Be careful not to become the 'sentinel at the peak' as soon as you get on board! As an analyst who has been watching the crypto market for 8 years, I've seen too many retail investors buy in during the frenzy. Today, I'll break down the 5 'sell signals' that are tried and true, based on real experience that could save you tens of thousands!
Don't be the 'latecomer' in a bull market! When these 5 signals appear, hit the brakes!
Every day, fans ask in the background: 'Can we still enter the market? It seems like it can still rise!' To be honest, every time I see this, I sweat for everyone. The end of a bull market is never marked by a 'dramatic crash' but rather like boiling a frog in warm water, luring you in with 'small gains' until you are fully invested and then suddenly change. Today, I'm not going to go for fluff; I’ll tell you the 5 most easily overlooked 'danger signals', each of which can help you avoid pitfalls!
Signal 1: The Federal Reserve's 'purse' gets tight, the crypto market shakes first.
The first thing I do every day when I wake up is check the Federal Reserve's movements — this directly controls the 'flow of money' globally. If I see the Federal Reserve saying 'we're going to raise interest rates' or 'we're going to reduce the balance sheet,' don’t hesitate; reduce your positions first! This is like 'cutting off water' to the crypto space; with less money, how can high-risk coins rise?
There's also the US dollar index (DXY); when it rises, the coins we hold will 'shrink' — after all, the dollar has become more valuable, and everyone is more willing to keep their money in the bank; who would risk trading coins? Moreover, if no one around you is complaining about 'rapid price increases' anymore, and inflation expectations have dropped, then be even more vigilant: funds will withdraw from the crypto space to safer places. This is not a 'small adjustment'; it’s a signal that big capital wants to exit!
Signal 2: Mainstream coins 'lie flat,' while small coins 'party'? That’s the big players 'clearing out their inventory.'
Have you recently noticed that mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum seem to be moving sideways for several days with a 'retirement mindset'? Instead, those lesser-known coins that are hard to pronounce are taking turns hitting the daily limit, with the community full of cheers for 'finding hundredfold coins'?
Listen to me, at this time, absolutely don’t rush in! I’ve monitored countless times the actions of the big players, and this is a typical 'feint tactic' — using the surge of small coins to lure retail investors in while secretly dumping their own holdings onto you. Also, if the trading app suddenly becomes unresponsive and new coins keep appearing, don’t think it’s a 'money-making window'; the project parties are seizing on everyone’s greed, wanting to make one last wave of profits before running! Last time, a fan didn’t heed my advice, chased a new coin, and it dropped 90% just three days after launch. They came crying for help, but I had no way to assist!
Signal 3: On-chain data doesn’t lie; the exit of big players has long been evident.
Many retail investors don’t look at on-chain data, thinking 'it’s too complicated,' but that’s precisely the most reliable indicator! Let me teach you a few simple judgment methods:
Once you see Bitcoin being transferred in bulk to exchanges, be alert — big players are not here to 'give away money'; they are preparing to cash out their coins. If those old players' wallets, which are usually 'stubbornly held' (the kind that haven’t moved for years), suddenly start transferring frequently, that’s even more alarming: if even the most patient 'long-term holders' are starting to sell, how much longer can this market remain hot?
There's also the gas fee, which sometimes gets outrageous, and the chain is as congested as during the Spring Festival ticket rush. Don’t think it's 'market enthusiasm'; that's a bunch of retail investors 'collectively chasing the top' — just like at the end of a concert, when everyone rushes to the exit, you’ll only end up stuck inside, unable to escape!
Signal 4: When even 'newbie friends' start asking how to buy, wake up quickly!
Yesterday, I ran into a friend I hadn't contacted in years, suddenly messaging me asking 'which coin can make money now.' I immediately felt 'something was off' — this is the 'classic signal' that the market has peaked!
Think about it, if even those who know nothing about the crypto market are attracted by the 'money-making effect,' it shows that the market has heated up to 'national euphoria.' Look at the media, all articles claim 'the bull market can rise tenfold,' and experts casually mention 'target price breaking XX million'—I tell you, every time I hear this, my heart tightens: it’s like the last song at a concert; when it’s over, it’s time to disperse. If you don’t leave now, you’ll only be left to pick up the trash!
Signal 5: When no one mentions 'risk,' danger is near.
The scariest thing is not the market's drop, but everyone thinking 'it won’t drop'! Now, if you open the community, isn’t it true that no one talks about 'controlling positions,' but instead, it’s all about 'full positions waiting for a rise'?
After so many years in the industry, I've summed up a rule: the market always 'rises in despair and falls in euphoria.' It never tells you in advance 'it's going to drop,' it only splashes cold water on you when you're most excited — by the time you react, the coins in your hands have already dropped to an unrecognizable state, and you can’t sell them even if you want to.
Lastly, let me say something heartfelt: making money in the crypto space relies not on 'greed,' but on 'awareness.' I share the most practical analysis every day to help everyone avoid pitfalls and protect their money. If you find what I say useful, follow me; the next time the market shows signs of movement, I’ll remind you right away. Don’t wait until you're trapped to think of finding me! Let’s follow each other and steadily make money in the crypto space together, not becoming 'the one who picks up the pieces,' but 'the one who escapes at the top'!
After reading this, do you have a sense of the situation? If you notice other 'off signals' in the market, or want to know how to adjust your positions, feel free to comment, and I will respond one by one! Follow me, and next time, let’s continue discussing the most hardcore crypto insights.
