梨子shelly1

How can one achieve long-term profitability?
1. Find a suitable market where the probability is at least over 50%, achieving a risk-reward ratio of 2:1 or higher.
2. It is essential to take profits passively to have a chance of achieving an extreme risk-reward ratio.
3. Have rules to limit trading frequency; in unfavorable markets, avoid trading and trade less. With appropriate risk management, safely endure adverse periods.
4. Understanding that trading is never smooth sailing; long-term profitability does not mean profits every day or every month. Like the market, there are ups and downs, so do not place too much hope on the outcome of each trade.

Under the influence of slippage, transaction fees, and funding costs,
The theoretically designed 3:1 profit-loss ratio may become 2.5:1, or even 1:1.
Heavier costs are an inevitable loss for short-term heavy positions.

The take-profit method is always a dilemma
1 Wanting a pattern, but ending up giving back most of the profits, or even resulting in losses
2 To take profits? There’s also the possibility of missing out on great opportunities

From historical orders, system attributes, and the review process, it turns out that taking profits is indeed not a bad strategy

"Balance" is better than "extremes"

In the world of trading, there is nothing much that can be controlled; the only thing that can be controlled is the loss.
For most people, to be able to profit in the long term, it is only possible with a high win-loss ratio.
You can lose ten times, but if you make back your investment plus double your profit in one trade, that is the greatest confidence in this chaotic market.

Each mode has a corresponding suitable market.
If there are continuous losses, it indicates that the current market is not suitable. Stop trading, do less, and wait for the unfavorable period to pass.

Minimizing trial and error costs is essential for achieving an optimal profit-loss ratio
Risk control and position management must be strict enough to ensure survival during unfavorable periods

Profit - Loss equals Result
Reduce losses, increase profits, both must be addressed

Make sure the profitable positions are sufficiently heavy
Compared to losing positions, profitable positions should be 1-10 times larger, the bigger the better, when a blowout market occurs, you'll know how enjoyable it is

There should be rules to minimize losses

There should be a certain pattern, be willing to let profits retrace in order to capture extraordinary market movements

Within controllable risks, let every profitable order have a very heavy position

In the short term, find your own certainty
Certainty is a high-probability event
What really determines the outcome is how large the position is when the trade is successful and how large the position is when there is a loss, rather than simply the win rate, profit-loss ratio, or frequency
Find a way to make winning trades have a very heavy position, but not all in, win rate should not be too low, risk should be controllable, just like this

High-frequency heavy positions, at least 5% fixed per order, trading can survive, just one week is enough, top you explore for a year...

The cycle is too large, and the trading frequency will be too low; slow feedback will numb people. If you want to quickly validate the system, you should trade more in smaller cycles to feel it. From always losing to entering short-term trading without losing or making a profit. What happens next will naturally be known.

The essence of technical analysis is to judge the strength of bulls and bears. If the buying power is strong, the market will ultimately rise.
Grasp the essence, and when the bulls and bears are about to determine the winner, joining the stronger side is the right choice; this is the answer.

In the face of certainty, both win rate and risk-reward ratio must give way

If there's only enough capital left for one trade, I must give it my all. When will I take action?

Patience is a necessary lesson for every trader
During the waiting period, do whatever you need to do; there is no need to stare at the screen all the time.

After losses, several wrong improvement systems can easily emerge
1 Low-multiple deadlock system, entering in batches, the downside is that it can easily return to square one
2 High-multiple short cycle heavy position, hoping to break even in a short time, the downside is that slippage and win rate are both disappointing

Let's talk about the current understanding
In system design philosophy, the profit-loss ratio is prioritized, while also considering the win rate
Frequency does not mean that the more you do, the more you earn; there must be mechanisms to limit trading frequency
The method of taking profits must regularly allow for extremely high profit-loss ratios, rather than cutting off profit space too early
As a result, only small losses / small gains / large gains can occur, and large losses cannot occur

Result = Profit - Loss
Profit is uncontrollable, it is given by the market
Loss is controllable, how to reduce losses? Why do experts control their drawdowns so well while also achieving explosive returns?
There are answers, think more about it

Dare to lose, but also dare to earn
Stubbornly enduring losses, and just pocketing a little profit?
Change it up, dare to let profits run, don't fear profit pullbacks, dare to win and there is hope, if the system has no possibility of making a big profit, then change it, change it drastically.

How to buy lower and sell higher
How to reduce slippage impact
Step by step solve the problems encountered in real trading, you will find your own answers