monkeyjiang

There are several types of people paying attention to Bitcoin trends

Those playing short-term contracts
Waiting for altcoin trends

Those holding Bitcoin for years don’t need to care about whether Bitcoin is rising or falling right now

Whether the future price is $200,000 or $500,000, just reach your target price

However, my analysis of Bitcoin is always stage-based, not short-term or ultra-long-term

The purpose of the analysis is to provide ideas for friends who are trading altcoins and meme coins

This is my area of expertise and also my hobby

Because every time Bitcoin enters a washout phase, it lasts for several months, which also leads to altcoins experiencing washout declines for several months

Bitcoin has always been the father of altcoins and is always very influential

I really want to grasp the stage trends of Bitcoin through analysis to avoid peaks in altcoins or to position at the bottoms of altcoins

This is what I want to do.

So if you are playing short-term contracts or are a long-term holder, you really don’t need to look at my analysis content

Stage-based trends are not suitable for you as a trading strategy reference, so it's normal not to like looking at it

Yesterday, many people still enjoyed watching my analysis, so I will continue to persist, and I thank everyone here.

Those who have blocked me

You have lost someone

Who continuously woke you up

At the top or bottom of Bitcoin

Those who do not understand me

I don't want to explain anymore, sigh

How long does it take to earn 1 million?

Many people look down on 1 million, thinking it's too little in the crypto world.

Indeed, in everyone's usual information circle, this is nothing.

But when you check your wallet, how many can actually take out 1 million in cash? In fact, most people find it difficult.

1 million is enough for someone to lie down for a lifetime in their small yard in the countryside.

How many people are still struggling to afford meals right now, so please do not underestimate the real purchasing power of this 1 million.

Do you remember the experiment that Monkey Brother mentioned before?
I transferred 1500U to my OKX wallet, roughly 10,000 yuan.

Let's see how long it takes to earn 1 million by using 10,000 to trade dogs,
My goal is within 3 years.

The logic of trading is as follows:

Most of the time, keep your hands off and sit still.

When encountering trending hot coins with large angles, increase your position a bit to touch small profits daily, and use lottery positions for short-term trading.

Come on, let's see if it goes to zero or if the goal is achieved as hoped.

@houge1998 This account updates position status daily.

3DoNucorRkWSYZFm5A93tHgBKE1UDWW3sXeBwEpDz7GK

Temporarily cleared all native dogs

lububu reached a maximum of three times but only doubled

useless doubled and withdrew the principal, with a maximum of 7 times

dtr lost 30 points and exited

janito is currently down 10 points

Do not force yourself with native dogs you have no affinity for

Fate is the most important

The Key Point Among Key Points———

Why can't you make big money trading contracts!

Rich people don’t risk their entire fortune trading contracts.

It’s the broke ones who gamble everything and play recklessly.

This is a difference in mindset and confidence.

So why do you keep losing when trading contracts?

The characteristics of such people are as follows:

1. They open positions with leverage over 5X and do so frequently.

2. When Bitcoin has no direction, they focus on the 15-minute and hourly charts.

3. They have followed a bunch of teachers analyzing short-term trades.

When Bitcoin isn’t trending and is in a consolidation phase, short-term trading is just drawing lines up and down—price movements are random and chaotic!

Various short-term patterns can easily be manipulated by major players of a single Bitcoin.

Think about it: in such a market state, how can you make money? Otherwise, why would there be long-term trades that don’t require watching, while short-term trades ask, 'What does God say?'

But weekly charts are different; they are definitely not controlled by a single major player. The weekly chart reflects the trading data of Bitcoin for that week.

This kind of trend measurement for buying and selling is absolutely more relevant than minute and hour charts.

You need to change your strategy now.

If you want to earn stable money, then take low-leverage trend positions and grasp the upward and downward trends of Bitcoin’s weekly chart! How to judge this, I've talked about before.

If you want to get rich quickly, then wait for a black swan event; extreme market conditions can create such opportunities. Otherwise, in normal market conditions, if you try to get rich with 100x leverage, the probability is zero.

These are the only two options; there is no third possibility.

I plan to conduct an experiment on Binance contracts to see if the logic holds up, and also to verify it for everyone.

Whoever analyzes the Bitcoin spot market is the sinner.

There are too many people playing contracts now, because my analysis of Bitcoin is always stage-based market analysis, which refers to the spot cycles, lasting several months.

Regardless of whether the stage analysis is bullish or bearish, there will always be a group of people who will blackmail and curse you for opening short positions or holding onto their assets.

I feel it is a thankless task, truly unnecessary.

Even if I am right, it requires time for verification. But at that moment, because of my words, it's very easy to put me in a little dark room.

So even if the subsequent market proves correct, you will forget what I said before.

However, I have indeed lost a fan, and the more accurate my market analysis is, the worse your traffic becomes.

Because you are always singing the opposite tune, everyone likes to hear bearish views when the market drops and bullish views when it rises, which conforms to the majority's current holding state.

So I am reflecting and thinking.

I originally thought everyone came to Twitter to check the market information of Bitcoin because making money from altcoins completely depends on Bitcoin's market.

But I was wrong; everyone prefers ultra-short contracts, gossip, and some trending information unrelated to cycle profits.

To be frank, not talking about Bitcoin's long-term cycle, it's already pinned. Just talking about Bitcoin's market at each stage since 2023,

I have provided a thorough analysis of the top and bottom areas. Even if you say I am just randomly posting, guessing, stepping in dog poop, or lucky, and quickly cashing out my views (I don't play contracts, so what's the point of sharing), these people always find various angles to criticize you.

But I really haven't made mistakes...

In August 2024, Bitcoin fell to the 50,000 and 60,000 range while bullish for the end of the year against the market's contrary sentiment.

In December 2024, Bitcoin rose to 100,000, while bearish to the 70,000 range against the market's contrary sentiment.

In April 2025, Bitcoin indeed fell to the 70,000 range while bullish to above 100,000 against the market's contrary sentiment.

In May 2025, Bitcoin rose to above 100,000, speechless.

The following image shows the key nodes I found and shared publicly.

Under each view at the time, there were a bunch of ridicule and criticisms directed at me; I guess there are more who blacklisted me.

Now it seems, can you pull me out of the little dark room?

In the future, I will also go with the flow, focus on my niche, and concentrate on discovering new things, sharing practical altcoin experiences and logic.

Thank you all for your attention and support over the years!

Last night I saw the use of cucumbers online and thought of jokingly posting it, but many people felt uncomfortable and thought it was inappropriate, so I won’t discuss these anymore.

But currently, I also don't know if I should analyze Bitcoin's stage trends in the future, feeling lost...

Don't even play if it's not worth it...

Play, you must play, contracts are really enjoyable.

There are only two logics for making money with contracts

Either encounter extreme market conditions and make a hundred times short-term trades

Or correctly anticipate the trend and hold onto trend trades

In short, contracts and meme coins are both current paths to sudden wealth.

Many people have not noticed the money-making opportunities

In fact, I have been observing the TGE of Binance Wallet for a long time, and I have discovered some probabilistic trading opportunities.

For example, these projects that have been launched from May until now:

CUDIS
IDOL
ELDE
RWA
RDO
PRAI
MYX

By observing and tracking on an hourly chart, basically from the time they go live and undergo a washout, to when they stabilize and move sideways, there is a high probability that there will be a short-term price surge.

Currently, a total of 7 projects have been launched, and 1 of them did not experience a price surge after going sideways.

Among the other projects, the minimum price surge was around 20%, with some doubling or even tripling.

Here are a few characteristics to share:

1. Projects with particularly low market capitalization, generally below 10M, tend to stabilize on an hourly chart, and there is usually a price surge in the short term.

2. Projects with significant narrative angles generally have a low market capitalization upon launch, but there are still opportunities for a short-term price surge after a washout.

3. If a project has a significant narrative angle and a market capitalization below 10M at launch, then the probability of a short-term multiple increase increases.

4. Conversely, if a project has a small narrative angle and a relatively high market capitalization, there are basically no opportunities after a washout.

Remember, as long as you are not greedy, there will be no problems.

Below are the project price trend charts for the above-mentioned price surges; you can take a look and follow the upcoming @BinanceWallet Binance Wallet TGE based on the logic I mentioned.

Children are the future of the world———

India is a major IT country, but it has two extremes

Most IT talents come from middle-class backgrounds and live in towns

From birth, they have a good educational environment and abundant material resources

However, most children in India are from rural areas, where even accessing the internet is a challenge

The emergence of Dabba changed everything.....

It provides low-cost physical network services and introduces a token-based incentive model

It offers more possibilities for the common people in India, especially for children

Hope that projects like @DabbaNetwork will continue to increase

In the places where humanity needs hope the most, may seeds be sown continually, allowing young hearts to feel the power of blockchain.

Without small streams, there can be no great rivers and seas.

1. According to population research reports, there are approximately 360 million children under 18 in India

Currently, Dabba has rolled out over 5000 hotspot devices in India

On average, each hotspot can serve 70 to 100 people in rural areas

Out of every 100 people, there are about 30 minors

Thus, Dabba has already subtly influenced over 100,000 Indian children

These children can access educational resources and information on the internet at a relatively low cost

They are also introduced to blockchain at an early stage, enjoying WEB3 benefits with DBT tokens

2. There is demand value, which creates token value

Dabba's business model is very clear: first, establish the logic of offline operations and thoroughly understand the market

Then use the accumulated data and market insights to support the value of the token

This includes an economic model of consumption and repurchase.

As the network services expand, the demand for tokens will increase

However, the project currently lacks TEG, even though they have already deployed over 5000 hotspots

It's rare to see a project that establishes itself first and then 'issues tokens'

The essence of blockchain is fairness and justice, absolute transparency, and decentralization

Although the children of India cannot change their origins

Perhaps the emergence of Dabba can change the lives of these children through blockchain.

The hard truth you really want to hear

I am currently at the most comfortable stage of playing with low-quality coins

From a few million to tens of millions

For example,
dark
gork
neet
kled
labubu
useless

The narrative perspectives of these are at an intermediate level

At this stage, you don’t need to exhaust yourself
And you can still gain substantial profits
Between 5 to 10 times is no problem

Going for a few thousand or tens of thousands
Requires a lot of time watching these coins
Personally, I don’t have that energy
Nor do I want to play low-quality coins so exhaustively
Even less do I want to develop a high-frequency trading habit

If you can catch one of these low-quality coins every month
You’d find it hard not to take off

How to select such coins?

Is the narrative perspective significant?
Is there someone with high authority promoting it?
Is the candlestick chart at the bottom?
On-chain fundamental data
Such as chip distribution, types of holdings, etc.
These can basically be reflected in the OKX wallet
…………..
These are the core of the research

I believe, you can definitely catch a super gem

Friends who understand can give a little heart

labubu 20m, this wave has pretty much washed out

There should be another wave coming.

Pop Mart's stock price has reached a historical high.

Just go for it!

JB2wezZLdzWfnaCfHxLg193RS3Rh51ThiXxEDWQDpump

When do you truly understand yourself?

You will make money when you trade, who understands?

How to grasp the rhythm of altcoins～

Starting from 2022, there has been at least one major hot market trend every year.

So far, there have been a total of 4 waves of altcoin hot market trends.

The average correction cycle is around 5 months.
The rising cycle is around 4 months.

The greater the increase in Bitcoin, the larger the correction,
and vice versa.

However, in the future, the maximum correction will only be a little over 30%, so the corresponding extreme price is 78,000.

Currently, this wave of rebound has lasted for 2 months.

Personally, I still hold the old view that Bitcoin will continue to fluctuate around 114,000 to set a peak.

Patiently wait for the big altcoin market at the end of the year.

Life can only rely on oneself, focus on the goal and work hard!
——————————————

The Clumsy Monkey's Dog-Chasing Diary 0609

Finally, I can write a diary again, the last time was in the 3rd grade of elementary school.

As an elementary school student,

I would share the targets, logic, experiences, and insights of chasing dirt dogs every day.

Through the diary, I would share it all.

Nothing else, just looking forward to making a big investment in a golden dog again.

Solana Battle Situation:

USELESS, considered a part of the LetsBonk ecosystem,
belonging to a satirical concept, mocking many useless coins.

When it was at 8.6M, I looked at the charts and found that bonkguy was promoting,
so I bought 1500U and shared it in the internal TG group.

It peaked at 17M, but I didn't sell, now it's back to 13.5M, and I sold.

KLED, this coin is a transit platform for AI entertainment videos and content, using data to refine its AI business model.
I bought this coin at 4m to 5m, but unfortunately, during the information gathering, I was washed out by FUD from their former team members.
Of course, I bought 2000U, missed out on 6 times, and have cried in the exam room during the college entrance examination～

DTR is a platform coin for a DEX called DexToro, which has a style somewhat similar to Moonshot and Axiom.

During the information gathering process, many foreigners were saying that the platform's revenue has exceeded 1 million dollars, and 10% of the revenue will be used to buy back and destroy tokens.

The APP can be downloaded from the Apple Store; I downloaded it and took a look, it’s just okay.

But there should be a team developing and operating it, if it’s just a pure garbage project.
Creating such a big setup also costs quite a bit.
I hesitated when it was at 7.2M, now at 8.1M, I invested 1500U, purely based on the charts it seems a bit high, and it hasn't corrected yet.

BSC Battle Situation:

Janitor, also an AI protocol based on the MCP framework, was shared by the prince,
I think the profile picture is particularly interesting, as it reminds us to cultivate a mindset of sitting quietly.
The charts are fluctuating, and in the BSC ecosystem, it has a decent weight. I bought 1000U at 18.7M.

What I share in the diary is all researched by me, either with a perspective or with a product, not that kind of garbage project.
Looking forward to finding the next super gem, and then making a big investment.

Sigh, see you tomorrow, I'm tired of writing today.

Can Bitcoin drop to over 50,000?

I've come across such content quite a bit these days.
I took a quick look, and most are just comparing it to the K-line of 2021.

And it seems like K-line AI analysis.
This kind of viewpoint that completely relies on K-line isn't going to have a high success rate.

Although I was bearish at over 110,000, I wouldn't just blindly short it.

A drop to the 9s is a normal adjustment; a drop to the 8s or 7s would require significant negative news.

I believe that's already the limit.
As for dropping to the 5s, a price drop of 50% to 60%,

unless there’s a negative event on the level of 312, the probability is too low.

Do you think events like 312 happen every day? Year after year?

The fundamentals of Bitcoin have undergone a qualitative change.
Even if a 312-type event occurs, there will be greater support.

Those who say Bitcoin will drop to 5,

either want traffic, or truly don't understand analysis.

Bitcoin has not doubled

There are no certain targets at a high level

High-frequency copy trading is just giving money to DEV

What would a life without packaging look like?

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Both packaging and non-packaging are part of yourself.

Seeing Wei Shen gain nearly 20 million followers from a 4-second video

I think everyone is not just focusing on his identity as a math genius

but rather likes his pure, genuine personality.

The way everyone most wants to live in their heart.

He has no interest in luxury cars, mansions, women, money, or fame.

I think in a country like China with 1.4 billion people, it's very hard to find someone of this caliber again.

In fact, relying on packaging is tiring; if it weren't for survival and life,

no one would intentionally do this.

While packaging can give a person confidence and a ladder to gain resources,

if you can't achieve the final result, tearing off the outer layer can be mentally devastating.

Whether packaged or not, there's no wrong; it's all your own life.

Rich or poor, everyone has their own way of living.

In this lifetime, let yourself be a little more carefree.

Rather than living in the eyes of others, it's better to love yourself well first.

Crypto is not short of miracles; you don't need to rush.

Why do we say that future innovations are inseparable from Binance?

The barriers built by Binance are getting higher and higher

From spot trading to on-chain ———

Upstream and downstream have already permeated everywhere

Think about it, in the web2 era, any powerful new company was backed by the capital and resources of BAT.

Currently in WEB3, apart from the government faction on Wall Street,
The only one truly completing the closed loop on the front line is Binance.

So for any new innovation in the future:

Either directly in the forest of Binance
Or indirectly in the soil of Binance

Everyone's perspective will definitely have to follow Binance

Otherwise, you will miss many opportunities.
@heyibinance @cz_binance

P players are the past, B players are the future～～

P players refer to those who play on Solana
B players refer to those who play on BNB Chain

Originally, this content was supposed to be released tomorrow
Let's release it early.

The previous post on P players
is about the people and events of the last phase

This one is actually about the future

The MEME track has already iterated out a path of its own

Clearly from ETH to Solana and now to BNB Chain.

BNB Chain is inheriting
the liquidity and popularity of the former two.

This belongs to Binance's breakthrough,
a new round of rising cycle.

The new opportunity I mentioned in my last post
is very likely still centered around landing.

Promoted by Binance, the landing,
just look at what’s on Alpha.

All belong to the direction of vertical storytelling and application landing.

New things | Large-scale narrative | Stacking high market value
cannot be separated from Binance.

So a few days ago, I discussed with Professor @Zhouqi_2013, and we both agree that there will be a good wealth effect on Alpha in the future.

Prince @EnHeng456 should be the person I know who has achieved the most significant results on BNB Chain.

So currently, there is only one B Marshal, uh-huh.

His success in getting results is inevitable, no conspiracy theory.

Because when he is partying,
he is researching projects on BNB Chain.

I haven’t seen him take his phone out of sight,
so young yet so hardworking, success is reasonable.

Therefore, looking at the present,
there should be more people inspired by uh-huh,
thus giving birth to more B Marshals.

You know how P Marshal makes money like this

Discovering opportunities without hesitation
Only heavily investing in large-scale narrative projects

0xsun
Wizard
Dayu
James
Wang Xiaoer
yuyue
and so on

Their fame is inseparable from the projects below

pepe
wif
bonk
bome
neiro
goat
ai16z
pnut
tst
trump….

In fact, everyone has seen these projects in the early price stages

The reason you missed out:

Hesitating when seeing information
Even if you bought it, it was only a small position

These are the core memes of market hotspots

They are not created every day
They are all large angles, large scales
Evolving with the development of the market and industry
Requires time to continuously evolve

The dividend of MEME has passed the early stage
Because we have entered the era of universal MEME

The wealth effect will inevitably weaken
Big opportunities will only become fewer

In the future, do not limit yourself to MEME, learn more
Because new things are constantly being nurtured

When they appear, they will create another batch of people.