How to counter the market makers with a "value anchor" in ZK, which plummeted 12% in one week?
Summary: ZK is currently under dual pressure from "panic selling + market maker accumulation", with the POC at 0.0697 being a crucial "value anchor" for both bulls and bears. A drop below 0.0604 indicates a bearish trap, while stabilizing above 0.0642 opens the channel for a "violent rebound".
1. Key Ranges and Volume Structure
1. Value Anchoring Area: POC 0.0697 (474M volume) — the highest turnover point in the past two weeks, with heavy resistance above and buying pressure lurking below.
2. High Volume Buffer Zone:
• HVN-1 0.0642~0.0646 (≈300M) — upper Bollinger band on the daily chart, strong resistance in the short term.
• HVN-2 0.0684~0.0689 (≈360M) — can be looked at POC after a breakout.
3. Low Volume Gaps:
• LVN-1 0.0604~0.0607 (volume <90M) — dropping below this triggers a quick drop to 0.058.
• LVN-2 0.0732~0.0737 (volume <28M) — acceleration zone after bulls break through.
4. 70% Volume Coverage Area: 0.0509~0.0723; current price 0.0619 is at the lower end, on the edge of "mildly oversold".
2. Momentum Verification
• POC Area Up/Down 52:48, bulls and bears in a stalemate;
• HVN-1 Area Up/Down 60:40, buyers slightly in favor;
• LVN-1 Area Down Volume 65%, bears dominate, need to wait for a decrease.
3. Cycle Positioning
Weekly level is still in a "downtrend-accumulation" transition period, daily chart has tested the bottom twice; if it holds above 0.0604, it will be seen as a mid-term bottom formation.
4. Trading Strategies
1. Aggressive: Bounce back to LVN-1 0.0604~0.0607, enter long when a shrinking hammer line + Up Volume >55% appears, stop loss at 0.0594 (-1.8%), target HVN-1 0.0642 (+5.7%), risk-reward ratio ≈3.2:1.
2. Steady: Breakthrough HVN-1 0.0642 and stabilize with a 4h close, chase long, stop loss at 0.0628 (-2.2%), target POC 0.0697 (+8.5%), risk-reward ratio ≈3.9:1.
3. Conservative: Effectively drop below 0.0604, rebound at 0.0610 to short, stop loss at 0.0618, target 0.0580, risk-reward ratio ≈3.9:1.
Risk Warning: If it drops below 0.058 with volume or consolidates for >3 days, the strategy is invalid; observe.
5. LP Market Making Suggestions
Range: 0.0604~0.0646, reason — LVN-1 and HVN-1 form a natural grid of "buy low, sell high", with moderate volatility in the range, sufficient order depth, allowing for dual transaction fees and spreads.
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