The $100k BTC Jan 30 call option is currently priced for a | Shery_yr 07 on Binance Square

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The $100k BTC Jan 30 call option is currently priced for a ~70% probability per Black-Scholes implied density that Bitcoin will be at or below $100,000 at expiry.
$BTC 
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$XRP Bulls Dominate Social Media as ETF Inflow Streak Marches On! XRP's social sentiment has turned decisively bullish this week, with retail traders showing strong optimism near the $2 level—marking the seventh highest weekly bullish comment count this year per Santiment. The token traded between $1.99 and $2.17, holding steady at $2.03. Simultaneously, XRP ETFs extended their inflow streak to 19 consecutive days, adding $20.1 million Friday for a total near $974.5 million. Ripple's recent approval for a national trust bank charter and its $500 million funding round at a $40 billion valuation underscore growing institutional momentum as year-end approaches.

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126 CRYPTO ETFS WAITING FOR APPROVAL ETF analyst James Seyffart says there are 126 crypto ETF applications filed in the U.S.🇺🇸 Bitcoin leads with 21 filings, followed by basket ETFs (15), $XRP (10), $SOL (9), and $ETH (7).

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This chart just quietly flashed the SAME warning that showed up before every major market break. Bonds are doing something they only do when stress is building underneath the surface. If you have any money invested, you should pay attention to this. If you don’t watch the bond market, read this: What you’re looking at here is the spread between the 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury yields. It shows whether the bond market thinks the future will be stable… or messy. When this spread rises fast like this, it usually means one thing: Long-term risk is being repriced. Here’s why that matters. Every major financial accident didn’t start in stocks. It started in rates. – 2000: curve behavior shifted before tech collapsed – 2007: bond stress showed up before housing cracked – 2019: funding markets seized before anyone talked recession Stocks were the last to react, not the first. Right now, short-term rates are still pinned high, while long-term yields are climbing. That tells you investors are demanding more protection further out in time. That’s not optimism, that’s caution. This doesn’t mean a crash tomorrow. It means liquidity is getting tighter where it matters, and the margin for error is shrinking. Bond traders don’t trade narratives, they trade survival. When this line moves like this, something usually breaks later on… not immediately, but eventually. I called the exact top in october, and I’ll do it again and again, that’s literally my job. I’ll share my next market update soon. You’ll wish you followed me sooner, trust me. $BTC

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📊 Bitcoin and the equity market have often been highly correlated during this cycle. ❌ The correlation between these asset classes has frequently been quite strong, but that is clearly not the case at the moment. While the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are trading very close to their latest all-time highs, within a broadly bullish trend, BTC continues to correct. After a drawdown of roughly 36%, Bitcoin’s uptrend is struggling to resume, creating a clear gap versus equities. 👉 Since the beginning of the year, the correlation between BTC, the S&P, and the Nasdaq has never been this low. Many are likely expecting BTC to “catch up,” which is possible, but it is not a given. This could also suggest that BTC remains a distinct asset, one that does not yet follow the same rules as traditional equities. $BTC

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Was 2025 as good as it gets for ETFs? Basically every conceivable record was broken by a lot. My gut says prob won't be as good in 2026 (esp if stock mkt not as good) but two charts make me think it could be. One is the fact that most MFs don't curr offer ETFs and two is equity MFs saw over $1T in outflows, which adds extreme pressure to adapt or be acquired. With ETF share classes now approved by SEC, even if 5% of the largely stranded MF assets moved over to the ETF class it would easily send flows to record next year. Throw in $7T in money mkt mutual funds and a rate-cutting new Fed chair and that could help a lot too. Either way, ETF future looking bright. $BTC

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