KaiZXBT

Signal 1: Three weekly candles have closed below Vitaminance Valuation Band No. 2.
Throughout this cycle’s uptrend, Bitcoin has shown strong respect for Vitaminance Valuation Band No. 2. After each rally that formed a local top, the subsequent pullback consistently retraced to Band No. 2, found support, then continued its upward move.
However, in the current correction, Bitcoin has broken below Band No. 2. This is the first early signal that the market may be shifting toward a downtrend.
After losing Band No. 2, Bitcoin continued falling until it reached Band No. 3, where signs of stabilization began to appear.
Looking back at the previous uptrend cycle, particularly the late-stage period in 2021, Bitcoin dropped sharply by 50 percent after the 65,000 dollar ATH. When price retraced to Band No. 2, the decline stopped and Bitcoin pushed to a new ATH at 69,000 dollars. But instead of continuing higher, price reversed aggressively, broke below Band No. 2, and only stabilized again at Band No. 3. This was followed by a medium-term relief rally that lasted two to three months.
From a historical fractal perspective, Bitcoin’s current reaction to the Vitaminance Valuation Bands is highly similar to what happened during the 2021 uptrend.
If this pattern repeats, Bitcoin may form a short-term bottom around Band No. 3 and then produce a medium-term rebound. After that, price could resume its decline. A weekly candle closing below Band No. 3 would become the second early signal that Bitcoin is entering a downtrend, even if the broader uptrend structure has not yet been fully broken, as discussed in my previous analysis.

Signal 2: Triple-top divergence on the weekly timeframe, a highly powerful warning
On the weekly chart, we are now seeing a triple-top divergence between price and momentum indicators such as RSI and Vitaminance Power, along with a double-top divergence on the MACD Histogram. This combination is a very strong signal that Bitcoin’s bullish momentum has weakened significantly.
This weakening becomes even more apparent when looking at the latest rally from the 74,400 dollar bottom to the 126,000 dollar peak. Although Bitcoin printed a new higher high above the previous 109,000 dollar top, the internal strength of this move was noticeably fragile.
A triple-top divergence is one of the strongest technical signals, and when it appears on higher timeframes, its significance becomes even greater. It suggests that Bitcoin could face a deep correction in the coming period.
However, this does not guarantee that price must drop immediately or definitively. There is still a possibility that Bitcoin continues higher and forms a four-top divergence, or in a more extreme scenario, invalidates the current triple-top divergence entirely and produces a powerful FOMO-driven breakout that exceeds expectations.

PENGU has been underperforming in the past day, recording the biggest loss among the top 100 cryptocurrencies after sliding 11%, according to CoinMarketCap.
Conditions like this often imply that the possibility of further decline remains high. However, recent sentiment suggests bulls could step in soon and a rebound may be near.
Liquidity flight pressures PENGU
PENGU witnessed one of the largest capital outflows from its derivatives market, where investors use leverage to increase their chances of gains.
Open Interest, which helps determine the amount of capital in the market, shows a 19% decline, with about $15.4 million removed from circulation.

The drop in capital, paired with the accompanying price depreciation, aligns with the broader indication that a bearish sentiment is brewing.
In fact, data shows the market is pushing bullish investors to the losing end as sentiment turns against them. Liquidation figures confirm this, wiping out nearly $1 million in bullish long positions in recent days.
Technically, the Long/Short Ratio stood at 9.9 to 1.1 in the past days, meaning the market forcefully closed $9.9 worth of long contracts for every $1.1 in short liquidations.
Rebound could be near
Capital outflow in the market has not occurred across all exchanges.
Binance, which controls the largest Open Interest at $22.7 million in PENGU, displays a different pattern that suggests a stronger bullish sentiment.
The Long/Short Ratio, which tracks the amount of buying volume relative to selling volume, shows that buying activity has dominated in the past day.
A Long/Short Ratio above the neutral zone of 1 confirms this positive sentiment. Currently, ratio data sits at 1.6—significantly high and reinforcing the bullish outlook.

The general sentiment in the derivatives market is bullish as well. The Open Interest-Weighted Funding Rate has turned positive, posting a reading of 0.0082%.
This indicates that most of the capital circulating in the market is coming from long investors paying a premium fee, which further confirms bullish sentiment.
Spot markets are also bullish
Binance derivatives investors aren’t the only bullish participants in the market. Other investor segments across the broader market reflect the same sentiment.
Spot exchange netflow data shows consistent accumulation in the past 48 hours, amounting to about $2.26 million.

Most of the accumulation occurred on the 10th of December, when investors purchased more PENGU, scooping $1.76 million from the market.
With $509,000 in PENGU accumulated so far today, the likelihood remains high that if bullish interest continues, total purchases could exceed the previous day’s accumulation.
For now, the overall sentiment appears to reflect a brief retracement before PENGU continues its upward trajectory.

While Bitcoin holds steady above 90,000 dollars, much of the excitement in crypto has quietly moved away from narrative-driven AI tokens. The spotlight is shifting toward projects that are actually building core infrastructure. Kite AI is one of the few that stands out for consistent progress rather than noise, and recent developments suggest the project is entering a decisive phase ahead of mainnet.
Hiring Momentum and Validator Growth
Over the past week, Kite opened several new roles across product and engineering. This kind of expansion usually signals that a team is preparing for a much larger push. On-chain metrics support this view. Kite’s testnet is now handling close to one million automated transactions per week, a milestone that many AI-blockchain projects have discussed in theory but have not reached in practice.
The KITE token is currently trading around 0.079 dollars. It has pulled back slightly but remains stable despite market turbulence. The reason for that stability is not hype but tangible progress. More validators are joining the network, partnerships continue to grow, and the community is starting to sound confident rather than simply optimistic.
From Zettablock to a Layer 1 for Autonomous Agents
Kite did not start as an agent-focused protocol. It began as Zettablock, a Berkeley data startup that pivoted early this year under founder Chi Zhang. The rebrand transformed the product into a Layer 1 network designed specifically for autonomous AI agents operating independently.
Kite is not trying to win a race on raw speed. Its mission is to create trust between agents. Built on Avalanche subnets, it introduces Proof of Attributed Intelligence, a system that verifies each agent’s contributions directly on-chain. Every agent carries an Agent Passport that defines its capabilities and the rules for how it can interact with others.
By autumn, the testnets had processed more than 400 million transactions and over one billion inference calls. The ecosystem has grown to nearly 17 million community members. These figures are not vanity metrics. They reflect a genuine network effect forming around autonomous coordination.
x402 and the Rise of Machine-to-Machine Payments
The most important innovation in the Kite stack is x402, a standard the team co-developed with Coinbase. It converts the old HTTP 402 Payment Required signal into a functional payment layer for machines. In practice, an agent can buy data, pay for computation, or settle a transaction without human approval or a centralized payment gateway.
Early pilots show up to a 90 percent reduction in costs. x402 is already being used in controlled e-commerce demos where agents order food or verify invoices. These experiments reveal a new type of micro-economy where software interacts and pays other software in real time.
The Role of the KITE Token
The KITE token powers the entire ecosystem. It is used for gas, staking, governance, and increasingly for micropayments between agents. Stakers currently earn yields of around 12 to 15 percent. Governance holders influence network upgrades and treasury decisions.
KITE has a total supply of 10 billion tokens, with roughly 1.8 billion circulating today. The remaining supply unlocks gradually through 2027, a schedule designed to control inflation while supporting long-term builders.
Kite’s financial position is also solid. The project has raised about 33 million dollars from investors such as PayPal Ventures, General Catalyst, and Coinbase Ventures. The mix of backers suggests confidence in a vision that may take several years to fully develop.
December: Preparation Before the Next Phase
Recent updates show Kite in a transition phase. The team is hiring more aggressively, developer applications are open, and the Validator Program launched its first cohort of Gold badges. These early validators will form the backbone of the network at mainnet.
O.K..X recently removed perpetual futures for KITE, but the community’s reaction has been steady. Engagement across social platforms remains strong, supported by quests like Fly the Kite. Even smaller events, including a recent X Space with founder Chi Zhang, attracted hundreds of builders exploring how x402 might play a role in mainstream commerce.
Looking Ahead
Mainnet is still planned for late 2025. Scalability, regulatory clarity, and competition from other agent-based networks such as Fetch.ai remain key challenges. Even so, Kite’s methodical pace and emphasis on verifiable trust set it apart in a crowded field
As Chi Zhang said, “The next internet will not only connect people. It will connect decisions, and agents will be the ones making them.”
At a price of 0.079 dollars, KITE might not look like a breakout token yet. The real story lies elsewhere. Kite is quietly wiring the infrastructure for a future where autonomous agents coordinate, transact, and operate continuously. The next phase of the AI economy will be built one validator, one transaction, and one hire at a time.

@KITE AI #KITE $KITE

Giggle Fund $GIGGLE extended its decline this month, deepening a drawdown that reached 71% since November. The token now traded near the wedge bottom, where oversold conditions and compressed momentum set up a possible turning point.
Market sentiment stayed fragile across memecoins as liquidity rotated into larger caps. Rising volume accelerated GIGGLE’s downside momentum as traders cut exposure to higher-risk tokens.
Pressure builds near key supports
At press time, volume rose while price fell, showing strong bearish control. GIGGLE continued testing the upper boundary of its falling wedge but failed to reclaim any momentum.
The key downside area sat near $70.
Losing this level exposed support around $47.30, a zone aligned with earlier liquidity absorption and the wedge’s historical reaction line. A sustained break below that level could pull GIGGLE into deeper declines.
The lack of strong support between these price levels and the $47 zone increased the risk of volatility spikes before stabilization.
Despite heavy selling, GIGGLE tapped the lower boundary of the falling wedge again, the same region that triggered sharp bounces in past cycles.
RSI dropped to extremely oversold levels, showing washed-out momentum. This combination often preceded recovery attempts if buyers stepped in.

Resistance between $160 and $172 remained the zone GIGGLE must break to reclaim higher ranges.
Until then, any rebound looked corrective rather than a full trend reversal. GIGGLE also needed to hold its daily ascending support, as a breakdown would mirror wedge failure patterns and extend the downside.
Macro headwinds weigh on memecoins
Bitcoin  and Ethereum  slipped ahead of the recent Fed decision, pulling the broader market lower. Risk sentiment turned defensive, with the Fear & Greed Index at 29/100.
Memecoins like GIGGLE typically weaken during such rotations as traders shift toward Bitcoin dominance and stable assets.
BTC dominance rising to 58.6% reinforced that preference for lower-risk exposure.
Sector-wide weakness also showed a steady rotation out of meme tokens as Funding Rates compressed and liquidity thinned.
GIGGLE’s volume spikes during down-moves indicated forced unwinds rather than accumulation.

Until sentiment improves across the meme sector, upside momentum may stay limited even with bullish technical structures forming.

$GIGGLE

Lorenzo Protocol is emerging at a moment when crypto is overflowing with experimentation but struggling to form a consistent financial framework. The industry never lacked creativity. What it lacked was continuity. Ideas appear, attract liquidity, and vanish once users realize the mechanics cannot sustain themselves. In a space filled with brilliant fragments, very few protocols manage to assemble those fragments into something that behaves like an actual financial system. This is what makes Lorenzo feel distinct. It is not trying to outrun DeFi with louder innovation. It is trying to stitch together the elements that matter into a structure that operates with predictability. A structure that feels like finance, not improvisation. A structure that behaves tomorrow the same way it behaves today.
This philosophy is expressed most clearly in Lorenzo’s On Chain Traded Funds. At first glance, the idea seems straightforward: tokenized access to strategies inspired by traditional quantitative trend models, volatility systems, managed futures, and structured yield frameworks. The simplicity is not accidental. It is the result of strict rules that refuse to hide risk or smooth volatility for appearances. Each OTF executes its methodology exactly as designed. It reflects the reality of its strategy even when the results are uncomfortable. In an ecosystem that spent years trying to obscure risk, Lorenzo takes the opposite path. It treats risk as an essential feature of real finance and gives users direct exposure rather than cosmetic consistency.
This discipline only works because of the architecture beneath it. Lorenzo’s dual vault system, with simple vaults and composed vaults, shows how the protocol thinks about structure. Simple vaults remain pure with one strategy and one behavioral pattern. Composed vaults combine multiple strategies while keeping each component visible and intact. There is no blending that turns everything into a black box. When a user holds a composed OTF built from trend and volatility, the product behaves exactly like a combination of trend and volatility. Complexity grows without losing clarity.
The protocol’s governance layer reinforces this order. The BANK token and its vote-escrow extension veBANK coordinate incentives and long-term direction, yet they cannot interfere with the strategies themselves. No vote can force higher risk or override mathematical rules. Governance influences the ecosystem without contaminating the products. This separation acknowledges a truth early DeFi ignored: decentralization should protect structure from emotion, not hand every parameter to public sentiment.
The commitment to coherence does introduce a new challenge. Real financial strategies go through cycles. Trend systems stall in sideways markets. Volatility frameworks may struggle during calm periods. Yield structures narrow when liquidity shifts. Traditional investors view these outcomes as normal, but DeFi users are accustomed to artificially stabilized returns. Lorenzo removes that illusion. It reintroduces the natural rhythm of performance and forces users to think in terms of exposure rather than speculation. Holding becomes an informed decision. Allocation becomes intentional.
The profile of Lorenzo’s adopters reflects this change. The early cohort is not chasing quick emissions or temporary incentives. They are allocators with long horizons, quantitative builders looking for a clean distribution system, traders seeking structured exposure without operational overhead, and institutions attracted to clear rules rather than yield promises. Lorenzo appeals to them because it behaves like a financial product, not a hype cycle.
The broader implication is that Lorenzo points toward a new direction for the on-chain financial stack. DeFi spent a decade expanding outward by multiplying experiments without integrating them. Lorenzo moves inward by giving those experiments structure and context. Liquidity becomes a resource, not the goal. Strategies become components, not marketing. If Lorenzo becomes foundational, it will be because it brought order to the innovation that already exists.
If it succeeds, it will not be because it won a race. It will be because it created a landscape where portfolios can be built on-chain with confidence and clarity. It will be the protocol that treated investing as a discipline rather than entertainment. And in a market filled with creativity but hungry for durability, Lorenzo may quietly become the system that gives DeFi the coherence it has been missing.

@Lorenzo Protocol $BANK #lorenzoprotocol