ФРС
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Inflation as an Indicator for the Cryptocurrency Market
It is often said:
🔺 Inflation is rising — bad for the markets.
🔻 Inflation is falling — good.
However, upon careful examination of the actual data from recent months, one can notice an astonishing pattern: inflation and the crypto market move synchronously. And this correlation is much deeper than just a reaction to Fed rates or the money supply.
🔺 Inflation is rising — bad for the markets.
🔻 Inflation is falling — good.
However, upon careful examination of the actual data from recent months, one can notice an astonishing pattern: inflation and the crypto market move synchronously. And this correlation is much deeper than just a reaction to Fed rates or the money supply.
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Trump is preparing to replace the Fed chair — Bessent's candidacy is being discussed in the White House.
Possible resignation of Powell: the intrigue intensifies
Donald Trump is once again bringing the topic of the Fed to the forefront. At the center is the current chair Jerome Powell. His term expires in May 2026. There are two years left. But in Washington, discussions about a replacement are already underway.
Media reports: The White House is considering the candidacy of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. He could head the Fed if Trump achieves a change in leadership.
Donald Trump is once again bringing the topic of the Fed to the forefront. At the center is the current chair Jerome Powell. His term expires in May 2026. There are two years left. But in Washington, discussions about a replacement are already underway.
Media reports: The White House is considering the candidacy of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. He could head the Fed if Trump achieves a change in leadership.
Altruist 70:
Америка готовит замену самому Трампу 😁
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The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates at the current level until the fall of 2025
The Federal Reserve #FRS of the U.S. has so far decided not to jerk around with interest rates and keep them at the usual level, at least until September 2025. This is the fresh insight from a Reuters survey conducted from June 5 to 10, which consulted 105 economists. Almost all — 103 specialists — are confident that the Open Market Committee (#fomc ) will not budge and will maintain rates in the range of 4.25–4.50% at the meeting on June 17–18. Why is that? Because inflation still shows no signs of easing, and the labor market gives no indications of weakening that could prompt the Fed to move and change course.
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Here is a brief forecast for the upcoming FOMC meeting (June 17–18, 2025):
📌 Main expectation:
FOMC rate: will remain in the range of 4.25–4.50% at the June 17–18 meeting — expected market consensus
🕰️ When to expect changes:
June–July: unlikely — the market assesses the probability of a decrease in June at 0%, in July <20%
investopedia.com
September: the main expected moment for the first decrease — probability ~60–68% .
🔍 Reasons for current caution:
Inflation: in May +0.1% month-on-month (2.4% year-on-year), slightly below forecast, but above the FOMC target and not exerting pressure
Tariff risks: tariffs remain a factor of uncertainty, keeping the FOMC in wait-and-see mode.
Labor market: strengthened, which reduces the need for an urgent rate cut
✅ What is important to monitor:
FOMC statements at Powell's press conference following the meeting.
New inflation (PCE, CPI) and employment data.
Dynamics of tariffs and trade policy, especially US–China.
📊 Summary:
— For June 17–18: the rate will not change.
— First likelihood of a decrease: in September 2025 (≈60–70% chance).
— July – August: extremely low probability of a decrease (<20%).
#фрс
📌 Main expectation:
FOMC rate: will remain in the range of 4.25–4.50% at the June 17–18 meeting — expected market consensus
🕰️ When to expect changes:
June–July: unlikely — the market assesses the probability of a decrease in June at 0%, in July <20%
investopedia.com
September: the main expected moment for the first decrease — probability ~60–68% .
🔍 Reasons for current caution:
Inflation: in May +0.1% month-on-month (2.4% year-on-year), slightly below forecast, but above the FOMC target and not exerting pressure
Tariff risks: tariffs remain a factor of uncertainty, keeping the FOMC in wait-and-see mode.
Labor market: strengthened, which reduces the need for an urgent rate cut
✅ What is important to monitor:
FOMC statements at Powell's press conference following the meeting.
New inflation (PCE, CPI) and employment data.
Dynamics of tariffs and trade policy, especially US–China.
📊 Summary:
— For June 17–18: the rate will not change.
— First likelihood of a decrease: in September 2025 (≈60–70% chance).
— July – August: extremely low probability of a decrease (<20%).
#фрс
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The Fed refuses to cut rates: the market prepares for volatility
The meeting #ФРС in the US will take place on June 18 — the market is almost certain that the rate will not be touched.
The probability of it being maintained at 5.25–5.50% is estimated at 99.9%.
Bitcoin is holding above $108,000, but bearish signals are appearing on the chart.
The rate will not be lowered: inflation and employment prevent the Fed from easing policy.
The probability of it being maintained at 5.25–5.50% is estimated at 99.9%.
Bitcoin is holding above $108,000, but bearish signals are appearing on the chart.
The rate will not be lowered: inflation and employment prevent the Fed from easing policy.
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What Will Happen to Bitcoin If Trump Sends Powell into Retirement
US President Donald Trump has again raised the question of replacing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, provoking heated discussions in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets.
We are analyzing what will happen to Bitcoin $BTC if the president actually sends the Fed chairman into retirement. The consequences of this move will extend far beyond the traditional asset segment.
We are analyzing what will happen to Bitcoin $BTC if the president actually sends the Fed chairman into retirement. The consequences of this move will extend far beyond the traditional asset segment.
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📉 The June FOMC Meeting is deemed "insignificant" – focus on the employment report!
According to BlockBeats data, JPMorgan economist Mike Feroli stated that the May employment report was "almost fabricated" to justify the Fed's wait-and-see position.
🏛️ The regulator remains cautious, closely monitoring inflation and the labor market.
📊 The June FOMC meeting is recognized as an "insignificant event".
📌 The main intrigue: what will happen next with the key interest rate?
❓What do you think, will they hold the rate or can we expect a surprise? Share your thoughts in the comments!
#ФРС #Инфляция #Экономика #JPMorgan #Крипторынок
$BTC $ETH
According to BlockBeats data, JPMorgan economist Mike Feroli stated that the May employment report was "almost fabricated" to justify the Fed's wait-and-see position.
🏛️ The regulator remains cautious, closely monitoring inflation and the labor market.
📊 The June FOMC meeting is recognized as an "insignificant event".
📌 The main intrigue: what will happen next with the key interest rate?
❓What do you think, will they hold the rate or can we expect a surprise? Share your thoughts in the comments!
#ФРС #Инфляция #Экономика #JPMorgan #Крипторынок
$BTC $ETH
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Good time, Analysis of BTC and everything about it!
$BTC
Friends, right now I am waiting for confirmation of my mid-term forecast. Wednesday was positive, so it is important to ensure that the expected scenario has indeed started to unfold, and this can be seen not only from the technical indicators.
Today is Friday – a traditional day for special releases, but I do not want to make a video just for the sake of content. My goal is to present something new that wasn't in the last release. Right now is just such a situation: we are testing the levels broken on Wednesday, trying to secure above, although personally I expected a slightly different dynamic.
Friends, right now I am waiting for confirmation of my mid-term forecast. Wednesday was positive, so it is important to ensure that the expected scenario has indeed started to unfold, and this can be seen not only from the technical indicators.
Today is Friday – a traditional day for special releases, but I do not want to make a video just for the sake of content. My goal is to present something new that wasn't in the last release. Right now is just such a situation: we are testing the levels broken on Wednesday, trying to secure above, although personally I expected a slightly different dynamic.
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News of the Day: The Federal Reserve's balance increased by 1.6 billion in one week!
▪️Williams, Chair of the Federal Reserve:
- I expect a significant slowdown in economic growth, as well as increases in inflation and unemployment.
- Price stability is the foundation for the Federal Reserve.
- Inflation will return to 2%.
- The next few quarters will help shed light on the state of the economy.
- Trump's comments do not complicate the work of the Federal Reserve.
▪️Kugler, Chair of the Federal Reserve:
- It is unclear how trade policy will change the economic situation.
- We see some risk of rising inflation due to tariffs.
- The U.S. economy has been resilient so far.
- U.S. GDP in the first quarter showed a leading influence from the introduction of trade tariffs.
▪️Barr, Chair of the Federal Reserve:
- The Federal Reserve may find itself in a difficult position if both inflation and unemployment rise.
- There were some anomalous data in U.S. GDP for the first quarter.
💥 Market Expectations (rate #ФРС ):
- June 18: PAUSE.
- July 30: decrease by 25 b.p. to 4.00-4.25%.
- September 17: PAUSE.
- October 29: decrease by 25 b.p. to
3.75-4.00%. decrease by 25 b.p. to 3.50-3.75%.
- December 10: decrease by 25 b.p. to 3.50-3.75%.
- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: decrease by 25 b.p. to 3.25-3.50%.
46508876475
▪️Williams, Chair of the Federal Reserve:
- I expect a significant slowdown in economic growth, as well as increases in inflation and unemployment.
- Price stability is the foundation for the Federal Reserve.
- Inflation will return to 2%.
- The next few quarters will help shed light on the state of the economy.
- Trump's comments do not complicate the work of the Federal Reserve.
▪️Kugler, Chair of the Federal Reserve:
- It is unclear how trade policy will change the economic situation.
- We see some risk of rising inflation due to tariffs.
- The U.S. economy has been resilient so far.
- U.S. GDP in the first quarter showed a leading influence from the introduction of trade tariffs.
▪️Barr, Chair of the Federal Reserve:
- The Federal Reserve may find itself in a difficult position if both inflation and unemployment rise.
- There were some anomalous data in U.S. GDP for the first quarter.
💥 Market Expectations (rate #ФРС ):
- June 18: PAUSE.
- July 30: decrease by 25 b.p. to 4.00-4.25%.
- September 17: PAUSE.
- October 29: decrease by 25 b.p. to
3.75-4.00%. decrease by 25 b.p. to 3.50-3.75%.
- December 10: decrease by 25 b.p. to 3.50-3.75%.
- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: decrease by 25 b.p. to 3.25-3.50%.
46508876475
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Senator Lummis on the cancellation of anti-crypto recommendations #ФРС : "It's just noise!"
🔹 The U.S. Federal Reserve has canceled the requirement for banks to provide prior notice for transactions involving crypto assets. Now, oversight will occur within the framework of standard supervision.
🔹 Senator Cynthia Lummis reacted strongly:
> "This is not progress, but an attempt to obscure the issue. The Fed has destroyed the industry, the fight continues".
$BTC $ETH $XRP
🔹 Context: previously, the SEC also canceled rule SAB 121, easing restrictions on banks holding crypto assets.
⚡️ Conclusion: pressure on the crypto industry in the U.S. is decreasing, but real reforms are still absent. The political struggle over regulation is just heating up.
#CryptoRegulation #FED #USA #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #DYOR
🔹 The U.S. Federal Reserve has canceled the requirement for banks to provide prior notice for transactions involving crypto assets. Now, oversight will occur within the framework of standard supervision.
🔹 Senator Cynthia Lummis reacted strongly:
> "This is not progress, but an attempt to obscure the issue. The Fed has destroyed the industry, the fight continues".
$BTC $ETH $XRP
🔹 Context: previously, the SEC also canceled rule SAB 121, easing restrictions on banks holding crypto assets.
⚡️ Conclusion: pressure on the crypto industry in the U.S. is decreasing, but real reforms are still absent. The political struggle over regulation is just heating up.
#CryptoRegulation #FED #USA #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #DYOR
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⚠️Good day, BTC analysis and everything about it⚠️
The chart shows the strategy for March. According to my expectations, the month may close around 113,000 for 1 $BTC
. However, time will tell how everything will turn out. ➡️ I am leaning towards the "white scenario" indicated on the chart, where the current situation looks extremely ambiguous, especially given the latest news. If you study the chart carefully, you can see that I expect the price to move to the 91500 +/- area. After that, the key question arises: will we close the gap on Monday-Tuesday? Or, given the news background and the bulls' activity, will this become another trap for the bears? Everyone must answer this question for themselves.
. However, time will tell how everything will turn out. ➡️ I am leaning towards the "white scenario" indicated on the chart, where the current situation looks extremely ambiguous, especially given the latest news. If you study the chart carefully, you can see that I expect the price to move to the 91500 +/- area. After that, the key question arises: will we close the gap on Monday-Tuesday? Or, given the news background and the bulls' activity, will this become another trap for the bears? Everyone must answer this question for themselves.
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Outcomes of the meeting between Powell and Trump: focus on the economy and inflation
On May 30, a meeting took place in the White House between Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Donald Trump. The topics are serious: from rates to inflation. And although sparks flew between them before, both sides are now set on constructive dialogue. It seems they decided to talk like adults — without populism, but with an eye on real numbers.
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After the publication of the Fed protocols, crypto went down — all due to uncertainty about inflation
On Tuesday evening, Bitcoin and Ethereum lost about 2% of their price. Even worse for $SOL and $XRP , both tokens fell by approximately 4%. The sharp downward movement began after the release of the May protocols from the U.S. Federal Reserve.
The Fed warned that the economic forecast is becoming increasingly alarming. This is what triggered the correction in the crypto market.
The Fed warned that the economic forecast is becoming increasingly alarming. This is what triggered the correction in the crypto market.
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🔥 ФРС США и криптовалюты: главные заявления Джерома Пауэлла 🔥
$XRP $BTC $ETH
🔹 Банки могут работать с крипто-клиентами — главное, чтобы риски были под контролем.
🔹 Цифрового доллара (CBDC) не будет — решение за Конгрессом.
🔹 ФРС не будет владеть биткоином — и не собирается менять закон для этого.
⚡ Регуляторы остаются осторожными, но крипто-индустрия растет!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #ФРС #Binance
Как думаете, это хорошо или плохо? 🤔
$XRP $BTC $ETH
🔹 Банки могут работать с крипто-клиентами — главное, чтобы риски были под контролем.
🔹 Цифрового доллара (CBDC) не будет — решение за Конгрессом.
🔹 ФРС не будет владеть биткоином — и не собирается менять закон для этого.
⚡ Регуляторы остаются осторожными, но крипто-индустрия растет!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #ФРС #Binance
Как думаете, это хорошо или плохо? 🤔
yes 👍
82%
no 👎
18%
50 votes • Voting closed
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🔥 The report #CPI for the USA will be released tomorrow! (16:30 MSK)
Consensus forecast – inflation rise to 2.9% year-on-year.
SWBC: "The high inflation rate in the USA may strengthen investors' belief that there will be no rate cut #ФРС in 2025, and possibly even a RATE INCREASE"
+ the corporate earnings season in the USA starts tomorrow
Consensus forecast – inflation rise to 2.9% year-on-year.
SWBC: "The high inflation rate in the USA may strengthen investors' belief that there will be no rate cut #ФРС in 2025, and possibly even a RATE INCREASE"
+ the corporate earnings season in the USA starts tomorrow
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NewsDrop from Mr.Belferman
▫️💸 7.05.2025 — the markets are nervous, while #BTC holds steady
While the entire financial world is holding its breath before the statement of #ФРС ,
Bitcoin stands like a rock: $95K plus or minus, without panic.
It is expected that Powell will not change the rate, but analysts are already hinting:
there may be a short-term dip, just “on nerves”.
Meanwhile, I am doing my “analysis”:
if everyone is waiting for a dip — it means it will either definitely happen, or definitely not.
As always in crypto.
▫️💸 7.05.2025 — the markets are nervous, while #BTC holds steady
While the entire financial world is holding its breath before the statement of #ФРС ,
Bitcoin stands like a rock: $95K plus or minus, without panic.
It is expected that Powell will not change the rate, but analysts are already hinting:
there may be a short-term dip, just “on nerves”.
Meanwhile, I am doing my “analysis”:
if everyone is waiting for a dip — it means it will either definitely happen, or definitely not.
As always in crypto.
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Fed, Rates, and Bitcoin: Should We Prepare for a New Bull Run This Month?
💣 Briefly for those in the tank:
The Federal Reserve System of the USA (#ФРС ) announced another decision regarding the key rate. The rate remains unchanged, but the main thing is the rhetoric. And this is where it gets interesting.
🎤 What did Powell say (not your neighbor, but Jerome):
Rate: 5.25% — unchanged. But this seems to be the peak point.
The Federal Reserve System of the USA (#ФРС ) announced another decision regarding the key rate. The rate remains unchanged, but the main thing is the rhetoric. And this is where it gets interesting.
🎤 What did Powell say (not your neighbor, but Jerome):
Rate: 5.25% — unchanged. But this seems to be the peak point.
See original
After the last meeting of the Federal Reserve System (FRS) on May 7, 2025, where the key interest rate was maintained at 4.25%-4.50%, the markets are closely analyzing further signals. The maintenance of rates reflects the cautious approach of the FRS amid economic uncertainty and the recent impact of trade policies.
For the crypto market, the FRS's decisions regarding interest rates are of great importance. Low rates generally increase liquidity and investors' propensity for risky assets such as cryptocurrencies. Conversely, rising rates may lead to capital outflows to less risky assets.
Currently, the market is awaiting further guidance on future monetary policy. While expectations for rate cuts by the end of the year remain, the FRS emphasizes its dependence on economic data. Any hints about the timing and pace of potential rate changes could trigger significant volatility in the crypto market. #FOMC #ФРС #CryptoMarkets #InterestRates
For the crypto market, the FRS's decisions regarding interest rates are of great importance. Low rates generally increase liquidity and investors' propensity for risky assets such as cryptocurrencies. Conversely, rising rates may lead to capital outflows to less risky assets.
Currently, the market is awaiting further guidance on future monetary policy. While expectations for rate cuts by the end of the year remain, the FRS emphasizes its dependence on economic data. Any hints about the timing and pace of potential rate changes could trigger significant volatility in the crypto market. #FOMC #ФРС #CryptoMarkets #InterestRates
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#CPI&JoblessClaimsWatch The latest CPI (Consumer Price Index) data and Jobless Claims are attracting the attention of investors and analysts. Inflation remains a key factor for the Fed, as a high CPI may prevent the regulator from lowering rates. At the same time, the decrease in the number of jobless claims indicates a resilient labor market, which supports the economy but could also put pressure on inflation due to rising wages. Monitoring these indicators helps assess macroeconomic stability and possible actions by the Fed in the future. #економіка #інфляція #ринокпраці #ФРС
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