Magdalene Semrau G0mx

#btc $BTC

📌 SHORT-TERM TRADE SUGGESTIONS

If you want to Long

Only consider when:
✔ RSI < 30
✔ Test 452 – 451 fails (bounces back)

Nice entry point: 451 – 452

TP: 458 – 460

SL: 448

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If you want to Short

Safe Short when:
✔ Price bounces up to MA25 but does not exceed 460
✔ MACD is still negative

Entry: 458 – 460

TP: 452 – 451

SL: 462.5

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📌 CONCLUSION

➡️ ZEC 15p is leaning downward
➡️ There's a possibility to test 452 before a rebound
➡️ No clear reversal signal yet
➡️ Only trade in a “scalp rebound – short-term” style

#BTC
$BTC
SHORT-TERM SCENARIOS (within 1–3 hours)

🔹 Scenario 1 (60%): Sideway around 90,600 – 90,950

This is the highest scenario because the volume is decreasing.

The market can accumulate before choosing a direction.

🔹 Scenario 2 (25%): Break up to 91,100

If it breaks through MA25 + volume increases:
🎯 Target increase: 91,300 → 91,500

🔹 Scenario 3 (15%): Break down 90,450

If it breaks this area with a strong candle:
🎯 Target decrease: 90,200 → 90,050

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🎯 SHORT-TERM TRADING SUGGESTIONS

If you want to Long

Only long when the price closes 15p above 90,950

TP: 91,200 – 91,350

SL: 90,780

If you want to Short

Short safely when breaking 90,450

TP: 90,200

SL: 90,650

#BTC
$BTC
SHORT-TERM TRADING SUGGESTIONS

If you want to trade quickly:

Buy when:

Price holds at 90,700 and there is a confirming green candle.

Sell when:

Price does not exceed 90,950 and bounces down.

Reasonable stoploss:

Below 90,500 if buying.

Above 91,200 if selling.

#BTC
$BTC
Trading scenario in the next 1–3 hours

Scenario 1 – Slight increase (probability 55%)

If it holds at 90,500
→ BTC may test back to 90,900 – 91,000.

This area is very easy to sell down.

Scenario 2 – Correction decrease (45%)

If it breaks 90,480 → drops quickly to:

90,300

worse: 90,150

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Reference strategy

Long scalping

Entry: 90,480 – 90,550

TP: 90,900 – 91,000

SL: 90,300

Short scalping

Good entry area: 90,900 – 91,000

TP: 90,500

SL: 91,200

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Summary

BTC is in a weak recovery phase, with no strong breakout signs yet.
Main range: 90,300 – 91,000.
Trading within the range is better than trading with the trend.

#xec $ZEC
Transaction suggestion zec

If you want to enter an order:

Nice entry: 465 – 466

TP1: 472

TP2: 480 – 483

SL: below 459

If you are holding an order:

Just keep the price above 465, the trend is still fine.

#btc $BTC
Short-term scenario

Scenario 1 – High likelihood (60%)

➡️ Price slightly rebounds to $91,000 then drops back to $90,400 – $90,200

Scenario 2 – Neutral (30%)

➡️ Moves sideways within the range of $90,400 – $91,000 to accumulate before choosing a direction.

Scenario 3 – Strong increase (10%)

➡️ Only occurs if BTC surpasses $91,200 with high volume → only then is a short-term reversal confirmed.

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🎯 Summary for quick trade

Do not long when the price has not surpassed $91,200

Short is safer if the price revisits the area:

$90,950 – $91,150

Stop loss: $91,350

Target: $90,420 → $90,200

#btc
$BTC
next post

🔥 4. Year-end narrative always triggers the FOMO cycle

December is often called the “Santa Rally” in both stocks and crypto.

Reason:

Investment funds want to finalize attractive reports for the year-end

Retail tends to have higher FOMO

Injecting capital into risky assets ahead of the New Year expectations

Historically, Bitcoin often has a slight to strong upward trend in December (except for special years).

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📉 5. BTC supply decreases after halving (2024)

Halving reduces the amount of BTC issued each day.
By December 2025:

The impact of halving starts to become clearer

Miners sell less due to mining difficulties

Exchange supply becomes tighter

→ Low supply pressure → price easily increases.

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🟦 6. Strong growth of other ecosystems

When:

Solana, Base, TON, altcoins increase

Meme coins explode

AI Narrative – RWA attracts attention

→ New money flowing into crypto eventually returns to BTC (profits taken → poured into BTC).

December is when money often returns to BTC for “safety.”

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📰 7. Positive news at year-end

News that could drive prices:

New countries legalizing crypto

Large companies adding BTC to their balance sheets (like MicroStrategy)

Court/SEC reducing legal pressure

Technical updates for Bitcoin (Lightning, Runes…)

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🧠 8. Market psychology: Fear decreases – Greed increases

December often witnesses:

Greed index rising

Volume improving

More optimistic sentiment due to holidays and New Year expectations

This sentiment helps BTC spike easily when good news arises.

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🎯 Quick conclusion

Bitcoin has a high probability of price increase in December if 3 conditions are met:

1. ETF maintains positive cash flow

2. FED keeps interest rates unchanged + signal decrease in 2026

3. The altcoin market remains hot (large cash flow)

#btc
$BTC
Below is a clear, concise analysis closely related to the market in December (end of 2025) regarding the factors that may help Bitcoin increase in price this December:

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🚀 1. ETF cash flow continues to pour in

December usually sees year-end cash flow from:

BTC spot ETF

Institutions taking profits from traditional markets and reallocating to crypto

Retail investors returning (holiday season)

📌 If the ETF continues to record positive cash flow → BTC has a strong chance of increasing.

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🏦 2. FED keeps interest rates unchanged or prepares to lower them

December is an important meeting period for the FOMC.
If:

Inflation cools down

FED maintains interest rates

Signals for interest rate cuts in early 2026

→ This is extremely bullish for BTC because:

Cost of capital decreases

Cheap money returns

Investors increase risk → BTC benefits first

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💼 3. Monetary policies of countries weaken

Major economies (EU, UK, Japan) still maintain loose policies.
The USD may weaken in December → cash flow seeks safe-haven assets such as:

Gold

Bitcoin

BTC often benefits significantly when the USD Index declines.

#MEME
Bài tiếp

🚀 3. Xu hướng meme 2025–2026 (Dự báo)

Trend sẽ tiếp tục nếu đạt 3 điều kiện:

1. Altcoin season quay lại.

2. Solana / BASE / TON vẫn giữ nhiệt.

3. Xuất hiện meme celebs (Trump/Elon/Streamer).

→ Xác suất trend tiếp tục: 70%, nhưng không lan rộng như 2024.

Meme sẽ mạnh nhất trên:

Solana (tập trung retail)

Base (hệ sinh thái Coinbase, dễ fomo)

TON (Telegram user đông)

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🎯 4. Chiến lược chơi meme giai đoạn này (rất quan trọng)

✔ Chỉ chơi meme có thanh khoản > 10–20 triệu

→ Tránh rug/pump dump.

✔ Chỉ vào khi BTC sideway

→ Nếu BTC dump, meme chết đầu tiên.

✔ Ưu tiên meme đã có thương hiệu:

WIF

BONK

PEPE

BRETT

BOME

✔ Meme mới → vào sớm – chốt nhanh

→ Không hold dài trừ khi volume duy trì mạnh 3–7 ngày.

#MEME
Dưới đây là phân tích nhanh – rõ ràng – bám thị trường hiện tại (cuối 2025) về việc trend meme coin liệu còn tiếp tục hay không:

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🔥 1. Trend meme coin có còn tiếp tục không? → CÓ, nhưng đang đổi dạng

Trend meme không chết, nhưng đang chuyển sang giai đoạn chọn lọc.
3 điểm chính:

► (1) Vốn hóa meme coin vẫn tăng

DOGE, SHIB duy trì top vốn hóa.

PEPE, WIF, BONK trở thành meme bluechip.

Meme mới vẫn liên tục gây sóng (CAT, BOME, BRETT…).

→ Dòng tiền vẫn còn, chỉ là không còn fomo mọi thứ.

► (2) Meme gắn với narrative mới

Meme coin 2025 không đơn thuần “hình con vật”, mà gắn với:

AI (AIMEME, AI DOGE…)

Game

Chain mới (Sui, TON, Solana, Base)

Celeb / KOL (Trump, Elon, streamer…)

→ Meme được “đóng gói” trong các câu chuyện mạnh → còn sống lâu.

► (3) Vòng xoay chu kỳ đầu cơ vẫn giữ meme

Vốn nhỏ dễ đẩy → dễ pump → thu hút FOMO mới, dù thị trường biến động.

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📉 2. Nhưng trend meme đang yếu dần hay mạnh lên?

Hiện tại (cuối 2025):

Dấu hiệu trend meme đang yếu:

Tốc độ tạo meme mới giảm.

Thanh khoản không còn bùng nổ 100–200%/ngày như 2023–2024.

Tiền lớn xoay sang BTC, ETH, và narrative AI – RWA – L2.

Dấu hiệu trend meme vẫn mạnh:

Solana, Base vẫn là meme factory.

1 meme chuẩn vẫn có thể x10–x50 cực nhanh.

Retail trở lại → fomo meme trước tiên.

→ Đánh giá tổng quan: trend không chết, nhưng không còn điên loạn → bước vào giai đoạn chọn lọc và phân hóa.

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#BTC
$BTC
The next article analyzes the factors influencing the price of bitcoin

📌 4. US Dollar (DXY) & Bond Yields

BTC often moves in the opposite direction to DXY and bond yields.

Currently:

DXY is fluctuating strongly around high levels → putting pressure on BTC.

The 10-year US bond yield is decreasing from its peak → good for Bitcoin.

Impact:

DXY increases → BTC decreases

DXY decreases → BTC soars

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📌 5. Politics – Geopolitics

Bitcoin reacts strongly to global risks.

Current influence:

The ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict → increased demand for safe havens.

Middle East tensions, rising energy risks → capital flows diversifying into gold & BTC.

US elections 2024–2025:

Which party is more crypto-friendly → BTC benefits.

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📌 6. Halving & 4-Year Cycle

After the Halving (2024), the market always enters a strong bullish phase for 12–18 months.

Currently:

Bitcoin has passed the Halving 2024

History shows that 2025 is often the strongest growth year

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📌 7. Market Sentiment (Risk-on / Risk-off)

Bitcoin is a high-risk asset → depends on investor sentiment.

Currently:

Global sentiment is in a slightly risk-on state

Investors expect the FED to soon lower interest rates → a trend supporting BTC

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🔮 Summary Conclusion

SHORT-TERM Impact (1–4 weeks)

High interest rates and strong DXY → Bitcoin is volatile, difficult to increase sharply immediately

ETFs continue to attract capital → keeping prices from dropping significantly.

MEDIUM – LONG-TERM Impact (1–12 months)

Global liquidity is beginning to expand

Halving 2024 creates momentum

ETFs maintain large capital flows
=> The long-term upward trend of BTC remains very positive.

#BTC
$BTC
Below is the latest macroeconomic analysis and how each factor is directly affecting the price of Bitcoin — presented concisely, clearly, but deep enough for traders.

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📌 1. Inflation & Monetary Policy

➤ The higher the inflation → The easier Bitcoin increases

Bitcoin is seen as a safe haven asset when fiat currency depreciates.

Currently:

Inflation in the US and EU is decreasing slowly, but still above the FED's target of 2%.

The FED is forced to keep interest rates high for longer → market liquidity decreases → Bitcoin struggles to increase significantly.

Impact on BTC price:

High interest rates = Less money flowing into risky assets = BTC weak

When the FED signals a rate cut = BTC increases significantly

Signals to watch:

CPI (inflation)

FOMC Meeting

Remarks by FED Chairman Jerome Powell

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📌 2. Global Liquidity

Liquidity is the most important indicator for Bitcoin.

➤ When liquidity increases → BTC increases

➤ When liquidity decreases → BTC decreases

Currently:

China, Japan, and the EU have recently slightly increased the money supply again.

The US is still tightening.

➡️ Global liquidity is slowly recovering, helping BTC maintain a long-term bullish trend.

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📌 3. Bitcoin Spot ETF Cash Flow

Spot ETFs are the newest and strongest factor from 2024–2025.

Currently:

ETFs like BlackRock, Fidelity are still attracting net money despite market fluctuations.

ETFs have changed the market structure:
→ The demand for real purchase (physical BTC) is continuously increasing.

Impact:

If ETFs continue to have positive cash flow → BTC increases sustainably

If ETFs stop attracting money → the market is likely to correct sharply

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#zec
$ZEC
Short-term scenario

Scenario 1 – Continue to rise (40%)

If ZEC holds 455 and the next 2–3 candles close above MA7 → the price may test 464 → 470.

Scenario 2 – Sideway accumulation (40%)

Fluctuating in 455 – 464, accumulating again before choosing a direction.

Scenario 3 – Decrease again (20%)

If it breaks 455, the price may fall back to 445 → 438.

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🛒 Reference trading strategy

⚠️ For short-term trading in 15-minute frames

If you want to buy (Short-term Long)

Entry: 455 – 457

TP1: 464

TP2: 470

SL: 450

If you want to sell (Short) when the price is weak

Entry: 464 – 466

TP: 455

SL: 469

#BTC
$BTC
Short-term trading suggestions (Not an investment recommendation)

Trade with the trend

Wait for a break at 90,550 → quick short, TP: 90,200 – 90,000.

Counter-trend trade

Buy around 90,550 – 90,600

SL: 90,450

TP: 90,950 – 91,100

#zec
$ZEC

Proposed trading strategy

🔹 Long swing trading (lowest risk)

Entry: 448–451

Take profit: 456–460

Stop-loss: below 445

Because the RSI is oversold → slight recovery possibility.

🔹 Safe short

Short if it retraces to 456–460 and does not surpass

Target: 450–448

Stop-loss: 462

#BTC
$BTC
Short-term scenario (in the next 1–3 hours)

Scenario 1 — Sideways then slight bounce (55%)

Price fluctuates in the range: ➡️ 90,650 – 91,000
If there is buying pressure, the price may bounce up to 91,200 – 91,300 then get sold down.

Scenario 2 — Break support (35%)

If BTC closes a 15m candle below 90,650, it could drop quickly: ➡️ Target 90,150

Scenario 3 — Strong pump surpassing MA99 (10%)

If there is suddenly large volume: ➡️ Break 91,300 → up to 92,000.

Currently, the volume is very low, so a strong pump is very difficult.

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📌 . Suggested trading strategy

If you are trading short-term / day trading:

Cautious long:

Entry range: 90,600 – 90,700

Take profit: 91,100 – 91,300

Stop-loss: below 90,450

Safe short:

If the price retests 91,200 – 91,300 and cannot break above

Target: 90,700

Stop-loss: 91,450

#zec
$ZEC
Proposed trading strategy

Sell (priority)

Entry zone: 472 – 475

TP: 460 – 452

SL: 480

Buy (risky – only strong bottom catching)

Only buy at: 448 – 452

TP: 468 – 475

SL: 440

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📝 Quick summary

Trend: Strong decline, weak technical rebound.

MA25 is pressing the price ⇒ potential for a stronger decline.

Notable zone: 459. If it breaks, it will drop to 448.

#BTC
$BTC
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🎯 . Proposed short-term trading strategy

Buy (safe)

Buying zone: 91,150 – 91,200

TP: 91,700 – 91,900

SL: Below 90,950

Sell (risky)

Only sell if it falls below 91,150

TP: 90,850 – 90,650

SL: 91,350

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🔍 Quick summary

Short-term trend: Up but starting to become overbought

Observation zone: 91,150

Main scenario: Light adjustment then continue to test the peak of 91,900

#BTC
$BTC
short-term trading (15P)

✔ Scenario 1 (high probability):

Price sideways accumulation in the range of 90,400 – 90,800, then attempting to break 91,300.

→ Buy signal when: 15-minute candle closes above 91,300
→ Target: 91,900 – 92,300

✔ Scenario 2:

If BTC loses 90,400
→ it will drop back to 89,900 – 90,000 to test MA99
→ This is a nice buying zone for scalp

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📌 Suggested strategy (Scalp 15p)

Long setup:

Range: 90,000 – 90,400

SL: 89,700

TP1: 90,900

TP2: 91,300

TP3: 91,900

Short setup:

If the price touches 91,300 – 91,400 but cannot break

SL: 91,650

TP: 90,800 → 90,400

#zec
$ZEC
Short-term scenario (in 30–90 minutes)

Scenario 1 — Light sideways rebound (60%)

Price continues to fluctuate around 506–511

If BTC stabilizes → ZEC may test back 512–513

Scenario 2 — Break support (25%)

If it breaks below 502.5 → price drops quickly to 500, even 495

Scenario 3 — Strong trend reversal (15%)

Only occurs when breaking 514 (MA99)

At that point the target: 520 – 525

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🟢 . Short-term trading suggestions

(Just analysis, not investment advice)

BUY cautiously

Buy zone: 502 – 505

SL: 498

TP: 511 – 513

SELL according to trend

Sell when price is rejected at 512–513

SL: 515

TP: 505 – 502

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👉 Conclusion

ZEC is:

Dominant downtrend

Weak rebound

Low volume

MACD has just started to cut up (weak signal)

→ Prioritize short-term SELL, BUY only when reaching strong support zone 502–505.