#BTC
The next article analyzes the factors influencing the price of bitcoin
📌 4. US Dollar (DXY) & Bond Yields
BTC often moves in the opposite direction to DXY and bond yields.
Currently:
DXY is fluctuating strongly around high levels → putting pressure on BTC.
The 10-year US bond yield is decreasing from its peak → good for Bitcoin.
Impact:
DXY increases → BTC decreases
DXY decreases → BTC soars
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📌 5. Politics – Geopolitics
Bitcoin reacts strongly to global risks.
Current influence:
The ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict → increased demand for safe havens.
Middle East tensions, rising energy risks → capital flows diversifying into gold & BTC.
US elections 2024–2025:
Which party is more crypto-friendly → BTC benefits.
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📌 6. Halving & 4-Year Cycle
After the Halving (2024), the market always enters a strong bullish phase for 12–18 months.
Currently:
Bitcoin has passed the Halving 2024
History shows that 2025 is often the strongest growth year
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📌 7. Market Sentiment (Risk-on / Risk-off)
Bitcoin is a high-risk asset → depends on investor sentiment.
Currently:
Global sentiment is in a slightly risk-on state
Investors expect the FED to soon lower interest rates → a trend supporting BTC
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🔮 Summary Conclusion
SHORT-TERM Impact (1–4 weeks)
High interest rates and strong DXY → Bitcoin is volatile, difficult to increase sharply immediately
ETFs continue to attract capital → keeping prices from dropping significantly.
MEDIUM – LONG-TERM Impact (1–12 months)
Global liquidity is beginning to expand
Halving 2024 creates momentum
ETFs maintain large capital flows
=> The long-term upward trend of BTC remains very positive.
