叮叮幣圈投資筆記

【Core View】: BNB loses its shine. Perfect Bearish Alignment. Every bounce is a selling opportunity.
BNB is mirroring the broader market's weakness, displaying an ugly "stair-step down" pattern. From 12H to 1H, all moving averages are acting as heavy resistance. There is zero sign of bullish defense. The strategy is simple: Don't have faith in the token right now. Deeply bearish bottoms ahead.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (12H)
Analysis:
Price is consistently suppressed by the EMA9 and EMA21 ribbons and trading below the key watershed level of 921.01. Bullish momentum has evaporated, and the overhead supply is heavy. This is a classic bearish continuation structure.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Follow the trend. Patiently wait for a bounce to the resistance zone to short.
• Invalidation Level: 921.01 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 921.01 ～ 1,051.23 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 745.09 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 614.87, 438.95
• Stop Loss: 1,051.23
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Major Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
Bearish momentum on the 4H timeframe is extending. Price is below 888.27 with MAs fanning downwards. This is not a range; this is the characteristic of a main crash phase. Any minor support looks extremely fragile.
【4H Strategy】
• Stop Loss / Pivot: 917.00 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 888.27 ～ 917.00 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 848.54 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 819.81, 780.08
• Stop Loss: 956.73
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Minor Bearish (1H)
Analysis:
Short-term timeframes are equally weak, closing below 864.92. Extreme pessimism in the market means bounces are quickly sold off. Do not try to pick the bottom here.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Bounce momentum is weak. Short at resistance.
• Trailing Stop Loss: 889.10
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 864.92 ～ 889.10 (70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 834.43 (30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 810.25, 779.76
• Stop Loss: 919.59
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
BNB is currently in a "No Man's Land" descent. Stay calm:
1. If you are Short: Your direction is spot on. Trail your stops based on the defensive levels above and let profits run.
2. If you are in Cash: Don't buy the dip just because it looks cheap. Strategy: "70% Limit Order in 888 - 921 zone" + "30% Chase below 834/848".
3. Key Zones: If 745 breaks, expect panic selling to accelerate into the abyss.

【Core view】: The platform coin's halo has completely faded, the bearish arrangement is perfect, and any rebound is a chance to escape.
The current trend of BNB is highly synchronized with the overall market, presenting an ugly 'stair-step decline' pattern. From 12H to 1H, all moving averages are completely under pressure, with no signs of bullish resistance in sight. The current strategy is simple: do not have faith in it; any rebound is an opportunity for the bears to increase their positions, with no bottom in sight.
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📊 Long-term trend: Moderate bearish (12H)
Current situation interpretation:
The closing price continues to be constrained by the EMA9 and EMA21 dual moving averages, with the price being held below the critical watershed of 921.01. Bullish momentum has dissipated, and the overhead trapped positions are heavy; this is a typical bearish continuation structure.

【Core View】: Major Bearish clouds overhead, but stuck in Short-Term Mud.
SOL is in a tricky spot. While the 12H timeframe clearly indicates a bearish structure suppressed by key MAs, the 4H and 1H charts are trapped in a tight consolidation squeeze. Put simply: The macro trend is Down, but whales are washing out leverage in the short term. Do not overtrade here or you will get chopped. Patience is key.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (12H)
Analysis:
Price closed at 128.20, clearly breaking below both EMA9 and EMA21, and remaining under the 131.17 resistance level. Lower highs are forming, and bearish momentum has not yet been fully exhausted. Heavy resistance above.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Follow the major downtrend, but wait for a bounce to resistance before shorting.
• Invalidation Level: 148.09 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 131.17 ～ 148.09 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 107.05 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Stop Loss: 156.72
• Take Profit (TP): 80.62, 39.58
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Consolidation (4H)
Analysis:
4H has entered an awkward chop zone. The closing price of 128.20 is sandwiched right between EMA9 (128.11) and EMA21 (130.02). Bulls and bears are fighting it out, no clear direction yet.
【4H Range Strategy】
• Key Action: Range trade (Sell High / Buy Low) or simply wait for a breakout.
• Capital Allocation: 60% Cash / Wait + 40% Range Trading.
🛑 Setup:
• Range Zone: 123.28 ～ 134.10 (Bias short within range)
• Chase Short Trigger: Only if price closes effectively below 123.28.
• Bullish Reversal: Only if price closes back above 134.10.
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Consolidation (1H)
Analysis:
Although price is holding slightly above short-term MAs, it is capped heavily by 128.96. The bounce is weak. This is a "Weak Consolidation" pattern—often leading to a drop after prolonged stagnation.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Maintain a bearish bias below resistance. Do not long easily.
• Defensive Level: 122.48 (Short-term weakness confirmed if broken).
🛑 Setup:
• Bias Short: Look for shorts below 128.96.
• Chase Long Trigger: Only if price closes strongly above 134.28.
• Capital Allocation: 70% Limit Orders + 30% Breakout Chase.
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
SOL is currently a "Bearish Macro wrapping a Choppy Micro." High difficulty trading environment.
1. If you are Short: Hold your long-term shorts with SL at 156.72, but be prepared for some short-term grinding.
2. If you are in Cash: 4H and 1H are chopping. Recommend "Wait and See."
• Aggressive: Try light shorts near 128.96 - 131.17.
• Conservative: Wait for a breakdown below 123.28 (4H support) or 122.48 (1H defense) to chase the drop, avoiding the meat-grinder in the middle.

【Core view】: Long-term bearish clouds overhead, short-term mired in consolidation.
The trend of SOL is currently quite tangled. Although the 12H large scale is still constrained by a bearish pattern and tightly suppressed by key moving averages, the 4H and 1H short-term have entered a consolidation range of 'up and down squeeze'. In simple terms: the overall direction is still bearish, but the short-term main force is washing the盘. It is advisable not to chase high and kill low, as it is easy to be caught in a double trap; patiently waiting for the breakout of the range is the best strategy.
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📊 Long-term trend: Bearish (12H)
Current situation interpretation:
Closing price 128.20 clearly breaks below the EMA9 and EMA21 dual moving averages, and continues to operate below the pressure level of 131.17. Structurally, the highs are decreasing, and the bearish momentum has not yet been fully released, with heavy pressure above.

【Core View】: Ethereum is exceptionally weak. Major Bearish structure confirmed, but Short-Term is chopping.
ETH looks uglier than BTC right now. Key indicators (MACD, KD, RSI) are all bearish on higher timeframes. Although the 1H chart shows some consolidation, do not mistake this for a bottom. The macro trend is down; any bounce is a bull trap. The strategy is "Wait and See"—patience will pay off.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (12H)
Analysis:
Price closed at 2,941.04, suppressed below 3,177.69 and the EMA ribbons. MACD has crossed lethally (Dead Cross) with negative histogram bars. Bearish momentum is building up, and bulls are nowhere to be found.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Bounces to resistance are selling opportunities. If it breaks support, chase the drop.
• Invalidation Level: 3,177.69 (Bearish scenario invalid if price reclaims this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 3,177.69 ～ 3,731.80 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 2,437.14 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 1,883.03, 1,142.48
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Major Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
The 4H structure is broken. Price lost 3,178.46 and is trading below AVWAP. RSI is < 50, with KD and MACD forming a dual dead cross resonance. This is a highly dangerous signal indicating the downtrend is accelerating.
【4H Strategy】
• Stop Loss / Pivot: 3,332.48 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 3,178.46 ～ 3,332.48 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 2,909.48 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 2,755.46, 2,486.48
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Consolidation (1H)
Analysis:
While the big picture is bearish, the 1H chart is stuck in an awkward chop. Closing price at 2,941.04 is near the range edge. Momentum is unclear. Over-trading here will just get you chopped up.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Whales are resting. Recommend staying on the sidelines until direction is confirmed.
• Capital Allocation: 80% Cash / Wait + 20% Action upon confirmation.
🛑 Short Setup:
• Watch Mode: Bearish bias as long as below 3,012.31.
• Entry Trigger: Only consider chasing short if price closes effectively below 2,847.11.
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
ETH is showing "Weakness persisting." HTF and MTF are clearly bearish, but LTF is pausing.
1. If you are Short: Hold your position tightly. As long as price stays below 3,332 (4H invalidation), the downtrend is intact.
2. If you are in Cash: The 1H chop is risky. Recommend "Observing" for now. Wait for a bounce to 3,178 to fail before shorting, or wait for a breakdown below 2,909 (4H trigger) for a higher probability trade.

【Core View】: Ethereum is weak, with a large-scale bearish trend established, and the short-term is trapped in a dead fish consolidation.
ETH's movement is uglier than BTC's, with multiple key indicators (MACD, KD, RSI) turning bearish across higher timeframes. Although short-term consolidation signs have appeared on the 1H chart, do not take this as a stop-loss signal. The major trend is downward, and any rebound is a trap for the bulls. It is recommended to 'watch more and act less', patiently waiting for better shorting opportunities or confirmation of a breakout.
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📊 Long-term trend: Bearish (12H)
Current Situation Interpretation:
The closing price of 2,941.04 is being suppressed below 3,177.69 and the EMA moving average group. The MACD has crossed bearish and the momentum bars have turned negative, indicating that the downward momentum is strengthening, with the bulls having no power to fight back.

【Core View】: The Bears are in Full Control. Weak Bounces ahead. DO NOT catch the falling knife.
The market is currently resonating with a "Major Bearish" signal. From long-term to short-term, price action is heavily suppressed by moving averages. Momentum on the 12H and 4H charts remains strongly bearish with lower closes. The structure is clear: every small bounce is a gift for the bears. The bullish structure has collapsed—following the trend (Short) is the only way to survive.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (12H)
Analysis:
Price is consistently suppressed below 94,070 and trading under both EMA9 and EMA21. Momentum is visibly weak. This is a classic bearish consolidation pattern with heavy overhead resistance.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Be patient. Wait for a bounce to resistance levels to enter shorts.
• Invalidation Level: 94,070 (Bearish scenario invalid if price closes above this).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 94,070 ～ 107,540 (Recommend 70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 76,890 (Recommend 30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 63,419.99, 46,239.99
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📉 Medium-Term Trend: Major Bearish (4H)
Analysis:
The 4H chart looks ugly. Price closed below the key level of 90,112, indicating strong bearish continuation. This is not a range; this is the start of a one-sided drop with moving averages fanning downwards.
【4H Strategy】
• Stop Loss / Pivot: 92,648.32 (Scenario invalid if closed above).
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 90,112.84 ～ 92,648 (Patience required, 60% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 85,636.69 (40% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 83,101.21, 78,625.06
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⚡ Short-Term Trend: Minor Bearish (1H)
Analysis:
Short-term timeframes are also suffocated by short-term MAs, closing below 87,210. While the drop seems to be slowing slightly, the bounce is extremely weak. Another dump could happen at any moment.
【1H Scalp Strategy】
• Key Action: Move fast. Any failed bounce at resistance is a short entry.
• Trailing Stop Loss: 89,274.27
🛑 Short Setup:
• Sell on Strength (Limit Order): 87,210.45 ～ 89,274 (70% allocation)
• Chase the Breakdown: Below 84,368.27 (30% allocation)
• Take Profit (TP): 82,304.45, 79,462.27
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📝 Summary & Action Plan
The Bears call the shots right now. Manage your risk strictly:
1. If you are Short: Move your Stop Loss (refer to the Invalidation Levels above) to protect your profits.
2. If you are in Cash: DO NOT buy the dip blindly. Use the "70% Limit Order on bounce + 30% Chase on breakdown" strategy.
3. Key Zones: Heavy resistance at 90,000 - 94,000. If 85,636 breaks, expect a waterfall drop.

📍#BTC Dingding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/16)
【Core Viewpoint】: The bear army is fully pressing in, rebounds are weak, do not attempt to catch a falling knife.
The current market is exhibiting a 'major bear' resonance pattern, with all timeframes being heavily suppressed by moving averages. The bearish momentum at the 12H and 4H levels continues, with closing prices repeatedly hitting new lows. The current market situation is very clear: any small rebound is a gift for the bears, and the bullish structure has completely collapsed; only going short in line with the trend is the way to survive.
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📊 Long-term trend: Medium bear (12H)

【Core Viewpoint】: Comprehensive bearish pressure, the bulls have collapsed, and the depth is bottomless. The current market sentiment is extremely pessimistic. The weekly level 'ugly bearish' pattern has been established, and the daily bullish structure has collapsed. Although there are oversold signals appearing in the short term (4H/1H) and the first profit-taking target has been achieved, the overall trend is still downward, and any rebound should be viewed as an opportunity to add to short positions rather than a reversal signal.
📊 Long-term Trend: Extremely Bearish (1W Weekly)
Current Situation Interpretation: The weekly trend looks very poor, and the bearish pattern has been fully established and is beginning to exert pressure. Last week's bullish attempt to counterattack and close higher has declared failure, which has greatly undermined market confidence.