分析师董势涨

Do you know how high your trading fees are?
You only need to trade for a month, and your fees will be higher than your principal. As a large trader, I need to transfer 9000u in fees to him every week, which is ridiculously high. So how exactly are these fees calculated? Let me show you a calculation, and you'll understand.
Contract Trading:
A fee of 0.05% (0.0005) per transaction
Buying and selling once incurs a charge of 0.1% (0.001)
For a contract with 100x leverage, the fee is 100 × 0.001 = 0.1 (10%)
If you trade three times a day, the fee would be 0.1 × 3 = 0.3 (30%)
The accumulated trading fee for a month would be 30 × 0.3 = 9 (900%)
The accumulated trading fee for a year would be 12 × 9 = 108 (10800%)
With a $1000 margin for 100x leverage, the accumulated trading fee for a year would be $108000
If you also want to earn fees, you can fill in my invitation code 1045264607, and I'll give you the highest commission back every week!

Hurry into the chat room, the chat room is sending red envelopes 🧧 币安金牌KOL董势聊天室

The BTC door painting market is nearing its end, and BTC is about to show direction.

Over the past half month, BTC has mostly been stuck in a door painting phase, with trading difficulty at a hellish level, and most participants are in a losing state since the daily direction varies. However, the door painting market is almost coming to an end, and a clear direction will emerge within the next week, making trading much easier.

Let's discuss the situation over the weekend. Liquidity has always been relatively poor, with almost no major players participating, so weekend trading generally won't have much reference value. Any expected volatility will likely wait until tomorrow. Currently, BTC's trend is relatively more stable compared to the door painting phase of the first half of the month. The support below for BTC is focused on the support at 87000, the gap at 86000, and the strong support at 85000. If it doesn't drop below 87000 over the weekend, a long position can be arranged, with a chance to touch 89000. If it is strong, it might go to 91000. If it reaches around 91000, that position will be under strong pressure and also constrained by the trend line, so a short position can be arranged there, as a pullback is likely.

As for the upcoming major direction, I believe that after such a long period of fluctuation, it should start to push upwards. After all, it broke below the strong support at 85000 and then recovered. 84400 should be the new short-term low, and I don't think it will break below 84400 again. It is highly likely to start rebounding from this position, and we will first look at 89000 and 91000. Only after stabilizing above 91000 can the market potentially welcome a significant rebound. If it cannot hold above that, it will still decline.

This is the market
You always feel it should fall, but it just wants to rise
Clear your positions before going to sleep, leave the rest to fate

The BTC market is progressing as expected, reaching 84000 perfectly yesterday, taking a profit of 5000 points.

Yesterday I posted to inform everyone that the direction is still downward, and there will be further declines, targeting 84000. The market movement yesterday was basically in line with my expectations; it reached 84400, and because of this, I made a profit of 5000 points. Moreover, the position of the decline was also quite similar to what I had anticipated. My expectation yesterday was around 88500, and it actually reached about 89000, a difference of a few hundred points. There is no issue with the direction, and it aligns with my thoughts.

To be honest, making money in this market is really difficult, as there is no fixed direction. One second it rises, and the next second it falls; there is really no technical analysis to speak of, it’s all back and forth. However, the overall direction is downward. Today it has risen, but tomorrow it will likely fall, and it generally tends to break below previous lows. When it rises, it usually does not reach new highs. Following this back-and-forth harvesting method, this market is like gambling. If you bet correctly, you can gain a few thousand points. I have basically been gambling these last few days, incurring losses of 1-2000 points and making profits of 4-5000 points. So, it’s been a back-and-forth gamble, and I’ve managed to earn quite a bit, essentially using small stop losses to gamble for larger profits.

The rise during the day today has almost reversed yesterday's decline. So, this back and forth continues, basically without any direction. At this point, I don't really recommend going short, as the recent moves have all been aimed at triggering stop losses. Generally, the longer a place consolidates, the harder it is to drop. Therefore, I believe the upward trend is not yet over; it might go up to 90000-91000 to hit the short stop losses before it declines. I think BTC is also nearing a directional shift, estimating it will be in the next week or so. It may decline once more, forming a bottom, and then continue to rise. The specific position is hard to judge in this market; we will provide analysis based on the market conditions at that time.

Tonight, decisively going as planned...

Today we completed the first goal that everyone has been looking forward to
84000 has finally arrived, 5000 points of meat!

Enough, not greedy anymore, I've made about 300% profit, a total of around 5000 points, going to sleep.

The crash has begun
First target 84000
Break below the target near 80000
Is there a chance to achieve it tonight

It's CNM, drawing doors every day
This market cuts leeks every day, truly impressed
Today rises, tomorrow falls, tomorrow falls, the day after rises

BTC yesterday experienced a double kill for both bulls and bears. Recently, the market has had nothing else but repeated stop-loss hits and repeated harvesting, and the downtrend is still ongoing, with the next target around 84000.

Every rise and fall of BTC recently has been spent in a constrained range, the pattern is not good at all. Whenever you think about the pattern today, it will return to the starting point tomorrow. Trading really has no certain direction; it's completely a meat grinder. So, what will happen next?

First of all, I believe the downtrend is still ongoing, and the next downside target is around 84000. However, how it will change in between, where it will rebound before falling again, is quite difficult to grasp, especially with the recent repetitive killings—one moment up, one moment down—there's really no technical analysis to speak of. Of course, there are several resistance levels above that we need to pay attention to. The first resistance level is around 87000, which has not been touched yet; the highest it reached was only 86800. If it cannot break through this level, it may directly fall from here. The second level is around 88000-88500. If it can stabilize at 87000, it may come up to hit the stop-loss at 88000-88500 before falling down again. These two levels are what we need to keep an eye on.

Friendly reminder, the recent market is complex and variable. It's advisable not to open positions casually, as it can easily lead to losses. Recently, trading has been of hellish difficulty, and it’s better for everyone to observe more.

The points weren't opened well, but the 2000 parents' points were still consumed.

BTC market is on track again, decisively testing the resistance around 88000 before starting to decline, currently down 1700 points.

Yesterday I posted to tell everyone not to short near 85000, as this position is a support level. You can wait to short after a rebound, with the rebound level around 87500-88000. As a result, it rebounded to around 88100, which was consistent with my expectations, almost spot on. If you shorted near 88000, you would already have a profit of 2000 points by now.

To be honest, this short position is quite torturous. The main force has been squeezing shorts and is very sluggish. The more this happens, the greater the opportunity. It is precisely because of the short squeeze that it proves there is space and demand for a decline. Otherwise, it wouldn't be squeezing shorts all night. The reason for this is that there will be an accelerated decline, which is why it could keep squeezing shorts. So where does this short position go? First, the support level below is 85000, and if it breaks, it will be 83700. I think breaking 85000 today shouldn't be too much of a problem, and it's likely to reach that level. Recently, Japan is also raising interest rates, which indeed creates a demand for a decline. It is quite possible that it will go to around 80000.

If today it can drop to 80000 in one go, then we could see a drop of 7,8000 points today, haha, let’s see if there's hope.

BTC broke the trend line and rebounded near 88000 as expected. For those who shorted at 88000, consider a breakeven gamble for a significant profit, with a minimum of 3000 points. However, be aware of the risks; there may be traps here, so don’t assume that going short is secure just because of this.

If you shorted near 88000, you have a profit and can gamble on a drop, placing a breakeven order. If it really drops, you could potentially make 3,4000 points in profit; this is one scenario and a likely one. But don’t assume that just because it broke the trend line, your short position is safe. Sometimes breaking the trend line can also be a trap, as in the past, the major players often used this trap to lure people into shorting. Once enough people are short, the major players suddenly push the price up, executing a reversal that wipes out those who shorted, so everyone should remain cautious. In the current situation, if you have already shorted, consider a breakeven gamble for a significant profit. If you haven't shorted, don’t rush; wait for trend confirmation before shorting. I fear this might be a trap set by the major players because this sideways movement after a rebound could either be a squeeze or a wait for people to short. So in this position, everyone should be careful. If the pressure level doesn’t drop after lingering overnight, I'm worried the major players are waiting for people to short. Therefore, be cautious when shorting. Let’s confirm the downtrend before chasing; chasing now carries no profit protection.

If you shorted at 88000, you can use the profit for protection; with good luck, you might catch a significant drop. But if you haven’t shorted, don’t chase without profit protection. Even if you short, wait for it to drop further before entering; this position could also be a trap.

Brothers, it's time to eat meat again!
Currently scored 1300 points.

BTC broke through the key trend line, reaching 85000. In the short term, it has found support. Let's see if it rebounds to 87500-88000 today. If it can't break through, we can short.

Yesterday I went out for socializing and didn't watch the market. I also didn't place any short positions. As a result, when I woke up, it dropped to 85000, a decline of 5000 points. I missed such a good short opportunity, which is truly regrettable.

So how should we approach the upcoming market? BTC rebounded around 87500 yesterday, bouncing back around 2000 points, touching the pressure near 90000. Ultimately, it went down all the way, dropping 5000 points and breaking below the upward trend line, proving that the market is still dominated by bears. The bulls made a brief stand but it ended there. Therefore, for this market trend, we should primarily focus on shorting. Currently, BTC is around 85000 and seems to be stopping its decline, but I do not recommend going long at this position because the rebound is a bit weak, and there are no signs of bulls bottoming out. So can we short? I would not short here either, because it has already dropped so much and is in the oversold range. If we short here, it feels like we're opening a short position at a support level, which is not ideal. If it can rebound to 87500-88000 during the day and hold above that, we can consider setting up a short position because there is resistance at 87500-88000. Given the current bullish momentum, it is very difficult to hold above 88000. Therefore, for this market, we should still focus on shorting, and it would be safer to short after a rebound. If it does not rebound and just drops, we can only wait for the next opportunity.

Of course, the bottom is still at a higher position. The first bottom is 80600, and the second bottom is 83700. It has not yet broken below 83700. Although the bulls are weak now, we cannot completely dismiss them. We still need to observe the subsequent market. Trading is actually quite simple: if the rebound cannot go up, we short; if it can't drop, we go long. There is no need to guess its position in advance. When it reaches the position, we will naturally know how to go long or short.

Brothers
As soon as we got up on Monday, we started eating meat
We have already taken down nearly 2000

The BTC trend is completely in line with my expectations, truly without any difference.

The day before yesterday (13th), I posted that BTC might touch 90600 to create a false bullish signal, and then start to decline, eventually breaking below the support around 89000 and reaching the support at 87000. The current trend has completely followed my expectations. Over the weekend, it indeed touched the resistance level of 90600 and then started to decline. This morning, it just happened to reach the support at 87500, and now that it has reached this support level, it has already started to rebound.

So how will it proceed next? Firstly, we need to consider whether this bullish trend has ended. If the bullish trend has not ended, the position at 87500 is a very good bullish position, as it has already reached the position of the upward trend line. There will definitely be a rebound from this position. If the bullish trend has not ended, a new round of upward movement may start from here, targeting 94000-96000-98000. Moreover, we have already entered the bullish position, and we will decide whether to take a risk based on the situation, assuming that the bullish trend has not ended.

If the bullish trend has ended, there will also be a rebound here. As for how much it will rebound, we will need to assess the strength of the bullish trend to decide.

Bring me another waterfall tonight!

The daily candlestick shows a large bearish line, and BTC may experience a fake breakout upwards before breaking the support around 89000.

BTC's recent movements are truly hard to express in words; every day feels like it’s spent in a struggle, with prices rising one moment and falling the next, completely lacking any规律. It can be said that the difficulty of trading is extremely high. Although I have recently made some profits, I dare not make reckless calls, as the difficulty in grasping the market has greatly increased.

Let’s talk about the current market situation. Firstly, BTC formed a bearish candlestick yesterday, indicating that the market outlook is not very optimistic, with significant upward pressure. The highs are consistently decreasing, from 94500 to 94400 to 93200; each subsequent high reached during upward movements has been lower, indicating that the bullish momentum is gradually depleting, and it also shows that the bullish support around 89000 is nearing exhaustion. Multiple attempts at a support level typically lead to a breakdown. After falling to 89400 yesterday, the rebound only reached around 90600, and the strength of the rebound is weakening. Of course, this is somewhat related to the low liquidity during the weekend; currently, BTC is experiencing a narrow range of fluctuations, with two resistance levels above at approximately 90600 and 91800. I believe there is a possibility of pushing up to either 90600 or 91800 for a trap before falling again and breaking the support at 89000, with a potential drop towards the support near 87000. However, there are still many short stop-losses above that have not been triggered. I believe the bulls are not done just yet, and it would be beneficial to test the key resistance levels of 96000 and 98000.