“SUI rapidly fell below 3.7, is the market maker quietly accumulating or building a short position? Understand the 2 billion USDT liquidity trap in one article!”

Market Overview

The price is sticking to the lower Bollinger Band, with positions being cut for 7 consecutive days, yet a massive turnover of 226 million occurred in the POC area at 3.78 — this is a typical “killing leverage + accumulating” script, and a short-term rebound may happen anytime due to the LVN gap.

Key Zone Structure

1. Value Anchoring Zone: POC = 3.783, the seller's active proportion in the last 2 days is 60%, but the trading volume has decreased by 15%, indicating diminishing selling pressure.

2. High Volume Zone:

• 3.72-3.76 HVN (160-210 million) — the first resistance for intraday rebound;

• 3.50-3.52 HVN (174 million) — the last defense for bulls.

3. Low Volume Gaps:

• 3.64-3.66 LVN (gap 90 million) — accelerates downward towards 3.48 after breaking;

• 4.09-4.15 LVN (gap 33 million) — vacuum area after breaking 3.90.

4. 70% Value Area: 3.423-4.236; the current price has dropped to the lower edge, RSI 39.9 indicates slight overselling.

Momentum Verification

• 3.78 POC: Up Vol 40%, sellers still dominate but with reduced volume;

• 3.50 HVN: Up Vol 64%, buyers are placing orders in advance, providing support.

• 1h-MA200 deviation -2.7%, excessive deviation indicates a short-term mean reversion demand.

Market Cycle Judgment

Medium-term downward channel (4.66-3.10), currently in the lower 25% area of the channel, short-term may enter a “panic-rebound” mini cycle.

Trading Strategy

| Direction | Entry | Stop Loss | Target | Risk-Reward Ratio | Remarks |

|---|---|---|---|---|---|

| Range Rebound (Aggressive) | 3.66±0.01 | 3.64 | 3.72 / 3.78 | 3.0 / 6.0 | Quick recovery after testing LVN |

| Range Rebound (Conservative) | 3.50±0.01 | 3.48 | 3.60 / 3.72 | 5.0 / 8.4 | Enter after reaching 3.50 HVN and Up Vol > 60% |

| Down Break Short (Conservative) | 3.638 break and retest | 3.66 | 3.48 | 4.5 | Volume breakout below LVN and Down Vol > 55% |

Risk Warning: If 3.48 is breached, the next support is at 3.27; unexpected events (macro, ecological unlock) may change the structure.

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