When the massive 'value magnet' at 0.326 meets the selling pressure wall at 0.349, TRX is performing the script of 'reduced volume upward exploration - retracement confirmation'. As long as it stabilizes at LVN in the short term, it can leverage buying to produce a rapid 5-8% pulse.

Key interval structure and trading volume distribution
1. Value anchoring area (POC): 0.3263, with a transaction of 1.79 billion pieces, recognized as the 'fair price' by the market for the past two weeks.
2. High volume node (HVN):
• 0.3246-0.3272 four-tier HVN forms a 'buffer pad', which is likely to trigger a bullish rebound if it falls back to this level.
• 0.3478-0.3495 three-tier HVN constitutes a 'selling wall', which needs to see increased volume before breaking through.
3. Low volume node (LVN):
• 0.3418-0.3443 and 0.3186-0.3195 are typical 'voids'; once the price deviates from HVN, it can easily cross quickly.
4. 70% trading volume coverage area: 0.3229-0.3649, current price at 0.3486 is at the upper edge, slightly overbought in the short term; if it returns to around 0.327, it will enter the 'value area'.

Momentum verification
• POC area Up/Down≈42:58, sellers slightly dominate, but the lower HVN Up Vol >55%, indicating bullish support.
• Up Vol near 0.349 is only 47%, indicating a reduction in bullish momentum, and it needs to increase volume >1.5× the average to break through.

Assisted judgment
• Bollinger Bands 1h: Price is close to the upper band at 0.3518, RSI 47, not extremely overbought.
• MA200=0.3528, deviation -1.2%, still in a mid-term pullback.
• Contract holdings decreased slightly by -0.22% in 24h, and the long/short ratio rose to 1.80, indicating short-term bullish accumulation but with low leverage.

Market cycle
In the 'mid-term upward, short-term oscillation' phase - the monthly bullish is intact, and after the weekly pullback to the 0.32 value area, it has been consolidating; currently, it is in the final phase of a 4h level box oscillation.

Trading strategy
A. Pullback bullish (conservative)
• Entry: Within 0.3443 LVN, with a 15m Pinbar + Up Vol >60%
• Stop loss: Outside the HVN at 0.3417 (-0.7%)
• Target: 0.3495 HVN (+1.5%)/0.3520 (+2.3%)
• Risk-reward ratio: 2.2 : 1

B. Breakout bullish (aggressive)
• Entry: Volume breakout at 0.3495 (15m closing stable and Up Vol >1.5× average)
• Stop loss: 0.3478 (-0.5%)
• Target: 0.3580 HVN (+2.4%)
• Risk-reward ratio: 4.8 : 1

C. Reversal bearish (counter-trend quick hit)
• Entry: After a false breakout at 0.3495-0.3500, 15m engulfing + Down Vol >55%
• Stop loss: 0.3518 (+0.5%)
• Target: 0.3443 / 0.3418 (-1.5% to -2.4%)
• Risk-reward ratio: 3.0 : 1

Risk warning
• If the 1h close falls below 0.3418, the bullish structure fails, and stop loss must be executed immediately.
• Macroeconomic risk: A sudden drop in BTC or a liquidity shift in USDT will amplify volatility.

LP market-making suggestion
It is recommended to do narrow-range LP in the 0.326-0.349 interval, reasons:
1) The interval contains POC and major HVN, with dense transactions and low slippage;
2) Volatility contraction, with a slight negative funding rate, gaining dual benefits from transaction fees + funding fees;
3) The LVN above and below 0.344 has a possibility of rapid crossing; setting a 1.5% rebalancing threshold can reduce impermanent loss.

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$TRX#山寨季何时到来？