Aloy¹
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Aloy¹
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$BTC As I mentioned in my previous post, my plan is still on: nothing has globally changed.
The fear and greed index has now dropped to 16. At such extreme fear levels, local "bounces" in price are definitely expected, but let’s not kid ourselves — this is just for the short term. The market has clearly shifted to crowd manipulation. What we’re witnessing is classic weak hands getting shaken out and a tough accumulation phase. Big players are scooping up liquidity from those who are panicking.
Can we buy the dip locally and exit at the first bounce? In principle, yes, there’s speculative room for that. But this isn’t a call to action, rather an observation, as the risk-to-reward ratio in such trades is higher.
#bitcoin #altcoins #fear&greed
The fear and greed index has now dropped to 16. At such extreme fear levels, local "bounces" in price are definitely expected, but let’s not kid ourselves — this is just for the short term. The market has clearly shifted to crowd manipulation. What we’re witnessing is classic weak hands getting shaken out and a tough accumulation phase. Big players are scooping up liquidity from those who are panicking.
Can we buy the dip locally and exit at the first bounce? In principle, yes, there’s speculative room for that. But this isn’t a call to action, rather an observation, as the risk-to-reward ratio in such trades is higher.
#bitcoin #altcoins #fear&greed
$BTC Why I'm not rushing to buy right now and waiting for the price around $40,000? Sharing my thoughts on the chart. 👇
The price has nicely reacted to the 0.382 level. We saw a bounce, but the asset couldn't reach the psychological mark of $100,000. That was a telling moment of buyer weakness.
On the next approach, the price decisively broke through the 0.382 level downwards, effectively opening the door for a deeper correction. Catching the asset now is an unjustified risk.
But if we look at the $40k zone, it’s forming a perfect puzzle:
• A global ascending trendline that stretches all the way back to the very bottom of 2022. That’s a fundamental support.
• The 0.786 level according to Fibonacci — the end of a deep price pullback from the previous strong price movement.
These two factors intersect at one point, creating a powerful support zone. That’s where the risk-to-reward ratio becomes mathematically justified for building positions.
Patience is the main tool of an investor. We’re waiting for our zone.
#bitcoin #crypto
The price has nicely reacted to the 0.382 level. We saw a bounce, but the asset couldn't reach the psychological mark of $100,000. That was a telling moment of buyer weakness.
On the next approach, the price decisively broke through the 0.382 level downwards, effectively opening the door for a deeper correction. Catching the asset now is an unjustified risk.
But if we look at the $40k zone, it’s forming a perfect puzzle:
• A global ascending trendline that stretches all the way back to the very bottom of 2022. That’s a fundamental support.
• The 0.786 level according to Fibonacci — the end of a deep price pullback from the previous strong price movement.
These two factors intersect at one point, creating a powerful support zone. That’s where the risk-to-reward ratio becomes mathematically justified for building positions.
Patience is the main tool of an investor. We’re waiting for our zone.
#bitcoin #crypto
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