赵四论币
财经博主“赵四论币”,全网同名，公众号🔍“赵四论币”钉🔍“yun7744”有丰富的实战操盘经验和独特的交易理念。对币圈、外汇，股市，均有独特的研究。
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老鲍说10月是防御性降息，12月不一定降息，市场已经兑现了降息大幅下降的下跌行情
这个波段的比特币下跌，其实我也只看到9.1-9.4万刀的支撑
如果有点非理性的恐慌抛售，那么最低8.8万刀附近吧...
我也并不认为能一口气跌穿直接到7万刀支撑附近...
目前看在8.8万刀之上是不用太过恐慌的了
毕竟已经从11.6万一口气跌了2万多刀了...
没有一步到位的行情，就算单边趋势，中途也需要积累能量，无论是上涨的能量还是下跌的能量
当然，前提是在关键的支撑阻力区
所以，目前价格附近，可以期待一个红色圆圈内的震荡修复
但是，这里大概率不是这轮下跌的终点
很明显，如图，我继续看跌中期趋势
祝大家好运！！！#美股2026预测 #特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场回调 #山寨币市场回暖 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH $BNB
这个波段的比特币下跌，其实我也只看到9.1-9.4万刀的支撑
如果有点非理性的恐慌抛售，那么最低8.8万刀附近吧...
我也并不认为能一口气跌穿直接到7万刀支撑附近...
目前看在8.8万刀之上是不用太过恐慌的了
毕竟已经从11.6万一口气跌了2万多刀了...
没有一步到位的行情，就算单边趋势，中途也需要积累能量，无论是上涨的能量还是下跌的能量
当然，前提是在关键的支撑阻力区
所以，目前价格附近，可以期待一个红色圆圈内的震荡修复
但是，这里大概率不是这轮下跌的终点
很明显，如图，我继续看跌中期趋势
祝大家好运！！！#美股2026预测 #特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场回调 #山寨币市场回暖 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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How to go down is how to come up!
Duodans are still held
We continue to look up at #美国政府停摆 #Strategy增持比特币 #鲍威尔发言 #ETH巨鲸增持 #币安HODLer空投ERA $BTC $ETH $XRP
Duodans are still held
We continue to look up at #美国政府停摆 #Strategy增持比特币 #鲍威尔发言 #ETH巨鲸增持 #币安HODLer空投ERA $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Bottom fishing Bottom fishing Bottom fishing
Entering the market and holding the position is also something else……#美国政府停摆 #Strategy增持比特币 #鲍威尔发言 #十月加密行情 #香港稳定币新规 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Entering the market and holding the position is also something else……#美国政府停摆 #Strategy增持比特币 #鲍威尔发言 #十月加密行情 #香港稳定币新规 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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It was said slowly. At that time, quickly!
🈳Single entry is just a seal
The first target is to look around 103000 near #隐私币生态普涨 #币安合约实盘 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美国ADP数据超预期 #内容挖矿升级 $BTC $ETH $BNB
🈳Single entry is just a seal
The first target is to look around 103000 near #隐私币生态普涨 #币安合约实盘 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美国ADP数据超预期 #内容挖矿升级 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Monday Bitcoin Analysis
From the daily chart perspective, the price is below the moving average, and the auxiliary indicators are in a death cross. Under the previous continuous decline, the price broke down, and the current rebound lacks strength. The daily price is returning to the resistance at the moving average near the 107000 area;
Currently, the pattern is still in correction. Although bullish sentiment has somewhat warmed up, the overall price trend remains downward. Therefore, until the resistance level is broken, maintain a bearish outlook.
BTC Recommendation: 106000-106500🈳 Targeting 103500-103000
In trading, one must follow the trend and grasp better entry timing. It is essential to have the ability to independently judge the authenticity of market sentiment and not always be led into the emotional trading of chasing rises and falls.
Master the rhythm of the shift between long and short positions, be steady, patiently wait, strike when the timing is right, and firmly hold onto positions. Profit will surely be achieved #隐私币生态普涨 #币安合约实盘 #加密市场观察 #BNB创新高 #美国ADP数据超预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB
From the daily chart perspective, the price is below the moving average, and the auxiliary indicators are in a death cross. Under the previous continuous decline, the price broke down, and the current rebound lacks strength. The daily price is returning to the resistance at the moving average near the 107000 area;
Currently, the pattern is still in correction. Although bullish sentiment has somewhat warmed up, the overall price trend remains downward. Therefore, until the resistance level is broken, maintain a bearish outlook.
BTC Recommendation: 106000-106500🈳 Targeting 103500-103000
In trading, one must follow the trend and grasp better entry timing. It is essential to have the ability to independently judge the authenticity of market sentiment and not always be led into the emotional trading of chasing rises and falls.
Master the rhythm of the shift between long and short positions, be steady, patiently wait, strike when the timing is right, and firmly hold onto positions. Profit will surely be achieved #隐私币生态普涨 #币安合约实盘 #加密市场观察 #BNB创新高 #美国ADP数据超预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Bitcoin has fallen below the $100,000 mark, plummeting 6.2% in the last 24 hours, and even Ethereum has dropped over 10%.
What's even scarier is the data from Coinglass: 342,000 people were liquidated! $1.3 billion evaporated, with 85% being bullish positions. A netizen shared a screenshot showing over 1.89 million positions cleared in just a few minutes; this bloodbath is too severe. This is not a random crash; it’s a combination of four fatal factors:
The Federal Reserve pours cold water: the interest rate cut dream is shattered!
Bitcoin has long been at the mercy of the Federal Reserve, which just cut rates last week. Everyone was hoping for more easing in December, but Powell directly said not to assume there will be more rate cuts, causing the probability of a December cut to drop from nearly 100% to 60%. The strengthening dollar + the U.S. government shutdown for 33 days has made it impossible to release economic data. Who dares to enter the market? Risk assets are being sold off first.
Institutions fleeing overnight: $4.8 billion withdrawn!
The market, which was originally supported by institutions, now sees giants cashing out. Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen $607 million flowing out in just a week, and since February this year, $4.8 billion has left! Top institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity are all withdrawing, and the premium on Bitcoin on Coinbase has turned negative; the institutions are voting with their feet.
Technical indicators flash red: the death cross has arrived!
Those in the know understand how deadly a death cross can be; the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, with short-term downward pressure exceeding the long-term upward trend. Both $110,000 and the 200-day moving average have been breached; now it’s a matter of whether $100,000 can hold, which is a "line of faith" for many. If it breaks, it may trigger even crazier sell-offs.
Hackers strike: $12 million stolen, shaking confidence!
The Balancer protocol was suddenly hacked for $12 million, prompting multiple platforms to freeze accounts urgently. The entire cryptocurrency circle is in panic; everyone was already afraid of technical vulnerabilities, and at this moment, who wouldn’t rush to sell to avoid risks? Even MicroStrategy, a stock associated with Bitcoin faith, has fallen by 1.8%.
Now the fear and greed index has dropped to the extreme fear zone, with some calling for a bull market turnaround while others fear a drop below $90,000. I sincerely advise everyone not to blindly bottom fish; this wave is a combination of multiple bearish factors. Wait for stability before making any moves! #加密市场回调 #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 #十月加密行情 #ETH巨鲸增持 $BTC $ETH $BNB
What's even scarier is the data from Coinglass: 342,000 people were liquidated! $1.3 billion evaporated, with 85% being bullish positions. A netizen shared a screenshot showing over 1.89 million positions cleared in just a few minutes; this bloodbath is too severe. This is not a random crash; it’s a combination of four fatal factors:
The Federal Reserve pours cold water: the interest rate cut dream is shattered!
Bitcoin has long been at the mercy of the Federal Reserve, which just cut rates last week. Everyone was hoping for more easing in December, but Powell directly said not to assume there will be more rate cuts, causing the probability of a December cut to drop from nearly 100% to 60%. The strengthening dollar + the U.S. government shutdown for 33 days has made it impossible to release economic data. Who dares to enter the market? Risk assets are being sold off first.
Institutions fleeing overnight: $4.8 billion withdrawn!
The market, which was originally supported by institutions, now sees giants cashing out. Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen $607 million flowing out in just a week, and since February this year, $4.8 billion has left! Top institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity are all withdrawing, and the premium on Bitcoin on Coinbase has turned negative; the institutions are voting with their feet.
Technical indicators flash red: the death cross has arrived!
Those in the know understand how deadly a death cross can be; the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, with short-term downward pressure exceeding the long-term upward trend. Both $110,000 and the 200-day moving average have been breached; now it’s a matter of whether $100,000 can hold, which is a "line of faith" for many. If it breaks, it may trigger even crazier sell-offs.
Hackers strike: $12 million stolen, shaking confidence!
The Balancer protocol was suddenly hacked for $12 million, prompting multiple platforms to freeze accounts urgently. The entire cryptocurrency circle is in panic; everyone was already afraid of technical vulnerabilities, and at this moment, who wouldn’t rush to sell to avoid risks? Even MicroStrategy, a stock associated with Bitcoin faith, has fallen by 1.8%.
Now the fear and greed index has dropped to the extreme fear zone, with some calling for a bull market turnaround while others fear a drop below $90,000. I sincerely advise everyone not to blindly bottom fish; this wave is a combination of multiple bearish factors. Wait for stability before making any moves! #加密市场回调 #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 #十月加密行情 #ETH巨鲸增持 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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There aren't that many exceptionally talented people in the world; outstanding individuals always work hard to overcome challenges.
You should know: what ultimately sets you apart is perseverance; it is truly about sticking to something, and time will reveal it!
🈳The single has not yet left Brothers, wait for my signal #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #美国政府停摆 #特朗普马斯克分歧 $BTC $ETH $BNB
You should know: what ultimately sets you apart is perseverance; it is truly about sticking to something, and time will reveal it!
🈳The single has not yet left Brothers, wait for my signal #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #美国政府停摆 #特朗普马斯克分歧 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Trading is not entertainment, nor is it gambling; it is a battlefield!
The short position is still held, quietly waiting for the wind to come! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #美国政府停摆 #币安HODLer空投XPL
The short position is still held, quietly waiting for the wind to come! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #美国政府停摆 #币安HODLer空投XPL
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BTC Immortal Short 🈳 One Hand
The brave are the first to enjoy the world! #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #美国政府停摆 #ETH重返3800 $BTC $ETH $BNB
The brave are the first to enjoy the world! #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #美国政府停摆 #ETH重返3800 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Concubine directly 🈳 Heavy investment and aggressive action!! Aiming for 4220#币安HODLer空投EDEN #现货黄金创历史新高 #币安HODLer空投FF #永续合约DEX赛道之争 #美联储官员集体发声 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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9.28 Bitcoin Thought Analysis！
The price fluctuated little over the two days of the weekend, reaching a peak near 110000 and then experiencing a significant drop to a minimum of around 108900 before rebounding. After that, it touched the area around 109700 and faced resistance, pulling back. Currently, the overall continuity and strength are still lacking, remaining in a downward channel, with a too circuitous rhythm of turning back at every step, resulting in no breakout from a unilateral market for a long time. In the short term, breaking through the box will reveal the direction of the market ahead！
The key now is to pay attention to the rhythm of the pressure breakthrough. At present, a reversal has not yet formed, and the short-term position has not effectively broken; thus, it still revolves around range oscillation and adjustment. Attention needs to be paid to the breaking situation of the upper line at 110000. If it cannot effectively break, it will still be viewed as maintaining the range. In terms of operation, the focus should be on selling high and buying low！
BTC Recommendation: 109600-110000🈳 Target 108500#加密市场回调 #PCE数据来袭 #巨鲸动向 #狗狗币ETF进展 #币安HODLer空投XPL $BTC $ETH $XRP
The price fluctuated little over the two days of the weekend, reaching a peak near 110000 and then experiencing a significant drop to a minimum of around 108900 before rebounding. After that, it touched the area around 109700 and faced resistance, pulling back. Currently, the overall continuity and strength are still lacking, remaining in a downward channel, with a too circuitous rhythm of turning back at every step, resulting in no breakout from a unilateral market for a long time. In the short term, breaking through the box will reveal the direction of the market ahead！
The key now is to pay attention to the rhythm of the pressure breakthrough. At present, a reversal has not yet formed, and the short-term position has not effectively broken; thus, it still revolves around range oscillation and adjustment. Attention needs to be paid to the breaking situation of the upper line at 110000. If it cannot effectively break, it will still be viewed as maintaining the range. In terms of operation, the focus should be on selling high and buying low！
BTC Recommendation: 109600-110000🈳 Target 108500#加密市场回调 #PCE数据来袭 #巨鲸动向 #狗狗币ETF进展 #币安HODLer空投XPL $BTC $ETH $XRP
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On Saturday, Bitcoin Ethereum spot transaction feedback records, with a 90% win rate this week reaching the top, it's the season of harvest!
During this time, I believe that those who have been following Zhao Si have had good gains, completing the position doubling in real-time. My daily thoughts and strategies are publicly available online, and everyone can see the results. As of this week, the big coin has already captured a space of 5568 points!
The entire process is a live broadcast of tips and posts. To be honest, if you miss this opportunity, it is your own problem. Walk with the light, and you will surely shine.
Sometimes the direction is wrong, and effort naturally goes to waste. Retail investors cannot compete with market makers, the era of fighting alone is over. Why not invest under a teacher for a win-win collaboration? Each profession has its specialization, and every industry has its operational guidelines.
If you still insist on going your own way, you will surely become cannon fodder in this financial market. Many things will yield good results as long as you are willing to do them. All your dreams, we will forge ahead together. If you have regrets, seek help, and you will surely find a way to shore up! #PCE数据来袭 #加密市场回调 #巨鲸动向 #币安HODLer空投XPL #狗狗币ETF进展 $BTC $ETH $XRP
During this time, I believe that those who have been following Zhao Si have had good gains, completing the position doubling in real-time. My daily thoughts and strategies are publicly available online, and everyone can see the results. As of this week, the big coin has already captured a space of 5568 points!
The entire process is a live broadcast of tips and posts. To be honest, if you miss this opportunity, it is your own problem. Walk with the light, and you will surely shine.
Sometimes the direction is wrong, and effort naturally goes to waste. Retail investors cannot compete with market makers, the era of fighting alone is over. Why not invest under a teacher for a win-win collaboration? Each profession has its specialization, and every industry has its operational guidelines.
If you still insist on going your own way, you will surely become cannon fodder in this financial market. Many things will yield good results as long as you are willing to do them. All your dreams, we will forge ahead together. If you have regrets, seek help, and you will surely find a way to shore up! #PCE数据来袭 #加密市场回调 #巨鲸动向 #币安HODLer空投XPL #狗狗币ETF进展 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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9.26 Bitcoin Market Analysis
Bitcoin continued to show strong bearish sentiment in the early morning, with a minimum drop reaching the 108500 level. The range pattern that had been oscillating for several days was strongly broken, and there is inertia to continue breaking lower. In the short term, attention should be paid to changes in resistance within the range, and operations should follow the trend!
From the current trend, the four-hour level has consistently seen downward pressure on prices, and the short-term moving averages are gradually forming a bearish divergence pattern. The signs of weakening in the trend are obvious, and after the drop, there has not been much rebound action. The current trend is relatively weak. In the short term, focus on the continuation of the decline and the strength of the rebound to determine the layout of bearish expectations for the future!
BTC Recommendation: 109600-109900🈳 Target 108000#加密市场回调 #币安HODLer空投XPL #BNB创新高 #狗狗币ETF进展 #山寨币战略储备 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Bitcoin continued to show strong bearish sentiment in the early morning, with a minimum drop reaching the 108500 level. The range pattern that had been oscillating for several days was strongly broken, and there is inertia to continue breaking lower. In the short term, attention should be paid to changes in resistance within the range, and operations should follow the trend!
From the current trend, the four-hour level has consistently seen downward pressure on prices, and the short-term moving averages are gradually forming a bearish divergence pattern. The signs of weakening in the trend are obvious, and after the drop, there has not been much rebound action. The current trend is relatively weak. In the short term, focus on the continuation of the decline and the strength of the rebound to determine the layout of bearish expectations for the future!
BTC Recommendation: 109600-109900🈳 Target 108000#加密市场回调 #币安HODLer空投XPL #BNB创新高 #狗狗币ETF进展 #山寨币战略储备 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Recently, the market sentiment has been hot, and the analyses in the past few days have all hit the mark, with the stone plate being publicly available online! The state is gradually improving!
Now, three small stools are provided. Seize the opportunity to layout together with Zhao Si and make a significant turn for the better! Those with execution ability are welcome to join, so we don't waste each other's time. #BNB创新高 #加密市场回调 #狗狗币ETF进展 #币安HODLer空投HEMI #币安HODLer空投XPL $BTC $ETH $XRP
Now, three small stools are provided. Seize the opportunity to layout together with Zhao Si and make a significant turn for the better! Those with execution ability are welcome to join, so we don't waste each other's time. #BNB创新高 #加密市场回调 #狗狗币ETF进展 #币安HODLer空投HEMI #币安HODLer空投XPL $BTC $ETH $XRP
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How is everyone's strength?
I left a bit early, but I still made over 1000 points, and ended up with over 10000 U.
Wherever I point, I hit. The floating power is precisely grasped 🤏🏻#BNB创新高 #加密市场回调 #狗狗币ETF进展 #山寨币战略储备 #币安HODLer空投HEMI $BTC $ETH $XRP
I left a bit early, but I still made over 1000 points, and ended up with over 10000 U.
Wherever I point, I hit. The floating power is precisely grasped 🤏🏻#BNB创新高 #加密市场回调 #狗狗币ETF进展 #山寨币战略储备 #币安HODLer空投HEMI $BTC $ETH $XRP
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BTC Immortal continues 🈳 first-hand
Looking down at 110000-109800
Brave people enjoy the world first! #币安HODLer空投XPL #币安HODLer空投HEMI #狗狗币ETF进展 #BNB创新高 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Looking down at 110000-109800
Brave people enjoy the world first! #币安HODLer空投XPL #币安HODLer空投HEMI #狗狗币ETF进展 #BNB创新高 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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Brothers, let's not be so calculating!
Time waits for no one, and opportunities won't come again. Anyone can play the role of a wise person after the fact.
However, our actual strategy does require immense courage and determination!
One trade directly flips the position! BTC hits 2668 points, securing 27657U.
Target accurately hit! Let's continue to work hard!!! #币安HODLer空投XPL #币安HODLer空投HEMI #狗狗币ETF进展 #BNB创新高 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Time waits for no one, and opportunities won't come again. Anyone can play the role of a wise person after the fact.
However, our actual strategy does require immense courage and determination!
One trade directly flips the position! BTC hits 2668 points, securing 27657U.
Target accurately hit! Let's continue to work hard!!! #币安HODLer空投XPL #币安HODLer空投HEMI #狗狗币ETF进展 #BNB创新高 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $XRP
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