📍#BNB Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/18)

【Core Viewpoint】: Golden shovel breaks, daily big bear confirmed, the lower 400 club beckons, and the last line of defense for bulls has collapsed.

The trend of BNB is despairing, and the daily level has officially confirmed entry into a 'big bear' pattern. Prices are firmly suppressed by the two lifelines EMA9 and EMA21, and are far below the critical watershed of 921. This is not a simple pullback, but a process of value reassessment and collapse. MACD bearish momentum continues, and RSI is lifeless. Going long now is no different from catching falling rocks on the edge of a cliff. The lower targets are aimed directly at 614 or even 438, which will be the darkest moment for Binance believers.

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📊 Long-term trend: Major bearish (1D)

Current situation interpretation:

The daily chart structure has completely collapsed, the closing price is helplessly lying below the EMA moving averages, and is strongly suppressed by 921.01. RSI continues to stay below 50, indicating that market funds are accelerating their exit. This is a feast for the main force to unload, and if it breaks below 745, panic selling will directly smash the price towards the 400s.

[1D Swing Strategy]

• Key operation: A rebound near 921 is the last escape wave and a gathering call for the bears.

• Defense / Bull-Bear boundary: 921.01 (below this point, there are only bears, no bulls)

🛑 Short position layout:

• Short position (pending order): 745.09 ～ 921.01 (recommended capital 60% for ambush)

• Chase price after breakdown: 745.09 (recommended capital 40%)

• Take profit target (TP): 614.87, 438.95 (do not doubt this number, trends do not lie)

• Stop loss (SL): 921.01

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📊 Medium-term trend: Bearish (4H)

Current situation interpretation:

Although there are sporadic rebounds at the 4-hour level, they are all defined as 'weak corrections'. The price cannot even stand above 888.27, and the MACD continues to show bearishness, indicating that bulls do not even have the strength to resist. There is heavy trapped selling above, and the rebound is a gift for you to add to your shorts.

[4H Swing Strategy]

• Key operation: Go with the trend, use the rebound opportunity to lay out short positions.

• Defense / Bull-Bear boundary: 917.00

🛑 Short position layout:

• Short position (pending order): 819.81 ～ 888.27 (recommended capital 70%)

• Chase price after breakdown: 848.54 (recommended capital 30%)

• Take profit target (TP): 819.81, 780.08

• Stop loss (SL): 917.00

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📊 Short-term trend: Minor bearish (1H)

Current situation interpretation:

The short-term trend is extremely weak, with the price pressed below 850.87. RSI is sluggish, and although there are occasional weak rebounds, it has never been able to produce a bullish closing signal. This is a typical 'downward trend', like boiling a frog in warm water.

[1H Day Trading Strategy]

• Key operation: Be patient and wait for a breakout confirmation, do not counter-trend to chase a rebound.

• Capital suggestion: Patience with pending orders 80% + chasing price after breakout 20%

🛑 Short position layout:

• Short position (pending order): 825.59 ～ 850.87

• Chase price after breakdown: 825.59

• Take profit target (TP): 808.10, 782.82

• Stop loss (SL): 868.36

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📝 Summary and operational suggestions

• For holders: The myth of BNB has been shattered, with a daily target price of 438 that is shocking. If you still hold a lot of spot, please take advantage of the rebound to reduce your position, as keeping cash is the only way to survive.

• For those with no positions: Do not rush to catch the rebound, the risk is too high. Be patient and wait for the price to rebound to the 880-920 range to lay out short positions, or wait for a breakdown below 745 to follow the trend and short, as this is the operation with the highest win rate.

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