🔴 #ФРС first lowered the rate in 2025
• Decision: minus 25 b.p. — the start of the easing cycle.
• Forecast: baseline scenario — another minus 50 b.p. by the end of the year.
• Disagreement: council member Miran insisted on a reduction of 50 b.p. at once.
• #Сигнал : the focus has shifted from inflation to #риски for employment.
👀 Split within the Fed:
– 6 participants do not expect further reductions;
– 9 anticipate at least two new steps down.
📌 Result: policy is becoming cheaper → liquidity is increasing → risk assets (#BTC , #альткоины ) receive support. Q4 may proceed with acceleration.
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