💥Tonight, the global financial circle is waiting for one person to speak, but he chooses to say nothing! Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to make an appearance, but the silence period regulations prevent him from discussing the economy and monetary policy. However, the more he remains silent, the more aggressive the market's bets become—traders have pushed the probability of a rate cut in December to nearly 90%! $BTC $ETH
🔥 Eye of the Storm One: Resignation Rumors Go Viral
The news that "Powell will urgently resign tonight at 7 PM!" is spreading like wildfire. Although it is legally difficult to happen, and he is determined to serve until 2026, he cannot withstand Trump’s relentless pressure and the unfolding political drama. The market is fantasizing about a new chairman who is more "compliant" and may drastically cut rates as soon as he takes office.
🔥 Eye of the Storm Two: Rate Cuts Are Consensus, But Internal Division Battle
Wall Street is almost certain that there will be a rate cut in December, and a Barclays report even predicts another cut might follow in January. But the real drama is that the Federal Reserve will experience the "most intense division in three years": the rate-cutting camp led by Powell will face strong resistance from hawkish members. This means a performance of "outwardly hawkish, actually probing" is about to begin.
🎯 What Does This Mean for Our Crypto Community?
1. Short-term: A rate cut might stimulate risk assets to surge, but be wary of "good news being fully priced in."
2. Medium-term: The key is not whether there will be a cut, but "how long until the second cut." If a pause in January is signaled, liquidity expectations may plummet.
3. Volatility: The more ambiguous the policy path, the more the market is prone to wild fluctuations.
In short: The focus tonight is not on what Powell says, but on contemplating what he doesn’t say, and those things the market is overly expecting. Where do you think the "silent storm" will strike after this?
