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葉問打饼YynOne11

币圈八年老兵,从30万爆仓到8千万盈利,我的交易之路充满血泪与顿悟。专注领域:比特币/以太坊趋势分析 高胜率合约策略分享 知行合一,克己慎独。公粽号CryptoYeWin
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More than a week, 4wU has reached 10wU, recently my trading has been hot, continuously making profits, always gaining, my bull has arrived, the air force has been living well during this time. Still the same saying, remember to withdraw the principal after making a profit, use the earnings to keep running. I have always insisted that bull and bear markets do not alternate; they coexist, just manifesting on different time scales. What we need to do is stay in a rhythm we are familiar with, striking hard at the drowning dogs🤑$ETH #加密市场回调 {future}(ETHUSDT)
More than a week, 4wU has reached 10wU, recently my trading has been hot, continuously making profits, always gaining, my bull has arrived, the air force has been living well during this time.
Still the same saying, remember to withdraw the principal after making a profit, use the earnings to keep running.
I have always insisted that bull and bear markets do not alternate; they coexist, just manifesting on different time scales. What we need to do is stay in a rhythm we are familiar with, striking hard at the drowning dogs🤑$ETH #加密市场回调
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最新功能上线啦! 币安聊天室开放【私聊】功能,兄弟们以后交流更方便,再也不用担心消息被刷掉! 使用方法超简单: ① 搜索栏输入【聊天室】,找到入口 ② 右上角点【+】,添加Ye哥 ③ 输入币安ID:yewin001 ④ 一键搜索,立马加我! 加好之后,后面行情第一时间都能私聊直达,不再错过行情! 想赚钱,有野心,有良驹有伯乐,你何愁赚不到钱,把握Ye哥节奏,一步一个脚印来! 币圈浮沉守YeWin,不贪不惧稳盈利; 百倍暴富如浮云,笑到最后才是赢!
最新功能上线啦!
币安聊天室开放【私聊】功能,兄弟们以后交流更方便,再也不用担心消息被刷掉!

使用方法超简单:

① 搜索栏输入【聊天室】,找到入口

② 右上角点【+】,添加Ye哥

③ 输入币安ID:yewin001

④ 一键搜索,立马加我!

加好之后,后面行情第一时间都能私聊直达,不再错过行情!

想赚钱,有野心,有良驹有伯乐,你何愁赚不到钱,把握Ye哥节奏,一步一个脚印来!
币圈浮沉守YeWin,不贪不惧稳盈利;
百倍暴富如浮云,笑到最后才是赢!
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恐惧贪婪指数跌破10意味着什么?及过往案例走势 恐惧指数跌破10,意味着市场陷入极度恐慌,投资者信心接近崩溃。 这种极端情绪通常出现在暴跌尾声,散户抛售、筹码集中于长线资金。 从历史规律看,极度恐惧常常对应阶段性底部或筑底区域。 若此时流动性开始回升、资金净流入,就是情绪反转的前兆。 简言之:极度恐惧不是终点,而是新周期的起点信号。 2018-02-06 跌破10:BTC 从 $7,754 到 3 个月后的 $9,655,约 +25%。 2019-08-22 跌破10:BTC 从 $10,131 到 3 个月后的 $7,297,约 −28%。 2020-03-13 跌破10:BTC 从 $5,564 到 3 个月后的 $9,475,约 +70%。 2022-05-17 跌破10:BTC 从 $30,530 到 3 个月后的 $23,335,约 −24%。 历史上“<10”后三个月既有大幅反弹,也有续弱,不构成必涨信号,仍需结合流动性与链上/资金面拐点确认。$BTC #BTC走势分析 {future}(BTCUSDT)
恐惧贪婪指数跌破10意味着什么?及过往案例走势

恐惧指数跌破10,意味着市场陷入极度恐慌,投资者信心接近崩溃。

这种极端情绪通常出现在暴跌尾声,散户抛售、筹码集中于长线资金。

从历史规律看,极度恐惧常常对应阶段性底部或筑底区域。

若此时流动性开始回升、资金净流入,就是情绪反转的前兆。

简言之:极度恐惧不是终点,而是新周期的起点信号。

2018-02-06 跌破10:BTC 从 $7,754 到 3 个月后的 $9,655,约 +25%。
2019-08-22 跌破10:BTC 从 $10,131 到 3 个月后的 $7,297,约 −28%。
2020-03-13 跌破10:BTC 从 $5,564 到 3 个月后的 $9,475,约 +70%。
2022-05-17 跌破10:BTC 从 $30,530 到 3 个月后的 $23,335,约 −24%。

历史上“<10”后三个月既有大幅反弹,也有续弱,不构成必涨信号,仍需结合流动性与链上/资金面拐点确认。$BTC #BTC走势分析
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BTC is racing ahead, can the market stop? Brothers, don't panic, my morning strategy has already been laid out in advance, accurately capturing the profits, and steadily securing this wave. Many people are still in panic right now, I just want to say one thing: When you can't understand the market, following the right people is more important than seeing the right direction. I have been trading for 8 years, what extreme market conditions have I not seen? When the direction is chaotic, it's the golden moment for disciplined players. My strategy is never for "fun", only for "profit". I send out strategies every day Clear entry, stop loss, take profit No hype, only logic, steadily capturing profit segments If you have a weak sense of direction, poor rhythm, and often chase highs and sell lows, then you can really come and do the simplest thing with me: Copy trades, follow rhythms, follow logic. Those who are steady are already profiting, while those who hesitate are still watching. —— The problem is never the market, it's the action. $BTC #BTC走势分析 {future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC is racing ahead, can the market stop?
Brothers, don't panic, my morning strategy has already been laid out in advance, accurately capturing the profits, and steadily securing this wave.

Many people are still in panic right now, I just want to say one thing:
When you can't understand the market, following the right people is more important than seeing the right direction.

I have been trading for 8 years, what extreme market conditions have I not seen?
When the direction is chaotic, it's the golden moment for disciplined players.
My strategy is never for "fun", only for "profit".

I send out strategies every day

Clear entry, stop loss, take profit

No hype, only logic, steadily capturing profit segments

If you have a weak sense of direction, poor rhythm, and often chase highs and sell lows,
then you can really come and do the simplest thing with me:
Copy trades, follow rhythms, follow logic.

Those who are steady are already profiting, while those who hesitate are still watching.
—— The problem is never the market, it's the action. $BTC #BTC走势分析
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BTC feels a bit like 2022, it matches my rhythm now, and I'm still gritting my teeth to wish you all good luck, keep it smooth, keep the rhythm, keep my growth haha😍 $BTC #BTC走势分析 {future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC feels a bit like 2022, it matches my rhythm now, and I'm still gritting my teeth to wish you all good luck, keep it smooth, keep the rhythm, keep my growth haha😍
$BTC #BTC走势分析
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爽了,今天的一口三四千点,激进爽飞了,你们愿意抄就抄,我心里的底是到7字头的BTC,空军终于过上好日子了,可是苦了我那些好兄弟🤭$BTC #加密市场观察 {future}(BTCUSDT)
爽了,今天的一口三四千点,激进爽飞了,你们愿意抄就抄,我心里的底是到7字头的BTC,空军终于过上好日子了,可是苦了我那些好兄弟🤭$BTC #加密市场观察
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昨天对市场伤害最大的还不是币圈继续下探新低,而应该是美股高开低走做了个假动作,这是典型的Bull Trap。这下彻底打消掉了市场最后一丝幻想。俗话说不破不立,既然这样了,真的也是好事,与其磨磨唧唧进两步退三步,还不如一次到位。币圈情绪一向都是快进快出打直球,涨的时候也经常拒绝回调一去不回头。下跌的时候自然也遵循同样的逻辑没有反弹一步到位。真的石锤美股先行指标了。 跌成现在这个样子就认清现实别再试图左侧抄底了,真的到底大概需要情绪先释放完毕,再就是流动性从收缩转向扩张。目前也只是币圈情绪刚刚有触底迹象而已,等到大饼不再大踏步下跌,美股也彻底下跌到位后,大饼才可能作为先行官率先带领美元资本反弹。 目前CME12月降息概率再次从41.6%下降至35.5%,这种心理上预期的调整大概就是今天下跌的真正原因吧。 后续交易计划应该是这样的: 第一阶段(现在): 币圈继续探底,美股开始补跌(去泡沫)。 第二阶段(磨底): 币圈率先止跌,进入死寂的横盘期(流动性枯竭,但抛压也枯竭)。美股可能还在震荡寻找支撑。 第三阶段(反转): 宏观数据终于出现转机(例如失业率上升倒逼美联储口风变软),大饼因为盘子轻、对流动性敏感,会比美股早 1-2 周启动反弹。$BNB #美股2026预测 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT)
昨天对市场伤害最大的还不是币圈继续下探新低,而应该是美股高开低走做了个假动作,这是典型的Bull Trap。这下彻底打消掉了市场最后一丝幻想。俗话说不破不立,既然这样了,真的也是好事,与其磨磨唧唧进两步退三步,还不如一次到位。币圈情绪一向都是快进快出打直球,涨的时候也经常拒绝回调一去不回头。下跌的时候自然也遵循同样的逻辑没有反弹一步到位。真的石锤美股先行指标了。

跌成现在这个样子就认清现实别再试图左侧抄底了,真的到底大概需要情绪先释放完毕,再就是流动性从收缩转向扩张。目前也只是币圈情绪刚刚有触底迹象而已,等到大饼不再大踏步下跌,美股也彻底下跌到位后,大饼才可能作为先行官率先带领美元资本反弹。

目前CME12月降息概率再次从41.6%下降至35.5%,这种心理上预期的调整大概就是今天下跌的真正原因吧。

后续交易计划应该是这样的:

第一阶段(现在): 币圈继续探底,美股开始补跌(去泡沫)。

第二阶段(磨底): 币圈率先止跌,进入死寂的横盘期(流动性枯竭,但抛压也枯竭)。美股可能还在震荡寻找支撑。

第三阶段(反转): 宏观数据终于出现转机(例如失业率上升倒逼美联储口风变软),大饼因为盘子轻、对流动性敏感,会比美股早 1-2 周启动反弹。$BNB #美股2026预测 $BTC
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很多人的投资逻辑,从根本上就是错位的 明明是同样的别人买你要不要跟,但你对不同行为主体的反应完全两极化。 一个普通KOL博主随便吼两句,你立刻冲进去 一个野庄突然来个强拉,你又立刻梭哈 哪个小庄说自己曾经开过五千万的盘子,你马上当信仰一样去追 但轮到 CZ 这种真正经历过风口、打造过帝国的人亲自下场,轮到一个能把 $BNB 带成行业级资产的人亲自关注、亲自转发、亲自买 $ASTER ,你反而开始犹豫、怀疑、害怕,这是逻辑彻底混乱 {future}(ASTERUSDT) 从 0.08 开盘时,叶师傅看到 CZ之前密集动作,就明白这条线不是小项目的规格,所以开始布局。到了 0.17,大表哥第一次公开称赞,趋势从那一刻真正被点亮,大表哥又在 0.9 美金位置实盘买两百万美金,叶师傅依然拿,因为长期逻辑一直在强化 但很多人始终看不懂这一点。声音最大的是小博主,给你短暂刺激,真正有实力的是 cz,能给你方向、格局和周期 结果你把仓位交给了最容易利用你的人,却不敢跟随那个最懂行业、最能带你穿越周期的人 这才是最深层的逻辑错误#CZ
很多人的投资逻辑,从根本上就是错位的

明明是同样的别人买你要不要跟,但你对不同行为主体的反应完全两极化。
一个普通KOL博主随便吼两句,你立刻冲进去
一个野庄突然来个强拉,你又立刻梭哈
哪个小庄说自己曾经开过五千万的盘子,你马上当信仰一样去追

但轮到 CZ 这种真正经历过风口、打造过帝国的人亲自下场,轮到一个能把 $BNB 带成行业级资产的人亲自关注、亲自转发、亲自买 $ASTER ,你反而开始犹豫、怀疑、害怕,这是逻辑彻底混乱

从 0.08 开盘时,叶师傅看到 CZ之前密集动作,就明白这条线不是小项目的规格,所以开始布局。到了 0.17,大表哥第一次公开称赞,趋势从那一刻真正被点亮,大表哥又在 0.9 美金位置实盘买两百万美金,叶师傅依然拿,因为长期逻辑一直在强化

但很多人始终看不懂这一点。声音最大的是小博主,给你短暂刺激,真正有实力的是 cz,能给你方向、格局和周期

结果你把仓位交给了最容易利用你的人,却不敢跟随那个最懂行业、最能带你穿越周期的人

这才是最深层的逻辑错误#CZ
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The cryptocurrency market is a battlefield, and also an ATM. Some incur full liquidations, while others hold on and double their investments; the difference often lies not in talent, but in strategy. With ten years of experience, I have summarized 7 iron rules to share with those who truly want to go far. When the situation is unclear, it’s better to stay out When market signals are chaotic, the biggest fear is not missing out, but making rash moves. Missing out on 10 opportunities is fine, but stepping on a landmine could waste a year's effort. Hot coins, quick in and out Hot trends are like fireworks; they come quickly and go just as fast. Enter the market with take-profit and stop-loss orders; leave immediately when the hype fades, and don’t be the last buyer. In a big market, holding on is the real skill When there is a significant breakout, don’t be scared off by small fluctuations. Profit comes from holding, not from frequent clicks. Only by staying in can you benefit from large trends. Massive bullish candle, harvest immediately When you see a massive long bullish candle, regardless of whether it's at a high or low point, be alert to the main force selling off. Locking in profits is always the right choice. Moving averages are retail traders' trump cards Don’t be superstitious about fancy indicators; one or two moving averages are enough. Buy on a golden cross, sell on a death cross, let discipline make the decisions for you. Go with the trend, operate against human nature As long as the uptrend continues, don’t rush to sell; if the downtrend is bottoming out, be brave to buy in batches. The vast majority of people fail by chasing uptrends and panic-selling. Build positions in batches, don’t go all in Going all in once can lead to death ten times. Batching provides a sense of security and allows you to seize multiple opportunities. The survival rule in crypto is simple: strategy is the weapon, mindset is the armor. Only those who can refine these two aspects to the extreme are worthy of discussing the long term. $ETH #ETH走势分析 {future}(ETHUSDT)
The cryptocurrency market is a battlefield, and also an ATM. Some incur full liquidations, while others hold on and double their investments; the difference often lies not in talent, but in strategy. With ten years of experience, I have summarized 7 iron rules to share with those who truly want to go far.

When the situation is unclear, it’s better to stay out
When market signals are chaotic, the biggest fear is not missing out, but making rash moves. Missing out on 10 opportunities is fine, but stepping on a landmine could waste a year's effort.

Hot coins, quick in and out
Hot trends are like fireworks; they come quickly and go just as fast. Enter the market with take-profit and stop-loss orders; leave immediately when the hype fades, and don’t be the last buyer.

In a big market, holding on is the real skill
When there is a significant breakout, don’t be scared off by small fluctuations. Profit comes from holding, not from frequent clicks. Only by staying in can you benefit from large trends.

Massive bullish candle, harvest immediately
When you see a massive long bullish candle, regardless of whether it's at a high or low point, be alert to the main force selling off. Locking in profits is always the right choice.

Moving averages are retail traders' trump cards
Don’t be superstitious about fancy indicators; one or two moving averages are enough. Buy on a golden cross, sell on a death cross, let discipline make the decisions for you.

Go with the trend, operate against human nature
As long as the uptrend continues, don’t rush to sell; if the downtrend is bottoming out, be brave to buy in batches. The vast majority of people fail by chasing uptrends and panic-selling.

Build positions in batches, don’t go all in
Going all in once can lead to death ten times. Batching provides a sense of security and allows you to seize multiple opportunities.

The survival rule in crypto is simple: strategy is the weapon, mindset is the armor. Only those who can refine these two aspects to the extreme are worthy of discussing the long term. $ETH #ETH走势分析
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合约,可能是普通人翻身最快的机会,也是最容易把人炸穿的深渊。 我不知道你是不是跟我一样,刚进圈的时候,满脑子想的就是—— “别人都能一夜翻倍,我凭啥不能?” 我当时就 3000 块,全仓、梭哈、硬扛,爆了又爆。 每次爆仓都骗自己一句:“下一单就翻回来。” 可现实呢?一个坑接一个坑,越陷越深。 后来我才明白,不是我运气差,而是我根本不配拿回那个钱。 靠那套胡搞的方式,能活着已是奇迹。 直到有一天,我停下来,把自己所有交易习惯掰开揉碎去看。 那一刻我才真正理解: 爆仓不是意外,而是必然。 所谓“风险可控”,在没逻辑、没系统的操作面前,根本是笑话。 真正的合约,不是赌,而是有节奏、有逻辑的一次次进退。 最怕的不是行情,而是心态先崩了。 我开始研究布林带(BOLL)。 不是随便画几根线,而是从盘口、结构去理解它。 收口张口、真假突破、回踩确认…… 第一次真正用它抓到 30 倍,不是“爽”,而是心里落下一句: ——终于懂了。 可方法不是关键。 方法再好,你心态不稳、仓位乱搞,依旧爆给你看。 所以问问你自己: 你下的是逻辑单,还是情绪单? 你是在用系统,还是在赌行情? 连个止损都不设,你真的是来赚钱,还是只是想体验爆仓的快感? 很多人嘴上说“不信命”,却天天把命交给行情。 而我现在,做的单子少了,但每一单都干净、清晰、风险明牌。 这才是活下去、滚下去的唯一关键。 别和我谈暴富。 币圈从来不缺一夜暴富的人, 缺的是能一直活下去,慢慢变强的人。$ZEC #合约爆仓 {future}(ZECUSDT)
合约,可能是普通人翻身最快的机会,也是最容易把人炸穿的深渊。

我不知道你是不是跟我一样,刚进圈的时候,满脑子想的就是——
“别人都能一夜翻倍,我凭啥不能?”

我当时就 3000 块,全仓、梭哈、硬扛,爆了又爆。
每次爆仓都骗自己一句:“下一单就翻回来。”
可现实呢?一个坑接一个坑,越陷越深。

后来我才明白,不是我运气差,而是我根本不配拿回那个钱。
靠那套胡搞的方式,能活着已是奇迹。

直到有一天,我停下来,把自己所有交易习惯掰开揉碎去看。
那一刻我才真正理解:
爆仓不是意外,而是必然。
所谓“风险可控”,在没逻辑、没系统的操作面前,根本是笑话。

真正的合约,不是赌,而是有节奏、有逻辑的一次次进退。
最怕的不是行情,而是心态先崩了。

我开始研究布林带(BOLL)。
不是随便画几根线,而是从盘口、结构去理解它。
收口张口、真假突破、回踩确认……
第一次真正用它抓到 30 倍,不是“爽”,而是心里落下一句:
——终于懂了。

可方法不是关键。
方法再好,你心态不稳、仓位乱搞,依旧爆给你看。

所以问问你自己:
你下的是逻辑单,还是情绪单?
你是在用系统,还是在赌行情?
连个止损都不设,你真的是来赚钱,还是只是想体验爆仓的快感?

很多人嘴上说“不信命”,却天天把命交给行情。
而我现在,做的单子少了,但每一单都干净、清晰、风险明牌。
这才是活下去、滚下去的唯一关键。

别和我谈暴富。
币圈从来不缺一夜暴富的人,
缺的是能一直活下去,慢慢变强的人。$ZEC #合约爆仓
See original
I have seen too many beginners entering the contract market with a few thousand dollars, fantasizing about doubling their money in the short term and adding a few zeros to their accounts, only to repeatedly face liquidation in high leverage, losing their capital, and ultimately losing all confidence. I was once one of them. In the early days, when my account only had 8000 dollars left, I impulsively opened a 100x leverage position, losing half in just 15 minutes. Staring at the screen full of red loss notifications, my palms were sweating; it was at that moment that I suddenly realized: liquidation is never due to bad luck, but rather the “welcome gift” of high leverage for beginners. The truth about contracts is: leverage is never a profit amplifier, but a risk accelerator; the fees from frequent trading are like a dull knife cutting flesh; after losing 90%, you need to multiply by 9 to return to break-even—this difficulty is no less than building a rocket. If you want to survive in the market, first quit the “all-in addiction.” What truly warmed up my account curve is a survival logic that I exchanged for real money through trial and error, just like the BOLL indicator; I never just look at the surface: 1. A contraction is a volatility shrinkage, the market is brewing a direction; 2. The slope of the middle track determines long or short, follow the trend to avoid pitfalls; 3. An opening + increased volume is a momentum explosion, this is the signal worth entering. In October last year, SOL had 7 consecutive contractions on the daily chart, with the middle track slightly tilting upwards; I built my position near the lower track, with a stop loss placed at the low point before the contraction, and ultimately a wave of market movement pulled up to the upper track, achieving a 30-fold return in a single month. It’s not that I am great, but the system turned chaotic market conditions into manageable probabilities. In addition, I set three strict rules for myself: 1. No single loss exceeds 2% of total capital; 2. No more than 2 trades per day; 3. Move up the stop loss when floating profit reaches 50%, preserving capital is always the priority. Contracts are indeed a fast lane for ordinary people to overtake on curves, but trading by feeling is handing fate over to emotions; doing things systematically is the real way to take control. $SOL #加密市场回调 {future}(SOLUSDT)
I have seen too many beginners entering the contract market with a few thousand dollars, fantasizing about doubling their money in the short term and adding a few zeros to their accounts, only to repeatedly face liquidation in high leverage, losing their capital, and ultimately losing all confidence.

I was once one of them. In the early days, when my account only had 8000 dollars left, I impulsively opened a 100x leverage position, losing half in just 15 minutes. Staring at the screen full of red loss notifications, my palms were sweating; it was at that moment that I suddenly realized: liquidation is never due to bad luck, but rather the “welcome gift” of high leverage for beginners.

The truth about contracts is: leverage is never a profit amplifier, but a risk accelerator; the fees from frequent trading are like a dull knife cutting flesh; after losing 90%, you need to multiply by 9 to return to break-even—this difficulty is no less than building a rocket.

If you want to survive in the market, first quit the “all-in addiction.” What truly warmed up my account curve is a survival logic that I exchanged for real money through trial and error, just like the BOLL indicator; I never just look at the surface:
1. A contraction is a volatility shrinkage, the market is brewing a direction;
2. The slope of the middle track determines long or short, follow the trend to avoid pitfalls;
3. An opening + increased volume is a momentum explosion, this is the signal worth entering.

In October last year, SOL had 7 consecutive contractions on the daily chart, with the middle track slightly tilting upwards; I built my position near the lower track, with a stop loss placed at the low point before the contraction, and ultimately a wave of market movement pulled up to the upper track, achieving a 30-fold return in a single month. It’s not that I am great, but the system turned chaotic market conditions into manageable probabilities.

In addition, I set three strict rules for myself:

1. No single loss exceeds 2% of total capital;
2. No more than 2 trades per day;
3. Move up the stop loss when floating profit reaches 50%, preserving capital is always the priority.

Contracts are indeed a fast lane for ordinary people to overtake on curves, but trading by feeling is handing fate over to emotions; doing things systematically is the real way to take control. $SOL #加密市场回调
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BTC is still smooth, and those who dare to take the first bite today have a taste of it 🤭 Master Ye said 86 has no support, being aggressive still has its benefits $BTC #加密市场回调 {future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC is still smooth, and those who dare to take the first bite today have a taste of it 🤭
Master Ye said 86 has no support, being aggressive still has its benefits $BTC #加密市场回调
葉問打饼YynOne11
--
Bearish
YeWin's approach
Seeking stability around BTC 875, I don't care anymore, I'm going all in now and that's it
I feel that 86 here is just okay for support, and I'm not afraid of being stuck, so I went for it first. Non-farm data is bearish, and there's speculation about no interest rate cuts in December
I clearly am a bullish player, but I got caught up yesterday, and I'm indeed a bit mentally exhausted. I didn't gain much from the bullish run, and got caught up again, wasting a day. Just a reminder to myself to continue maintaining discipline
$BTC #加密市场观察
{future}(BTCUSDT)
See original
Last night's U.S. stocks opened high and fell low, leading to a continued decline in cryptocurrencies. The market needs to start accepting the high probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in December.Master Ye analyzes my thoughts and views 1. The non-farm payroll in September can only influence its short-term trend and market expectations, but after all, two months have passed and it is difficult to affect the Federal Reserve's decisions; 2. Because the release of November data has been delayed (the November non-farm payroll will be announced on December 16, and the release time for November CPI has not been determined, but the market naturally believes it will also be postponed), without key data guidance, the Federal Reserve and the market's assessment of inflation and employment lacks critical anchor points. Coupled with the current internal divergence of opinions within the Federal Reserve, it is likely that the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain a conservative and cautious stance.

Last night's U.S. stocks opened high and fell low, leading to a continued decline in cryptocurrencies. The market needs to start accepting the high probability that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in December.

Master Ye analyzes my thoughts and views

1. The non-farm payroll in September can only influence its short-term trend and market expectations, but after all, two months have passed and it is difficult to affect the Federal Reserve's decisions;

2. Because the release of November data has been delayed (the November non-farm payroll will be announced on December 16, and the release time for November CPI has not been determined, but the market naturally believes it will also be postponed), without key data guidance, the Federal Reserve and the market's assessment of inflation and employment lacks critical anchor points. Coupled with the current internal divergence of opinions within the Federal Reserve, it is likely that the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain a conservative and cautious stance.
See original
YeWin's approach Seeking stability around BTC 875, I don't care anymore, I'm going all in now and that's it I feel that 86 here is just okay for support, and I'm not afraid of being stuck, so I went for it first. Non-farm data is bearish, and there's speculation about no interest rate cuts in December I clearly am a bullish player, but I got caught up yesterday, and I'm indeed a bit mentally exhausted. I didn't gain much from the bullish run, and got caught up again, wasting a day. Just a reminder to myself to continue maintaining discipline $BTC #加密市场观察 {future}(BTCUSDT)
YeWin's approach
Seeking stability around BTC 875, I don't care anymore, I'm going all in now and that's it
I feel that 86 here is just okay for support, and I'm not afraid of being stuck, so I went for it first. Non-farm data is bearish, and there's speculation about no interest rate cuts in December
I clearly am a bullish player, but I got caught up yesterday, and I'm indeed a bit mentally exhausted. I didn't gain much from the bullish run, and got caught up again, wasting a day. Just a reminder to myself to continue maintaining discipline
$BTC #加密市场观察
See original
Today is another day to eat meat. The callback is a bit beyond expectations at $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Today is another day to eat meat. The callback is a bit beyond expectations at $BTC
葉問打饼YynOne11
--
Bearish
YeWin's thought process
The position is located near 90800, with the bamboo shoot range at 89000.
At this stage, I truly believe it's worth trying a bit, but the ideal position is still a bit low; the ideal position for loss is set at 89. For the short wave, we continue to look for a pullback $BTC #加密市场回调
{future}(BTCUSDT)
See original
When you start to feel like you "don't want to show profits", it actually means you've really gotten the hang of it. When I first entered the crypto world, I was the same — I couldn't help but take screenshots, post them, and show them off. That wasn't boasting; it was a sense of confirmation that "I did it right". But after a while, you'll find that: the more someone likes to show off, the less security they actually feel; the more they need recognition, the more afraid they are of being denied. True maturity looks like this: You experience a period of flight, not rushing to show your results, just quietly finishing a cup of coffee. You go through big fluctuations, the system runs as usual, and your mindset remains steady, sleeping soundly at night like a pig. You no longer need external approval because you have enough confidence in your own methods. Showing off is the power given by the outside; Basing yourself is the confidence that grows from within. When you no longer rush to prove your "wins" to others, It instead shows that you are starting to understand what "long-termism" means. Now my rhythm is very simple: Observe the system → Execute → Review. No screenshots, no showing off returns, no telling stories. The more this way, the freer you become. Because when you truly become strong — You don’t need to be seen; you will naturally be seen. $BTC #加密市场回调 {future}(BTCUSDT)
When you start to feel like you "don't want to show profits", it actually means you've really gotten the hang of it.

When I first entered the crypto world, I was the same — I couldn't help but take screenshots, post them, and show them off.

That wasn't boasting; it was a sense of confirmation that "I did it right". But after a while, you'll find that: the more someone likes to show off, the less security they actually feel; the more they need recognition, the more afraid they are of being denied.

True maturity looks like this:
You experience a period of flight, not rushing to show your results, just quietly finishing a cup of coffee.
You go through big fluctuations, the system runs as usual, and your mindset remains steady, sleeping soundly at night like a pig.
You no longer need external approval because you have enough confidence in your own methods.

Showing off is the power given by the outside;
Basing yourself is the confidence that grows from within.

When you no longer rush to prove your "wins" to others,
It instead shows that you are starting to understand what "long-termism" means.

Now my rhythm is very simple:
Observe the system → Execute → Review.
No screenshots, no showing off returns, no telling stories.

The more this way, the freer you become.
Because when you truly become strong —
You don’t need to be seen; you will naturally be seen. $BTC #加密市场回调
See original
In the crypto world, getting overly emotional is equivalent to a chronic zeroing out. The real game is not about you betting, but rather you struggling in a setup designed by others. In this round of the 2025 bull market, the outcomes of various self-proclaimed "smart people" are laid out before us. At the end of May, JamesWynn thought he had caught the rhythm, high-leveraging BTC retracement, only to explode from hundreds of millions of dollars to tens of dollars, turning from a casino VIP into a roadside beggar overnight. In November, Huang Licheng was once again taught a lesson by a flash crash, with his account having less than $2000 left. This year, he was liquidated more times than I had cups of tea; In March, that 50 ETH whale who boasted himself as a "chain oracle" saw over $300 million evaporate instantly. In April, the Sky platform's $106 million ETH position turned to ashes. In October, during that epic flash crash, $19 billion exploded in one day across the network, and big players on Hyperliquid collapsed en masse, with some breaking down on the spot... These people used to talk strategies on x, teaching you how to "trade smart" in the community. Now what? They have become textbooks themselves, with tombstones erected on the chain, blood and tears writing one sentence. You think you see through the market, but in reality, you are just a chip designed by others. Don't fantasize about winning through cleverness; cleverness only makes your losses more graceful. The real big shots are not the ones winning trades but the ones setting the game. So you must build your own trading system to maintain discipline, and don't race emotions. Only by keeping calm and strictly adhering to system discipline can you resonate with the main forces, rather than being used as fertilizer. Remember this: No matter how smart speculators are, they are just more advanced leeks; those who set the game are the masters of the crypto world. In this round of the bull market, accumulating success will allow you to view the next round from the perspective of an outsider while others struggle within it. True effort is the effort not to engage in those 'seemingly opportunistic' trades. Remember, in the fluctuations of candlesticks, what we see is not price, but the resonance map of countless traders' emotions and beliefs. The market has a pyramid effect, always rewarding a few, and these few often share similar thought patterns. If you agree with the above views, you and Master Ye may be kindred spirits, welcome to communicate on the same frequency $BNB #加密市场回调 {future}(BNBUSDT)
In the crypto world, getting overly emotional is equivalent to a chronic zeroing out. The real game is not about you betting, but rather you struggling in a setup designed by others.

In this round of the 2025 bull market, the outcomes of various self-proclaimed "smart people" are laid out before us.

At the end of May, JamesWynn thought he had caught the rhythm, high-leveraging BTC retracement, only to explode from hundreds of millions of dollars to tens of dollars, turning from a casino VIP into a roadside beggar overnight.

In November, Huang Licheng was once again taught a lesson by a flash crash, with his account having less than $2000 left. This year, he was liquidated more times than I had cups of tea;

In March, that 50 ETH whale who boasted himself as a "chain oracle" saw over $300 million evaporate instantly.

In April, the Sky platform's $106 million ETH position turned to ashes.

In October, during that epic flash crash, $19 billion exploded in one day across the network, and big players on Hyperliquid collapsed en masse, with some breaking down on the spot...

These people used to talk strategies on x, teaching you how to "trade smart" in the community. Now what? They have become textbooks themselves, with tombstones erected on the chain, blood and tears writing one sentence.

You think you see through the market, but in reality, you are just a chip designed by others.
Don't fantasize about winning through cleverness; cleverness only makes your losses more graceful.
The real big shots are not the ones winning trades but the ones setting the game.

So you must build your own trading system to maintain discipline, and don't race emotions.
Only by keeping calm and strictly adhering to system discipline can you resonate with the main forces, rather than being used as fertilizer.

Remember this:
No matter how smart speculators are, they are just more advanced leeks; those who set the game are the masters of the crypto world. In this round of the bull market, accumulating success will allow you to view the next round from the perspective of an outsider while others struggle within it.

True effort is the effort not to engage in those 'seemingly opportunistic' trades. Remember, in the fluctuations of candlesticks, what we see is not price, but the resonance map of countless traders' emotions and beliefs.
The market has a pyramid effect, always rewarding a few, and these few often share similar thought patterns. If you agree with the above views, you and Master Ye may be kindred spirits, welcome to communicate on the same frequency $BNB #加密市场回调
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The first non-farm data strike after 43 days of data drought! Is your wallet ready?When the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is finally about to unveil the mysterious veil of the September non-farm data after a 43-day government shutdown, the global market seems to be waiting for a storm of unknown direction — this delayed "antique data" of one and a half months may become the last straw to break risk assets or may spark hopes for interest rate cuts. The suspense of the data itself: The "threefold fog" behind the 50,000 new jobs 1. The lagging "antique report" The September non-farm data was originally scheduled for release on October 3 but has been delayed due to the government shutdown, with its statistical period ending **mid-September**, which cannot reflect the current labor market conditions.

The first non-farm data strike after 43 days of data drought! Is your wallet ready?

When the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is finally about to unveil the mysterious veil of the September non-farm data after a 43-day government shutdown, the global market seems to be waiting for a storm of unknown direction — this delayed "antique data" of one and a half months may become the last straw to break risk assets or may spark hopes for interest rate cuts.

The suspense of the data itself: The "threefold fog" behind the 50,000 new jobs
1. The lagging "antique report"
The September non-farm data was originally scheduled for release on October 3 but has been delayed due to the government shutdown, with its statistical period ending **mid-September**, which cannot reflect the current labor market conditions.
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After Musk's White House night banquet, "Thank you Trump," is the crypto market about to ignite?When Musk wrote on X, "Thank you Trump for everything you've done for America and the world," Wall Street traders quickly put down their coffee—behind this century's reconciliation hides the key to the dramatic changes in the financial market landscape in the coming months. Event overview: From mutual tearing to a dramatic toast 1. The ice-breaking signal of the White House dinner On November 18, Musk attended a White House dinner hosted by Trump for the Saudi Crown Prince, marking their **second public appearance together** since their public split over the "Great and Beautiful" bill in June of this year.

After Musk's White House night banquet, "Thank you Trump," is the crypto market about to ignite?

When Musk wrote on X, "Thank you Trump for everything you've done for America and the world," Wall Street traders quickly put down their coffee—behind this century's reconciliation hides the key to the dramatic changes in the financial market landscape in the coming months.

Event overview: From mutual tearing to a dramatic toast
1. The ice-breaking signal of the White House dinner
On November 18, Musk attended a White House dinner hosted by Trump for the Saudi Crown Prince, marking their **second public appearance together** since their public split over the "Great and Beautiful" bill in June of this year.
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Bullish
See original
Old Bao says that October is a defensive interest rate cut, and December may not necessarily cut rates. The market has already fulfilled the sharp decline in interest rate cuts. In this wave of Bitcoin's decline, Master Ye only sees support at 91,000 to 94,000. If there is a bit of irrational panic selling, then the lowest might be around 88,000. I also don’t think it can drop directly to the support near 70,000 all at once. Currently, there is no need to panic too much above 88,000. After all, it has already dropped more than 20,000 from 116,000 in one go. There is no one-step completion of the market; even in a unilateral trend, energy accumulation is needed midway, whether it is for rising energy or falling energy. Of course, the premise is in the key support and resistance zones. So, near the current price, one can expect a fluctuation and repair within 97,000 to 88,000. However, it is very likely that this is not the end point of this round of decline. I continue to see the mid-term trend of the decline reach 71000$BTC #加密市场回调 {future}(BTCUSDT).
Old Bao says that October is a defensive interest rate cut, and December may not necessarily cut rates. The market has already fulfilled the sharp decline in interest rate cuts.

In this wave of Bitcoin's decline, Master Ye only sees support at 91,000 to 94,000.
If there is a bit of irrational panic selling, then the lowest might be around 88,000.
I also don’t think it can drop directly to the support near 70,000 all at once.

Currently, there is no need to panic too much above 88,000.
After all, it has already dropped more than 20,000 from 116,000 in one go.
There is no one-step completion of the market; even in a unilateral trend, energy accumulation is needed midway, whether it is for rising energy or falling energy.
Of course, the premise is in the key support and resistance zones.

So, near the current price, one can expect a fluctuation and repair within 97,000 to 88,000.
However, it is very likely that this is not the end point of this round of decline.
I continue to see the mid-term trend of the decline reach 71000$BTC #加密市场回调 .
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