ZERO IKA 🗡️

You will never see this account shilling microcaps for money, not even during a full euphoria stage.

If I ever start posting paid trash, assume I’ve been replaced/hacked.

Principles > profits.

When we will see a new expansion on TOTAL 2 I'm looking for taking consistent profits between 1.38T and 1.42T.

During this move to the downside due to being at HTF demand on USDT D (not due to war) a lot of levels that were acting as demand/bullish areas have been melted and confirmed with a weekly closure below them.

Technically speaking, this turn them into valid bearish BBs within an HTF discount range.

As mentioned in this post https://t.co/kVRVsuLo0Y there's some "unfinished business" which is not a must but worth considering in an overall idea of optimizing HTF longs or spot orders.

The only problem with this type of bearish setups is that you don't have a clean BOS below key SLs, (yet) so on a scale from 1/3 this makes them less powerful but not invalid, reaching 2/3, in my opinion.

With the USDT D closing above the internal range but below the 4D supply, we might see some more relief into those levels toward the fresh 3D one.

Below EQ within the range for USDT -> discount -> bullish.
Above EQ within the range for other majors -> premium -> bearish.

This would represent an optimal setup for seeing MTF bearishness into key levels before semi-HTF altcoins bullish continuation into Summer. 🍹

🧾Trading mistakes you will face and must avoid if you don't want to get absolutely incinerated over the long term:

1) Neglecting risk management
No matter how good your strategy is, poor risk management guarantees eventual disaster.
You don’t blow up from being wrong, you blow up from betting too big when you’re wrong.

2) Revenge trading
Lost a trade? Tough.
Chasing it back with emotion will only dig a deeper hole. Cool heads win, hot heads blow up.

3) Chasing moves
See a candle explode and you jump in?
See the price hit your level without you and you start pressing buttons?
Best recipes for getting rekt.
If you're asking yourself if you're late, then you probably are.

4) Not keeping a trading journal
If you don’t track your trades, you’re doomed to repeat your dumbest ones.
Journaling turns losses into lessons.

5) Getting overconfident after wins/getting over

The Notion and channel continue to evolve.

Besides the daily analyses, dedicated videos to the market and all the guides that are constantly being written and updated with new ones, we added:

- The personal growth section (something deeper that goes outside financial markets)
- Insights section
- Tools (expanded with a trading journal, and a crypto tracker)
- Traditional Finance (a section that will be added with sectors and stocks to monitor)
- 3 separated chats -> discussion group + trading room + "fast tips & reflections"

Hundreds of hours have been spent for creating all of this.

Hundreds of hours will be spent for making it even better.

Tip:

When you're looking for a pullback, after you evaluated the key areas of your interest, try to find confluences using reverse extensions.

I already shared one of the most powerful setups for extensions and since it's incredibly well valid for calculating targets during price discovery, it's incredibly valid for calculating downside targets as well.

Since institutional trading algorithms are set to specific fibs, price often reacts precisely at those levels, both during expansions and pullbacks.

After a reclaim of a key swing, reverse extensions help map out where liquidity is likely to rest, allowing you to anticipate PB zones that align with algo behavior.

When these levels align with other confluences like OBs, FVGs, or previous structure, the probability of a meaningful reaction increases significantly.

Not every time you will be able to find interesting levels where the price can retrace into and reverse fibs will help you catching a move.

Start making practice, start individuating the most important swings of a structure, start familiarizing with this setup.

🎁For many altcoins PA I would start pay attention at crucial dates:

- Sunday 09 May 2021
- Wednesday 01 December 2021
- Monday 01 November 2021
- Saturday 04 December 2021
- Monday 09 December 2024
- Tuesday 16 November 2021
- Tuesday 07 January 2025

That's where you can take profit in a very accurate manner looking for bearish reversals.

Not every coin will achieve those dates but I give a high probability for many of them.

Start studying those dates, in my opinion.

BTC without reclaiming its PSH.
T1/T2 without reclaiming their PSHs.
BVOL at demand.
USDT D bouncing from the 3D demand.

BTC with 1 (local) level left behind.
Several altcoins with some key levels left behind.
T1/T2 with 2 (local) levels left behind.
USDT D. with 2 (local) levels left behind.

Unfinished business.

If price moves fast, it’s liquidity being taken.

If price moves slow, orders are being built.

Few will understand.

If you watched the previous BTC and TOTAL2 updates I made, they should have helped you stay on track and manage your emotions and capital avoiding the temptation to FOMO into premium levels.

Before the current breakdown, there were plenty of strong levels across individual altcoins, both in terms of liquidity and HTF demand zones.

Some of these offered clean local bounce opportunities (like the VET example shared earlier), while others, despite their strength, have broken down significantly.

Many are now at "risk" of becoming bearish breakers, particularly if we see confirmation on the upcoming weekly close.

If this happens, we're likely to see further downside in the short term, but that's not necessarily a bad thing.

The imbalances left behind from early May are now coming back into play, especially if 1.14 on T2 will be drilled, and if so, they could offer excellent opportunities for positioning, not only from a quick trade perspective, but with the intention of holding over the next few months.

These zones, combined with developing HTF structures, may become the foundation for the next meaningful move upward.

The key here is patience and clarity.

There's also a nice lesson in here.

If you take the time travel machine and go back to 2 weeks ago, the sentiment was: "We're not gonna have any type of pullback, max pain is up, have fun being sidelined.."

Now "sideliners" are seen as visionaries.

I always emphasize the importance of waiting for your setups to come into play, even if this could translate in short term "pain" due to the idea of missing out on opportunities.

What matters is exclusively your journey, not the other way around.

PO3 model + recent BTC example.

Something to study and incorporate.

One of my favorite quotes:

"Bulls demolish shorts, bears devour longs: both prey on the cocky.
Survival is about knowing when to fold, not when to brag."

A few considerations. If you watched the last video analysis I made, BTC has reached the last TP at $103.700/100.400I had in my charts and the level mentioned on the 10th of April, as per this screenshot:

I didn't look for any short with the reclaim of 88.798$ apart from the HTF supply at 97K (otherwise I would have been blown away) but I'm now opening/adding my first consistent short position, respecting my plan.

The reason behind isn't "just" based on the level but also on extra confluences coming from:

- BTC/XAU (30/31 is a zone I was eyeing since a lot of time)
- SP500 at monthly breaker
- On-chain data showing positive funding spiking hard and cross-exchange funding as well (especially Deribit) meaning traders are borrowing money to leverage/exploiting arbitrary opportunities
- FOMO news intensifying hard with Standard Chartered Bank announcing "too low targets for BTC" just to name one.

Logically, this is being done with hedge longs taken on several alts during the last 2 days, so if the short doesn't go as expected, longs will cover the loss (always trailing them in the meantime).

Regardless, if you rode this entire move up following the TP levels mentioned I think it's wise to take profits.

Remember, the lower liquidity levels that have remain untapped will be met at some point.

It's just a matter of when, not a matter of If.

I would also pay attention to the next weekly closure.

If we correctly manage to perform it above 99.520$ this would likely open the doors for an attack till the previous ATH and potentially more.

In this sense, you will have a macro TP area to eye: the 4% one on USDT D.

A few considerations.

If you watched the last video analysis I made, BTC has reached the last TP at $103.700/100.400I had in my charts and the level mentioned on the 10th of April, as per this screenshot:

I didn't look for any short with the reclaim of 88.798$ apart from the HTF supply at 97K (otherwise I would have been blown away) but I'm now opening/adding my first consistent short position, respecting my plan.

The reason behind isn't "just" based on the level but also on extra confluences coming from:
- BTC/XAU (30/31 is a zone I was eyeing since a lot of time)
- SP500 at monthly breaker
- On-chain data showing positive funding spiking hard and cross-exchange funding as well (especially Deribit)
meaning traders are borrowing money to leverage/exploiting arbitrary opportunities
- FOMO news intensifying hard with Standard Chartered Bank announcing "too low targets for BTC" just to name one

Logically, this is being done with hedge longs taken on several alts during the last 2 days, so if the short doesn't go as expected, longs will cover the loss (always trailing them in the meantime).

Regardless, if you rode this entire move up following the TP levels mentioned I think it's wise to take profits.

Remember, the lower liquidity levels that have remain untapped will be met at some point.

It's just a matter of when, not a matter of If.

BTC moving aggressively into HTF supply without meaningful retracement. 👁️