In history, there have been very few times when the Fear & Greed index fell to a level of 10, this is the first time it has reached this point after 261 days (27/2/2025), reflecting a state of the market that is extremely panicked and investors have completely lost confidence. However, at each stage where this signal appears in the market, there has always been a short-term recovery of 20-30% regardless of the short-term and medium-term trends.
Short-term traders always see this as the golden point "right place, right time" to have the opportunity to buy more while most small investors are fearful of cutting losses and leaving the market. Market opportunities from here will have spectacular recovery jumps much more feasible than continuing to drop deeply when the selling pressure from the bears has truly exhausted, and current holders are also in a state of temporary loss, proving that: those who needed to sell have sold and those holding losses will continue to maintain their positions waiting for the market to recover.
Any stage of the market also has opportunities. The most important thing is that you always allocate capital, manage risk, have a specific strategy, and remember to always have a plan for taking profits/setting stop losses. When the market returns to the race, the coins $BTC $ETH $BNB $SOL $LINK always rank among the best recoveries.
$STRK may be a rare highlight during a time when the market is flooded with red, as the capital has recently flowed into the privacy trend led by $ZEC . However, after a series of days of continuous pumping, the red is gradually cooling down. As liquidity returns to the market, prioritizing the movement of funds back to $BTC or $SOL will be more optimal than continuing to fomo into this coin.
Can't believe since I told you to check out and buy the $ASTER , and shared my thoughts on how much potential it had, it's pumped nearly 30% in less than a week! And that's even with the rest of the market being a total sea of red last week.
GemmaTran
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$ASTER Bullish
Entry point: The current H4 index shows a very strong accumulation.
The market has been doing a full clean-up today, taking out all the money that was sitting around, even dropping way below the $92k area. We've also successfully "closed the gap" on the CME chart, which is a significant technical point.
The Fear & Greed Index is now sitting at a super scary level of 11. The last time we saw it this low was right after the big Luna crash! That explains why everyone is feeling so terrible right now.
I can't say for sure if this is the absolute bottom yet, or if we'll dip down to the $85k mark. But from a technical standpoint, the current price of Bitcoin is super far away from its 20-day moving average. That kind of distance has only happened a handful of times in history! The same thing is true for the weekly chart.
So, in my personal opinion, I think we are due for a technical bounce or a little recovery back to the $95k - $100k rangeâat least in the short term. No, I don't expect us to shoot straight back up in a V-shaped recovery. I think we'll have a period of hanging around and stabilizing before we can hope to move higher. This whole period is going to be a big testâit will shake out the people who are only focused on the strict four-year cycle pattern. Would you like me to translate another paragraph for you, or maybe simplify any of the terms used here?
Aster coin is seen as the successor to BNB and is one of the strong competitors of $HYPE in the decentralized exchange space. An undeniable fact is that the trendiness of exchange coins this season is explosive, almost impossible to be restrained by BTC's adjustments. When capital flows back into the market, these exchange coins will clearly demonstrate their growth potential, and it is highly likely that in the near future we will never see Aster and Hype at this price range again.
Looking at the chart to explain why what is about to happen is not crazy at all:
1. The first chart is a comparison between the BTC and ETH charts, and we can see that there is more untapped liquidity above ETH compared to BTC.
2. Continuing to look at the ETH/BTC pair, it can be seen that we are maintaining a local support level, and once again, it is clear that there is a lot of untapped liquidity in the upward direction.
Combining these two points, it can currently be concluded that if we soon hit the bottom here, the likelihood of ETH reaching a new ATH before BTC is much higher in the next phase, based on probability.
The reason many people find this hard to believe is that first: they do not know how to analyze charts, and second, pessimism has made them fail to recognize the widespread recovery potential despite no breakouts in the medium to long-term bullish structure on both the BTC and ETH charts.
The undeniable fact is that $BTC will officially fill the CME today.
But this is even more important: where are we? If we check the round data on the fear and greed index, we are at a point of 14/100, this extreme fear level last occurred in February 2025, a massacre day for crypto when BTC lost 20% of its value, and in June of 2022 after the Luna collapse. This is clearly reflected in the price chart, what we are witnessing firsthand. It also sends a more optimistic message that these times do not last forever, and that is why, in the end, patience will prevail.
Therefore, Bitcoin goes in search for a support level (CME gap is an obvious point).
The volatility remains high, and, I think we'll find ourselves into a bottom in the first days of this week as there's a lot of macroeconomic data lined up later in the week + the FED is likely going to step in.
Also, given that last week was such a terrible weekly candle, it's impossible to expect an imminent V-shape recovery after that.
The similarity of $ETH at the price of 1k4 and $SOL current price.
On-chain data shows that when the price of ETH reached the threshold of 1k4, the MVRV was negative and many whales were accumulating, while retailers were panicking and selling off, the fear index at this time was also extremely low.
Currently, SOL is also in the negative MVRV zone, and similar to ETH, whales are still quietly accumulating while retailers continue to sell off, the current fear index has dropped to an extreme level.
After that, we all know that ETH from this price range has tripled. SOL from this price range is very far from ATH and this is the opportunity to invest in a coin with an extremely large market capitalization. Spot only and good luck!
$BTC closed below the 50W SMA last week, then the odds of the top being in go up considerably (60-70%).
A second close below would make the case even stronger.
We just had a death cross so if the cycle is not over, then now would be the time for the bulls to show it. If the bulls can get #BTC back above the 50W SMA by the end of next week, then the odds probably go back to 50/50.
If the top is in, then there should be one final rally to the 200D SMA which would form the macro lower high, but that could still be several weeks away.
Regardless of what is ahead of us for the rest of Q4, BTC will likely visit its 200W SMA by mid-to-late 2026, just like it does every mid-term year. This would likely put the price around $60k-$70k.
$XVG continues to grow more than 12% in the last 24 hours, showing strong buying power while the market is moving sideways after a week filled with red.
One can wait for an entry point if the price adjusts to the area of 0.0075 to surf short. Adjusting the leverage appropriately and good capital management helps optimize profits while stabilizing psychology well.
$SOL updates on-chain data for Sol, showing that the MVRV Z-core region is currently in the negative, indicating that all short-term SOL holders are temporarily at a loss. This is one of the extremely positive signals for anyone wanting safe growth with a large capital; simply put, you can understand that when you are in a crowd all experiencing losses, everyone acts as a thick wall to protect their position. Furthermore, DCA behavior helps stabilize prices, which is beneficial for anyone buying Sol at this time.
This behavior and signal have previously occurred with $ETH when the price reached the 1k4 region; at that time, the MVRV indicator of ETH was also negative, and the crowd panicked with no one daring to hit the BUY button anymore. After that, we all know what happened next, right?
Both ETH and SOL are tokens with large market capitalizations that now have EFT; SOL repeating what ETH did before shows this is an extremely clear opportunity. Such rare golden indicators usually only appear after many years. Daring to invest money at this moment is not easy, however, that is what makes the difference in future financial outcomes. This advice is only for buying SPOT, not futures or margin.
According to market data, $AWE has experienced a growth of 30%, currently trading at $0.07. In the current market context, which is bleak due to a lack of liquidity, there are still some dynamic breakout coins; leveraging to profit in a short timeframe seems to be a wise choice. A few coins worth mentioning are $DASH $XVG
OTHERS.D has clearly shown a distinct bullish divergence on the monthly timeframe. When this occurs after a significant liquidation event like we saw on October 10th, it is clear that this is not a coincidence.
This is how the market is resetting positions, eliminating excess leverage, and resetting the game when the market makers genuinely want to attract real capital into spot positions and lay the groundwork for rotation.
The continuously supportive bottom has been defended by someone, the sentiment has stabilized, and liquidity is quietly shifting.
This does not mean that everything will be lush green tomorrow, but it does mean that preparations for a strong reversal are forming right before our eyes.
Clearly, a crazy wave, an overt setup is coming, and often the best things are not meant for the impatient.
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