欧鹏同学

BTC is currently in a high-level oscillation + weakening momentum, more like a continuation adjustment in a bull market rather than a confirmed bear trend. 💭 In terms of trading strategy, I personally lean towards three points:
1. Below 91,000–92,000, do not rush to chase long positions unless the 4-hour candlestick re-establishes itself above all short-term moving averages and breaks through the resistance zone with volume, which would signal a bullish trend to follow;
2. If it continues to stagnate around 90,000 without a volume-driven decline, just slowly grinding, do not rush to chase short positions, as this is a dense area of trading, and back-and-forth movements are normal;
3. The truly suitable aggressive layout for short positions is a pullback after breaking below 88,500 that fails to break above, that kind of "break + retest confirmation" structure offers a better risk-reward ratio.

① Structure: Consolidation above the dense trading area
The current price is oscillating around 90,000 USD, just at the vicinity of the 4-hour medium to long moving averages (black and gray long moving averages), with the upper range of 91,000–92,000 forming the recent high and retreat consolidation, which clearly represents a resistance zone (shown in the pink area on the chart).
The left side volume distribution shows clearly: the area around 88,000–90,000 is the peak of trading, which is the "fair price zone" for this segment. The current price is stuck near this peak, and both bulls and bears are unwilling to give way, making it very tedious.
② Moving averages and trends: Short-term momentum has been interrupted, but a bear trend has not yet formed.
The short moving averages (20, 60) have started to flatten and slightly decline from the previous divergent upward trend, indicating that the rhythm of this upward movement has been interrupted, and the market has shifted from "one-sided rise" to "oscillatory digestion."
The long moving averages (120 and longer periods) are still overall upward without forming a complete bearish arrangement, so it's not appropriate to talk about a major reversal yet; it resembles more of a decent pullback in a bull market.
③ Indicators: 4-hour top divergence is being realized
The momentum bars at the bottom first produced a strong green peak in early December, with the price subsequently reaching a new high, but the bars did not create a new high, which has already been marked as "top divergence" on the chart.
After the top divergence, the momentum bars have dropped from positive values to below the zero axis, and the current red momentum is still in the release phase, indicating that the active buying force is weakening, and the bears are gaining a slight upper hand in the short term, which is why the price tends to be hammered down every time it approaches above 92,000.

$BTC
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The live broadcast room will reopen tonight for WLFI short positions! WLFI I opened a half position short at 0.1482, if the price can rebound to around 0.15 again, and then falls below the remaining position, I will add more.
$WLFI
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WLFI Morning Review 👇
This morning, WLFI followed the plan to take profit on short positions in the 4-hour cycle and locked in the profits from this decline.
There are two reasons:
4-hour cycle
The price has quickly broken through the lower boundary of the previous consolidation area, and the short-term decline is significant. Continuing to short could worsen the risk-reward ratio.
1-hour cycle
Although the candlestick has not yet provided a clear signal of a bottoming out, it has entered an oversold zone, and there is limited space for further decline. It is more likely to see a technical rebound first before choosing a direction.
My thinking is:
After this wave of decline in the 1-hour cycle ends, wait for the price to rebound back to the 20-period moving average range to look for short opportunities;
Currently, the 1-hour yellow 20-period moving average (light yellow EMA20, dark yellow MA20) has not yet crossed below the 120-period moving average (light gray EMA120, black MA120), so the bearish trend has not fully opened up. Therefore, it is more suitable to 'harvest first, then wait' here, rather than chasing shorts when emotions are extreme.
If we later see the 20 cross below the 120, and a true bearish alignment is formed, then considering a swing short position at that point would be more comfortable.
The above is my rhythm arrangement for the current structure of WLFI: first take profit, wait for a rebound, and then choose the right time to short.
This is just a personal trading record and does not constitute any investment advice.
$WLFI
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Live room WLFI 4-hour cycle I opened a short position, bearish, my opening price 0.15
December 11, 9:23 AM
$WLFI
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Live room WLFI 4-hour cycle I opened a short position, bearish, my opening price 0.15
December 11, 9:23 AM
$WLFI
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ETH once again stabilizes at 3150, bullish!!! Looking at the 4-hour level, the K-line is overall running above the moving average ribbon, the 20/60/120 moving averages have realigned into a bullish arrangement, and the bullish trend has already set up a framework; on the volume distribution, the range of 3100–3150 is a clear accumulation area, the more it confirms back and forth without falling, the more it indicates that this is the 'fair price' recognized by the major players, which naturally becomes the first line of defense for the bulls; the most critical resistance above is the area marked in the chart—around 3200. The overlapping of the previous highs and the accumulation zone means that to break through, a decent bullish candle with significant volume is necessary.

My thinking is very simple:
If 3150 does not break, remain bullish.
As long as the 4-hour level stays above 3150, and the pullbacks do not effectively break below, it is more about consolidation and building momentum, rather than a signal of a peak.
Once we effectively break through 3200, the market is expected to enter the 'short squeeze + chasing the long' phase. The short stop losses above, along with the funds waiting to chase higher, are likely to stack together, and the potential profit space after the breakout will be much larger than what is currently visible to the naked eye, and it would not be surprising to open a new range upwards.
The risk point is also clearly stated:
If a 4-hour level breakout occurs below 3150, or even falls back below the moving average ribbon, then this upward structure needs to be reassessed, and the short-term bullish logic will temporarily become invalid, requiring a reassessment of support around 3100 and 3050.
$ETH
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BNB 4-hour cycle long position has been opened! The BNB has stabilized around 890 on the 4-hour cycle, and the current price has surpassed the 20/60/120 market cost lines. ⚠️ At the same time, the same structure of ETH on the 4-hour cycle is also bullish!! December 8, 2025, 09:40:42
$BNB
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$ETH
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