Today is the most critical day in determining the market for the second half of the year in the cryptocurrency space!
Many people say the market is hard to understand, but it's actually not. The real key lies in a few specific days. Today is the watershed that will determine the trends in the cryptocurrency space for the second half of the year.
Why say this? I will explain from three perspectives:
One, macro level: The wind direction has reached a turning point.
The global financial market is currently experiencing a sensitive period.
Policy level: The Federal Reserve's monetary signals and changes in inflation data directly determine the sentiment of risk assets. If the attitude turns dovish, funds will quickly flow back, and the cryptocurrency space will become a benefiting sector; if high pressure is maintained, it may face short-term pressure.
Capital situation: Recently, the inflow and outflow of main funds have noticeably accelerated, especially with frequent testing actions from institutions. Today's trend will determine whether they choose to continue increasing their positions or temporarily withdraw and observe.
Risk aversion sentiment: Geopolitical events and global stock market fluctuations are putting pressure on the crypto market. At this moment, the cryptocurrency space feels more like the calm before the storm.
Two, technical level: The critical range is the balance point.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are both at extremely critical technical junctures.
Bitcoin: Multiple tests of support levels indicate that funds are holding, but the pressure above remains heavy. A significant volume breakout will ignite a new round of upward movement; if it loses support, a waterfall-like pullback may occur.
Ethereum: Repeated oscillation and consolidation, clearly a battleground for both bulls and bears. The market's delay in choosing a direction means that once it breaks through, it will inevitably be accompanied by violent fluctuations.
In one sentence: The K-line formed today may determine the trend map for the next few months.
Three, emotional level: The critical point of chip games.
Market sentiment is extremely sensitive at this moment.
Bulls believe: The upward trend remains, just a pullback for washing out positions.
Bears believe: The rise has reached its limits, and a reversal could happen at any time.
This is a typical critical point market, with concentrated chips and tense sentiment. A significant direction today will become the last straw that breaks the camel's back.
Four, operational thoughts: How to grasp it?
1. Conservative: Not in a hurry to act, waiting for today's closing confirmation before following. A clear trend is more important than anything else.
2. Aggressive: Key support areas can have small positions waiting, but must properly set stop losses and only increase positions once the direction is confirmed.
3. Swing trading: The upper and lower range oscillations are obvious, and a dual-direction layout can be considered to capture the moment of breakthrough.
Five, summary
Today is not just an ordinary trading day, but a critical node that determines the market pattern for the second half of the year in the cryptocurrency space.
Whether it's the macro environment, technical trends, or market sentiment, all converge at this point. Next, there will either be a big rise or a big fall; there won't be any more slow markets like 'boiling frogs in warm water.'
📌 Remember one thing:
After today, what you see will be a brand new market structure. 👉 If you want to keep up with this wave, remember to follow me, I will continue to track and share the subsequent direction and operational thoughts as soon as possible to avoid you getting lost before a big market move.#美国初请失业金人数 #杰克逊霍尔会议 
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