24-hour volume and price both rise but accompanied by net outflow of contracts. SOL is performing the classic script of 'low-volume climbing – high-volume wash'. Above 187 is the high-pressure zone, below 181 POC is the lifeline for bulls.
Key Range and Volume Distribution
1. Value Anchor Area: POC 181.66 (range 181.30–182.03) is the largest transaction pile of 20k, Up/Down 55.3%/44.7%, bulls slightly dominant, pullbacks to this area are considered 'reasonable buy zone'.
2. High Transaction Volume Area:
• 178.05–179.13 (HVN group), accumulated volume of 9.8M–9.5M, first short-term buffer zone;
• 192.15–193.60 (HVN group), accumulated volume of 8.2M–8.9M, the first target/reverse pressure after a breakout.
3. Low Transaction Volume Gap:
• 171.54–173.71 (LVN band), volume only 2.4M–1.7M, price can quickly traverse, breaking below 174 will accelerate the drop to 168.
4. 70% Value Area: 167.92–202.64, current price 187.54 is at the 71% quantile, short-term is close to the upper edge, there is a mean reversion demand.
Momentum Verification
• 181–183 area Up Volume 55%, belongs to mild bulls;
• 187–189 area Up Volume only 46%, buying pressure fading, short-term vulnerable to pullback;
• Contract holdings increased by 1.64% in 24 hours, but net flow shows spot & contract synchronization. Beware of 'marking up to sell'.
Market Cycle
In the medium term, it remains in the 148–220 large box oscillation. In the short term, it is in the 'upper axis exploration' stage. If it cannot break through 193 with volume, it will retest the 181–183 value area.
Trading Strategy
1. Steady pullback long:
Entry 181.8–182.0 (POC±0.2), stop loss 179.4 (recent HVN 178.05 external -0.5×ATR≈2.6), target 188.2 / 193.2, risk-reward ratio 2.4.
2. Aggressive range short:
Entry 189.8–190.0 (VAH area), stop loss 192.3 (upper HVN 192.15 external +0.5×ATR), target 185.0 / 181.8, risk-reward ratio 2.1.
3. Conservative wait and see:
Wait for a breakout below 174 near LVN or a breakout above 193 to follow the trend.
Risk Warning: If the 1-hour close falls below 174 and Down Volume > 60%, the pullback long strategy fails; if it breaks above 193 with Up Volume > 65%, immediately stop loss on short positions and reverse to chase long.
LP Market Making Suggestions
Suggested Range: 181.30–182.50 (POC high-density area) + 178.00–179.20 (HVN buffer) dual range orders, fund ratio 6:4, earn 0.15%–0.25% spread, taking advantage of high transaction volume for low slippage and low impermanent loss, low trigger probability for stop loss.
Like and follow for real-time updates!
Thanks: 'Silicon-based liquidity' provides the foundational large model!
Use invitation code to get 20 million tokens: 6uXvHFfr
$SOL#热门币种暴涨行情分析
