🚀【Bottom Buying Alert】ADA $0.83 has fallen into a 'value vacuum', a short-term rebound is imminent!
Summary in one sentence
In the past 24 hours, nearly $90M has net flowed out of contracts and spot, with prices pressed down to the lower Bollinger Band and the lower edge of the 70% trading volume coverage area, the market is 'throwing' chips to hunters who dare to catch the falling knife.
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Key Range Structure and Volume Distribution
1. Value Anchoring Area (POC): 0.922
The most chips have accumulated here in the past two weeks, the current price is about -10.4% from POC, in deep discount.
2. High Volume Area (HVN)
• 0.902–0.914: The first buffer zone for bulls' counterattack, breaking above and stabilizing could see 0.94.
• 0.850–0.862: Daytime short selling pressure concentration zone, a breakout with volume will accelerate.
3. Low Volume Gap (LVN)
• 0.752–0.760: The only 'vacuum corridor' below, once broken could drop straight to 0.708.
• 1.020–1.023: 'Bear trap' above, a quick breakout could chase up to 1.05.
4. 70% Trading Volume Coverage Area: 0.850–0.961
The current price of 0.835 is already 1.8% below the lower edge of the range, with clear short-term overselling signals.
Momentum Validation
• POC Area Up Vol 46.3%, balanced bulls and bears;
• 0.850 lower edge Up Vol 62.1%, buyers begin to take the initiative;
• The trading volume in the past 4 hours shrunk to 0.51 times the 20-day average, selling momentum is fading.
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Market Cycle Judgment
Currently in the 'panic selling' phase at the end of a mid-term downward fluctuation, there is a mean reversion demand in the short term; if 0.82 is lost, it will enter a new round of accelerated bear market.
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Trading Strategy (15m–1h level)
| Plan | Entry Price | Stop Loss Price | Target Price | Risk/Reward Ratio | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggressive | 0.835–0.838 | 0.819 (-2.0%) | 0.862 (+3.3%) | 1.65 | Buy if the liquidity pile at 0.82 does not break on a pullback |
| Moderate | 0.820–0.823 | 0.809 (-1.7%) | 0.850 (+3.6%) | 2.1 | Wait for LVN 0.82 false breakdown to recover |
| Conservative | Chase after 0.850 breakout | 0.842 (-0.9%) | 0.862 (+1.4%) | 1.55 | Follow the trend after a volume breakout at HVN 0.850 |
Risk Control
• If the 1h closing price <0.819 and Down Vol>55%, the strategy is invalid.
• Fixed risk of 1% of account equity, using 0.008 ATR to estimate position size.
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Thanks to 'Silicon-based Liquidity' for providing the foundational large model!
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