullish) Yet, the price is falling (the screenshot shows -11.35%), indicating that it is possible: A wave of decline has already occurred Most people are trapped in high long positions
From a game-theory perspective:
The dealer is more inclined to "kill the longs" — that is, to continue pushing the price down, forcing long positions to close or liquidate, forming a "long-killing" cascade.
✅ Conclusion: It is highly unlikely that a price increase will happen immediately, but rather it may:
1. Continue to oscillate or decline, cleansing long leverage; 2. Accumulate at low levels before reversing and pushing the price up, forcing shorts to close; 3. Form a typical harvesting cycle of "washing out positions — rallying."
So, if you are a trader, seeing a very high long ratio + falling prices, be wary of the risk of further declines, and do not easily try to catch the bottom. $MYX
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