Historical Quarterly Returns of Bitcoin: What Does History Tell Us? 📊
Hello, crypto community! 🚀 Here at Binance Square, we analyze this interesting table of **quarterly Bitcoin returns (%)** from 2013 to 2025, shared by CoinGlass.
The table shows how it has performed $BTC in each quarter of the year, with green (gains) and red (losses) colors. It includes averages and medians at the end.
Key observations:
- Q4 is the historical king: Average +77.11% and median +47.73%. The strongest quarter by far! Many explosive years like +168% (2020), +215% (2017) or +47% (2024).
- Variable Q1: Average +51.21%, but with significant ups and downs (from +539% in 2013 to -37% in 2014 or -11.82% in 2025).
- Weaker Q2 and Q3: Q2 average +27.11%, Q3 only +6.05% (the lowest).
- In bearish years like 2022 or 2018, all quarters in red.
For 2025 (so far):
- Q1: -11.82% ❌
- Q2: +29.74% ✅
- Q3: +6.31% ✅ (modest, but positive)
- Q4: -22.62% ❌ (painful, with a strong correction at the end of the year)
This reflects a volatile year: weak start, recovery in spring/summer, and a significant correction in Q4, possibly due to profit-taking, macroeconomics, or leverage liquidations.
Lesson for investors?
Bitcoin is cyclical and volatile, but in the long run, historical Q4s shine. Corrections like the one in 2025 Q4 are often accumulation opportunities for strong holders. Remember: DYOR and manage risk! 💎🙌
What do you think? Do you believe 2026 will break records in Q4? Comment below 👇